Wasteful-Wheel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

-$8

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

3,736

lifetime

Volume

$19.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$508

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 06-02 03:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

81% — —

Other

14% 100% +$0

Tech

3% — —

Politics

2% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		-504	$-433	86¢	$-436	$-3	06-02 03:01
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		-102	$-67	72¢	$-73	$-5	06-02 03:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?	2	$1.5K	751	751	+0	open	—	06-02 03:01
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in June?	2	$986	500	500	+0	open	—	06-02 03:01
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June?	2	$974	501	501	+0	open	—	06-02 03:01
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?	2	$956	501	501	+0	open	—	06-02 03:01
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?	2	$943	502	502	+0	open	—	06-02 03:01
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$688	405	506	-102	open	—	06-02 03:01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in June?	6	$582	100	500	-400	open	—	06-02 03:01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in June?	4	$577	100	501	-401	open	—	06-02 03:01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June?	3	$560	100	501	-401	open	—	06-02 03:01
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	6	$475	504	504	+0	open	—	06-02 03:01
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$433	0	504	-504	open	—	06-02 03:01
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	5	$408	214	214	+0	open	—	05-28 06:40
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	4	$224	225	0	+225	Yes	+$1	05-08 13:58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	1	$206	210	0	+210	open	—	05-28 06:43
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	2	$191	201	0	+201	open	—	05-06 08:48
deepseek v4 released by april 24	10	$191	652	70	+582	open	—	04-24 04:42
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$186	200	0	+200	open	—	04-28 03:27
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	3	$184	101	101	+0	open	—	05-19 03:27
Claude 4.7 released by June 30?	7	$170	134	134	+0	open	—	04-09 21:49
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	2	$170	202	0	+202	open	—	05-01 13:59
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	7	$125	153	68	+85	open	—	04-29 05:13
deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	12	$115	120	70	+50	open	—	04-11 12:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	1	$100	172	0	+172	open	—	06-02 00:20
Will the Green Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	1	$100	100	0	+100	Yes	+$0	05-09 03:35
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?	3	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	05-26 02:22
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	04-24 12:03
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	1	$100	100	0	+100	Yes	+$0	05-12 07:02
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	2	$99	100	0	+100	open	—	04-24 12:04
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?	1	$99	100	0	+100	open	—	05-14 10:59
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	1	$98	100	0	+100	open	—	05-11 09:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 03:01:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	506	75¢	$378	0x7e06cc…
06-02 03:01:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	504	86¢	$433	0x1b8d5f…
06-02 03:01:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?	No	SELL	502	93¢	$466	0xb3a47d…
06-02 03:01:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?	No	SELL	501	95¢	$476	0xbc9d2e…
06-02 03:01:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in June?	No	SELL	501	96¢	$480	0x938c2f…
06-02 03:01:30	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June?	No	SELL	501	98¢	$489	0xae4219…
06-02 03:01:28	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in June?	No	SELL	500	98¢	$493	0x12f770…
06-02 03:01:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in June?	No	SELL	500	97¢	$484	0x036786…
06-02 03:01:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June?	No	SELL	501	93¢	$466	0x83a704…
06-02 03:01:13	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	404	0¢	$1	0xe8df28…
06-02 03:01:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?	No	SELL	751	98¢	$737	0x7c4b5e…
06-02 01:29:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?	No	BUY	751	98¢	$739	0x4bf1de…
06-02 01:28:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?	No	BUY	501	96¢	$480	0x2dcb2d…
06-02 01:28:26	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in June?	No	BUY	500	99¢	$493	0x596f74…
06-02 01:27:39	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June?	No	BUY	501	97¢	$485	0x74bc95…
06-02 00:59:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?	No	BUY	502	95¢	$477	0xce9a7c…
06-02 00:56:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	405	77¢	$310	0x854123…
06-02 00:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0xd40ebb…
06-01 12:47:06	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	80¢	$80	0xa36519…
06-01 12:28:45	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	191	79¢	$151	0x872e56…
06-01 12:28:36	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	79¢	$158	0x2a6e05…
06-01 12:28:36	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	79¢	$10	0x0166b3…
06-01 12:27:30	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	101	75¢	$76	0x7d837f…
06-01 12:21:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in June?	No	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0x9e0a5a…
05-30 03:07:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in June?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe774f8…
05-30 03:05:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in June?	No	BUY	70	97¢	$68	0xc25e1a…
05-30 03:04:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June?	No	BUY	70	94¢	$66	0xbb2dfb…
05-30 03:03:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in June?	No	BUY	23	97¢	$23	0x1406eb…
05-30 03:02:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in June?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xcb7878…
05-30 03:02:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in June?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x23995b…
