Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.0%

Resolved

Trades

748

lifetime

Volume

$59.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$79

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 03-24 22:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

67% 100% +$8

Other

32% 0% $-5

Tech

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran leadership change by march 31	9	$6.9K	4,800	4,800	+0	open	—	03-14 15:35
mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by march 31 2026	35	$5.4K	2,855	3,055	-200	open	—	03-22 00:41
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	17	$5.2K	3,322	3,646	-324	open	—	03-18 22:11
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	8	$5.0K	2,658	2,658	+0	open	—	03-14 03:36
maduro out by january 31 2026 318	15	$4.7K	4,980	4,986	-6	open	—	01-03 08:15
netanyahu out by march 31 854	23	$3.9K	2,010	2,010	+0	open	—	03-22 20:29
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	39	$3.1K	2,375	2,425	-50	open	—	03-22 19:23
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	8	$2.4K	10,250	10,250	+0	open	—	03-22 03:33
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	13	$2.4K	1,380	1,380	+0	open	—	03-11 04:59
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 8 163	53	$1.8K	1,970	2,315	-345	open	—	03-08 11:58
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	3	$1.3K	800	800	+0	Yes	+$8	03-14 20:22
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	3	$1.0K	580	580	+0	open	—	03-05 12:14
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	10	$808	473	495	-22	open	—	03-23 19:26
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	12	$622	525	525	+0	open	—	03-15 04:51
us iran nuclear deal by march 31	4	$442	240	240	+0	open	—	03-09 15:20
trump out as president by march 31	7	$434	220	220	+0	open	—	03-15 19:43
houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	5	$427	243	243	+0	open	—	03-14 16:45
maduro in us custody by january 31	4	$427	4,027	0	+4,027	open	—	01-03 09:34
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$394	200	200	+0	open	—	03-09 12:28
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	3	$393	400	0	+400	open	—	02-28 02:19
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	4	$384	265	265	+0	open	—	03-22 21:14
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$332	200	200	+0	open	—	03-22 00:38
will a new country join the abraham accords by march 31	12	$329	110	335	-225	open	—	03-23 12:19
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	12	$303	440	440	+0	open	—	03-13 09:01
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?	2	$298	764	764	+0	open	—	01-03 07:46
usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	9	$273	240	240	+0	open	—	03-21 12:35
houthi strike on israel by february 28	5	$232	362	0	+362	open	—	02-28 09:23
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$231	275	275	+0	open	—	03-04 11:17
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	2	$220	120	120	+0	open	—	03-09 15:15
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 13	5	$217	140	140	+0	open	—	03-12 13:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
03-24 22:09:03	Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	60¢	$36	0xa10d6d…
03-24 22:08:15	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	No	SELL	30	82¢	$25	0xdd4cbe…
03-24 22:08:11	will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	Yes	SELL	90	28¢	$26	0x8e4ccd…
03-24 22:07:15	will trump meet with putin by march 31	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xe2216d…
03-24 22:07:05	will jean michel aulas win the 2026 lyon mayoral election	Yes	SELL	24	0¢	$0	0x7cc543…
03-24 22:07:01	microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x280232…
03-24 22:06:55	will qatar strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x0d8f5a…
03-24 22:06:51	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0xa2b239…
03-24 22:06:47	susie wiles out as white house chief of staff by march 31	Yes	SELL	54	1¢	$0	0xf68ef1…
03-24 22:06:31	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	2¢	$1	0x24467f…
03-24 22:06:23	will russia capture kostyantynivka by march 31 872 578	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x4d7058…
03-24 22:06:09	will elon musks net worth be at least 710b on march 31	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x7f8c84…
03-24 22:06:03	Will the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?	No	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0x3d3af5…
03-24 22:05:53	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be less than 55	No	SELL	20	73¢	$15	0x5dcf34…
03-24 22:05:47	nato x russia military clash by march 31 2026	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xa4eb48…
03-24 22:05:17	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x50f7e7…
03-24 22:05:11	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x2624a2…
03-24 22:04:55	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x82c311…
03-24 22:04:45	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x036bb5…
03-24 22:04:39	will russia capture all of kupiansk by march 31	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf4bcc8…
03-24 22:04:31	Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x439a12…
03-24 22:04:27	will russia test a nuclear weapon by march 31 2026	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc0c263…
03-24 22:04:23	houthis successfully target shipping by march 31	Yes	SELL	50	11¢	$6	0x1b96a9…
03-24 22:04:17	maduro exiled to russia by march 31	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xd6463a…
03-24 22:03:55	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	Yes	SELL	60	21¢	$13	0xdfddc5…
03-24 22:03:29	israel and saudi arabia normalize relations by march 31	No	SELL	16	98¢	$16	0x85181f…
03-24 22:03:03	Israeli forces enter Beirut by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0xcfb50f…
03-24 22:02:35	miguel daz canel out as leader of cuba by march 31 971 121	No	SELL	15	96¢	$14	0xbdaced…
03-24 22:02:17	miguel daz canel out as leader of cuba by march 31 971 121	No	SELL	15	96¢	$14	0x56ddda…
03-24 22:01:29	Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0xfc4647…
03-24 22:00:21	will israel launch a major ground offensive in gaza by march 31	No	SELL	60	96¢	$58	0x84f8cc…
03-24 21:59:59	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	70	87¢	$61	0x5f70da…
03-24 13:51:49	internet access restored in iran by march 31 2026	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xd24907…
03-24 07:27:39	will russia capture bilytske by march 31 2026	No	SELL	80	94¢	$75	0x4bd686…
03-24 06:25:51	will russia capture all of stepnohirsk by march 31 2026 627	No	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0xc196ee…
