Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$20

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

36.0%

Resolved

Trades

2,113

lifetime

Volume

$3.44K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-29

last 07-11 11:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

54% 14% +$19

Other

42% 100% +$2

Crypto

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

78 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes		+21	$4	4¢	$1	$-3	07-05 08:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	14	$133	68	69	-1	open	—	02-21 08:07
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	25	$83	193	193	+0	open	—	05-23 10:13
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	26	$78	150	133	+17	open	—	06-01 17:01
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	17	$78	82	70	+11	open	—	05-15 18:22
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	30	$68	171	171	+0	No	$-0	05-07 22:03
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	22	$60	101	98	+3	open	—	05-31 01:20
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	21	$52	89	65	+23	open	—	05-31 01:20
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	22	$45	127	81	+47	open	—	05-10 20:17
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	21	$41	145	121	+25	open	—	06-14 23:02
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	18	$39	41	41	+0	open	—	06-30 13:05
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	3	$39	45	45	+0	open	—	05-21 08:01
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	16	$39	48	48	+0	open	—	04-21 21:10
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	6	$37	46	46	+0	open	—	04-07 22:54
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	23	$36	99	62	+36	Yes	+$32	05-08 18:58
cs2 navi prv 2026 01 31 game2	35	$35	71	0	+71	open	—	01-31 15:30
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	6	$33	38	38	+0	open	—	04-08 07:24
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	9	$32	25	25	+0	open	—	04-23 21:23
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	19	$31	26	26	+0	open	—	02-22 20:29
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	10	$31	28	28	+0	open	—	04-13 20:24
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	14	$31	49	22	+26	open	—	04-16 14:39
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	23	$30	51	51	+0	open	—	07-06 23:00
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	13	$29	91	91	+0	open	—	05-07 23:02
cs2 g2 mglz 2026 01 31	29	$28	61	0	+61	open	—	01-31 14:32
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	12	$28	30	30	+0	open	—	05-12 15:24
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	11	$28	70	64	+6	open	—	07-11 02:00
cs2 navi prv 2026 01 31	26	$26	50	0	+50	open	—	01-31 16:03
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	10	$25	59	59	+0	open	—	05-07 22:03
dota2 ts8 xtreme 2026 02 16	24	$24	86	0	+86	open	—	02-16 15:38
will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	12	$24	37	28	+9	open	—	06-14 21:08
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	11	$24	63	63	+0	open	—	04-26 22:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-11 11:33:37	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	SELL	4	48¢	$2	0x440851…
07-11 10:20:59	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xa0fe0a…
07-11 10:10:44	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	Yes	SELL	9	12¢	$1	0xb07c11…
07-11 10:00:59	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x02fa29…
07-11 09:49:04	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x8da9e1…
07-11 09:25:58	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xa82b56…
07-11 02:00:19	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	SELL	11	21¢	$2	0xd99e7b…
07-10 22:23:43	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x9f1412…
07-10 17:03:01	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	SELL	21	18¢	$4	0xbe7bcb…
07-10 15:35:08	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x672ede…
07-10 14:50:22	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0x46d102…
07-10 14:35:35	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	SELL	30	22¢	$7	0x5ea626…
07-10 12:56:26	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x7b5346…
07-09 21:56:35	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 btts	No	SELL	4	92¢	$4	0x3cdd65…
07-09 21:31:34	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 spread home 1pt5	France	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0x24911e…
07-09 20:00:26	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 btts	No	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xe47177…
07-09 19:59:58	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 spread home 1pt5	France	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xf2c6ce…
07-09 19:05:14	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x24dd79…
07-08 21:12:17	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	SELL	3	20¢	$1	0xc1ef3d…
07-08 20:41:02	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	SELL	15	21¢	$3	0x8f6119…
07-08 20:34:13	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	SELL	1	21¢	$0	0x844810…
07-08 20:33:58	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	SELL	1	20¢	$0	0xc7c6a3…
07-08 20:33:55	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x7a23a5…
07-08 20:21:17	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	SELL	1	20¢	$0	0x2388b8…
07-08 20:17:22	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0xa01fe3…
07-08 20:16:19	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	SELL	7	21¢	$1	0xdb6d6c…
07-08 20:15:50	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	SELL	4	20¢	$1	0x66b0f5…
07-08 20:10:14	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	SELL	2	19¢	$0	0x289eca…
07-08 20:08:55	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x60af72…
07-08 20:06:43	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	SELL	1	18¢	$0	0x1443a0…
07-08 20:06:28	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	SELL	1	18¢	$0	0x36b80c…
07-08 19:40:19	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xee6925…
07-08 19:40:14	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x91b8a8…
07-08 18:29:13	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x96c40c…
07-08 14:28:32	trump meets with putin by september 30	Yes	SELL	18	8¢	$1	0x9792e2…
