Outrageous-Poisoning — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$209

Unrealized P&L

+$26

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

191

lifetime

Volume

$34.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$180

Open exposure

$781

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-01

last 06-26 18:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

59% 100% +$166

Other

31% 100% +$43

Crypto

7% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No		+500	$455	97¢	$486	+$31	06-05 01:50
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No		+341	$300	86¢	$295	$-5	06-18 01:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Trump out as President by April 30?	4	$3.1K	3,182	0	+3,182	open	—	04-14 19:54
Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?	24	$2.6K	3,199	6,058	-2,859	open	—	06-08 18:41
will trump say plastic egg this week april 5	5	$2.5K	2,710	0	+2,710	open	—	04-05 22:20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	4	$2.1K	1,347	1,090	+256	open	—	04-05 22:40
will trump say six seven this week april 12	10	$1.6K	1,827	0	+1,827	open	—	04-07 07:11
will trump say hot as a pistol this week april 5	3	$1.2K	1,208	0	+1,208	open	—	04-05 21:48
Will Trump say "N Word" in April?	5	$1.2K	1,227	0	+1,227	open	—	04-07 03:52
Will Trump say "Failing New York Times" this week? (April 27 - May 3)	2	$1.1K	1,124	0	+1,124	open	—	05-03 17:12
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$1.1K	1,108	0	+1,108	No	+$43	04-07 06:34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	1	$1000	1,041	0	+1,041	open	—	04-05 21:24
will bitcoin dip to 65k on april 5	2	$800	835	0	+835	open	—	04-05 21:49
critical discord incident by june 30	3	$797	893	0	+893	open	—	06-26 18:19
Will Trump say "Discombobulator" or "Discombobulated" in April?	4	$754	814	0	+814	open	—	04-19 03:19
Will Trump say "Six Seven" in April?	10	$701	874	874	+0	open	—	04-15 21:02
will trump say gay during fox interview on wednesday	1	$700	752	0	+752	open	—	04-14 19:32
Will Trump say "Darth Vader" in May?	1	$600	667	0	+667	open	—	05-03 18:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$591	316	316	+0	open	—	05-06 10:25
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	5	$586	508	508	+0	open	—	06-11 18:19
Nothing Ever Happens: May	2	$557	385	385	+0	open	—	05-06 10:25
will trump say midnight hammer this week	7	$522	548	0	+548	open	—	06-05 02:23
chatgpt full outage by april 10	3	$508	528	0	+528	open	—	04-07 03:42
Will Trump say "Autopen" this week?	2	$500	622	0	+622	No	+$122	05-03 08:45
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	1	$455	500	0	+500	open	—	06-05 01:50
will trump say april fool this week april 5	2	$430	435	0	+435	open	—	04-05 22:18
Will Trump say "Peacemaker" this week? (April 27 - May 3)	3	$425	440	0	+440	open	—	05-03 17:12
Will Trump say "Braggadocious" in April?	1	$415	477	0	+477	open	—	04-09 06:15
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	3	$412	345	345	+0	open	—	04-07 22:51
will trump say womens sport during the white house easter egg roll	2	$400	448	0	+448	open	—	04-05 22:05
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	1	$300	341	0	+341	open	—	06-18 01:52
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	1	$300	326	0	+326	open	—	05-03 18:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-26 18:19:11	critical discord incident by june 30	No	BUY	320	96¢	$306	0x7ad5cb…
06-18 01:52:58	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	341	88¢	$300	0xf262e4…
06-17 07:10:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	100¢	$300	0x68da08…
06-11 18:19:06	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	100	34¢	$34	0x107323…
06-11 08:33:01	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	158	42¢	$67	0xc51ad5…
06-08 18:41:48	Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	46	6¢	$3	0x471543…
06-08 18:41:39	Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	46	6¢	$3	0x9a50f4…
06-08 18:41:28	Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	31	6¢	$2	0xe5cc6f…
06-08 18:41:16	Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	30	6¢	$2	0x51f1e3…
06-08 18:32:49	Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	153	3¢	$5	0x8dcd10…
06-08 18:31:49	Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	200	1¢	$2	0xc8de7f…
