Writhing-Porch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.22K

Unrealized P&L

+$41

Hit rate

53.1%

Resolved

1,134

Trades

30,208

lifetime

Volume

$19.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-10 03:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 125 days

Categories

Other

64% 30% -$395

Politics

19% 14% -$846

Crypto

12% 43% +$57

Sports

5% 39% -$17

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$12

Tech

0% 0% -$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 84 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes		+0	-$41	0¢	$0	+$41	07-09 19:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	2,622	$1.9K	244,900	244,900	+0	open	—	06-16 11:45
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	3,889	$1.8K	209,303	209,303	+0	open	—	07-05 15:22
Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	2,263	$646	58,767	58,767	+0	open	—	06-08 06:40
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	1,987	$643	108,159	108,159	+0	open	—	06-24 14:07
Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?	748	$627	69,024	69,024	+0	open	—	05-18 13:33
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	1,228	$623	56,488	56,488	+0	open	—	05-25 20:35
Will Gillian Sherratt win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?	219	$618	278,356	22,906	+255,450	No	-$499	05-23 11:01
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	1,860	$491	74,996	74,996	+0	open	—	07-09 19:28
Will Cole Palmer win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	3,380	$476	100,895	100,893	+2	No	+$73	07-28 23:15
Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	172	$460	55,936	55,936	+0	open	—	05-14 01:09
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2,010	$448	63,850	63,850	+0	open	—	05-25 19:31
Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	749	$428	118,578	118,578	+0	open	—	05-17 09:13
Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series?	277	$409	39,088	39,088	+0	No	+$18	06-14 14:25
Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?	1,045	$345	54,862	25,338	+29,524	open	—	07-05 23:09
Will John Stephens win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?	348	$315	118,971	26,350	+92,621	No	-$161	05-23 11:22
Will Nasir Hosseini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	853	$218	50,318	50,318	+0	open	—	08-03 22:02
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	679	$179	21,440	21,440	+0	open	—	05-22 06:27
Will Mustafa Hijri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	1,669	$179	40,155	40,155	+0	open	—	07-13 17:29
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	481	$169	25,622	25,622	+0	open	—	06-21 22:33
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	513	$134	19,999	19,999	+0	open	—	08-01 20:49
Japan Women's Open: Ann Li vs Emerson Jones	4	$130	200	100	+100	Ann Li	+$18	10-20 04:27
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	6	$117	100	100	-0	Yes	+$23	09-29 03:07
Will Mary Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?	33	$114	104,000	2,876	+101,124	No	-$102	05-22 08:33
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	7	$104	100	100	+0	Yes	+$36	09-29 14:55
Pan Pacific Open: Diana Shnaider vs Mia Pohankova	4	$98	277	277	+0	Diana Shnaider	+$32	10-31 07:06
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	4	$97	100	100	+0	No	+$33	10-02 06:43
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	4	$88	200	100	+100	No	-$20	10-01 06:43
wta parks vandrom 2026 10 17	4	$87	200	200	+0	Alycia Parks	+$27	10-17 06:38
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	3	$87	100	100	+0	No	+$33	10-06 01:45
Ningbo: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Yaroslav Demin	6	$85	108	81	+27	Yaroslav Demin	+$5	11-01 08:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 03:00:06	Appalachian State Mountaineers vs. Auburn Tigers	Appalachian State Mountaineers	SELL	62	6¢	$4	0x5ffd87…
11-10 02:14:06	Appalachian State Mountaineers vs. Auburn Tigers	Appalachian State Mountaineers	BUY	124	2¢	$2	0xe518c8…
11-07 03:07:58	Spurs vs. Kings	Kings	SELL	100	9¢	$9	0x8f74e9…
11-07 02:51:24	Spurs vs. Kings	Kings	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x5a8b64…
11-05 04:48:16	Lakers vs. Kings	Kings	SELL	45	12¢	$5	0x0b0a35…
11-05 04:38:06	Lakers vs. Kings	Kings	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xa4ea93…
11-03 07:44:12	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Talia Gibson vs Oleksandra Oliynykova	Oleksandra Oliynykova	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x04fd27…
