Delicious-Variability — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$185

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

36.6%

Resolved

Trades

864

lifetime

Volume

$46.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$54

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-02

last 08-09 12:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

53% 0% —

Other

33% 38% $-185

Tech

10% — —

Sports

2% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	13	$2.1K	2,319	2,019	+300	open	—	05-27 00:11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	8	$1.9K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	05-22 15:19
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	15	$1.7K	2,720	2,720	+0	open	—	06-06 18:39
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	14	$1.1K	2,340	2,340	+0	open	—	06-10 18:38
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	6	$1.1K	1,060	1,060	+0	open	—	06-06 23:08
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	4	$970	700	650	+50	open	—	06-04 12:08
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	2	$944	3,370	3,370	+0	No	+$0	05-05 20:49
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	12	$898	1,934	1,096	+838	open	—	05-20 15:22
cs2 3dmax fut 2026 07 26	6	$872	800	800	+0	open	—	07-26 13:20
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	3	$858	1,700	1,700	+0	open	—	05-05 23:39
cs2 sin2 fut 2026 07 23	3	$826	560	560	+0	open	—	07-23 14:42
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	15	$783	891	891	+0	open	—	06-23 13:22
will wti crude oil wti hit low 75 in june 987	12	$779	500	500	+0	open	—	06-06 12:45
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	3	$767	540	540	+0	open	—	05-05 17:13
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	5	$756	450	450	+0	open	—	05-11 14:31
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B	6	$737	1,116	1,116	+0	Natus Vincere	+$0	05-12 22:39
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	4	$712	3,000	3,749	-749	open	—	05-02 12:33
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	4	$689	1,560	963	+597	open	—	05-19 21:53
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	7	$680	2,101	2,101	+0	open	—	07-23 23:56
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	10	$656	1,758	1,758	+0	open	—	07-20 11:30
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs	2	$626	540	540	+0	open	—	05-16 19:18
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	2	$616	400	400	+0	BetBoom Team	+$0	05-13 21:32
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	2	$610	560	280	+280	GIANTX	$-207	05-10 15:31
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	8	$590	1,450	1,450	+0	open	—	07-27 08:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$590	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-14 22:31
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	5	$590	440	440	+0	open	—	05-07 15:24
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	3	$572	1,900	1,200	+700	open	—	08-08 23:10
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	7	$555	2,002	2,002	+0	open	—	07-17 16:29
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	20	$555	1,708	1,708	+0	open	—	07-15 14:43
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	5	$539	1,901	1,901	+0	open	—	06-08 22:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-09 12:25:48	will kai or speed die to an enderman 20260806175301187	No	SELL	21	25¢	$5	0xb2d40e…
08-09 12:13:24	will kai or speed die to an enderman 20260806175301187	No	BUY	21	25¢	$5	0x19dda8…
08-08 23:14:57	Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31?	No	SELL	30	27¢	$8	0x40d235…
08-08 23:10:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	700	18¢	$126	0xa0cc3a…
08-08 19:36:24	Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31?	No	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x5ff725…
08-08 17:59:12	will dak prescott attend the us open finals 20260807052019173	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x4cde8a…
08-08 17:50:37	will aaron judge attend the us open finals 20260807052019171	Yes	BUY	41	13¢	$5	0xc9448f…
08-07 22:42:40	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 31	Yes	SELL	90	19¢	$17	0x3cc7b9…
08-07 22:40:01	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 31	Yes	BUY	90	21¢	$19	0x30333e…
08-07 19:58:34	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 31	Yes	SELL	42	19¢	$8	0xa4c08c…