06-08 18:30:07	Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	307	2¢	$5	0x7a6891…
06-08 18:29:54	Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	614	1¢	$9	0x3d2b95…
06-08 18:29:45	Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	409	3¢	$13	0x65c82d…
06-08 18:29:27	Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,636	4¢	$59	0xb3c87d…
06-08 18:28:31	Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,318	2¢	$20	0xb36ac0…
06-08 18:27:28	Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,080	8¢	$86	0x8a0038…
06-08 18:27:06	Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	191	10¢	$19	0xb095b4…
06-08 18:26:48	Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,514	11¢	$166	0xe2198b…
06-08 06:05:12	critical discord incident by june 30	No	BUY	446	86¢	$384	0x5aba36…
06-08 00:24:37	critical discord incident by june 30	No	BUY	126	85¢	$107	0x351a6c…
06-07 22:34:15	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	250	45¢	$112	0xe56e4e…
06-06 17:38:21	Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	24	87¢	$21	0x87ab4a…
06-06 17:37:45	Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	85	87¢	$74	0x1731b2…
06-06 17:37:25	Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xfc4e39…
06-06 17:37:16	Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	122	83¢	$101	0x3b7430…
06-06 17:37:03	Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	419	82¢	$344	0x9ce57c…
06-06 17:36:51	Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	42	81¢	$34	0xdf5fc2…
06-06 05:16:21	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	495	73¢	$363	0xb7535e…
06-06 05:14:49	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	13	73¢	$10	0x652c57…
06-06 05:03:12	will trump say kuwait this week	No	BUY	150	88¢	$132	0x3a8a76…
06-06 04:58:36	will trump say kuwait this week	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xbab0c7…
06-05 02:24:49	will trump say operation epic fury this week	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0xb7345e…
06-05 02:24:40	will trump say operation epic fury this week	No	BUY	92	87¢	$80	0x40a1d6…
06-05 02:24:33	will trump say operation epic fury this week	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0xb12911…
06-05 02:24:24	will trump say operation epic fury this week	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x5e0b7e…
06-05 02:23:30	will trump say midnight hammer this week	No	BUY	257	97¢	$249	0xa7d573…
06-05 02:23:01	will trump say midnight hammer this week	No	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0x120219…
06-05 02:22:34	will trump say midnight hammer this week	No	BUY	20	92¢	$19	0x2d65c3…
06-05 01:50:19	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	BUY	500	91¢	$455	0x6d50b6…
06-04 20:21:55	will trump say migrant crime this week	No	BUY	38	93¢	$35	0x68b884…
06-04 20:20:15	will trump say midnight hammer this week	No	BUY	18	92¢	$16	0x38328f…
06-04 20:19:49	will trump say hottest nation this week	No	BUY	12	88¢	$11	0x00793c…
06-04 20:19:19	will trump say hottest nation this week	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xbe46c7…
06-04 20:18:36	will trump say president biden this week	No	BUY	24	94¢	$23	0x2fdcf8…
06-04 07:01:18	will trump say midnight hammer this week	No	BUY	199	94¢	$187	0x1d622a…
06-03 23:18:55	will trump say midnight hammer this week	No	BUY	17	95¢	$16	0x5a33bd…
06-03 05:55:04	Will Trump say "Midnight Hammer" this week?	No	BUY	28	93¢	$26	0x3bce92…
06-02 15:56:22	Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2,195	66¢	$1,449	0x543b43…
06-02 15:55:33	Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	68	65¢	$44	0xb25903…
06-02 05:56:35	Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	108	58¢	$63	0xcf55ca…
06-02 05:56:27	Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	27	57¢	$15	0xd4bb03…
06-02 05:56:09	Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	75	56¢	$42	0x6e3d4c…
06-02 04:50:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	200	87¢	$175	0x269b5c…
06-02 04:50:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	74	87¢	$64	0x1a4f46…
06-02 04:39:06	Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	48	25¢	$12	0xcf1880…
06-02 04:37:45	Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0xe5f317…
05-31 22:36:08	Will Trump say "Buy Dell Computer" or "Buy a Dell Computer" in May?	No	BUY	118	99¢	$117	0xf41f01…
