Realized P&L (90d)
-$51
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
39.1%
Resolved (90d)
22
Trades (90d)
57
955 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$149
$4.31K lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$28
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-15
last 10-25 23:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 114 days
Categories
Crypto
84% 85% -$41
Other
10% 74% +$17
Politics
5% 74% -$33
Sports
1% 71% -$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
10 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +16 $10 72¢ $11 +$1 09-18 13:25
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +9 $9 98¢ $9 +$0 10-22 14:15
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? Yes +2 $2 90¢ $2 $0 09-18 13:28
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? No +6 $1 29¢ $2 +$1 09-18 13:26
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? No -1 $0 89¢ $-1 -$1 06-29 19:13
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -77 -$1 2¢ $-1 +$0 10-01 17:18
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -4 -$1 18¢ $-1 +$0 09-18 17:46
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -6 -$1 4¢ $-0 +$0 06-13 21:46