Flawless-Experiment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

12.7%

Resolved

Trades

173

lifetime

Volume

$28.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$165

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 07-05 02:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Politics

31% 20% -$1

Other

31% 23% -$3

Sports

28% 26% -$6

Crypto

11% 56% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-05).

Open positions Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	6	$1.2K	598	598	+0	No	$0	03-25 02:55
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?	4	$962	484	484	+0	open	—	05-22 18:07
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	4	$920	463	463	-0	open	—	05-04 16:53
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$768	386	386	+0	No	$0	04-02 04:17
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$720	361	361	+0	No	$0	03-26 09:54
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$638	319	319	+0	No	$0	04-04 02:07
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	2	$528	265	265	+0	No	$0	04-22 04:54
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$514	257	257	+0	No	$0	02-22 18:53
Will Ahn Cheol-soo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	2	$484	242	242	+0	No	$0	05-05 11:38
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$464	233	233	+0	open	—	05-01 06:25
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$464	233	233	+0	open	—	05-05 08:19
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$454	230	230	-0	open	—	05-01 14:57
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	2	$451	227	227	+0	No	-$1	02-28 08:11
Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$450	225	225	+0	No	$0	02-10 09:00
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$448	224	224	+0	No	$0	03-14 07:06
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	2	$448	225	225	+0	No	$0	03-25 21:37
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$440	220	220	+0	No	$0	05-03 13:51
Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$440	220	220	+0	No	$0	02-26 07:43
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$438	221	221	+0	open	—	05-07 12:24
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$438	220	220	+0	No	$0	05-02 19:23
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$437	219	219	+0	No	+$0	05-04 08:04
will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$424	212	212	+0	No	$0	03-28 19:33
Will Mallorca win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$424	212	212	+0	No	$0	02-10 20:22
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$422	212	212	+0	No	$0	03-29 15:36
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$418	209	209	+0	No	$0	04-14 11:31
Will the New York Rangers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$414	207	207	+0	No	$0	02-14 17:41
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$414	208	208	+0	open	—	04-30 14:33
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	2	$410	206	206	+0	No	+$0	05-26 04:14
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$408	205	205	+0	open	—	05-06 03:23
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	2	$406	203	203	+0	No	$0	03-23 07:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-05 02:42:08	Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x54df6d…
07-03 12:39:10	Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x4829d0…
06-23 07:43:28	will wti dip to 40 in june 2026 584 727 626	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xbd18fd…
06-23 07:43:11	Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0xf9b449…
06-20 13:51:47	Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x8eb01b…
06-20 13:51:32	Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x03512b…
06-20 02:17:37	Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x61c711…
06-20 02:17:20	Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	42	99¢	$42	0xfb02ef…
06-19 02:49:53	Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	42	99¢	$42	0xfb2528…
06-12 20:24:15	Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0x49d21f…
06-09 06:16:54	Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x94bbc8…
06-08 07:40:49	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x1d0083…
06-07 01:46:39	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xebb61b…
06-06 10:09:07	Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	39	99¢	$39	0x751e98…
05-30 19:25:39	Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	39	99¢	$39	0x70f2f7…
05-30 19:25:25	Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	194	99¢	$192	0x14b6f9…
05-26 04:14:26	Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	194	99¢	$192	0x9cfb34…
05-26 04:14:09	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	206	100¢	$205	0x092537…
05-24 20:12:42	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	206	99¢	$205	0x5a3de6…
05-22 18:07:24	Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	233	99¢	$232	0x97d319…
05-19 18:11:33	Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	233	99¢	$232	0xe3193f…
05-14 16:28:48	Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	190	100¢	$190	0xb51698…
05-07 19:20:43	Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	190	100¢	$190	0xfa8a6a…
05-07 12:24:20	Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	221	99¢	$219	0x85ad84…
05-07 07:44:39	Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	221	99¢	$219	0x64ed8c…
05-07 07:44:22	Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	190	99¢	$189	0x8c7321…
05-06 15:25:14	Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	190	99¢	$189	0x80ff23…
05-06 03:23:54	Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	205	99¢	$204	0x21c4d0…
05-05 20:28:06	Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	205	99¢	$204	0x94bd95…
05-05 15:34:42	Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	193	99¢	$192	0xdbf9f5…
05-05 11:38:24	Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	193	99¢	$192	0x180c9c…
05-05 11:38:08	Will Ahn Cheol-soo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	SELL	242	100¢	$242	0x21d879…
05-05 08:20:00	Will Ahn Cheol-soo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	BUY	242	100¢	$242	0x7a11a6…