08-07 19:57:58	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 31	Yes	SELL	9	19¢	$2	0x20393a…
08-07 19:57:45	todd blanche confirmed as attorney general by august 30 20260608213258431	No	SELL	25	7¢	$2	0x14667e…
08-07 19:56:30	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 31	Yes	BUY	15	19¢	$3	0xefe5ce…
08-07 19:56:30	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 31	Yes	BUY	36	19¢	$7	0xd91151…
08-07 19:31:58	todd blanche confirmed as attorney general by august 30 20260608213258431	No	BUY	25	10¢	$2	0x9fc692…
08-07 19:07:16	gemini 4pt0 released by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0x4b7b4f…
08-07 13:44:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	SELL	220	11¢	$24	0xc89a34…
08-07 13:33:40	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	220	11¢	$24	0x109030…
08-07 12:58:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	SELL	316	11¢	$35	0x899638…
08-07 12:56:58	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	SELL	50	11¢	$6	0x51a322…
08-07 12:56:13	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	SELL	9	11¢	$1	0x2d2bd1…
08-07 12:56:01	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	SELL	18	11¢	$2	0xe105fd…
08-07 12:55:16	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	SELL	9	11¢	$1	0x2b9b80…
08-07 12:49:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	201	11¢	$22	0x9651ff…
08-06 11:55:59	will casemiro attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630260	Yes	SELL	11	17¢	$2	0xcf1c24…
08-06 11:30:03	will casemiro attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630260	Yes	SELL	18	17¢	$3	0xe5021d…
08-06 10:29:54	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 31	Yes	SELL	116	28¢	$32	0xb31525…
08-06 08:27:14	will casemiro attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630260	Yes	SELL	10	17¢	$2	0xd4bbc5…
08-06 02:04:06	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 31	Yes	BUY	65	22¢	$14	0xf36471…
08-06 02:04:03	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 31	Yes	BUY	51	23¢	$12	0x522bbb…
08-05 22:44:11	will casemiro attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630260	Yes	SELL	21	17¢	$4	0x15d4de…
08-05 14:16:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	1,200	18¢	$218	0x1af38e…
08-05 14:11:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	1,200	19¢	$228	0xd1f038…
08-05 01:47:30	will casemiro attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630260	Yes	BUY	60	20¢	$12	0x4a00c7…
08-03 13:23:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	201	18¢	$35	0xb6d412…
08-03 13:03:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	201	18¢	$36	0xaf3c6e…
08-03 12:17:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	316	20¢	$63	0x4ca232…
08-03 12:13:11	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	25	20¢	$5	0x045709…
08-03 12:07:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	1	20¢	$0	0x8639c8…
08-03 12:06:56	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	8	20¢	$2	0xcdd3a4…
08-03 12:06:05	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	300	20¢	$60	0xc76139…
08-03 12:03:14	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	650	20¢	$130	0x47323e…
08-03 02:22:26	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	Yes	SELL	62	27¢	$17	0x1b4582…
08-03 02:03:35	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	Yes	SELL	168	28¢	$47	0xcd4f09…
08-03 02:02:03	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	Yes	SELL	70	28¢	$19	0x1b7429…
08-02 21:18:00	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	No	SELL	250	14¢	$35	0x868337…
08-02 20:55:09	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	No	BUY	330	16¢	$53	0xda7a01…
08-01 23:04:32	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	SELL	230	27¢	$62	0xa51363…
08-01 22:58:44	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	230	29¢	$67	0x51777e…
08-01 18:41:11	will iran target a arab country on august 30 2026 20260801004719147	Yes	SELL	1	18¢	$0	0x92ca78…
08-01 18:27:09	another nato article 4 invocation by october 31 2026 20260726214511853	Yes	SELL	29	20¢	$6	0xcc5180…
08-01 18:03:09	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	SELL	1	14¢	$0	0x0ccbbe…
08-01 15:15:48	will iran target a arab country on august 30 2026 20260801004719147	Yes	SELL	56	18¢	$10	0x4d66ed…
08-01 14:25:57	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	SELL	200	14¢	$28	0x4e86c4…
