Immense-Gymnast — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$466

Unrealized P&L

-$114

Hit rate

90.2%

Resolved

Trades

605

lifetime

Volume

$133.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$221

Open exposure

$1.30K

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-06

last 07-11 14:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

33% — —

Sports

28% 50% +$466

Other

26% — —

Crypto

11% — —

Tech

2% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	-1,048	$-589	58¢	$-613	$-24	06-01 16:35
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	Yes	+1,500	$750	38¢	$562	$-188	07-10 13:55
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	Yes	-765	$-220	16¢	$-122	+$97	05-30 16:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	15	$8.8K	13,676	13,676	+0	open	—	05-30 16:50
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	4	$7.5K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	05-19 00:48
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	18	$6.8K	12,606	7,599	+5,007	open	—	05-28 19:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	10	$5.8K	6,066	6,066	+0	open	—	04-29 02:14
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	3	$5.3K	2,947	2,947	+0	open	—	06-16 00:12
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs	2	$4.5K	2,363	2,363	+0	open	—	04-29 05:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$4.3K	2,532	2,532	+0	open	—	06-20 05:33
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	31	$4.3K	12,849	8,108	+4,741	open	—	06-01 07:07
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	9	$4.2K	4,867	2,521	+2,346	open	—	06-19 13:07
iran closes its airspace by june 8	2	$3.4K	1,786	1,786	+0	open	—	06-08 01:45
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	4	$3.2K	2,634	2,634	+0	open	—	06-01 18:27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	5	$2.9K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	05-22 22:30
Thunder vs. Spurs	5	$2.9K	1,825	1,825	+0	open	—	05-29 02:18
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	5	$2.8K	2,281	2,220	+61	open	—	06-30 05:40
nhl las car 2026 06 04	9	$2.8K	2,641	2,641	+0	open	—	06-05 03:26
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	3	$2.5K	1,620	1,620	+0	open	—	04-20 15:00
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	7	$2.5K	2,157	3,205	-1,048	open	—	06-01 16:35
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	7	$2.1K	2,199	2,199	+0	open	—	07-06 22:23
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	2	$1.9K	2,098	1,007	+1,091	Spurs	+$391	05-06 19:45
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	8	$1.8K	2,070	2,070	+0	open	—	04-21 16:40
will trump physically sign us x iran deal 20260615192526331	1	$1.7K	1,864	0	+1,864	open	—	06-17 23:14
trump declassifies new ufo files by june 15	6	$1.7K	1,675	1,675	+0	open	—	06-06 14:43
Knicks vs. Cavaliers	8	$1.5K	1,002	1,002	+0	open	—	05-26 01:05
mlb bal tor 2026 06 06	2	$1.4K	962	962	+0	open	—	06-06 20:06
NBA Playoffs: Spurs vs. Timberwolves Total Games O/U 5.5	3	$1.2K	742	742	+0	open	—	05-11 02:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	8	$1.1K	998	998	+0	open	—	05-26 01:16
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	8	$1.1K	1,881	1,881	+0	open	—	06-12 11:13
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	9	$1.1K	1,048	1,048	+0	open	—	05-22 01:20
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	2	$1.1K	678	678	+0	open	—	06-02 21:19
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	2	$1.0K	1,083	1,083	+0	open	—	06-23 05:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-11 14:39:17	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	484	41¢	$197	0x357d46…
07-11 04:18:13	tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	No	SELL	443	24¢	$106	0x908d3c…
07-10 13:55:05	Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	940	50¢	$470	0xaf490b…
07-09 07:12:22	btc updown 5m 1783581600	Up	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0xa7335d…
07-09 07:11:47	btc updown 5m 1783581600	Down	SELL	50	49¢	$24	0x983168…
07-09 07:11:26	btc updown 5m 1783581600	Up	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0x11a046…
07-09 07:10:07	btc updown 5m 1783581600	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x4f9712…
07-09 07:09:58	btc updown 5m 1783581600	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xd2c7d5…
