Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$443

Unrealized P&L

+$12

Hit rate

86.9%

Resolved

4,163

Trades

4,604

lifetime

Volume

$77.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$67

3 positions

First seen

2026-06-11

last 11-04 05:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Crypto

61% 89% +$141

Other

34% 83% +$333

Sports

4% 84% +$100

Politics

1% 67% -$102

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$29

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 444 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat?	No	+39	$33	100¢	$39	+$7	11-02 20:19
Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?	No	+19	$15	97¢	$19	+$3	10-16 12:27
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	+9	$8	100¢	$9	+$2	10-13 06:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	3	$264	1,833	1,833	+0	Down	+$64	10-08 17:18
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 16?	2	$173	124	124	+0	Yes	+$73	06-16 06:42
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$127	75	75	+0	Yes	+$1	10-07 15:04
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-10-11?	2	$123	118	118	+0	Yes	-$65	10-12 00:32
Washington State vs. Utah State	2	$120	100	100	+0	Utah State	-$42	10-10 04:19
Spread: 49ers (-4.5)	1	$108	130	0	+130	Seahawks	+$22	10-11 23:21
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	3	$106	118	9	+109	Yes	+$17	10-09 13:35
Spread: Louisville (-3.5)	3	$104	98	98	+0	Louisville	-$37	10-10 01:08
Cagliari Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5	1	$101	124	0	+124	Under	+$22	10-11 20:24
LoL: Estral Esports vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO5) - CBLOL Promotion Playoffs	3	$100	120	0	+120	KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas	-$100	10-07 00:17
Counter-Strike: OG vs Sangal (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Play-In	1	$97	119	0	+119	Sangal	+$21	10-08 11:41
wta parks vandrom 2026 10 17	1	$97	118	0	+118	Alycia Parks	-$97	10-17 06:32
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-10-10?	1	$96	117	0	+117	No	+$21	10-11 02:55
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez	2	$95	116	0	+116	Sebastian Baez	+$21	10-08 08:47
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 0.5	1	$95	123	0	+123	Over	+$28	10-16 19:50
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves	3	$94	116	0	+116	Los Angeles Dodgers	+$22	10-07 00:06
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner	1	$93	115	0	+115	Team Yandex	+$22	10-08 09:43
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-10-10?	3	$93	111	0	+111	Yes	+$18	10-10 14:12
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on November 4?	1	$92	120	0	+120	open	—	11-03 07:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 15:30 UTC	1	$92	104	0	+104	Down	+$12	06-15 15:34
Spread: Titans (-3.5)	2	$91	112	0	+112	Texans	+$20	10-11 16:57
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 22?	1	$91	122	0	+122	No	+$30	10-21 07:22
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-10-08?	1	$91	111	0	+111	Yes	+$20	10-09 01:07
Pelicans vs. Thunder	3	$90	109	0	+109	Pelicans	-$90	10-07 01:02
Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Blasterbl - Game 2 Winner	4	$90	152	0	+152	Blasterbl	-$90	10-08 14:52
World Championship of Legends: England Champions vs West Indies Champions	1	$89	109	0	+109	West Indies Champions	+$20	10-07 17:52
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	3	$89	71	39	+32	No	+$6	10-07 16:12
Bears vs. Packers	2	$88	110	0	+110	Packers	+$22	10-11 17:52
CA Platense vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 1.5	2	$87	113	0	+113	Over	+$26	10-11 20:33
Mavericks vs. Rockets	2	$87	108	0	+108	Mavericks	+$22	10-11 12:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 16:29:27	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on November 5?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x582e25…
11-04 16:29:25	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on November 5?	No	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0x75b619…
11-04 05:00:07	BNB Up or Down - November 4, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0xbb8b71…
11-04 04:50:12	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x9e2847…
11-04 04:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0xb25370…
11-04 04:50:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x77389a…
11-04 04:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x2ca8e5…
11-04 04:45:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x102fa6…
11-04 04:35:10	BNB Up or Down - November 3, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0xf9b72a…
11-04 04:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xe4fdfc…
11-04 04:20:22	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0xb6f5a9…
11-04 04:20:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x7515ff…
11-04 04:15:21	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x6a0746…
11-04 04:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x2ba245…
11-04 04:15:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x697522…
11-04 04:13:49	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on November 5?	No	BUY	14	80¢	$11	0x544af8…
11-04 04:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x6ec1f1…
11-04 04:10:09	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x5c57d0…
11-04 04:10:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0xc724e2…
11-04 04:05:19	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	33	57¢	$19	0x827e14…
11-04 04:00:09	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 3, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	34	60¢	$20	0x72cc2b…
11-04 02:41:55	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0x8e65a1…
11-04 02:29:22	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on November 4?	No	BUY	30	85¢	$25	0xf8e848…
11-04 02:29:22	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on November 4?	No	BUY	61	85¢	$52	0x2cb746…