11-03 07:41:57	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Talia Gibson vs Oleksandra Oliynykova	Oleksandra Oliynykova	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x6278ea…
11-03 07:34:07	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Talia Gibson vs Oleksandra Oliynykova	Oleksandra Oliynykova	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x4c83a4…
11-03 07:26:15	Chennai Open: Jil Teichmann vs Joanna Garland	Jil Teichmann	SELL	262	14¢	$37	0x1d1939…
11-03 07:23:54	Chennai Open: Jil Teichmann vs Joanna Garland	Jil Teichmann	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x01ee63…
11-03 06:17:30	Chennai Open: Jil Teichmann vs Joanna Garland	Jil Teichmann	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0x75a47a…
11-03 05:42:06	Taipei: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Omar Jasika	Yu-Hsiou Hsu	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0xdf352f…
11-03 05:12:39	Taipei: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Yuta Shimizu	Stefanos Sakellaridis	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x5e26d7…
11-03 05:09:51	Taipei: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Yuta Shimizu	Stefanos Sakellaridis	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x374fad…
11-03 05:06:30	Taipei: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Yuta Shimizu	Stefanos Sakellaridis	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xf339f2…
11-02 09:28:45	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Maria Sakkari	Carol Young Suh Lee	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xef621c…
11-01 15:27:21	Brest: Moise Kouame vs Martin Damm	Martin Damm	SELL	103	30¢	$31	0x50d08f…
11-01 14:42:00	Brest: Moise Kouame vs Martin Damm	Martin Damm	BUY	103	29¢	$30	0x1eafb1…
11-01 13:32:49	Erste Bank Open: Alex de Minaur vs Carlos Alcaraz	Alex de Minaur	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x949473…
11-01 11:12:28	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Mattia Bellucci	Thiago Agustin Tirante	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xc7928e…
11-01 11:08:04	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Mattia Bellucci	Thiago Agustin Tirante	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x97cec3…
11-01 10:08:01	Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Harriet Dart	Harriet Dart	SELL	77	40¢	$31	0x13d92e…
11-01 09:29:21	Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Harriet Dart	Harriet Dart	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xa9893a…
11-01 09:19:55	Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Harriet Dart	Harriet Dart	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xe7f3fc…
11-01 08:13:34	Ningbo: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Yaroslav Demin	Petr Bar Biryukov	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x8219c4…
11-01 07:33:27	Ningbo: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Yaroslav Demin	Petr Bar Biryukov	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xa8906b…
11-01 07:17:10	Ningbo: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Yaroslav Demin	Yaroslav Demin	SELL	27	39¢	$11	0xee9ce0…
11-01 07:04:10	Ningbo: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Yaroslav Demin	Yaroslav Demin	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x0766f9…
11-01 07:02:34	Ningbo: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Yaroslav Demin	Petr Bar Biryukov	SELL	54	64¢	$35	0x2a49ed…
11-01 06:38:19	Ningbo: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Yaroslav Demin	Petr Bar Biryukov	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x309d35…
11-01 05:45:09	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open, Qualification: Himeno Sakatsume vs Elena Pridankina	Elena Pridankina	SELL	60	5¢	$3	0xc2a495…
11-01 05:06:57	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open, Qualification: Himeno Sakatsume vs Elena Pridankina	Elena Pridankina	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xb32fc1…
11-01 04:47:22	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open, Qualification: Himeno Sakatsume vs Elena Pridankina	Elena Pridankina	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x40733d…
11-01 04:35:10	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open, Qualification: Himeno Sakatsume vs Elena Pridankina	Himeno Sakatsume	SELL	34	32¢	$11	0x0ecd42…
11-01 04:03:58	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open, Qualification: Himeno Sakatsume vs Elena Pridankina	Himeno Sakatsume	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x91f412…
