Frightening-Corral — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.3%

Resolved

Trades

636

lifetime

Volume

$3.63K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-14

last 06-11 14:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 72% $-9

Other

3% 75% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 203 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1776317400	4	$135	88	86	+3	open	—	04-16 05:35
btc updown 5m 1776316800	8	$123	85	83	+2	open	—	04-16 05:25
btc updown 5m 1776811500	8	$113	82	80	+2	open	—	04-21 22:50
btc updown 5m 1776489900	6	$109	73	71	+1	open	—	04-18 05:30
btc updown 5m 1776486000	6	$95	67	65	+2	open	—	04-18 04:25
btc updown 5m 1776485700	3	$94	51	50	+0	open	—	04-18 04:20
btc updown 5m 1776502200	4	$89	48	48	+0	open	—	04-18 08:55
btc updown 5m 1776317100	4	$86	51	50	+1	open	—	04-16 05:30
btc updown 5m 1776812700	4	$83	44	43	+0	open	—	04-21 23:11
btc updown 5m 1776503400	5	$79	75	36	+39	open	—	04-18 09:15
btc updown 5m 1776812400	2	$78	40	40	+0	open	—	04-21 23:05
btc updown 5m 1776812100	6	$73	51	50	+1	open	—	04-21 23:00
btc updown 5m 1776503100	6	$66	57	56	+1	open	—	04-18 09:10
btc updown 5m 1776318000	3	$62	33	33	+0	open	—	04-16 05:45
bitcoin up or down april 16 2026 1am et	2	$57	30	30	+0	open	—	04-16 06:00
btc updown 5m 1776811800	8	$57	54	52	+2	open	—	04-21 22:55
btc updown 5m 1776316500	3	$54	30	30	+0	open	—	04-16 05:20
btc updown 5m 1776794400	6	$53	29	29	+0	open	—	04-21 18:05
btc updown 5m 1776795000	4	$53	35	34	+1	open	—	04-21 18:15
btc updown 5m 1776317700	5	$50	82	0	+82	open	—	04-16 05:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	17	$49	54	0	+54	Down	+$5	05-13 01:59
btc updown 5m 1776810900	4	$45	25	25	+0	open	—	04-21 22:40
btc updown 5m 1776320700	2	$42	23	23	+0	open	—	04-16 06:30
btc updown 5m 1776451500	3	$40	22	22	+0	open	—	04-17 18:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	2	$39	20	20	+0	Down	+$1	05-12 15:24
btc updown 5m 1776473700	5	$38	52	32	+20	open	—	04-18 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	4	$37	29	15	+15	Up	+$3	05-12 13:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	7	$36	38	15	+23	Up	+$7	05-12 12:59
btc updown 5m 1776314700	3	$36	20	20	+0	open	—	04-16 04:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	7	$34	25	11	+13	Down	+$1	05-12 13:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 14:43:45	cs2 vit fut 2026 06 11	FUT Esports	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x34f728…
06-11 14:39:24	cs2 vit fut 2026 06 11	Vitality	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x769bff…
06-11 14:34:28	cs2 vit fut 2026 06 11	Vitality	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x9c6198…
06-11 14:34:07	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0xce7b52…
06-11 14:34:04	fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0xdfc564…
06-11 14:32:43	cs2 vit fut 2026 06 11	Vitality	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xd20da3…
06-11 02:44:43	btc updown 5m 1781145600	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x92245e…
06-11 02:43:15	btc updown 5m 1781145600	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xc859f9…
06-11 02:27:52	fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x8702e6…
06-11 02:24:15	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xc9437a…
06-11 02:08:16	lol blgj ktc 2026 06 11	Bilibili Gaming Junior	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x92ef9a…
06-11 02:08:04	lol blgj ktc 2026 06 11	Bilibili Gaming Junior	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x88b65c…
06-10 10:30:06	cs2 aaa rust 2026 06 10	against All authority	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x2b0174…
06-10 10:28:54	cs2 gz1 mr1 2026 06 10	Masked Regime	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x1417c9…
06-10 10:27:30	cs2 aaa rust 2026 06 10	against All authority	SELL	12	32¢	$4	0x8772ee…
06-10 10:26:30	cs2 gz1 mr1 2026 06 10	Masked Regime	SELL	11	35¢	$4	0x27db99…
06-10 10:24:37	cs2 aaa rust 2026 06 10	against All authority	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x9d4d5e…
06-10 10:17:04	cs2 gz1 mr1 2026 06 10	Masked Regime	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xaf7ce1…
06-10 10:12:37	cs2 aaa rust 2026 06 10	against All authority	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x33a320…
06-10 10:11:12	cs2 aaa rust 2026 06 10	against All authority	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x9627ce…
06-10 10:08:45	cs2 aaa rust 2026 06 10	against All authority	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x1e2199…
06-10 09:14:43	mlbb dewa geek 2026 06 10	Geek Fam ID	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x7b21fb…
06-10 07:37:18	mlbb dewa geek 2026 06 10	Geek Fam ID	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xd7610c…
06-10 07:34:54	btc updown 5m 1781076600	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x461bec…
06-10 07:34:15	btc updown 5m 1781076600	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x225f15…
06-10 07:34:09	btc updown 5m 1781076600	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xcea96c…
06-10 07:33:16	btc updown 5m 1781076600	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xa3fffa…
06-10 07:32:03	btc updown 5m 1781076600	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x3949c0…
06-10 06:44:52	btc updown 5m 1781073600	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x5d4bc3…
06-10 06:44:49	btc updown 5m 1781073600	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x231222…
