Realized P&L (24h)
-$147
Unrealized P&L
+$75
Hit rate
53.9%
Resolved (24h)
47
Trades (24h)
64
28,577 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$475
$337.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$251
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-31
last 11-12 04:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 198 days
Categories
Crypto
48% 71% -$1,670
Other
30% 61% -$5,265
Sports
21% 50% +$1,472
Politics
1% 64% +$211
Tech
0% 0% -$100
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 777 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -847 -$118 9¢ $-79 +$39 05-13 20:45
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in November? Yes +15 $2 86¢ $13 +$11 11-05 14:35
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 16°C on November 12? No +10 $9 100¢ $10 +$1 11-12 03:19
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 12? No +10 $9 97¢ $10 +$1 11-12 04:00
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on November 12? No +10 $9 97¢ $10 +$1 11-12 01:33
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on November 12? No +10 $9 94¢ $9 +$0 11-12 04:00
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on November 12? No +10 $9 92¢ $9 +$0 11-12 04:04
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on November 12? No +10 $9 86¢ $9 -$1 11-12 03:17
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026? Yes +11 $5 62¢ $7 +$2 11-11 23:28
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +6 $2 99¢ $6 +$4 11-02 15:05
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +5 $4 99¢ $5 +$1 11-07 06:27
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +5 $4 100¢ $5 +$1 11-02 21:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in November? No +5 $4 96¢ $5 +$0 11-04 16:32
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 18? Yes +5 $4 96¢ $5 +$0 11-09 19:50
Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by November 30, 2026? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 $0 11-11 04:11
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +5 $3 92¢ $5 +$1 11-05 16:41
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by November 30, 2026? No +5 $4 92¢ $5 +$1 11-04 12:46
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +5 $4 90¢ $5 +$0 11-05 09:38
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 90¢ $5 +$0 11-09 12:53
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $170 end of November? No +7 $2 64¢ $4 +$3 11-05 15:13
Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30? No +5 $4 88¢ $4 $0 11-10 14:51
Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? Yes +5 $3 86¢ $4 +$1 11-07 06:58
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +5 $3 86¢ $4 +$2 11-04 15:48
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $136 in November? Yes +18 $2 24¢ $4 +$2 11-09 09:19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in November? No +5 $3 86¢ $4 +$2 11-04 16:32
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? No +5 $4 83¢ $4 +$0 11-10 20:45
Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by March 31, 2027? No +5 $4 80¢ $4 +$0 11-09 17:37
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $198 in November? No +5 $3 79¢ $4 +$1 11-02 22:28
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in November? No +5 $3 76¢ $4 +$1 11-05 14:38
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of November 9 2026? No +5 $2 74¢ $4 +$1 11-10 14:32