Lustrous-Turnip — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$141

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.55K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-08 07:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 54 days

Categories

Crypto

51% 93% +$1

Other

35% 86% -$99

Sports

6% 50% -$52

Tech

5% 100% +$0

Politics

3% 100% +$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	1	$101	2,518	0	+2,518	Yes	-$101	03-12 16:25
Will Solana dip to $20 in October?	1	$66	66	0	+66	open	—	10-08 07:27
will solana dip to 10 in september 2026	1	$66	66	0	+66	No	+$0	09-08 03:32
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$60	159	0	+159	No	-$60	07-12 08:16
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$52	0	52	-52	No	$0	01-20 05:31
Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?	2	$48	25	23	+2	No	+$0	03-12 06:12
will bitcoin reach 100k in august 2026	2	$41	21	20	+1	No	$0	08-20 06:20
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	2	$39	22	22	+0	No	+$3	01-20 05:32
nba chi bos 2026 01 05	2	$36	44	0	+44	Celtics	+$8	01-05 09:27
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	2	$29	15	14	+1	No	$0	06-11 02:56
will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	2	$27	14	13	+1	No	$0	03-12 06:13
will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	2	$25	13	12	+1	No	$0	03-12 06:13
GTA VI released before June 2026?	2	$23	13	11	+1	No	+$0	03-12 06:13
will xrp dip to 0pt2 in august 2026	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	08-03 03:39
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	2	$22	12	10	+2	No	$0	06-11 02:56
will ethereum dip to 900 in august 2026	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	08-03 03:38
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	1	$21	21	0	+21	Gold	+$0	01-24 01:34
will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on february 8	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	02-08 07:37
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	1	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	01-24 01:33
bitcoin above 76k on february 8	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	02-08 07:36
will ethereum dip to 1700 august 24 30 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	08-26 09:14
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 0 19	1	$19	19	0	+19	No	+$0	01-20 05:40
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 620 639	1	$19	19	0	+19	No	+$0	01-20 05:40
will avatar fire and ash 5th weekend box office be less than 13m	1	$18	18	0	+18	No	+$0	01-20 05:40
will solana dip to 20 in february 2026	1	$18	18	0	+18	No	+$0	02-08 07:36
Will there be at least 500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	1	$18	18	0	+18	Yes	+$0	01-20 05:41
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 15?	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	05-13 08:26
will nvidia be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	1	$16	16	0	+16	No	+$0	01-29 10:42
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	1	$16	16	0	+16	No	+$0	07-16 07:34
will upscrolled be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 30	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	01-29 10:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-08 07:27:37	Will Solana dip to $20 in October?	No	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0x71b4cc…
09-08 03:32:04	will solana dip to 10 in september 2026	No	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0xdcfec9…
08-26 09:14:12	will ethereum dip to 1700 august 24 30 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5626f4…
08-20 06:20:01	will bitcoin reach 100k in august 2026	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x15b2e0…
08-03 03:39:03	will xrp dip to 0pt2 in august 2026	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xf49d78…
08-03 03:38:29	will ethereum dip to 900 in august 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x58e24e…
08-03 03:38:03	will bitcoin reach 100k in august 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x6d417c…
07-16 07:36:31	will ethereum dip to 1400 july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x73c9ad…
07-16 07:36:16	will bitcoin dip to 48k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xe07f10…
07-16 07:34:56	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x4507d3…
07-16 07:34:38	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x8f9a9f…
07-16 07:34:22	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x7ce33c…
07-12 08:16:05	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	159	38¢	$60	0x3307bb…
06-20 07:35:35	will ethereum reach 2000 june 15 21 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4ae4a0…
06-20 07:34:43	will bitcoin dip to 54k june 15 21 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb64007…
06-20 07:34:20	bitcoin above 56k on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe236bf…
06-20 07:34:11	bitcoin above 70k on june 22 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x95efb7…
06-20 07:33:58	bitcoin above 58k on june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5071c5…
06-20 07:33:29	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x982bad…
06-11 03:05:51	will xrp dip to 0pt2 in june 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x468640…
06-11 03:05:30	will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xc076c6…
06-11 02:56:25	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x92d2f8…
06-11 02:56:16	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x6b1307…
06-09 06:52:06	Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xff67ec…
06-09 06:51:43	Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xaea2fe…
06-09 06:51:25	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x4a5513…
06-09 06:51:10	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xd4fba1…
06-09 06:50:49	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x7f3e01…
05-23 06:27:06	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x742c2e…
05-23 06:26:39	Will Elon Musk post 1400-1439 tweets in May 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x150918…
05-20 05:39:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x614e02…
05-20 05:39:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x77068d…
05-20 05:39:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x098b36…
05-20 05:39:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xe2869b…
