Mountainous-Heavy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

83.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$794

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-13

last 06-12 17:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

51% — —

Politics

24% — —

Other

17% — —

Sports

9% 50% +$0

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	No		-10	$-1	20¢	$-2	$-1	05-28 18:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	2	$105	117	0	+117	open	—	05-17 16:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	3	$55	87	0	+87	open	—	05-14 17:39
Thunder vs. Lakers	1	$50	60	0	+60	Thunder	+$10	05-12 02:02
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	2	$44	50	50	+0	open	—	03-17 05:09
will gold gc hit high 5500 by end of february 743 796 985 593 523 417 437	2	$44	64	0	+64	open	—	02-07 17:47
will trump visit china by march 31	2	$27	18	18	+0	open	—	03-17 05:09
will gold gc hit high 5400 by end of march	2	$27	19	19	+0	open	—	03-17 05:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	1	$25	50	0	+50	open	—	05-28 17:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	1	$25	43	0	+43	open	—	05-28 17:50
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	4	$22	17	12	+5	open	—	05-22 03:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	2	$21	16	16	+0	open	—	05-14 17:43
btc updown 5m 1774877700	1	$20	38	0	+38	open	—	03-30 13:33
btc updown 5m 1773763800	1	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	03-17 16:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	3	$15	37	0	+37	open	—	05-14 17:33
btc updown 5m 1774877400	2	$11	22	0	+22	open	—	03-30 13:31
Knicks vs. 76ers	1	$10	19	0	+19	Knicks	$-10	05-08 15:33
will gold gc hit low 4900 by end of march	1	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	03-17 10:12
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	1	$10	42	0	+42	open	—	04-09 07:57
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	1	$10	38	0	+38	open	—	01-28 00:26
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$10	53	0	+53	open	—	05-04 14:46
btc updown 5m 1774268700	1	$10	18	0	+18	open	—	03-23 12:25
btc updown 5m 1773164400	1	$10	26	0	+26	open	—	03-10 17:40
btc updown 5m 1775828400	1	$10	19	0	+19	open	—	04-10 13:37
trump invokes war powers against iran by january 31 2026	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	01-13 16:19
btc updown 5m 1773163200	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	03-10 17:23
Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	05-13 14:50
btc updown 5m 1781286300	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	06-12 17:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-29 12:09
will trump say too big to rig this week march 22	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	03-21 14:33
btc updown 5m 1773763500	1	$5	13	0	+13	open	—	03-17 16:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 17:47:57	will wti dip to 80 in june 2026 848 561 294 989 956	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xcde4e7…
06-12 17:45:36	btc updown 5m 1781286300	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x9a53cb…
06-12 17:43:57	btc updown 5m 1781286000	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x0802e4…
06-12 17:43:27	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xcf6e0c…
06-11 03:16:15	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 spread away 4pt5	Knicks	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xf772d3…
06-11 01:09:54	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 spread home 20pt5	Knicks	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x02071b…
05-29 12:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x0f2478…
05-28 18:05:23	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	No	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0x98dc9d…
05-28 18:05:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	8	55¢	$4	0x3bb06d…
05-28 17:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x171ffe…
05-28 17:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x3d1313…
05-28 17:45:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xbd1e7a…
05-28 17:43:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xc3ecb6…
05-28 17:08:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x7f787c…
05-22 03:04:12	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	No	SELL	12	93¢	$11	0x2383c9…
05-18 03:34:26	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x95d131…
05-18 03:30:40	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x4da31d…
05-18 03:29:14	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xd94715…
05-18 03:28:43	Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x2ebcdb…
05-17 16:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x819513…
05-17 16:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x836392…
05-17 16:45:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xa2412a…
05-17 16:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xeb97bb…
05-14 17:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	16	97¢	$16	0xfc32af…
05-14 17:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xe16a0d…
05-14 17:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x964dab…
05-14 17:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0xf23dc3…
05-14 17:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x816af6…
05-14 17:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x1922fc…
05-14 17:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x00f907…
05-14 17:30:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x91432c…
05-13 14:51:38	Will Trump say "Hottest" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x6dc9b5…
05-13 14:51:27	Will Trump say "Farmer" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x8653ce…
05-13 14:50:47	Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x984268…
05-13 14:50:35	Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x819650…
