Realized P&L
+$466
Unrealized P&L
+$93
Hit rate
90.2%
Resolved
4
Trades
490
lifetime
Volume
$102.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$209
Open exposure
$1.30K
6 positions
First seen
2026-04-06
last 06-10 00:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Sports
32% 50% +$466
Politics
27%
Other
26%
Crypto
14%
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -1,048 $-589 50¢ $-529 +$60 06-01 16:35
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? No +815 $363 44¢ $355 $-8 06-07 20:33
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? Yes -765 $-220 23¢ $-176 +$44 05-30 16:51
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? Yes +256 $150 64¢ $163 +$13 06-09 04:17
Will Trump attend NATO Summit? No +298 $50 14¢ $42 $-8 06-07 16:47
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +220 $40 15¢ $32 $-8 06-02 02:16