05-05 08:19:44	Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	233	99¢	$232	0x733afc…
05-04 16:54:14	Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	233	100¢	$232	0x97763e…
05-04 16:53:58	Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	263	99¢	$261	0xfd5cb3…
05-04 11:16:54	Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	263	99¢	$261	0x35baa6…
05-04 08:04:52	Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	219	100¢	$219	0xb7f0c7…
05-04 06:54:54	Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	219	100¢	$219	0x7fe85d…
05-04 00:57:30	Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	250	99¢	$249	0xd1c471…
05-03 21:02:04	Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	251	99¢	$249	0x4d058f…
05-03 13:51:50	Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	220	100¢	$220	0xd3ba64…
05-03 11:24:16	Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	220	100¢	$220	0x566f03…
05-03 11:23:58	Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	192	99¢	$191	0x0928b7…
05-03 04:34:24	Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	192	99¢	$191	0x926559…
05-02 19:23:58	Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	220	100¢	$219	0x02a645…
05-02 05:08:50	Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	220	100¢	$219	0xa2d14d…
05-02 05:08:34	Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	200	99¢	$199	0x7d23c7…
05-01 16:06:06	Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$199	0xb49b85…
05-01 16:05:48	Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	184	99¢	$183	0xbe2782…
05-01 14:58:10	Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	184	99¢	$183	0xc6222f…
05-01 14:57:54	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	230	99¢	$227	0x5e5d34…
05-01 11:18:06	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	230	99¢	$227	0xf68fe5…
05-01 09:13:44	Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	202	99¢	$200	0xfa5417…
05-01 06:25:48	Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x971a83…
05-01 06:25:30	Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	233	99¢	$232	0xa6ed3a…
04-30 23:02:18	Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	233	99¢	$232	0x03bf04…
04-30 19:04:36	Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	193	99¢	$192	0x48d15b…
04-30 14:33:58	Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	193	99¢	$192	0x2136bd…
04-30 14:33:40	Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	208	99¢	$207	0x3b4e85…
04-30 11:09:42	Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	208	99¢	$207	0x6d64e6…
04-30 08:04:38	Will Reilly Opelka win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	179	100¢	$179	0x64c733…
04-29 20:31:56	Will Reilly Opelka win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	179	100¢	$179	0x0e4682…
04-22 04:54:40	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	265	100¢	$264	0x8f08f5…
04-22 01:24:22	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	265	100¢	$264	0xa00a87…
04-19 04:47:36	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	SELL	155	100¢	$155	0x5b207c…
04-18 22:32:28	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	155	100¢	$155	0xde6dab…
04-18 19:26:54	Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	168	99¢	$167	0xd3c31a…
04-18 13:16:36	Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	168	100¢	$167	0x0901dc…
04-18 07:54:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	SELL	188	100¢	$188	0xbd315e…
04-18 05:15:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	BUY	188	100¢	$188	0x3124e6…
04-18 05:15:40	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x6d4d6d…
04-17 19:04:00	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xb74b6a…
04-17 13:31:00	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	170	100¢	$170	0x4b908b…
04-17 08:01:20	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	170	100¢	$170	0x042e4f…
04-16 20:59:24	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	183	100¢	$183	0x0ab056…
04-16 15:30:18	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	183	100¢	$183	0x3fd96c…
04-14 20:27:00	Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	190	100¢	$189	0x56be10…
04-14 16:53:08	Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	190	100¢	$189	0x6ca242…
04-14 11:31:27	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	209	100¢	$209	0x82e125…
04-14 06:49:01	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	209	100¢	$209	0x53a631…
04-04 02:07:33	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	157	100¢	$157	0x87bfed…
04-03 22:15:41	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	157	100¢	$157	0xc0e596…
04-03 16:20:13	Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	161	100¢	$161	0x1b059e…
04-03 12:01:13	Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	161	100¢	$161	0x7e213c…
04-02 04:17:09	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	223	100¢	$222	0x9724e7…
04-01 22:54:19	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	223	100¢	$222	0x77ff14…
03-31 15:02:55	Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xc72ecf…
03-31 00:18:53	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	163	99¢	$162	0x6f4506…
03-30 20:35:57	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	163	100¢	$162	0x9cd304…
03-30 09:52:36	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	168	100¢	$168	0x3ad22a…
03-30 06:13:02	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	169	100¢	$168	0x64acda…
03-29 15:36:16	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	212	100¢	$211	0xde094f…
03-29 11:59:10	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	212	100¢	$211	0x4e0a13…
03-28 19:33:24	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	212	100¢	$212	0xf858d0…
03-28 11:58:33	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	212	100¢	$212	0x1dc9fe…
03-28 08:24:27	will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	No	SELL	187	100¢	$187	0xa29c71…
03-28 03:40:23	will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	No	BUY	187	100¢	$187	0xa7b72a…
03-27 22:53:17	will ethereum reach 3400 in march 2026	No	SELL	178	100¢	$178	0xa7384b…
03-27 21:26:03	will ethereum reach 3400 in march 2026	No	BUY	178	100¢	$178	0x749ce4…