Delicious-Variability — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$185

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

36.6%

Resolved

Trades

739

lifetime

Volume

$40.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$54

Open exposure

$20

1 position

First seen

2026-05-02

last 07-20 11:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

54% 0% —

Other

30% 38% $-185

Tech

12% — —

Sports

3% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

71 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Yes		+170	$24	12¢	$20	$-4	07-08 20:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	13	$2.1K	2,319	2,019	+300	open	—	05-27 00:11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	8	$1.9K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	05-22 15:19
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	15	$1.7K	2,720	2,720	+0	open	—	06-06 18:39
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	14	$1.1K	2,340	2,340	+0	open	—	06-10 18:38
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	6	$1.1K	1,060	1,060	+0	open	—	06-06 23:08
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	4	$970	700	650	+50	open	—	06-04 12:08
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	2	$944	3,370	3,370	+0	No	+$0	05-05 20:49
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	12	$898	1,934	1,096	+838	open	—	05-20 15:22
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	3	$858	1,700	1,700	+0	open	—	05-05 23:39
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	15	$783	891	891	+0	open	—	06-23 13:22
will wti crude oil wti hit low 75 in june 987	12	$779	500	500	+0	open	—	06-06 12:45
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	3	$767	540	540	+0	open	—	05-05 17:13
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	5	$756	450	450	+0	open	—	05-11 14:31
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B	6	$737	1,116	1,116	+0	Natus Vincere	+$0	05-12 22:39
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	4	$712	3,000	3,749	-749	open	—	05-02 12:33
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	4	$689	1,560	963	+597	open	—	05-19 21:53
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	10	$656	1,758	1,758	+0	open	—	07-20 11:30
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs	2	$626	540	540	+0	open	—	05-16 19:18
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	2	$616	400	400	+0	BetBoom Team	+$0	05-13 21:32
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	2	$610	560	280	+280	GIANTX	$-207	05-10 15:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$590	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-14 22:31
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	5	$590	440	440	+0	open	—	05-07 15:24
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	7	$555	2,002	2,002	+0	open	—	07-17 16:29
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	20	$555	1,708	1,708	+0	open	—	07-15 14:43
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	5	$539	1,901	1,901	+0	open	—	06-08 22:57
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	8	$531	644	644	+0	open	—	06-13 16:55
israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	6	$483	1,330	1,330	+0	open	—	06-19 22:01
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	11	$466	658	915	-258	open	—	06-13 14:44
Counter-Strike: magic vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner	2	$432	260	260	+0	open	—	05-16 14:01
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	13	$401	1,452	1,452	+0	open	—	06-17 06:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 14:31:55	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x0e5371…
07-20 11:30:51	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	SELL	731	17¢	$124	0x25f6bd…
07-20 11:30:21	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	SELL	209	16¢	$34	0x312a95…
07-20 08:02:43	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	SELL	510	16¢	$82	0xad50b7…
07-20 08:02:43	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	SELL	11	16¢	$2	0x8663b6…
07-17 16:29:43	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	1,200	13¢	$156	0xf71e47…
07-17 05:34:40	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	1,200	12¢	$144	0xe7083c…
07-16 19:45:56	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	No	SELL	97	9¢	$9	0xfc4278…
07-16 19:42:22	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	No	SELL	83	9¢	$7	0x7010b6…
07-16 18:17:08	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	762	19¢	$145	0x738b80…
07-16 14:58:34	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	No	BUY	180	10¢	$18	0x29965e…
07-16 14:29:32	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653 212	Yes	SELL	120	16¢	$19	0xab7d39…
