Realized P&L (7d)
-$45
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
86.3%
Resolved (7d)
258
Trades (7d)
293
4,333 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$5.41K
$71.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$209
13 positions
First seen
2026-06-11
last 10-30 08:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 58 days
Categories
Crypto
60% 91% -$168
Other
35% 83% +$251
Sports
4% 83% +$94
Politics
1% 68% -$75
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$29
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
46 active days in 12wk • peak 444 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +33 $28 99¢ $33 +$5 10-06 10:59
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +32 $26 97¢ $31 +$5 10-07 16:12
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? No +28 $23 100¢ $27 +$5 10-02 07:46
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +19 $16 98¢ $19 +$3 10-07 14:45
Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026? No +19 $15 91¢ $17 +$2 10-16 12:27
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes +20 $18 84¢ $17 -$2 10-04 07:04
Guangzhou Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Jil Teichmann Kaitlin Quevedo — +16 $14 100¢ $16 +$2 10-30 09:33
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +19 $16 74¢ $14 -$2 10-05 22:27
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +27 $19 42¢ $11 -$8 10-29 21:28
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +9 $8 91¢ $8 +$1 10-13 06:52
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +7 $5 100¢ $7 +$2 10-24 21:19
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +7 $6 96¢ $7 +$1 10-08 09:01
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%? No +14 $12 7¢ $1 -$11 10-25 09:24