11-01 03:52:54	Northern Illinois vs. UNLV	Northern Illinois	SELL	22	11¢	$2	0x9f91f3…
11-01 03:26:33	Northern Illinois vs. UNLV	Northern Illinois	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0xdcc4ad…
11-01 03:22:28	Northern Illinois vs. UNLV	Northern Illinois	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0xd74023…
10-31 17:08:31	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Nuno Borges vs Adrian Mannarino	Adrian Mannarino	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0xf9ba78…
10-31 17:04:01	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Nuno Borges vs Adrian Mannarino	Nuno Borges	SELL	29	86¢	$25	0x152ab8…
10-31 16:03:16	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Nuno Borges vs Adrian Mannarino	Nuno Borges	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x837be7…
10-31 15:50:46	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Nuno Borges vs Adrian Mannarino	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x711ccd…
10-31 15:50:06	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Nuno Borges vs Adrian Mannarino	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xbf973a…
10-31 12:56:01	Chennai Open, Qualification: Mei Yamaguchi vs Zeel Desai	Zeel Desai	BUY	115	3¢	$3	0xb6e229…
10-31 12:55:09	Chennai Open, Qualification: Mei Yamaguchi vs Zeel Desai	Zeel Desai	BUY	129	3¢	$4	0x14a939…
10-31 07:39:06	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open, Qualification: Ying Zhang vs Alexandra Shubladze	Ying Zhang	BUY	190	3¢	$5	0x7a16ac…
10-31 07:13:27	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open, Qualification: Ying Zhang vs Alexandra Shubladze	Ying Zhang	BUY	111	4¢	$5	0x58ad7b…
10-31 07:10:31	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open, Qualification: Ying Zhang vs Alexandra Shubladze	Ying Zhang	BUY	102	5¢	$5	0xe4ccb4…
10-31 07:06:00	Pan Pacific Open: Diana Shnaider vs Mia Pohankova	Mia Pohankova	SELL	186	27¢	$50	0x8936ea…
10-31 07:03:54	Pan Pacific Open: Diana Shnaider vs Mia Pohankova	Mia Pohankova	BUY	186	7¢	$13	0x38b7d3…
10-31 06:53:01	Pan Pacific Open: Diana Shnaider vs Mia Pohankova	Mia Pohankova	SELL	91	16¢	$15	0xd067cc…
10-31 06:10:03	Pan Pacific Open: Diana Shnaider vs Mia Pohankova	Mia Pohankova	BUY	91	22¢	$20	0xbca075…
10-31 05:26:34	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open, Qualification: Ching Laam Lai vs Carol Young Suh Lee	Ching Laam Lai	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0xd107af…
10-31 05:24:18	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open, Qualification: Ching Laam Lai vs Carol Young Suh Lee	Ching Laam Lai	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x894e9a…
10-31 05:11:42	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open, Qualification: Ching Laam Lai vs Carol Young Suh Lee	Ching Laam Lai	BUY	226	1¢	$3	0x7e6a51…
10-31 05:01:30	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open, Qualification: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Cheuk Ying Shek	Cheuk Ying Shek	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x33e762…
10-31 04:58:10	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open, Qualification: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Cheuk Ying Shek	Cheuk Ying Shek	BUY	167	1¢	$2	0xab76d1…
10-31 03:28:27	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open, Qualification: Ching Laam Lai vs Carol Young Suh Lee	Ching Laam Lai	BUY	148	3¢	$5	0xeced40…
10-31 03:27:07	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open, Qualification: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Cheuk Ying Shek	Cheuk Ying Shek	BUY	117	6¢	$7	0x367233…
10-31 03:18:09	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open, Qualification: Himeno Sakatsume vs Cody Wong	Cody Wong	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x81071c…
10-31 03:11:18	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open, Qualification: Himeno Sakatsume vs Cody Wong	Cody Wong	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x8ae14a…
10-31 03:10:37	Queretaro: Fiona Ferro vs Elizabeth Mandlik	Elizabeth Mandlik	SELL	1	44¢	$0	0xa50d85…
10-31 02:18:39	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open, Qualification: Himeno Sakatsume vs Cody Wong	Cody Wong	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x9715ac…
10-31 02:05:19	Queretaro: Fiona Ferro vs Elizabeth Mandlik	Elizabeth Mandlik	SELL	42	14¢	$6	0xb5f6ed…
