Realized P&L (24h)
-$27
Unrealized P&L
+$65
Hit rate
73.2%
Resolved (24h)
43
Trades (24h)
53
28,537 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$391
$337.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$242
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-31
last 11-11 14:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 197 days
Categories
Crypto
48% 71% -$1,562
Other
30% 61% -$5,266
Sports
21% 50% +$1,472
Politics
1% 64% +$211
Tech
0% 0% -$100
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 777 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -847 -$118 9¢ $-78 +$39 05-13 20:45
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on November 11? No +10 $9 100¢ $10 +$1 11-11 10:52
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on November 11? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 11-11 07:04
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 4°C on November 11? No +10 $9 100¢ $10 +$1 11-11 09:47
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 6°C on November 11? No +10 $9 100¢ $10 +$1 11-11 10:50
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on November 11? No +10 $9 99¢ $10 +$1 11-11 12:09
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 11? No +10 $9 97¢ $10 +$1 11-11 13:07
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in November? Yes +15 $2 50¢ $8 +$6 11-05 14:35
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +6 $2 99¢ $6 +$4 11-02 15:05
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +5 $4 100¢ $5 +$1 11-02 21:53
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +5 $4 98¢ $5 +$1 11-07 06:27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in November? No +5 $4 96¢ $5 +$0 11-04 16:32
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 18? Yes +5 $4 96¢ $5 +$0 11-09 19:50
Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by November 30, 2026? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 $0 11-11 04:11
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by November 30, 2026? No +5 $4 91¢ $5 +$1 11-04 12:46
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +5 $3 90¢ $5 +$1 11-05 16:41
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 90¢ $5 +$0 11-09 12:53
Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on November 11? Up — +5 $4 89¢ $5 +$0 11-11 14:50
Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30? No +5 $4 88¢ $4 $0 11-10 14:51
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +5 $3 88¢ $4 +$2 11-04 15:48
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +5 $4 89¢ $4 +$0 11-05 09:38
Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? Yes +5 $3 87¢ $4 +$1 11-07 06:58
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? No +5 $4 84¢ $4 +$0 11-10 20:45
Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by March 31, 2027? No +5 $4 78¢ $4 +$0 11-09 17:37
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $198 in November? No +5 $3 79¢ $4 +$1 11-02 22:28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in November? No +5 $3 79¢ $4 +$1 11-04 16:32
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in November? No +5 $3 72¢ $4 +$1 11-05 14:38
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +5 $3 70¢ $4 +$0 11-09 18:06
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $360 Week of November 9 2026? No +5 $3 69¢ $3 +$0 11-09 15:56
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? No +5 $3 68¢ $3 +$0 11-03 05:48