07-09 07:09:19	btc updown 5m 1783581300	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x79ecb8…
07-09 07:07:34	btc updown 5m 1783583100	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x3d4b26…
07-09 07:07:19	btc updown 5m 1783582800	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x91641d…
07-09 07:07:08	btc updown 5m 1783582200	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x4c5eb2…
07-09 07:06:56	btc updown 5m 1783581900	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x198cfe…
07-09 07:04:35	btc updown 5m 1783581000	Up	BUY	71	49¢	$35	0xc77fc2…
07-09 07:04:25	btc updown 5m 1783580700	Up	BUY	59	42¢	$25	0xcc4e86…
07-09 07:03:08	btc updown 5m 1783580400	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xb27436…
07-08 11:10:53	Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x6495c0…
07-08 07:55:29	Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	108	50¢	$54	0xcd2194…
07-08 07:55:20	Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x61101f…
07-08 06:47:43	Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	440	50¢	$220	0x831793…
07-07 18:34:52	atp augeral djokovi 2026 07 07	Novak Djokovic	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x5b6e58…
07-07 16:26:40	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	473	37¢	$175	0xd05deb…
07-07 16:26:07	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	125	20¢	$25	0x85247f…
07-07 15:19:50	dota2 flc bb4 2026 07 07	BetBoom Team	SELL	463	50¢	$231	0xd68b5c…
07-07 07:59:56	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	No	SELL	13	22¢	$3	0x152099…
07-07 07:58:56	btc updown 5m 1783411200	Up	BUY	80	51¢	$41	0x187efe…
07-07 07:58:23	btc updown 5m 1783410900	Up	BUY	62	13¢	$8	0x8314d4…
07-07 07:44:34	btc updown 5m 1783410300	Up	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0xe259fc…
07-07 07:40:58	btc updown 5m 1783409700	Down	SELL	125	100¢	$125	0x439f19…
07-07 07:34:58	btc updown 5m 1783409700	Down	BUY	46	48¢	$22	0x967375…
07-07 07:34:58	btc updown 5m 1783409700	Down	BUY	79	48¢	$38	0x22dc40…
07-07 07:11:22	dota2 flc bb4 2026 07 07	BetBoom Team	BUY	463	54¢	$250	0xf75e98…
07-07 07:02:53	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	484	31¢	$150	0x08df39…
07-07 06:58:16	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	BUY	673	52¢	$350	0x5a2624…
07-06 22:40:32	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	No	BUY	266	17¢	$45	0x9c9069…
07-06 22:39:07	Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?	No	SELL	278	56¢	$155	0x7df7a6…
07-06 22:27:38	tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	No	BUY	998	18¢	$180	0x2fbce7…
07-06 22:23:49	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	781	18¢	$141	0xa4b81a…
07-06 22:20:02	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	781	32¢	$250	0xdeb16c…
07-06 22:16:52	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	1,412	85¢	$1,204	0x7ac4a7…
07-06 20:14:29	tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	No	BUY	306	18¢	$55	0xe14473…
07-05 19:59:13	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	United States	BUY	577	52¢	$300	0xc2ce23…
07-05 18:12:28	will jared kushner attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204741	Yes	SELL	397	0¢	$1	0xf36b9a…
07-05 04:13:29	tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	No	BUY	806	31¢	$250	0x43a9d3…
07-05 04:12:35	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	No	BUY	658	19¢	$125	0x083eb6…
07-04 13:21:20	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	No	BUY	341	22¢	$75	0xbd8620…
06-30 19:14:01	mlb nym tor 2026 06 30	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	906	52¢	$475	0x33f9a8…
06-30 16:48:16	atp grieksp duckwor 2026 06 29	James Duckworth	BUY	257	58¢	$150	0x3f7119…
06-30 16:47:14	atp mensik samuel 2026 06 29	Toby Samuel	BUY	67	37¢	$25	0x39803a…
06-30 16:44:28	Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?	No	BUY	278	45¢	$125	0x24ea1b…
06-30 05:40:29	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	1,484	64¢	$952	0xf5f7da…
06-29 15:27:17	will jared kushner attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204741	Yes	BUY	397	19¢	$75	0x5fb941…
06-29 00:02:29	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0x5c3b93…
06-28 23:59:19	mlb nyy bos 2026 06 28	New York Yankees	BUY	240	52¢	$125	0x38e87b…
