Realized P&L (90d)
+$196
Unrealized P&L
+$8
Hit rate
89.1%
Resolved (90d)
3,875
Trades (90d)
4,323
4,354 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$71.1K
$72.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$175
10 positions
First seen
2026-06-11
last 11-01 01:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 60 days
Categories
Crypto
60% 91% -$168
Other
35% 83% +$306
Sports
4% 84% +$100
Politics
1% 69% -$68
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$29
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk • peak 444 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +33 $28 100¢ $33 +$5 10-06 10:59
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +32 $26 100¢ $32 +$6 10-07 16:12
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? No +28 $23 99¢ $27 +$4 10-02 07:46
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +19 $16 100¢ $19 +$3 10-07 14:45
Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026? No +19 $15 94¢ $18 +$3 10-16 12:27
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes +20 $18 73¢ $14 -$4 10-04 07:04
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +19 $16 74¢ $14 -$2 10-05 22:27
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +9 $8 98¢ $9 +$2 10-13 06:52
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +7 $6 100¢ $7 +$1 10-08 09:01
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%? No +14 $12 3¢ $0 -$11 10-25 09:24