05-13 08:26:39	Will Ethereum dip to $600 in May?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6fcbee…
05-13 08:26:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x99c488…
05-13 08:26:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x74310b…
05-13 08:26:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xe959ae…
04-13 02:26:39	Will XRP dip to $0.20 in April?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xc67d84…
04-13 02:26:27	Will Solana dip to $10 in April?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb741be…
04-13 02:26:15	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xb13447…
04-13 02:26:03	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xad9e50…
04-03 03:12:07	elon musk of tweets april 4 april 6 240plus	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf3640f…
04-03 03:12:01	elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 240plus	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbc684c…
04-02 02:43:11	bitcoin above 58k on april 3	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x253041…
04-02 02:42:59	bitcoin above 62k on april 2	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x0710ad…
03-30 06:59:36	elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 90 114	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x2896d9…
03-30 06:58:36	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 580plus	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xf9b89a…
03-30 06:58:24	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 520 539	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x19ce10…
03-30 06:58:08	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 320 339	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x52e33a…
03-21 02:34:01	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 82000 on march 23	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xa06f20…
03-21 02:33:55	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on march 22	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x103687…
03-21 02:33:43	bitcoin above 82k on march 22	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x337581…
03-21 02:33:31	bitcoin above 76k on march 21	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xe5c7de…
03-12 16:25:39	Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	No	BUY	2,518	4¢	$101	0x6db6e4…
03-12 06:14:13	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 0 19	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xe485ce…
03-12 06:14:03	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 580plus	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xd54b9e…
03-12 06:13:57	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 580plus	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x61fe97…
03-12 06:13:49	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 480 499	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x57ba9f…
03-12 06:13:29	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x917dcd…
03-12 06:13:23	will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x7f8994…
03-12 06:13:17	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0xb5cdf2…
03-12 06:12:41	Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xf7f9c5…
03-04 06:28:51	Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x53eaf6…
03-04 06:28:03	Opinion FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xed7015…
03-04 06:27:25	will ethereum dip to 1300 march 2 8	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xe49c0b…
03-04 06:27:03	will bitcoin reach 80k march 2 8	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x6d5e97…
03-04 06:26:39	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xc7aa7d…
03-04 06:26:25	will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x3313d8…
03-04 06:26:11	bitcoin above 60k on march 4	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc2411a…
02-10 03:49:21	will russia enter kurylivka by february 28	Yes	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x724c36…
02-10 03:48:39	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	BUY	13	96¢	$12	0x421c48…
02-08 07:37:21	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on february 8	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x939ceb…
02-08 07:37:05	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on february 8	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x69a1cc…
02-08 07:36:45	will solana dip to 20 in february 2026	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xf5efe4…
02-08 07:36:23	bitcoin above 76k on february 8	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5b5d89…
01-29 10:42:38	will upscrolled be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 30	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xfc9c5f…
01-29 10:42:16	will nvidia be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x589392…
01-29 10:42:00	will saudi aramco be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x996a78…
01-29 10:41:40	Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xd85163…
01-24 01:34:06	First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	Gold	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x85d8fb…
01-24 01:33:54	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x7e2a24…
01-24 01:33:44	si hit 150 high jan 2026	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xa4e1b0…
01-20 05:41:08	Will there be at least 500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xa02d5c…
01-20 05:40:50	will avatar fire and ash 5th weekend box office be less than 13m	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xd0627a…
01-20 05:40:32	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 0 19	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x0a6120…
01-20 05:40:04	elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 620 639	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x4ab03b…
01-20 05:32:02	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	No	SELL	22	94¢	$21	0xdf0a69…
01-20 05:31:48	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0x468612…
01-15 04:49:06	Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	No	BUY	18	68¢	$12	0x13dd5e…
01-15 04:48:46	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	No	BUY	22	80¢	$18	0x1dd619…
01-05 09:27:19	nba chi bos 2026 01 05	Celtics	BUY	28	81¢	$23	0x64ec9d…
01-05 09:27:07	nba chi bos 2026 01 05	Celtics	BUY	16	81¢	$13	0x218a10…