06-28 23:57:44	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	No	BUY	94	48¢	$45	0xcd128a…
06-28 23:51:29	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	707	35¢	$250	0x26394c…
06-28 23:49:08	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	No	BUY	415	49¢	$205	0xca71c5…
06-28 23:47:50	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	520	77¢	$400	0x811740…
06-28 23:45:59	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	1,025	78¢	$800	0x5ff1ee…
06-28 23:44:10	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	736	24¢	$180	0x243871…
06-28 18:10:08	mlb tex tor 2026 06 28	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	170	47¢	$80	0x6b6536…
06-28 18:09:35	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	736	68¢	$500	0x77e8c9…
06-28 18:08:19	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0xdefe82…
06-27 00:14:34	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	417	36¢	$150	0x3147f0…
06-26 02:30:46	fifwc par aus 2026 06 25 total 0pt5	Under	BUY	122	41¢	$50	0xd7acdc…
06-25 13:19:46	atp sweeny barrios 2026 06 25	Tomas Barrios	BUY	136	55¢	$75	0x025759…
06-23 19:38:11	dota2 yes vp 2026 06 24	Virtus.pro	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x1a3377…
06-23 19:36:28	dota2 yes vp 2026 06 24	Virtus.pro	BUY	517	58¢	$300	0x4291ea…
06-23 15:47:28	wta you jeanjea 2026 06 23	Xiaodi You	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0x116a11…
06-23 05:26:20	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	SELL	1,083	66¢	$715	0xb261b8…
06-21 21:38:31	mlb laa oak 2026 06 21	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	81	31¢	$25	0x107d5d…
06-20 18:27:29	mlb tor chc 2026 06 20	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	362	40¢	$145	0xd1d9af…
06-20 17:12:13	wnba ind atl 2026 06 20	Indiana Fever	BUY	306	49¢	$150	0x8f2867…
06-20 17:11:53	mlb cws det 2026 06 20	Detroit Tigers	BUY	191	47¢	$90	0x60410c…
06-20 05:37:43	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	1,083	30¢	$325	0xd14c96…
06-20 05:33:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	2,532	91¢	$2,304	0x23fda5…
06-19 13:13:32	atp droguet rodiono 2026 06 19	Titouan Droguet	BUY	238	53¢	$125	0xd028c8…
06-19 13:09:22	atp medjedo humbert 2026 06 17	Ugo Humbert	BUY	134	56¢	$75	0xe91cfb…
06-19 13:07:56	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	581	43¢	$250	0x4ee553…
06-19 13:07:44	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xa48460…
06-19 13:06:59	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0x6c6853…
06-19 05:24:59	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	508	59¢	$300	0x8b6b6a…
06-19 05:23:22	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	SELL	253	65¢	$164	0x2cb544…
06-19 05:18:10	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,002	59¢	$591	0xbea244…
06-19 05:17:35	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,012	60¢	$602	0x795bc7…
06-18 19:50:38	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,047	43¢	$450	0xdbc1cf…
06-18 11:30:56	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,100	65¢	$715	0x2cfbc7…
06-18 11:30:19	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,900	64¢	$1,216	0x138739…
06-18 02:05:43	makerfield by election restore britain receives 10 20260609002937160	Yes	BUY	129	39¢	$50	0xdec728…
06-18 02:05:34	makerfield by election restore britain receives 10 20260609002937160	Yes	BUY	197	38¢	$75	0x45accb…
06-17 23:14:52	will trump physically sign us x iran deal 20260615192526331	Yes	BUY	1,864	94¢	$1,750	0xf7bced…
06-17 18:35:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	2,532	79¢	$2,000	0x341c1a…
06-17 18:23:43	Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1,091	22¢	$245	0x05c097…
06-17 18:23:16	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	Portugal	SELL	481	22¢	$106	0xb85d08…
06-17 18:20:32	mlb kc wsh 2026 06 17	Washington Nationals	SELL	227	11¢	$25	0xfab7f4…
06-17 18:20:14	mlb nym cin 2026 06 17	New York Mets	SELL	268	98¢	$262	0x822418…
06-17 17:06:02	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	Portugal	BUY	481	52¢	$250	0x6a459a…
06-17 16:53:25	mlb kc wsh 2026 06 17	Washington Nationals	BUY	227	55¢	$125	0xedf68e…
06-17 16:52:35	mlb nym cin 2026 06 17	New York Mets	BUY	268	56¢	$150	0xeb3e45…
06-17 16:46:46	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	BUY	253	59¢	$150	0x85d9a0…