Flawless-Experiment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

113

lifetime

Volume

$18.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$159

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 06-23 07:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

42% 0% $-2

Sports

38% — —

Crypto

17% — —

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	6	$1.2K	598	598	+0	open	—	03-25 02:55
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$768	386	386	+0	No	$-0	04-02 04:17
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$720	361	361	+0	open	—	03-26 09:54
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$638	319	319	+0	No	$-0	04-04 02:07
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	2	$528	265	265	+0	No	$-0	04-22 04:54
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$514	257	257	+0	open	—	02-22 18:53
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	2	$451	227	227	+0	open	—	02-28 08:11
Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$450	225	225	+0	open	—	02-10 09:00
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$448	224	224	+0	open	—	03-14 07:06
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	2	$448	225	225	+0	No	$-0	03-25 21:37
Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$440	220	220	+0	open	—	02-26 07:43
will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$424	212	212	+0	open	—	03-28 19:33
Will Mallorca win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$424	212	212	+0	open	—	02-10 20:22
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$422	212	212	+0	open	—	03-29 15:36
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$418	209	209	+0	No	$-0	04-14 11:31
Will the New York Rangers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$414	207	207	+0	open	—	02-14 17:41
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	2	$406	203	203	+0	open	—	03-23 07:30
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$400	200	200	+0	open	—	04-18 05:15
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$400	200	200	+0	open	—	03-21 18:30
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$386	193	193	+0	open	—	02-12 10:30
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$380	191	191	+0	open	—	03-11 16:07
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	2	$378	190	190	+0	open	—	04-14 20:27
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	2	$376	188	188	+0	open	—	04-18 07:54
will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	2	$374	187	187	+0	open	—	03-28 08:24
will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$368	184	184	+0	open	—	03-02 02:56
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$366	183	183	+0	open	—	04-16 20:59
Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$364	182	182	+0	open	—	03-22 12:11
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 520 539	2	$358	179	179	+0	open	—	03-01 20:16
will ethereum reach 3400 in march 2026	2	$356	178	178	+0	open	—	03-27 22:53
Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$356	178	178	+0	open	—	03-05 17:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-23 07:43:28	will wti dip to 40 in june 2026 584 727 626	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xbd18fd…
06-08 07:40:49	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x1d0083…
06-07 01:46:39	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xebb61b…
04-22 04:54:40	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	265	100¢	$264	0x8f08f5…
04-22 01:24:22	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	265	100¢	$264	0xa00a87…
04-19 04:47:36	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	SELL	155	100¢	$155	0x5b207c…
04-18 22:32:28	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	155	100¢	$155	0xde6dab…
04-18 19:26:54	Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	168	99¢	$167	0xd3c31a…
04-18 13:16:36	Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	168	100¢	$167	0x0901dc…
04-18 07:54:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	SELL	188	100¢	$188	0xbd315e…
04-18 05:15:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	BUY	188	100¢	$188	0x3124e6…
04-18 05:15:40	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x6d4d6d…
04-17 19:04:00	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xb74b6a…
04-17 13:31:00	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	170	100¢	$170	0x4b908b…
04-17 08:01:20	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	170	100¢	$170	0x042e4f…
04-16 20:59:24	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	183	100¢	$183	0x0ab056…
04-16 15:30:18	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	183	100¢	$183	0x3fd96c…
04-14 20:27:00	Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	190	100¢	$189	0x56be10…
04-14 16:53:08	Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	190	100¢	$189	0x6ca242…
04-14 11:31:27	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	209	100¢	$209	0x82e125…
04-14 06:49:01	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	209	100¢	$209	0x53a631…