05-26 16:22:05	Will Trump say "No No No" this week?	No	BUY	9	61¢	$5	0x41eddb…
05-26 16:20:17	Will Trump say "No No No" this week?	No	BUY	19	61¢	$12	0x955245…
05-26 16:19:45	Will Trump say "No No No" this week?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x1d4897…
05-25 01:21:19	Will Trump say "No No No" this week?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x063e8a…
05-25 01:17:56	Critical Discord Incident by May 31?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x20c16d…
05-25 01:17:47	Critical Discord Incident by May 31?	No	BUY	12	89¢	$11	0xbbf335…
05-25 01:17:28	Critical Discord Incident by May 31?	No	BUY	16	88¢	$14	0xef8a8e…
05-25 00:13:55	Critical Discord Incident by May 31?	No	BUY	140	89¢	$125	0x1cf293…
05-25 00:03:32	Will Trump say "Buy Dell Computer" or "Buy a Dell Computer" in May?	No	BUY	8	84¢	$7	0xcc5a76…
05-24 23:56:35	Will Trump say "Traitor" this week?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf6ea9d…
05-07 01:27:34	Will Trump say "My father" this week?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x770cce…
05-07 01:18:31	Will Trump say "My father" this week?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xfa53e0…
05-07 01:18:22	Will Trump say "My father" this week?	No	BUY	109	63¢	$69	0xcc25c0…
05-06 10:25:58	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	SELL	385	67¢	$257	0x9f2dea…
05-06 10:25:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	316	92¢	$291	0xbdcb9d…
05-03 18:36:30	Will Bernie Sanders say "Trump" 3+ times in Michigan?	Yes	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xc14d0f…
05-03 18:32:38	Will Bernie Sanders's remarks not air?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf0c2ff…
05-03 18:23:58	Will Trump say "Darth Vader" in May?	No	BUY	667	90¢	$600	0xff5f82…
05-03 18:20:00	Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obamacare" in May?	No	BUY	218	92¢	$200	0x44cb64…
05-03 18:17:16	Will Bernie Sanders say "Data Center" in Michigan?	No	BUY	227	88¢	$200	0xdbadb8…
05-03 18:15:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	316	95¢	$300	0x1824f8…
05-03 18:15:18	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	326	92¢	$300	0xee7965…
05-03 17:31:38	Will Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" this week? (April 27 - May 3)	No	BUY	47	94¢	$44	0xf48775…
05-03 17:16:16	Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obamacare" in May?	No	BUY	187	53¢	$100	0x81fb7d…
05-03 17:13:20	Will Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" this week? (April 27 - May 3)	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xc9acb9…
05-03 17:12:58	Will Trump say "Failing New York Times" this week? (April 27 - May 3)	No	BUY	503	99¢	$500	0xd5f8fd…
05-03 17:12:18	Will Trump say "Peacemaker" this week? (April 27 - May 3)	No	BUY	310	97¢	$300	0x7703b9…
05-03 08:53:50	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	385	78¢	$300	0x9fe95e…
05-03 08:45:18	Will Trump say "Autopen" this week?	No	BUY	354	85¢	$300	0x1585f6…
05-03 08:44:40	Will Trump say "Autopen" this week?	No	BUY	268	75¢	$200	0xb1c8aa…
05-03 08:38:42	Will Trump say "Failing New York Times" this week? (April 27 - May 3)	No	BUY	621	97¢	$600	0xf01ca2…
05-03 08:37:50	Will Trump say "Peacemaker" this week? (April 27 - May 3)	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x049533…
05-03 08:36:34	Will Trump say "Peacemaker" this week? (April 27 - May 3)	No	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0xd577f7…
04-19 03:19:12	Will Trump say "Discombobulator" or "Discombobulated" in April?	No	BUY	366	94¢	$345	0xb27d06…
04-19 03:17:42	Will Trump say "Discombobulator" or "Discombobulated" in April?	No	BUY	348	92¢	$320	0xa022ed…
04-19 03:17:24	Will Trump say "Discombobulator" or "Discombobulated" in April?	No	BUY	38	91¢	$35	0x5eda44…
04-19 03:15:54	Will Trump say "Discombobulator" or "Discombobulated" in April?	No	BUY	61	90¢	$55	0xb0d333…
04-15 21:02:50	Will Trump say "Six Seven" in April?	No	SELL	705	0¢	$1	0xb4ac9f…
04-15 20:28:46	Will Trump say "Six Seven" in April?	No	SELL	169	0¢	$0	0x0c7eaf…
04-15 07:40:58	Will Trump say "Six Seven" in April?	No	BUY	30	81¢	$24	0x24bb5f…
04-15 07:40:08	Will Trump say "Six Seven" in April?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xac4a1d…
04-15 07:40:02	Will Trump say "Six Seven" in April?	No	BUY	33	78¢	$26	0x4b415c…