11-04 01:24:39	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on November 4?	No	BUY	27	77¢	$21	0x87895d…
11-03 16:29:06	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on November 5?	No	BUY	38	67¢	$25	0xc7a727…
11-03 15:55:15	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x42f505…
11-03 15:55:12	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	57¢	$8	0x133fae…
11-03 15:35:13	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x6512d9…
11-03 15:35:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x3aa69b…
11-03 15:25:22	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	64	31¢	$20	0x80022b…
11-03 15:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x76e17c…
11-03 15:25:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x159644…
11-03 15:25:06	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xf984fd…
11-03 15:20:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x468eae…
11-03 15:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x8e677c…
11-03 15:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xc4eaab…
11-03 15:10:10	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x2bc3e2…
11-03 15:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xf435f9…
11-03 15:00:19	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xbda917…
11-03 15:00:19	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x9f25bd…
11-03 14:50:31	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x780e0d…
11-03 14:50:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xec9234…
11-03 14:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0xe9b141…
11-03 14:50:09	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x7d782e…
11-03 14:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x85bbe1…
11-03 14:45:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x43963e…
11-03 14:40:25	BNB Up or Down - November 3, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x89d197…
11-03 14:40:22	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x61ca90…
11-03 14:35:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x24e164…
11-03 14:35:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0xb8752b…
11-03 14:20:13	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x20333c…
11-03 14:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x7d64fc…
11-03 14:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x1a4c42…
11-03 14:10:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xbee405…
11-03 14:05:25	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 3, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	41	48¢	$20	0xa9277b…
11-03 14:00:19	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0xdcaf27…
11-03 14:00:19	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0xae87a6…
11-03 14:00:18	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x1103a9…
11-03 13:55:19	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x2d1b6b…
11-03 13:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x06eac0…
11-03 13:55:12	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x6f8e64…
11-03 13:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x786879…
11-03 13:45:24	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0xa49da3…
11-03 13:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x3e9e17…
11-03 13:45:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x59e6de…
11-03 13:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x6e8454…
11-03 13:40:19	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x4a0647…
11-03 13:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x1884e6…
11-03 13:30:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x2d76a0…
11-03 13:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0xd330c7…
11-03 13:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x9e59af…
11-03 13:25:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x2b6d7f…
11-03 13:20:16	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x9d5b5f…
11-03 13:20:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xc74927…
11-03 13:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0xb7eb2a…
11-03 13:15:24	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x286371…
11-03 13:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x30abc5…
11-03 13:10:22	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x7e1e2f…
11-03 13:10:09	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x409e98…
11-03 13:05:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xe36b27…
11-03 13:05:10	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 3, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0xa06d02…
11-03 12:55:10	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x467e30…
11-03 12:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x182b7b…
11-03 12:45:22	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xbc84e6…
11-03 12:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0xdbabdf…
11-03 12:35:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xe180ab…
11-03 12:30:15	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	42	47¢	$20	0x08e718…
11-03 12:30:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x50c523…
11-03 12:25:09	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 3, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x15e3c1…
11-03 12:20:13	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0xe2edd2…
11-03 12:20:12	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xbebcea…
11-03 12:20:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x04d412…
11-03 12:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x4c5068…
11-03 12:15:28	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0xba82ab…
11-03 12:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0xa40bbd…
11-03 12:15:28	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x5b9429…
11-03 12:15:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0xcb2c8f…
11-03 12:05:30	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0xce88df…
11-03 12:02:01	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on November 4?	No	BUY	44	84¢	$37	0xa18714…