Realized P&L
+$16
Unrealized P&L
+$88
Hit rate
85.9%
Resolved
4,911
Trades
13,542
lifetime
Volume
$88.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$3.73K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-25
last 07-11 02:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 83 days
Categories
Other
67% 84% -$151
Sports
25% 85% +$125
Politics
6% 75% +$11
Crypto
1% 80% +$57
Tech
0% 57% -$25
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-11).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? No +244 $199 98¢ $239 +$40 07-11 02:30
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? No +191 $185 99¢ $188 +$4 07-11 01:22
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? No +180 $175 99¢ $178 +$3 07-09 07:14
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? No +156 $155 100¢ $156 +$1 07-10 15:05
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No +176 $135 88¢ $156 +$21 07-08 15:30
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? No +150 $146 98¢ $146 +$1 07-10 09:33
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +244 $188 60¢ $145 -$43 07-10 22:04
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? No +146 $145 99¢ $145 $0 07-06 19:01
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +145 $141 99¢ $144 +$2 07-10 17:56
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +135 $130 95¢ $128 -$2 07-08 17:10
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +127 $126 100¢ $126 +$0 07-08 18:49
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +184 $106 68¢ $126 +$19 07-08 01:50
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +120 $115 99¢ $119 +$3 07-10 11:25
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +120 $119 99¢ $118 $0 07-10 23:05
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +120 $102 99¢ $118 +$17 07-11 02:06
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +115 $113 100¢ $115 +$1 07-07 23:30
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +110 $109 100¢ $110 +$0 07-07 03:06
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +110 $109 100¢ $110 +$1 07-06 18:41
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +110 $109 99¢ $109 $0 07-07 04:47
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +110 $96 96¢ $105 +$9 07-06 21:48
Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +100 $99 100¢ $100 +$1 07-08 10:41
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +100 $99 100¢ $100 +$0 07-10 23:20
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +105 $101 95¢ $99 -$2 07-10 04:13
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +110 $105 89¢ $98 -$6 07-08 10:38
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +100 $98 97¢ $97 $0 07-09 05:50
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +100 $84 94¢ $94 +$10 07-10 03:47
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +118 $87 80¢ $94 +$7 07-11 02:24
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +140 $89 66¢ $93 +$4 07-09 23:53
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +85 $82 100¢ $85 +$3 07-07 21:28
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +110 $91 76¢ $84 -$7 07-09 06:59