05-30 01:09:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in June?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0xbd0cb9…
05-30 01:08:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in June?	No	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0x408fed…
05-30 01:02:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June?	No	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x9df61b…
05-29 03:13:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	No	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x1709f4…
05-28 12:45:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	No	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xb448ce…
05-28 06:43:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	210	98¢	$206	0xf5952e…
05-28 06:40:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	214	97¢	$208	0x2e822d…
05-27 00:51:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x3c9df8…
05-27 00:50:49	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x4005c4…
05-26 02:23:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	BUY	53	98¢	$52	0x1274e8…
05-26 02:22:56	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x1fe169…
05-25 03:10:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xdb7e9a…
05-25 01:08:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	14	85¢	$12	0x78a8e4…
05-24 02:35:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0x04e0cc…
05-24 00:13:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	8	68¢	$5	0xdcf898…
05-24 00:12:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	SELL	5	89¢	$5	0x8d7fc7…
05-24 00:10:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	SELL	5	89¢	$5	0x075771…
05-20 06:02:24	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x526208…
05-19 03:34:25	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x912c79…
05-19 03:33:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xfd2bf5…
05-19 03:31:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xc7e797…
05-19 03:27:30	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	75	97¢	$73	0x3eb8f0…
05-18 12:56:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xa8fc58…
05-16 01:05:11	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x0349f4…
05-16 00:30:55	GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0x06f457…
05-15 14:14:51	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	26	93¢	$24	0x027448…
05-15 01:45:58	Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x81d7d0…
05-14 15:01:53	Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xec7932…
05-14 10:59:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xf291d1…
05-12 07:02:40	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe3610e…
05-11 09:36:13	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x410759…
05-09 06:42:03	Will Reform UK win at least 2000 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x1f205f…
05-09 03:35:46	Will the Green Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x136f20…
05-08 13:58:30	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	Yes	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x8ccaa6…
05-08 13:27:37	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x1dd37e…
05-08 12:58:09	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	Yes	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0x4ec7d7…
05-08 12:57:22	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf2df8d…
05-07 00:36:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$97	0x0e2320…
05-06 08:48:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$97	0x7207f1…
05-05 01:54:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	BUY	101	90¢	$91	0x3d2b73…
05-02 13:25:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x0d5f14…
05-02 01:54:34	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	101	86¢	$87	0x1181eb…
05-01 13:59:50	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	BUY	101	84¢	$85	0x41c02d…
05-01 13:58:44	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	BUY	101	84¢	$85	0xd6888c…
04-30 09:40:26	Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x8bbb5d…
04-30 03:36:14	Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0x0892ee…
04-30 00:50:46	Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in April?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xf9b56c…
04-29 23:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0xc67b48…
04-29 23:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	50	27¢	$13	0xb705e9…
04-29 05:13:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	No	SELL	10	75¢	$8	0x0f7197…
04-28 03:27:46	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x043406…
04-27 08:55:48	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	Yes	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x106767…
04-27 06:33:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	No	SELL	10	61¢	$6	0xbde51b…
04-25 03:21:38	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0xab23ff…
04-25 03:19:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	No	BUY	52	55¢	$28	0xcb539d…
04-25 01:01:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	No	BUY	52	51¢	$26	0x566570…
04-24 12:04:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x556e85…
04-24 12:03:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xb66ab5…
04-24 12:03:04	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x475539…
04-24 11:58:40	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x3c1551…
04-24 11:44:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	No	SELL	40	63¢	$25	0xae57d4…
04-24 11:34:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	No	SELL	8	63¢	$5	0x2246b7…
04-24 11:32:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xbb9046…
04-24 08:58:20	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x249ddf…
04-24 08:37:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	No	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0x911c42…
04-24 04:42:50	deepseek v4 released by april 24	No	BUY	200	2¢	$5	0x245507…
04-24 04:42:34	deepseek v4 released by april 24	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xad9fe7…
04-24 03:41:44	deepseek v4 released by april 24	No	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0xd2dd72…
04-24 03:38:04	deepseek v4 released by april 24	No	BUY	302	17¢	$50	0x7ccdd0…
04-24 03:36:32	deepseek v4 released by april 24	Yes	SELL	35	89¢	$31	0xf3855c…