07-08 14:28:31	trump meets with putin by september 30	Yes	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0xa13305…
07-08 13:32:40	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	18	27¢	$5	0x481b94…
07-08 13:25:22	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x49148c…
07-08 13:24:37	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x209312…
07-08 13:17:49	trump meets with putin by september 30	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x33c880…
07-08 12:59:02	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586	No	SELL	3	77¢	$2	0x9b296b…
07-08 12:57:35	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x45a025…
07-08 11:41:07	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x47c5c8…
07-08 09:55:16	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x840518…
07-08 09:43:23	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521	Yes	SELL	1	25¢	$0	0x93ef41…
07-08 09:40:35	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521	Yes	SELL	1	26¢	$0	0x10716f…
07-08 09:31:28	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521	Yes	SELL	1	26¢	$0	0x036ab5…
07-08 09:31:25	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521	Yes	SELL	1	26¢	$0	0xf02db6…
07-08 09:28:55	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521	Yes	SELL	2	26¢	$1	0xc9357b…
07-08 09:28:50	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521	Yes	SELL	0	26¢	$0	0x977093…
07-08 09:06:25	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	Yes	SELL	8	15¢	$1	0x2bb024…
07-08 08:50:05	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x925187…
07-08 08:49:31	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xe7b088…
07-07 18:09:49	will jordan bardella advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	No	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0xb4f597…
07-07 17:32:08	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Egypt	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0x13b607…
07-07 17:11:43	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Egypt	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x91750f…
07-07 13:26:38	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	Yes	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0x6ce6cc…
07-07 12:56:43	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x7a8767…
07-07 12:09:16	will jordan bardella advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	No	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xdffb51…
07-07 09:56:59	will jordan bardella advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x9dcf6e…
07-06 23:08:43	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	Belgium	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x7d7f30…
07-06 23:00:26	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	14	14¢	$2	0x70de42…
07-06 22:53:29	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xee5acc…
07-06 21:32:34	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	4	31¢	$1	0xd085a5…
07-06 21:32:31	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0x7737f5…
07-06 21:32:08	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	0	28¢	$0	0x4d2cb6…
07-06 21:31:56	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	1	27¢	$0	0xe9e7bb…
07-06 21:31:55	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	1	27¢	$0	0xac4e2e…
07-06 21:29:14	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x7cd5b0…
07-06 21:29:13	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	2	26¢	$0	0x63130f…
07-06 21:29:11	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	1	26¢	$0	0x4fda20…
07-06 21:26:43	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x6f8ce1…
07-06 21:25:41	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xc0ce4f…
07-06 21:20:37	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0x062072…
07-06 21:14:16	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	1	36¢	$0	0x151a08…
07-06 21:14:14	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x8f2a5e…
07-06 21:14:11	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x0d52ee…
07-06 21:12:53	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	7	40¢	$3	0x6e12be…
07-06 21:11:22	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x78a9e4…
07-06 21:10:13	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xb29742…
07-06 21:02:32	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	1	26¢	$0	0x771b31…
07-06 21:00:56	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x84743a…
07-06 21:00:55	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x8e21dc…
07-06 20:59:38	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xa1356b…
07-06 14:53:55	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x945161…
07-06 14:36:19	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xe023ec…
07-06 14:35:02	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xdd4115…
07-06 14:35:01	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xeb37a9…
07-06 14:20:31	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x8d78a2…
07-06 06:12:37	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xef4432…
07-05 21:07:58	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on july 4 20260626160825418	No	SELL	12	87¢	$10	0x55686d…
07-05 18:01:40	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on july 4 20260626160825418	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x6e6e30…
07-05 18:01:34	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on july 4 20260626160825418	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x2de85f…
07-05 17:50:59	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on july 4 20260626160825418	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xd629ae…
07-05 08:02:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x380b3d…
07-04 20:06:17	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x28d57b…
07-04 19:27:28	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 spread away 2pt5	France	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0x08a0d3…
07-04 16:54:58	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 spread away 1pt5	France	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xeeb7ac…
07-04 16:54:46	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 spread away 2pt5	France	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x2b2fcf…
07-04 13:34:40	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x52b785…