08-01 14:11:59	will iran target a arab country on august 30 2026 20260801004719147	Yes	SELL	0	18¢	$0	0x9a0bcf…
08-01 13:56:20	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	201	13¢	$26	0x4f3d1d…
08-01 13:47:17	will iran target a arab country on august 30 2026 20260801004719147	Yes	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0x3c60bb…
08-01 12:31:47	will iran target a arab country on august 30 2026 20260801004719147	Yes	SELL	48	18¢	$9	0x93f2a1…
08-01 11:38:57	will iran target a arab country on august 30 2026 20260801004719147	Yes	BUY	60	19¢	$11	0xa482db…
07-31 21:21:41	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	SELL	201	32¢	$64	0x87fd6a…
07-31 21:18:32	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	201	32¢	$64	0xe7c484…
07-31 16:13:39	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	SELL	140	70¢	$98	0x8e1bcc…
07-31 16:12:39	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	BUY	140	70¢	$98	0xc9f44a…
07-31 12:13:20	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	Yes	SELL	39	12¢	$4	0x798050…
07-28 21:50:52	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	Yes	BUY	300	34¢	$102	0x96c085…
07-28 21:09:58	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	174	29¢	$50	0xde6f5a…
07-28 21:05:11	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	5	29¢	$2	0x264479…
07-28 20:59:25	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	37	29¢	$11	0x963a83…
07-28 20:59:22	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	0	29¢	$0	0x0886a3…
07-28 20:54:10	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	53	29¢	$15	0x097834…
07-28 19:27:08	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	270	31¢	$84	0x42ed20…
07-28 02:04:12	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	39	10¢	$4	0xf50488…
07-27 22:23:37	will robinhood chain launch a token by december 31 2027 20260727172111380	No	SELL	42	67¢	$28	0xb057a2…
07-27 22:04:09	will robinhood chain launch a token by december 31 2027 20260727172111380	No	BUY	21	75¢	$16	0xc061f9…
07-27 08:29:06	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	9	21¢	$2	0xc92893…
07-27 08:23:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	181	21¢	$38	0xd4faca…
07-27 08:20:06	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x662a12…
07-27 08:17:48	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	9	21¢	$2	0x6048fe…
07-27 08:03:48	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	696	21¢	$146	0x624049…
07-27 06:22:36	another nato article 4 invocation by october 31 2026 20260726214511853	Yes	BUY	29	28¢	$8	0xcdacd5…
07-26 20:52:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	400	24¢	$96	0x350052…
07-26 20:18:43	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	400	25¢	$100	0x2e7430…
07-26 13:20:28	cs2 3dmax fut 2026 07 26	FUT Esports	SELL	602	55¢	$331	0xd5f3c2…
07-26 13:20:25	cs2 3dmax fut 2026 07 26	FUT Esports	SELL	156	55¢	$86	0x8c1ecb…
07-26 13:20:21	cs2 3dmax fut 2026 07 26	FUT Esports	SELL	9	55¢	$5	0x8a0ed1…
07-26 13:20:03	cs2 3dmax fut 2026 07 26	FUT Esports	SELL	15	55¢	$8	0x43a666…
07-26 13:19:46	cs2 3dmax fut 2026 07 26	FUT Esports	SELL	18	55¢	$10	0x0bdcc8…
07-26 13:17:09	cs2 3dmax fut 2026 07 26	FUT Esports	BUY	800	54¢	$432	0x11b2c7…
07-26 11:23:57	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026	No	SELL	130	16¢	$21	0x1da712…
07-26 09:09:22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	900	22¢	$198	0xd87a0e…
07-26 02:13:42	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026	No	BUY	130	15¢	$20	0xc7d993…
07-25 23:21:40	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	No	SELL	100	25¢	$25	0xfcf78c…
07-25 23:14:21	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	No	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x14472c…
07-25 18:23:42	will it rain during the hungarian grand prix 20260722162637051	Yes	BUY	31	21¢	$7	0x6232d1…
07-25 17:26:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	201	21¢	$42	0xdb5e0f…
07-25 17:24:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	201	22¢	$44	0x1187e6…
07-25 17:10:27	SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	201	12¢	$25	0x483893…
07-25 16:56:45	SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	201	13¢	$26	0xc991f7…
07-24 01:52:46	will the houthis successfully target shipping by august 31 2026 20260722224455369	No	SELL	21	20¢	$4	0x678331…
07-24 01:29:13	will the houthis successfully target shipping by august 31 2026 20260722224455369	No	BUY	21	30¢	$6	0xe67139…