03-24 06:04:11	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by march 31 117 352	No	SELL	57	98¢	$56	0x331069…
03-24 03:52:07	internet access restored in iran by march 31 2026	No	SELL	22	98¢	$21	0x1e669b…
03-24 01:25:23	foreign intervention in gaza by march 31	No	SELL	90	97¢	$87	0x08e848…
03-24 00:04:29	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by march 31 117 352	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x2ec372…
03-23 22:09:13	btc updown 5m 1774303800	Down	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xf8e3f0…
03-23 20:50:03	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	No	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x9c534a…
03-23 20:22:31	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	No	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0x634be3…
03-23 20:22:19	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	No	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0x25007a…
03-23 20:17:47	will trump talk to kim jong un in march 744	No	SELL	32	98¢	$31	0x12e8fa…
03-23 19:58:05	will trump talk to kim jong un in march 744	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xc96140…
03-23 19:44:07	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	100	19¢	$19	0x03f018…
03-23 19:42:23	houthi military action against saudi arabia by march 31	Yes	SELL	238	13¢	$31	0x194fd7…
03-23 19:41:47	Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	No	SELL	40	65¢	$26	0x90d718…
03-23 19:38:07	us x iran meeting by march 31 2026 363	No	SELL	50	70¢	$35	0x9319a0…
03-23 19:35:59	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	40	75¢	$30	0xd1f866…
03-23 19:35:33	will trump meet with putin by march 31	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x73901e…
03-23 19:28:31	venezuela coup attempt by january 31 428	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xf62af6…
03-23 19:28:07	will the us tariff rate on china be between 15 and 25 on march 31	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x0db837…
03-23 19:27:51	will the us tariff rate on china be 35 or greater on march 31	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x5a820b…
03-23 19:27:31	will israel or the us target fordow nuclear facility	No	SELL	50	88¢	$44	0x52ab6c…
03-23 19:26:41	will trump talk to kim jong un in march 744	No	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0x6a2e2e…
03-23 19:26:19	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	No	SELL	52	98¢	$51	0x710003…
03-23 19:25:29	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by march 31 117 352	No	SELL	37	98¢	$36	0xef9362…
03-23 16:37:15	will any european country expel an israeli ambassador by march 31	No	SELL	46	97¢	$45	0xe04f22…
03-23 14:27:33	will any european country expel an israeli ambassador by march 31	No	SELL	29	97¢	$28	0xd3a651…
03-23 14:01:03	will any european country expel an israeli ambassador by march 31	No	SELL	10	97¢	$9	0x7cca1e…
03-23 14:00:43	will any european country expel an israeli ambassador by march 31	No	SELL	10	97¢	$9	0xc9d77e…
03-23 14:00:41	will any european country expel an israeli ambassador by march 31	No	SELL	10	97¢	$9	0xcbddc6…
03-23 13:57:23	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	69	56¢	$39	0x761654…
03-23 13:39:55	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	19	56¢	$11	0xff1b3c…
03-23 13:01:17	will trump say hormuz during memphis roundtable 373	Yes	SELL	135	33¢	$45	0x6c79cb…
03-23 12:56:59	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	12	56¢	$6	0x4a0b48…
03-23 12:19:39	will a new country join the abraham accords by march 31	No	SELL	64	96¢	$61	0x88f7fe…
03-23 09:54:49	will qatar strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	30	91¢	$27	0x352915…
03-23 09:54:21	will uae strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	80	86¢	$69	0x937ae3…
03-23 03:35:27	will a new country join the abraham accords by march 31	No	SELL	38	96¢	$36	0x27ae40…
03-22 23:56:07	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	SELL	139	23¢	$32	0x13f35e…
03-22 23:06:43	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	SELL	292	22¢	$64	0x356006…
03-22 23:06:11	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?	Yes	SELL	171	3¢	$5	0xcae2f7…
03-22 23:05:59	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?	Yes	SELL	482	4¢	$19	0xc0204b…
03-22 23:05:19	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	SELL	9	23¢	$2	0xbe8176…
03-22 23:04:31	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	SELL	190	18¢	$34	0x77021e…
03-22 22:49:53	will a new country join the abraham accords by march 31	No	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x07986c…
03-22 22:29:37	will a new country join the abraham accords by march 31	No	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x48066c…
03-22 22:29:11	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	No	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0x03a834…
03-22 22:21:07	will another country conduct military action against iran by april 15 2026	No	SELL	93	69¢	$64	0xb09b81…
03-22 21:14:09	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	265	69¢	$183	0xb9f2d6…
03-22 20:33:59	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x912eb1…
03-22 20:29:13	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	207	99¢	$205	0x83fd3e…
03-22 20:20:13	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xb45e60…
03-22 19:35:27	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x9a5275…
03-22 19:23:21	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	91	60¢	$54	0xf8617d…
03-22 19:21:05	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	14	60¢	$8	0xb84266…
03-22 19:17:29	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	250	60¢	$150	0x43bd84…
03-22 19:02:09	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0x725278…
03-22 18:52:33	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	74	60¢	$44	0x87375b…
03-22 18:22:39	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by march 31	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x487a82…
03-22 17:03:03	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	94	29¢	$27	0xc81f49…
03-22 16:58:55	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?	Yes	SELL	200	8¢	$16	0x559c2b…
03-22 13:23:29	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xa1d8bf…
03-22 12:58:03	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0xd7e93f…
03-22 11:29:49	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x5057af…
03-22 11:20:49	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x2d3f1d…
03-22 11:20:41	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0xf50867…
03-22 11:20:37	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0xec61ff…