Thin-Shell — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$33

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$24

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-09 01:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

79% 0% $-28

Crypto

21% 0% $-5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	Yes		+15	$3	24¢	$4	+$1	05-09 01:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	1	$10	53	0	+53	No	$-10	05-06 07:39
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	1	$6	0	24	-24	Yes	$-18	05-06 07:33
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 8?	1	$5	11	0	+11	No	$-5	05-08 00:20
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	1	$3	15	0	+15	open	—	05-09 01:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 01:50:34	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x277c5c…
05-08 00:20:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xa495ec…
05-06 07:39:56	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x5d2b90…
05-06 07:33:42	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	26¢	$6	0x505a0a…