Impolite-Future — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$34

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

45.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$6.40K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$206

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-24

last 09-17 04:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

62% 38% -$32

Politics

38% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?	No		+3	$3	97¢	$3	+$0	09-17 04:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?	3	$888	475	475	+0	open	—	07-23 06:35
farsi island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720015111490	2	$885	470	470	+0	No	+$0	07-23 07:23
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	2	$884	465	465	+0	open	—	07-30 06:51
will russia capture havrylivka by september 30 2026	3	$877	465	465	+0	No	+$0	07-30 08:07
will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952739	2	$820	435	435	+0	No	-$2	07-08 06:50
iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by july 31 20260624040209014	2	$817	425	425	+0	No	+$5	07-08 05:13
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?	2	$611	315	315	+0	No	+$0	06-18 05:52
tur iba kas 2026 04 24 spread away 1pt5	1	$416	443	0	+443	Rams Başakşehir FK	+$27	04-24 06:24
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	5	$83	980	980	+0	No	-$5	05-08 07:04
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	4	$56	974	974	+0	No	-$2	05-09 05:56
Spread: El Gouna SC (-1.5)	2	$39	963	0	+963	El Mokawloon El Arab SC	-$39	05-08 07:34
Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-2.5)	2	$19	949	0	+949	Sevilla FC	-$19	05-09 07:45
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	09-17 04:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-17 04:08:34	Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x463761…
07-30 08:07:03	will russia capture havrylivka by september 30 2026	No	SELL	465	94¢	$438	0x40b518…
07-30 07:19:00	will russia capture havrylivka by september 30 2026	No	BUY	55	94¢	$52	0x5b3c45…
07-30 07:18:21	will russia capture havrylivka by september 30 2026	No	BUY	410	94¢	$387	0x37a491…
07-30 06:51:35	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	465	95¢	$442	0x481558…
07-30 05:53:18	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	465	95¢	$442	0x4f20d8…
07-23 07:23:24	farsi island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720015111490	No	SELL	470	94¢	$443	0xf4588d…
07-23 06:47:43	farsi island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720015111490	No	BUY	470	94¢	$442	0x5cb749…
07-23 06:35:48	KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x2a4834…
07-23 06:35:27	KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?	No	SELL	455	94¢	$425	0x4eecd1…
07-23 05:55:33	KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?	No	BUY	475	94¢	$444	0xccd656…
07-08 06:50:56	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952739	No	SELL	435	94¢	$409	0xed880f…
07-08 06:14:44	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952739	No	BUY	435	94¢	$411	0xf08f5b…
07-08 05:13:47	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by july 31 20260624040209014	No	SELL	425	97¢	$411	0x7bdeee…
07-08 03:24:28	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by july 31 20260624040209014	No	BUY	425	96¢	$406	0xf26c68…
06-18 05:52:52	Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?	No	SELL	315	97¢	$306	0xa955fb…
06-18 05:18:16	Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?	No	BUY	315	97¢	$306	0x377d8d…
05-09 07:45:49	Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-2.5)	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona	BUY	480	2¢	$10	0xf588d3…
05-09 07:45:05	Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-2.5)	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona	BUY	469	2¢	$9	0xdb6721…
05-09 05:56:05	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	470	3¢	$13	0xb0aae7…
05-09 05:55:55	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	504	3¢	$14	0xd40e0e…
05-09 05:14:35	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	504	3¢	$15	0x8b1f0d…
05-09 05:14:14	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	470	3¢	$14	0x35f0eb…
05-08 07:34:09	Spread: El Gouna SC (-1.5)	El Gouna SC	BUY	493	4¢	$20	0x080dfc…
05-08 07:33:41	Spread: El Gouna SC (-1.5)	El Gouna SC	BUY	470	4¢	$19	0xa5c498…
05-08 07:04:20	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	400	4¢	$16	0xb7a05b…
05-08 07:04:08	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	480	4¢	$19	0xaa494b…
05-08 07:03:40	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0xcaaaad…
05-08 05:31:53	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	480	4¢	$22	0x29a61e…
05-08 05:31:33	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	4¢	$22	0xe457a3…
04-24 06:24:50	tur iba kas 2026 04 24 spread away 1pt5	Rams Başakşehir FK	BUY	443	94¢	$416	0xf2835c…