Impolite-Lemon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

99.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$7.16K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$116

Open exposure

$10

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-22 02:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 52 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 98% +$4

Other

0% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No		-8	-$8	98¢	$-8	$0	09-01 19:58
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No		-3	-$2	97¢	$-2	$0	10-22 02:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 78k on march 16	1	$177	178	+178	No	+$0	03-14 16:11
ethereum above 2400 on january 4	1	$177	177	+177	Yes	+$0	01-02 20:57
bitcoin above 60k on april 11	1	$175	175	+175	Yes	+$0	04-10 10:46
bitcoin above 96k on february 3	1	$175	175	+175	No	+$0	02-01 23:32
bitcoin above 78k on april 8	1	$175	175	+175	No	+$0	04-07 05:52
ethereum above 2500 on february 16	1	$175	175	+175	No	+$0	02-15 23:49
bitcoin above 78k on february 15	1	$174	175	+175	No	+$0	02-14 02:05
ethereum above 3700 on january 14	1	$174	174	+174	No	+$0	01-12 07:45
will the price of bitcoin be less than 82000 on january 10	1	$174	174	+174	No	+$0	01-09 03:35
bitcoin above 60k on march 27	1	$173	174	+174	Yes	+$0	03-26 18:38
will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on february 20	1	$173	173	+173	No	+$0	02-18 23:23
bitcoin above 78k on april 6	1	$173	173	+173	No	+$0	04-04 04:06
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 82000 on february 11	1	$172	172	+172	No	+$0	02-10 02:36
ethereum above 2500 on march 1	1	$172	172	+172	No	+$0	03-01 03:48
ethereum above 2600 on january 8	1	$172	172	+172	Yes	+$0	01-06 15:10
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on march 25	1	$171	172	+172	No	+$0	03-23 18:01
bitcoin above 76k on february 18	1	$171	171	+171	No	+$0	02-17 00:32
ethereum above 1600 on march 9	1	$171	172	+172	Yes	+$1	03-08 10:56
will the price of bitcoin be between 84000 86000 on february 8	1	$170	170	+170	No	+$0	02-07 01:28
ethereum above 2500 on february 25	1	$170	170	+170	No	+$0	02-23 03:54
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on february 22	1	$170	170	+170	No	+$0	02-21 00:30
bitcoin above 78k on march 22	1	$169	170	+170	No	+$0	03-21 12:39
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 25?	1	$169	169	+169	No	+$0	05-24 08:28
ethereum above 2500 on february 13	1	$169	169	+169	No	+$0	02-12 01:08
bitcoin above 78k on march 30	1	$168	168	+168	No	+$0	03-29 04:25
bitcoin above 90k on february 6	1	$168	169	+169	No	+$0	02-04 22:10
bitcoin above 80k on march 12	1	$168	168	+168	No	+$0	03-11 17:09
ethereum above 1600 on march 7	1	$167	167	+167	Yes	+$1	03-06 07:19
will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 19	1	$166	166	+166	No	+$0	03-18 11:44
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 28?	1	$165	166	+166	No	+$0	04-27 19:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 02:42:54	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$2	0x486726…
09-01 19:58:28	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0xbfbfc0…
08-03 20:07:02	bitcoin above 68k on august 4 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xd028f3…
06-21 21:48:16	bitcoin above 72k on june 23 2026	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0xafa293…
06-14 15:12:13	bitcoin above 54k on june 16 2026	Yes	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x0de3e9…
06-13 08:46:55	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xba6597…
06-13 08:44:00	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd30761…
06-09 04:27:24	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on June 10?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$99	0x49192e…
06-04 08:41:42	bitcoin above 74k on june 5 2026	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x1a429b…
06-01 17:35:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0xdd087f…
05-29 11:30:31	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x698853…
05-29 11:28:44	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x7e844d…
05-29 11:26:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x4ee5ea…
05-24 08:28:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 25?	No	BUY	169	100¢	$169	0x808069…
