Black-Mayonnaise — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$70

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

73.3%

Resolved

104

Trades

472

lifetime

Volume

$9.10K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

$29

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-03

last 08-24 10:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 52 days

Categories

Other

64% 59% -$54

Crypto

19% 86% +$4

Politics

16% 50% -$20

Sports

2% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No		-28	-$27	100¢	$-28	-$1	04-28 13:11
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes		+500	$6	0¢	$1	-$4	06-11 10:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	2	$599	300	300	+0	No	+$0	05-06 06:51
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on May 6?	4	$397	200	200	+0	No	+$3	05-06 14:37
Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?	14	$349	175	175	+0	open	—	05-31 13:06
Will Solana reach $170 in May?	13	$331	166	166	+0	No	+$0	05-22 09:59
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 7?	7	$290	148	148	+0	Yes	+$0	05-07 07:02
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	12	$287	144	144	+0	No	+$0	04-17 12:10
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	9	$285	385	385	+0	Yes	+$13	03-26 11:34
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	12	$275	138	138	+0	open	—	06-07 11:28
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	12	$269	135	135	+0	No	+$0	04-13 07:13
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	8	$233	118	118	+0	No	+$1	05-06 12:50
Will Ali Motahari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	8	$232	116	116	+0	open	—	08-24 10:32
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	8	$216	108	108	+0	No	$0	05-22 09:59
will meituan have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	8	$210	105	105	+0	No	+$0	03-31 02:29
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 240 259	9	$205	164	164	+0	No	+$1	04-03 02:51
italy nordio reform referendum passes	7	$178	200	200	+0	No	-$2	03-23 07:19
will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	9	$178	89	89	+0	No	+$0	03-26 06:43
spx opens up or down on march 23 2026	4	$168	100	100	+0	Up	-$3	03-23 08:16
will silver si hit high 190 by end of february 182	6	$147	74	74	+0	No	+$0	02-27 05:14
will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	6	$142	71	71	+0	No	+$0	02-23 07:53
will joachim trier win best director at the 98th academy awards	6	$136	68	68	+0	No	+$0	03-16 04:42
will switzerland win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	4	$120	60	60	+0	No	+$0	02-19 12:21
will 15 19 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	4	$118	93	93	+0	Yes	+$2	03-31 03:03
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	4	$114	400	400	+0	No	-$6	03-23 11:12
Based FDV above $4B one day after launch?	4	$108	54	54	+0	No	+$0	03-08 04:16
Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?	4	$108	54	54	+0	No	+$0	02-23 07:56
will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	4	$106	53	53	+0	No	+$0	02-19 08:08
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$106	53	53	+0	No	$0	04-22 12:31
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$103	52	52	+0	No	$0	04-03 03:56
Will Azerbaijan be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	4	$102	51	51	+0	No	$0	04-22 12:29
will moonshot have the 2 ai model at the end of march 2026	4	$90	45	45	+0	No	$0	03-31 02:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-24 10:32:09	Will Ali Motahari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x313569…
07-29 15:12:57	Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$1	0x02ada7…
06-19 03:54:16	Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x9e16da…
06-19 03:43:29	Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0xc56f31…
06-19 03:28:55	Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0x1a1350…
06-19 03:24:34	Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0xd9556e…
06-19 02:00:34	Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xa0810d…
06-19 01:59:40	Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x617387…
06-19 01:57:14	Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x5f4640…
06-19 01:46:34	Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x45bb21…
06-19 00:50:55	Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x5725cf…
06-18 22:54:47	Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x10d2a4…
06-18 21:36:40	Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x4fadb1…
06-18 21:16:04	Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x8607af…
06-18 20:29:28	Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xd51e94…
06-18 20:28:37	Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x67c195…
06-18 20:28:29	Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x6b0aff…
06-18 20:19:04	Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x2c83fc…
06-18 20:01:59	Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x0ad814…
06-18 18:06:08	Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x1a663e…
06-18 18:06:02	Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x4d90f4…
06-18 15:34:22	Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x205ef6…
06-18 13:52:22	Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x2f7097…
06-18 13:03:01	Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0xfce8b1…
06-18 11:58:25	Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xe7afda…
06-18 11:12:35	Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x9c87cb…
06-18 10:50:43	Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xfb7429…
06-18 10:30:26	Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	38	1¢	$0	0x7a707d…
06-18 09:48:49	Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	47	1¢	$0	0xef6c22…
06-18 09:42:20	Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xb56107…