10-31 01:59:43	Queretaro: Fiona Ferro vs Elizabeth Mandlik	Elizabeth Mandlik	BUY	43	5¢	$2	0x6632a7…
10-30 16:37:06	Courmayeur: Elsa Jacquemot vs Elizara Yaneva	Elsa Jacquemot	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0xe94927…
10-30 16:25:24	Courmayeur: Elsa Jacquemot vs Elizara Yaneva	Elsa Jacquemot	BUY	30	9¢	$3	0x86fbf7…
10-30 16:24:45	Courmayeur: Elsa Jacquemot vs Elizara Yaneva	Elsa Jacquemot	BUY	70	9¢	$6	0xca7e5f…
10-30 14:47:27	Courmayeur: Marina Bassols Ribera vs Alina Charaeva	Marina Bassols Ribera	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xf85c1b…
10-30 14:45:30	Courmayeur: Marina Bassols Ribera vs Alina Charaeva	Marina Bassols Ribera	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x58f639…
10-30 14:43:15	Courmayeur: Marina Bassols Ribera vs Alina Charaeva	Marina Bassols Ribera	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xcb7bc0…
10-30 13:21:01	Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Han Shi	Han Shi	SELL	162	14¢	$23	0x2ade08…
10-30 13:10:40	Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Han Shi	Han Shi	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x77a8a2…
10-30 13:08:09	Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Han Shi	Han Shi	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x88e2eb…
10-30 07:18:33	Ningbo: Mert Alkaya vs Yu-Hsiou Hsu	Mert Alkaya	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xc0bccf…
10-30 05:47:31	Ningbo: Yaroslav Demin vs Harold Mayot	Harold Mayot	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0x23c203…
10-30 04:24:43	Canucks vs. Sharks	Canucks	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x5b4d5f…
10-30 04:10:22	Canucks vs. Sharks	Sharks	SELL	15	79¢	$12	0xc04278…
10-30 03:52:22	Canucks vs. Sharks	Sharks	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xdb5623…
10-30 03:33:36	Seoul: Sho Shimabukuro vs Coleman Wong	Sho Shimabukuro	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x6e1eee…
10-30 03:33:33	Seoul: Sho Shimabukuro vs Coleman Wong	Sho Shimabukuro	BUY	88	1¢	$1	0xf9275c…
10-30 03:28:22	Seoul: Sho Shimabukuro vs Coleman Wong	Sho Shimabukuro	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x61f4d2…
10-29 17:15:37	Erste Bank Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Carlos Alcaraz	Nikoloz Basilashvili	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0xa0fb4f…
10-29 17:14:32	Erste Bank Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Carlos Alcaraz	Nikoloz Basilashvili	SELL	44	8¢	$4	0x02af2e…
10-29 17:13:26	Erste Bank Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Carlos Alcaraz	Nikoloz Basilashvili	SELL	117	8¢	$10	0x6403b3…
10-29 17:11:28	Erste Bank Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Carlos Alcaraz	Nikoloz Basilashvili	BUY	161	3¢	$5	0xe01b79…
10-29 17:10:02	Erste Bank Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Carlos Alcaraz	Nikoloz Basilashvili	SELL	89	16¢	$14	0x8e318f…
10-29 16:38:50	Erste Bank Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Carlos Alcaraz	Nikoloz Basilashvili	SELL	89	8¢	$7	0x05cc51…
10-29 15:54:13	Erste Bank Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Carlos Alcaraz	Nikoloz Basilashvili	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x76e583…
10-29 15:34:22	Erste Bank Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Carlos Alcaraz	Nikoloz Basilashvili	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x9fc3e8…
10-29 15:14:59	Erste Bank Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Carlos Alcaraz	Nikoloz Basilashvili	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x3cefe3…
10-29 14:13:49	Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev	Cameron Norrie	SELL	32	61¢	$20	0x975c63…
10-29 13:35:32	Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev	Cameron Norrie	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xb9b9ce…
10-29 13:24:08	Erste Bank Open: Tommy Paul vs Luciano Darderi	Luciano Darderi	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x390e9f…
10-29 13:17:28	Erste Bank Open: Tommy Paul vs Luciano Darderi	Luciano Darderi	BUY	105	2¢	$2	0xf0dd58…
10-29 13:16:13	Erste Bank Open: Tommy Paul vs Luciano Darderi	Luciano Darderi	BUY	128	4¢	$5	0xb05c72…
10-29 12:55:23	Erste Bank Open: Tommy Paul vs Luciano Darderi	Luciano Darderi	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x248dba…
10-28 13:41:43	Courmayeur: Laura Mair vs Katarina Zavatska	Laura Mair	SELL	28	20¢	$6	0xb902df…
10-28 13:41:10	Courmayeur: Laura Mair vs Katarina Zavatska	Laura Mair	SELL	28	20¢	$6	0x850e38…