06-10 06:44:43	btc updown 5m 1781073600	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xa2828f…
06-10 06:44:30	btc updown 5m 1781073600	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xa6ae7e…
06-10 06:44:22	btc updown 5m 1781073600	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x030936…
06-10 06:44:07	btc updown 5m 1781073600	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xaaedf0…
06-10 06:43:55	btc updown 5m 1781073600	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x4ac239…
06-10 06:43:13	btc updown 5m 1781073600	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x1036a2…
06-10 06:42:55	btc updown 5m 1781073600	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xc48bdb…
06-10 06:42:45	btc updown 5m 1781073600	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x189e2f…
06-10 06:42:13	btc updown 5m 1781073600	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xd384d2…
06-10 06:42:06	btc updown 5m 1781073600	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xb6d0a4…
06-10 06:42:04	btc updown 5m 1781073600	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x219053…
06-10 06:42:04	btc updown 5m 1781073600	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x16e200…
05-18 14:38:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	3	8¢	$0	0x356c54…
05-18 14:36:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xb7c100…
05-18 14:36:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xe14813…
05-18 06:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x0c2aaf…
05-18 06:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xdc1ae2…
05-18 06:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x888501…
05-15 09:28:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xb7fcc6…
05-15 09:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xf72689…
05-15 09:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xf4d975…
05-15 09:17:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x027427…
05-15 09:17:30	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x1c1377…
05-15 09:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0ed7d4…
05-15 09:14:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf89d03…
05-15 09:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x1d248a…
05-15 06:41:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x35c51a…
05-15 06:41:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x23f90a…
05-15 06:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0xd954aa…
05-15 06:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0xa236c1…
05-15 06:34:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x913d89…
05-15 06:34:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x1b0145…
05-15 06:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x5be8c8…
05-15 06:33:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x351fcc…
05-15 06:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x496eff…
05-15 06:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x582955…
05-15 06:29:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x0b20aa…
05-15 06:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5baf91…
05-15 06:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc05ce5…
05-15 06:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa2d156…
05-15 06:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa3ff92…
05-15 06:23:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x0a6e7c…
05-15 06:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xa12587…
05-15 05:57:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 15?	No	SELL	7	92¢	$6	0xec7d5d…
05-15 05:45:50	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x7eeb5e…
05-15 05:40:18	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 11-17?	No	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0xb83871…
05-15 01:49:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x1cb201…
05-15 01:40:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xc200ed…
05-15 01:40:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 11-17?	No	SELL	7	97¢	$6	0x377146…
05-13 19:28:06	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xdeec04…
05-13 19:28:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x9aabce…
05-13 19:23:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x55577f…
05-13 19:22:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x58b505…
05-13 19:20:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xeb3a90…
05-13 19:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xcd708d…
05-13 19:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xd4ebc4…
05-13 19:14:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x839c8c…
05-13 19:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xa6eec7…
05-13 19:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xcefaf1…
05-13 19:13:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x00a87a…
05-13 19:13:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x46aa52…
05-13 19:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	36¢	$1	0x5f2fb8…
05-13 19:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x92267e…
05-13 19:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x6f497c…
05-13 19:12:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xab43cf…
05-13 19:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xad2a2d…
05-13 19:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x76ba64…
05-13 19:10:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xf7ab14…
05-13 19:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x93dbf5…
05-13 19:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xd9cc43…