06-18 09:27:56	Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x0b00aa…
06-18 09:26:52	Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0xc62f1b…
06-18 09:17:29	Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x39c9c9…
06-18 09:12:29	Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0x5c04c8…
06-18 09:06:55	Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x93b53d…
06-18 08:52:56	Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xbbd4d9…
06-18 08:32:41	Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0xbfd78b…
06-18 08:30:05	Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	31	1¢	$0	0xe3ba44…
06-18 08:28:35	Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	31	1¢	$0	0x6b8c80…
06-18 08:22:44	Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0x586118…
06-18 08:20:01	Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	17	1¢	$0	0x7d097f…
06-18 08:17:10	Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0x6d1bcf…
06-18 08:02:04	Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x785f79…
06-18 08:01:28	Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x19c1dc…
06-18 07:49:43	Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0x3fff5c…
06-18 07:48:50	Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x377b35…
06-18 07:47:25	Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x6aefe0…
06-18 07:35:37	Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	55	1¢	$0	0x8a02ca…
06-11 10:07:48	Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$6	0x153490…
06-11 07:15:43	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xf51eb7…
06-11 07:07:40	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	56	1¢	$1	0x86be3b…
06-11 06:44:15	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	59	1¢	$1	0x553158…
06-11 03:59:34	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	49	1¢	$1	0x304c88…
06-11 03:43:16	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	59	1¢	$1	0x75fc2b…
06-11 00:55:52	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	57	1¢	$1	0x1f1343…
06-11 00:43:01	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	1¢	$0	0xb3d4a4…
06-10 13:38:57	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	300	2¢	$4	0x0336b8…
06-09 12:06:58	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	BUY	300	1¢	$4	0x3d1061…
06-09 12:05:43	Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$3	0x549e76…
06-09 12:05:03	Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	400	1¢	$4	0xa30fdc…
06-09 12:04:40	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	2¢	$4	0xf8bedd…
06-09 08:39:49	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	2¢	$3	0xeb2f8f…
06-08 11:08:33	Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	300	1¢	$3	0x04cac5…
06-08 05:03:27	Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	400	2¢	$6	0x44af84…
06-07 12:34:48	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	1¢	$4	0x36f90c…
06-07 11:28:30	Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x67c857…
06-07 11:28:15	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$3	0x3b9c79…
06-07 11:26:31	Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x6d6621…
06-07 11:25:34	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0xc3a9be…
06-07 11:23:21	Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	1¢	$5	0xd17b6c…
06-02 21:20:28	Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$3	0xdedbba…
06-01 12:31:56	Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd62211…
06-01 12:01:22	Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x62601b…
06-01 11:40:51	Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xaeb626…
06-01 05:44:46	Will Ali Motahari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x3a6d43…
05-31 18:33:12	Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?	Yes	SELL	195	7¢	$14	0x6712d4…
05-31 15:52:22	Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x5e8fa6…
05-31 13:06:18	Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x5545b3…
05-29 22:55:12	Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xaff03b…
05-29 22:42:57	Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x36ea94…
05-28 14:47:10	Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?	Yes	BUY	200	4¢	$7	0xc77729…
05-27 11:45:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 27?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xe43bc0…
05-27 10:53:10	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	Yes	SELL	199	1¢	$3	0x057e4f…
05-27 06:12:39	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x1011f7…
05-27 01:49:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xdecd3f…
05-27 01:41:59	Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xae9489…
05-27 01:40:21	Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x58b495…
05-26 19:11:55	Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?	Yes	BUY	198	7¢	$14	0x2832a2…
05-26 18:08:45	Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0xb76b90…
05-26 07:46:09	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	169	1¢	$2	0x0115e0…
05-26 07:45:43	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x6e5f65…
05-26 05:06:54	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xd92d29…
05-25 13:01:01	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$3	0x5f685c…
05-25 07:25:12	Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x1ad7d0…
05-24 19:05:37	Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xc1c778…
05-24 15:00:07	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$3	0x381f89…
05-24 13:55:14	Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xfc379e…
05-24 13:54:18	Will Ali Motahari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x6b3dff…
05-24 05:54:23	Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x30e283…
05-22 10:01:15	Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in May?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xac163e…