05-05 05:22:38	Will XRP dip to $1.00 in May?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x16a161…
05-05 05:20:56	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x22721b…
05-05 05:19:12	Will Solana reach $110 in May?	No	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0xec375a…
04-27 19:25:46	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 28?	No	BUY	166	100¢	$165	0x1fa27a…
04-23 15:19:28	bitcoin above 70k on april 24	Yes	BUY	160	100¢	$160	0xb8fb13…
04-19 15:32:52	Will Meta (META) close above $420 end of April?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x763155…
04-19 09:53:44	ethereum above 2700 on april 20	No	BUY	165	100¢	$164	0x1073b9…
04-17 09:10:26	bitcoin above 82k on april 18	No	BUY	164	100¢	$164	0x85b887…
04-13 11:17:19	Will Ethereum dip to $800 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xdea714…
04-13 11:06:55	Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in April?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xacf166…
04-10 10:46:07	bitcoin above 60k on april 11	Yes	BUY	175	100¢	$175	0xf4c281…
04-07 05:52:21	bitcoin above 78k on april 8	No	BUY	175	100¢	$175	0xe2c76d…
04-04 04:06:29	bitcoin above 78k on april 6	No	BUY	173	100¢	$173	0x6b20e1…
03-29 04:25:56	bitcoin above 78k on march 30	No	BUY	168	100¢	$168	0xcceee2…
03-26 18:38:29	bitcoin above 60k on march 27	Yes	BUY	174	100¢	$173	0xbd299c…
03-23 18:01:01	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on march 25	No	BUY	172	100¢	$171	0xa5da90…
03-21 12:39:21	bitcoin above 78k on march 22	No	BUY	170	100¢	$169	0x87fc79…
03-18 11:44:45	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 19	No	BUY	166	100¢	$166	0xb15d04…
03-16 05:17:55	will xrp reach 2pt4 in march 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8889b8…
03-14 16:11:41	bitcoin above 78k on march 16	No	BUY	178	100¢	$177	0xff7d16…
03-11 17:09:19	bitcoin above 80k on march 12	No	BUY	168	100¢	$168	0x6f6e68…
03-08 10:56:39	ethereum above 1600 on march 9	Yes	BUY	172	100¢	$171	0x69c89b…
03-06 07:19:09	ethereum above 1600 on march 7	Yes	BUY	167	100¢	$167	0xf8d943…
03-01 03:48:13	ethereum above 2500 on march 1	No	BUY	172	100¢	$172	0x859568…
02-23 03:54:22	ethereum above 2500 on february 25	No	BUY	170	100¢	$170	0x96de51…
02-21 00:30:02	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on february 22	No	BUY	170	100¢	$170	0x6cdbc1…
02-18 23:23:56	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on february 20	No	BUY	173	100¢	$173	0x76524a…
02-17 00:32:53	bitcoin above 76k on february 18	No	BUY	171	100¢	$171	0x463aea…
02-15 23:49:17	ethereum above 2500 on february 16	No	BUY	175	100¢	$175	0x3dbf25…
02-14 02:05:49	bitcoin above 78k on february 15	No	BUY	175	100¢	$174	0x5bd8d5…
02-12 01:08:41	ethereum above 2500 on february 13	No	BUY	169	100¢	$169	0x4c73aa…
02-10 02:36:39	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 82000 on february 11	No	BUY	172	100¢	$172	0x1edf97…
02-07 01:28:03	will the price of bitcoin be between 84000 86000 on february 8	No	BUY	170	100¢	$170	0x216678…
02-04 22:10:35	bitcoin above 90k on february 6	No	BUY	169	100¢	$168	0x9afb71…
02-01 23:32:34	bitcoin above 96k on february 3	No	BUY	175	100¢	$175	0x652d25…
01-30 12:04:32	bitcoin above 94k on january 31	No	BUY	164	100¢	$163	0xf6e646…
01-27 22:51:01	bitcoin above 100k on january 29	No	BUY	162	100¢	$162	0x11aa9f…
01-25 09:39:14	bitcoin above 100k on january 27	No	BUY	160	100¢	$160	0x48298b…
01-21 21:18:12	will the price of ethereum be greater than 3800 on january 24	No	BUY	158	100¢	$158	0x4cd830…
01-19 08:10:18	bitcoin above 106k on january 21	No	BUY	161	100¢	$161	0xde7cd8…
01-16 13:52:34	Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xd3ba17…
01-16 01:20:50	ethereum above 2600 on january 18	Yes	BUY	163	100¢	$163	0x06577a…
01-14 07:36:54	will xrp dip to 1pt4 in january 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x81658d…
01-14 07:21:04	will hyperliquid hit 38 in january	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xea82a1…
01-12 07:45:58	ethereum above 3700 on january 14	No	BUY	174	100¢	$174	0x43a604…
01-09 03:35:46	will the price of bitcoin be less than 82000 on january 10	No	BUY	174	100¢	$174	0x0cb51d…
01-06 15:10:09	ethereum above 2600 on january 8	Yes	BUY	172	100¢	$172	0x6ccc76…
01-02 20:57:35	ethereum above 2400 on january 4	Yes	BUY	177	100¢	$177	0x70a214…