05-13 14:50:26	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xeaed37…
05-13 14:50:14	Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xa43b60…
05-12 02:02:31	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0xb88c17…
05-08 15:33:49	Knicks vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x7a0277…
05-05 07:39:08	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Wolves	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xbfc6da…
05-04 14:46:30	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x67a2cf…
04-10 13:37:25	btc updown 5m 1775828400	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x3c838d…
04-09 07:57:33	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xacaed7…
03-30 13:33:59	btc updown 5m 1774877700	Down	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x8e72fb…
03-30 13:31:35	btc updown 5m 1774877400	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x346507…
03-30 13:28:50	btc updown 5m 1774877400	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xf05a3c…
03-30 13:28:22	btc updown 5m 1774877100	Up	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0x700032…
03-30 13:26:38	btc updown 5m 1774877100	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x5aeaaf…
03-23 12:25:43	btc updown 5m 1774268700	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x85f0fc…
03-21 14:33:13	will trump say finish the job this week march 22	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x69fd83…
03-21 14:33:09	will trump say khamenei this week march 22	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x8fe4ee…
03-21 14:33:05	will trump say nancy or pelosi this week march 22	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x6edae8…
03-21 14:33:01	will trump say too big to rig this week march 22	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x17e54d…
03-17 16:10:21	btc updown 5m 1773763800	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x2e7eef…
03-17 16:08:01	btc updown 5m 1773763500	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x65b0b5…
03-17 10:12:19	will gold gc hit low 4900 by end of march	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x2ab252…
03-17 05:09:25	will gold gc hit high 5400 by end of march	No	SELL	19	90¢	$17	0xb996cc…
03-17 05:09:13	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	18	96¢	$17	0x8781f2…
03-17 05:09:11	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	50	69¢	$34	0x287289…
03-10 17:40:35	btc updown 5m 1773164400	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x86e84d…
03-10 17:34:43	ucl gal liv1 2026 03 10 liv1	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x5246fa…
03-10 17:33:21	cs2 g2 fut 2026 03 10	G2	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x6fae02…
03-10 17:31:05	btc updown 5m 1773163800	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x7091da…
03-10 17:23:17	btc updown 5m 1773163200	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xc291ab…
03-04 13:54:17	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xda95d0…
03-04 09:11:13	will gold gc hit high 5400 by end of march	No	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x9f1074…
03-02 08:07:59	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x5ced98…
03-02 08:07:51	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xb9dc4e…
02-16 13:57:27	cs2 3dmax hero 2026 02 16	3DMAX	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xcd21fb…
02-16 13:57:13	cs2 wb1 prime 2026 02 16	WHITEBIRD	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x418a7a…
02-16 13:54:35	btc updown 5m 1771249800	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xcb2942…
02-16 13:52:01	btc updown 5m 1771249800	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x4ad0ad…
02-14 16:10:13	btc updown 5m 1771085400	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x151e15…
02-14 16:08:59	btc updown 5m 1771085100	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xd70f0d…
02-14 16:06:47	btc updown 5m 1771085100	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xd4579a…
02-12 17:32:11	btc updown 5m 1770918000	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x4cbdbd…
02-12 17:32:03	btc updown 5m 1770917700	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0845a4…
02-12 17:31:29	btc updown 5m 1770917400	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xa51448…
02-12 17:26:43	btc updown 5m 1770917100	Up	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0xb56cf3…
02-12 17:10:13	btc updown 5m 1770916200	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xe9809f…
02-12 17:07:59	btc updown 5m 1770915900	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x25725c…
02-12 17:05:23	btc updown 5m 1770915900	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x48133c…
02-12 17:02:57	btc updown 5m 1770915600	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xb6f98c…
02-07 17:47:49	will gold gc hit high 5500 by end of february 743 796 985 593 523 417 437	No	BUY	54	72¢	$39	0x62955e…
01-30 09:44:52	will gold gc hit high 5500 by end of february 743 796 985 593 523 417 437	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x43ccb6…
01-28 00:26:03	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xc3ed49…
01-23 09:04:14	will trump say hell 2 times during newsnation interview	No	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x93bb08…
01-23 09:02:54	will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by january 25	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xe1705e…
01-23 08:58:04	will trump say million or billion or trillion 10 times during cnbc interview	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xf20450…
01-14 05:08:04	iran strike on us military by january 31	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xc18b10…
01-13 16:19:37	trump invokes war powers against iran by january 31 2026	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x1f6f8a…