07-16 12:45:02	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653 212	Yes	BUY	120	20¢	$24	0xf3eeac…
07-16 12:03:11	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	SELL	101	23¢	$23	0x9b2a10…
07-16 04:51:02	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	101	29¢	$29	0x17aa70…
07-16 01:36:37	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 19 2026 20260714195149521	Yes	SELL	120	14¢	$17	0xe7104f…
07-16 00:31:07	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 19 2026 20260714195149521	Yes	BUY	120	14¢	$17	0xc28969…
07-15 21:59:41	over 45m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325655	Yes	SELL	200	7¢	$14	0xcb750f…
07-15 21:59:35	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653 212	Yes	SELL	51	23¢	$12	0xd02947…
07-15 21:28:13	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653 212	Yes	BUY	51	25¢	$13	0x55d632…
07-15 21:27:44	over 45m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325655	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x232eae…
07-15 14:43:23	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	SELL	221	14¢	$31	0xd4b99d…
07-15 13:22:02	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	SELL	226	14¢	$30	0x318934…
07-15 12:13:38	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	SELL	4	14¢	$1	0x60c4d5…
07-15 05:44:02	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0xa6befb…
07-15 01:40:31	will studio ghibli announce a new project at sdcc 2026 20260713165131278	Yes	SELL	102	5¢	$5	0x68a80c…
07-15 01:30:43	will studio ghibli announce a new project at sdcc 2026 20260713165131278	Yes	BUY	51	12¢	$6	0xd13aa7…
07-15 00:57:17	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	Yes	SELL	130	13¢	$17	0xf25106…
07-15 00:57:07	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	Yes	SELL	130	12¢	$16	0xb3ba1e…
07-15 00:41:20	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	SELL	312	15¢	$47	0x41a693…
07-15 00:22:47	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	Yes	BUY	260	16¢	$42	0x399262…
07-15 00:10:07	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	SELL	9	20¢	$2	0x7a6e67…
07-14 22:32:05	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	SELL	207	22¢	$45	0x933d1f…
07-14 22:32:04	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	SELL	207	22¢	$45	0x2a4b32…
07-14 22:30:13	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	BUY	230	21¢	$48	0xdbbb27…
07-14 11:54:56	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	SELL	324	13¢	$41	0xed8c76…
07-14 08:54:59	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	SELL	198	13¢	$26	0x7bf625…
07-14 06:18:44	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	BUY	101	12¢	$12	0xb35c69…
07-13 23:28:08	will mu dip to 900 by july 13 2026	No	SELL	21	17¢	$4	0xc77950…
07-13 23:27:56	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	SELL	95	23¢	$22	0x4e1680…
07-13 23:14:34	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	95	23¢	$22	0x1e2ccf…
07-13 23:11:58	will mu dip to 900 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	21	23¢	$5	0xe95232…
07-11 18:52:16	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	SELL	400	15¢	$60	0xcf4de2…
07-11 17:20:16	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	BUY	400	16¢	$64	0x841639…
07-11 14:40:14	iran commits not to attack ships in hormuz by sunday 20260710215434348	Yes	SELL	109	16¢	$17	0x854ad3…
07-11 14:35:56	iran commits not to attack ships in hormuz by sunday 20260710215434348	Yes	SELL	71	16¢	$11	0x1ce0d0…
07-11 14:31:31	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	SELL	250	18¢	$45	0x445dc6…
07-11 14:31:10	iran commits not to attack ships in hormuz by sunday 20260710215434348	Yes	BUY	180	18¢	$32	0xc18c96…
07-11 14:28:53	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	BUY	250	19¢	$48	0x67c7e6…
07-11 12:41:23	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	Yes	SELL	209	18¢	$38	0xc722a6…
07-11 12:15:08	vct 2026 china stage 2 win total edward gaming 20260710195935284	O 4.5	BUY	18	29¢	$5	0x9dba0e…
07-11 02:54:05	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	Yes	BUY	209	19¢	$40	0x40b574…
07-11 02:08:44	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	SELL	90	24¢	$22	0x6e8506…
07-11 01:59:52	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	90	26¢	$23	0x8f02a9…
07-11 01:24:20	will a chinese company have one of the top 10 ai models by december 31	No	SELL	55	10¢	$6	0x806c98…
07-11 01:14:08	will a chinese company have one of the top 10 ai models by december 31	No	BUY	55	17¢	$9	0x92506f…
07-10 23:40:59	will 18 home runs be the highest single round total by one participant in the 2026 mlb home run derby 20260709215259754	Yes	SELL	21	8¢	$2	0xb21a6f…
