Realized P&L
+$1
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
57.9%
Resolved
4
Trades
32
lifetime
Volume
$51
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$10
11 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-15 08:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
77% 50% +$1
Other
23%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15? Yes +10 $4 36¢ $3 $-0 05-15 08:54
Starmer out by May 31, 2026? No -2 $-1 88¢ $-2 $-0 05-12 14:53
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31? Yes -25 $-4 $-2 +$3 05-07 07:39
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes +8 $2 16¢ $1 $-1 05-10 19:09
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31? Yes -7 $-2 14¢ $-1 +$1 05-10 20:14
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31? No -1 $-1 61¢ $-1 $-0 05-15 05:04
Will Putin visit China by May 31? No -13 $-1 $-0 +$0 05-14 21:49
Iran closes its airspace by May 15? Yes -7 $-1 $-0 +$1 05-07 20:56
Starmer out by May 15, 2026? Yes -3 $-2 $-0 +$2 05-12 08:37
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026? Yes +4 $2 $0 $-2 05-10 12:57
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? Yes +6 $2 $0 $-2 05-06 15:08