Realized P&L
+$5
Unrealized P&L
+$5
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
26
lifetime
Volume
$108
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$90
13 positions
First seen
2026-11-02
last 11-05 18:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
52% 100% +$2
Politics
48% 100% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +16 $14 88¢ $14 $0 11-02 06:44
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No +15 $13 92¢ $14 +$1 11-02 07:48
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +20 $8 63¢ $13 +$4 11-02 06:51
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +12 $10 90¢ $11 +$1 11-03 00:26
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +10 $9 97¢ $10 +$1 11-03 08:58
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026? Yes +10 $9 87¢ $9 +$0 11-02 20:26
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +6 $6 90¢ $5 $0 11-03 11:22
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +5 $4 92¢ $5 +$0 11-03 09:00
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? No +36 $6 12¢ $4 -$2 11-03 05:07
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-07? Yes +5 $3 56¢ $3 $0 11-05 18:51
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship? No +10 $2 24¢ $2 $0 11-04 08:39
Will no qualifying Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place by December 31, 2027? Yes +40 $1 2¢ $1 -$1 11-05 18:16
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? Yes +5 $0 10¢ $1 +$0 11-03 11:03