07-10 20:54:31	will 18 home runs be the highest single round total by one participant in the 2026 mlb home run derby 20260709215259754	Yes	BUY	21	22¢	$5	0x231617…
07-10 19:00:22	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 goals lamine yamal gte1	Yes	BUY	83	36¢	$30	0xf85534…
07-10 14:33:04	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	482	14¢	$67	0x3b096f…
07-10 14:22:49	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	SELL	55	30¢	$16	0x683de9…
07-10 14:22:34	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	SELL	201	19¢	$38	0x8b408b…
07-10 14:22:29	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	SELL	55	29¢	$16	0x590aed…
07-10 14:19:34	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	SELL	49	19¢	$9	0xe4a9f1…
07-10 12:12:56	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	251	16¢	$40	0xbf6220…
07-10 12:09:59	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	62	16¢	$10	0xca1ce8…
07-10 11:11:59	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0xb56a27…
07-10 09:54:02	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	BUY	250	15¢	$38	0x956cae…
07-10 09:51:01	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	110	31¢	$34	0x75bea2…
07-10 00:13:23	will england reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149753	Yes	SELL	162	65¢	$105	0xb2ba53…
07-10 00:08:34	israel military action against greater beirut by july 21 20260708204650549	Yes	SELL	31	12¢	$4	0x2a714c…
07-10 00:04:35	israel military action against greater beirut by july 21 20260708204650549	Yes	BUY	31	15¢	$5	0xb097db…
07-09 21:35:28	will the announcers say golden goal during the france vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260708172420741	Yes	SELL	21	4¢	$1	0xe7c211…
07-09 17:24:01	will the announcers say golden goal during the france vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260708172420741	Yes	BUY	21	10¢	$2	0x1849ed…
07-09 04:21:44	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	802	17¢	$136	0x2ff9cc…
07-09 02:52:53	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	SELL	100	17¢	$17	0xd4c483…
07-09 02:35:52	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0xf3e787…
07-08 20:25:58	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	90	12¢	$11	0x59a733…
07-08 17:13:53	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	SELL	51	20¢	$10	0xd3632f…
07-08 15:05:37	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	BUY	51	18¢	$9	0xea87f8…
07-07 22:12:02	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	600	19¢	$114	0x07ebff…
07-07 20:25:56	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	600	21¢	$126	0xfd5c66…
07-06 21:43:04	gpt 5pt6 released by july 7 2026	Yes	SELL	131	11¢	$15	0xc88fe9…
07-06 18:53:50	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 goals bruno fernandes gte1	Yes	BUY	88	17¢	$15	0x9371cd…
07-06 18:21:50	gpt 5pt6 released by july 7 2026	Yes	BUY	80	12¢	$10	0x5eb363…
07-05 19:29:23	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 goals alexander srloth gte1	Yes	BUY	30	19¢	$6	0x24d53e…
07-05 19:26:08	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	Yes	SELL	101	23¢	$23	0xc3558b…
07-05 17:36:32	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	Yes	BUY	101	30¢	$31	0xdf6800…
07-05 11:50:13	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	Yes	SELL	101	22¢	$22	0x4445bf…
07-05 10:47:31	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	Yes	BUY	101	20¢	$20	0x6f3728…
07-04 00:26:04	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Cabo Verde	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0xd2a02a…
07-03 23:25:20	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 goals julian alvarez gte1	Yes	BUY	40	30¢	$12	0x317975…
07-03 16:12:49	will the announcers say crossbar during the colombia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260702193402823	Yes	BUY	21	31¢	$7	0xc711ef…
07-03 01:36:23	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Cabo Verde	BUY	250	8¢	$20	0x102951…
07-02 21:30:19	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 goals bruno fernandes gte1	Yes	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0x71ec29…
07-02 02:03:52	wta cirstea birrell 2026 07 02	Kimberly Birrell	BUY	40	31¢	$12	0xae8d70…
07-02 01:50:53	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	SELL	123	12¢	$15	0x81a7ff…
07-02 01:18:19	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0x9abc80…
07-01 22:49:25	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 goals malik tillman gte1	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xa85374…
07-01 22:47:49	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 goals weston mckennie gte1	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x35d8aa…