Virtuous-Manipulation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.8%

Resolved

108

Trades

250

lifetime

Volume

$1.44K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 06-29 05:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 45 days

Categories

Other

93% 56% +$2

Politics

7% 80% -$12

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-29).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?	1	$34	34	0	+34	No	+$0	06-21 16:31
Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	2	$27	14	14	+0	No	+$1	05-09 10:18
Will "The Four Seasons: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	2	$27	14	14	+0	No	+$1	06-02 21:00
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	2	$25	13	13	+0	No	+$1	05-31 22:16
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	06-25 12:57
will apple announce an ai charged siri during the wwdc 2026 keynote	2	$22	11	11	+0	Yes	+$0	06-08 21:06
Will Kim Sang-wook win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?	2	$21	11	11	+0	Yes	+$1	06-03 14:01
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on May 30?	2	$20	40	0	+40	No	+$0	05-29 23:46
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	1	$16	16	0	+16	No	+$0	06-29 02:50
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on May 7?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-07 02:50
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 67°F or below on May 1?	2	$15	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	04-30 14:18
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 9?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-09 06:18
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 14?	2	$15	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	06-14 11:59
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on May 12?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-12 07:43
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 12?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-12 06:00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 11?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-11 07:59
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on May 1?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-30 18:49
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on May 18?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-17 18:02
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on May 7?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-07 05:02
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on June 25?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-24 14:48
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on May 10?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	05-10 07:43
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 13?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-13 08:08
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on May 7?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-06 17:38
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C or below on June 29?	5	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-29 05:55
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on May 7?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-06 19:31
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on May 8?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-07 22:51
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 11?	2	$15	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	06-11 07:30
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 36°C on May 12?	5	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-12 08:23
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on May 9?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-09 09:51
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on June 1?	7	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-31 18:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 05:55:44	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C or below on June 29?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x0acdb7…
06-29 04:50:44	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 29?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x9ecd28…
06-29 04:12:14	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 29?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x0602d4…
06-29 02:50:05	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x88946b…
06-29 00:17:41	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C or below on June 29?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc57c4d…
06-29 00:17:41	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C or below on June 29?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x068a43…
06-29 00:15:50	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C or below on June 29?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xb34e9a…
06-28 12:00:37	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C or below on June 29?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xef39b6…
06-27 20:09:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x211e49…
06-27 20:09:32	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x016b5d…
06-27 17:10:16	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 28?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xd6a0dd…
06-27 11:27:52	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xde230e…
06-27 11:00:50	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xb4e9cd…
06-27 10:56:34	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x6467a6…
06-26 20:19:22	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 27?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x235216…
06-25 23:28:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x4d0fab…
06-25 22:30:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 26?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x228df1…
06-25 12:57:08	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xe8f9f3…
06-24 14:48:46	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xb53f6c…
06-24 14:37:11	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on June 25?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x72ce25…
06-23 18:24:46	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on June 24?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x36dd9a…
06-23 18:10:28	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on June 24?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xa690fd…
06-22 13:58:47	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xdd08b9…
06-22 12:30:16	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on June 23?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xdd0856…
06-21 16:31:40	Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x8bbb28…
06-21 13:50:58	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on June 21?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0xecd5f5…
06-20 17:27:53	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on June 21?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x492960…
06-19 23:00:25	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on June 20?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xa807f5…
06-19 23:00:14	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on June 20?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x8f7726…
06-19 20:31:38	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on June 20?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x8d8e7e…
06-18 05:10:50	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 18?	No	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x48910d…
06-18 05:09:04	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xda0e62…
06-16 19:27:38	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 17?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xaec83b…
06-16 18:26:23	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 17?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x39bee7…
06-16 13:09:16	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 17?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x95573b…
06-16 12:57:10	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 17?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x4f04a4…
06-15 19:12:22	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xc99461…
06-15 19:11:36	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x4464af…
06-15 16:36:06	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x86ba53…
06-15 14:38:55	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 16?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x269e92…
06-14 11:59:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 14?	No	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xf32095…
06-14 11:40:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x62c2d3…
06-13 08:08:07	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x7caccd…
06-13 08:05:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 13?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xb5778a…
06-12 06:00:36	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0xbc5a57…
06-12 06:00:36	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xb063ee…
06-12 05:52:51	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 12?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xf906fc…
06-11 07:30:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 11?	No	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x4f5937…
06-11 07:26:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xe20a6a…
06-09 06:18:58	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x7b1b70…
06-09 06:05:54	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 9?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x1b0dc8…
06-08 21:06:22	will apple announce an ai charged siri during the wwdc 2026 keynote	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x3fc415…
06-08 12:20:48	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xf96bd7…
06-08 11:36:52	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on June 8?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x2b098f…
06-07 18:16:03	will apple announce an ai charged siri during the wwdc 2026 keynote	Yes	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x7fbda8…
06-07 08:13:15	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x7889fb…
06-07 07:39:58	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 7?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x855b1c…
06-07 07:34:48	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xff41bb…
06-07 07:15:09	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x06772a…
06-07 07:14:58	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x330758…
06-07 05:45:46	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xa30681…
06-06 14:41:34	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on June 7?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x511319…
06-06 05:24:43	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x3d00dd…
06-06 05:23:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 6?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1a4513…
06-06 02:33:42	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x070042…
06-05 12:01:52	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 6?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xb57a67…
06-04 19:31:27	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on June 5?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xb9524a…
06-04 18:05:21	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on June 5?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe95c5c…
06-04 04:20:48	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C or below on June 4?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x6f15a1…
06-04 04:18:48	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C or below on June 4?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x3a4a7b…
06-03 14:01:27	Will Kim Sang-wook win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x8fe1e5…
06-02 22:18:55	Will Kim Sang-wook win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x13d12e…
06-02 21:00:30	Will "The Four Seasons: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xfc7117…
06-02 14:53:14	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x497c51…
06-02 09:13:44	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on June 2?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x86ece9…
06-01 17:35:28	Will "The Four Seasons: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0x5fa6c1…
06-01 08:27:41	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on June 1?	No	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x81b33c…
06-01 08:08:23	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xa66e56…
05-31 22:16:19	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xa2bb7a…
05-31 18:53:32	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on June 1?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0xba6cdc…
05-31 16:39:46	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on June 1?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x9c74a7…
05-31 16:39:46	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on June 1?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x6c0ed1…
05-31 15:37:07	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on June 1?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x5a49f1…
05-31 15:15:39	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on June 1?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x8f3507…
05-31 15:10:05	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on June 1?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x6a588e…
05-31 12:47:40	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on June 1?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xb4ea25…
05-31 03:31:04	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	No	BUY	13	90¢	$12	0xa66bbd…
05-31 01:38:08	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on May 31?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x683e2b…
05-30 12:05:58	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on May 31?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x7e45e1…
05-30 06:11:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x2fdb06…
05-30 05:15:41	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 30?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x84eb25…
05-29 23:46:18	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xc9767f…
05-29 09:00:29	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x7ed5de…
05-29 07:35:01	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on May 30?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x41d092…
05-28 20:43:12	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on May 29?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x343fd6…
05-28 17:18:25	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xa1da67…
05-28 12:12:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 29?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x21e870…
05-28 08:21:17	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x71f3ab…
05-28 08:02:09	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xdb9dad…
05-28 03:35:47	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 28?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x053195…