Large-Epic 0x38bbb5…01e3e8
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$512
Unrealized P&L
+$5
Hit rate
54.5%
Resolved
1,496
Trades
3,986
lifetime
Volume
$9.59K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$253
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-15
last 11-01 04:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 134 days
Categories
Crypto
53% 38% -$603
Other
25% 44% -$84
Politics
17% 41% +$159
Sports
4% 55% +$6
Tech
0% 57% -$2
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$12
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
56 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +25 $23 98¢ $25 +$2 05-19 01:13
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +21 $20 96¢ $20 +$1 10-28 14:21
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? No +22 $20 92¢ $20 +$0 10-31 23:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +21 $20 94¢ $20 +$0 10-28 12:02
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30? No +21 $20 94¢ $20 +$0 11-01 04:21
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? No +21 $20 94¢ $20 $0 10-30 23:19
Iran leadership change by November 30? No +21 $19 92¢ $19 $0 10-29 10:35
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026? No +20 $19 96¢ $19 +$0 10-30 23:54
Will the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat? No +12 $4 62¢ $7 +$4 10-06 03:41
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? No +10 $4 63¢ $6 +$2 09-14 02:55
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +9 $4 65¢ $6 +$2 08-20 09:18
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +11 $4 52¢ $6 +$2 10-06 21:36
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +20 $8 26¢ $5 -$2 10-08 16:49
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +15 $4 33¢ $5 +$1 10-04 23:24
US military draft authorized in 2026? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 07-28 00:20
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +19 $6 26¢ $5 -$1 08-21 21:00
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +14 $4 31¢ $4 +$0 10-05 03:30
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? No +9 $4 44¢ $4 +$0 10-07 02:05
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +9 $4 42¢ $4 $0 10-09 21:29
Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026? No +15 $4 24¢ $4 $0 10-07 01:27
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +5 $2 72¢ $4 +$1 07-19 01:58
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat? No +15 $4 22¢ $3 -$1 09-08 16:51
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +11 $4 30¢ $3 -$1 10-05 21:14
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? No +11 $4 28¢ $3 -$1 09-13 06:47
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? No +13 $4 22¢ $3 -$1 10-03 11:26
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? No +15 $4 20¢ $3 -$1 10-06 12:53
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +9 $4 32¢ $3 -$1 10-06 22:16
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +14 $4 20¢ $3 -$1 10-05 00:15
Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed? No +5 $2 52¢ $3 +$1 08-20 07:30
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +9 $4 29¢ $3 -$1 09-16 20:24