04-04 02:07:33	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	157	100¢	$157	0x87bfed…
04-03 22:15:41	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	157	100¢	$157	0xc0e596…
04-03 16:20:13	Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	161	100¢	$161	0x1b059e…
04-03 12:01:13	Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	161	100¢	$161	0x7e213c…
04-02 04:17:09	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	223	100¢	$222	0x9724e7…
04-01 22:54:19	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	223	100¢	$222	0x77ff14…
03-31 15:02:55	Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xc72ecf…
03-31 00:18:53	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	163	99¢	$162	0x6f4506…
03-30 20:35:57	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	163	100¢	$162	0x9cd304…
03-30 09:52:36	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	168	100¢	$168	0x3ad22a…
03-30 06:13:02	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	169	100¢	$168	0x64acda…
03-29 15:36:16	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	212	100¢	$211	0xde094f…
03-29 11:59:10	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	212	100¢	$211	0x4e0a13…
03-28 19:33:24	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	212	100¢	$212	0xf858d0…
03-28 11:58:33	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	212	100¢	$212	0x1dc9fe…
03-28 08:24:27	will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	No	SELL	187	100¢	$187	0xa29c71…
03-28 03:40:23	will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	No	BUY	187	100¢	$187	0xa7b72a…
03-27 22:53:17	will ethereum reach 3400 in march 2026	No	SELL	178	100¢	$178	0xa7384b…
03-27 21:26:03	will ethereum reach 3400 in march 2026	No	BUY	178	100¢	$178	0x749ce4…
03-27 04:20:43	will ethereum reach 3600 in march 2026	No	SELL	158	100¢	$158	0x68d373…
03-26 22:13:33	will ethereum reach 3600 in march 2026	No	BUY	158	100¢	$158	0x214d0b…
03-26 22:13:19	will crude oil cl hit low 45 by end of march 524 288 596 421 318 497 667 674 276 275	No	SELL	161	100¢	$161	0xf407e4…
03-26 16:03:07	will crude oil cl hit low 45 by end of march 524 288 596 421 318 497 667 674 276 275	No	BUY	161	100¢	$161	0x1ae35f…
03-26 09:54:31	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	203	100¢	$203	0xea1d86…
03-26 03:46:41	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	203	100¢	$203	0x3a3594…
03-25 21:37:19	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	225	99¢	$224	0x9b7f61…
03-25 15:17:43	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	225	100¢	$224	0x73399c…
03-25 02:55:01	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	207	100¢	$207	0xe6f7ae…
03-24 20:37:49	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	207	100¢	$207	0xfdefff…
03-24 08:15:13	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	153	100¢	$153	0x7202aa…
03-24 02:05:27	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	153	100¢	$153	0xfb4ed9…
03-23 19:53:15	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	162	100¢	$162	0xcbe46b…
03-23 13:41:47	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	162	100¢	$162	0x7f0292…
03-23 07:30:59	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	SELL	203	100¢	$203	0xfc526d…
03-23 01:18:59	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	203	100¢	$203	0x48869e…
03-23 01:18:41	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	196	100¢	$195	0x606faa…
03-22 20:37:45	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	196	100¢	$195	0xf04356…
03-22 19:07:59	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	157	100¢	$157	0x623f93…
03-22 12:59:59	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	157	100¢	$157	0x59c733…
03-22 12:11:31	Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	182	100¢	$182	0xa641e2…
03-22 06:52:43	Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	182	100¢	$182	0xda7da9…
03-21 18:30:23	Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x0763d8…
03-21 03:59:29	Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x725205…
03-15 11:36:29	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	SELL	154	100¢	$154	0x90b318…
03-15 04:27:09	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	BUY	154	100¢	$154	0x6e2bc7…
03-14 21:17:43	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	194	100¢	$194	0x7723ac…
03-14 14:12:11	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	194	100¢	$194	0x7605ef…
03-14 14:11:51	will ethereum dip to 400 in march 2026	No	SELL	155	100¢	$155	0x963621…
03-14 10:53:29	will ethereum dip to 400 in march 2026	No	BUY	155	100¢	$155	0xa2c0d5…
03-14 07:06:33	Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	224	100¢	$224	0x4fbbde…
03-14 00:03:37	Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	224	100¢	$224	0xf6bac5…
03-12 22:18:47	nba bos okc 2026 03 12	Thunder	BUY	29	72¢	$21	0x3e5435…
03-11 16:07:57	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	191	100¢	$190	0x763666…
03-11 08:53:49	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	191	100¢	$190	0x21a6a6…
03-10 18:28:59	nba det bkn 2026 03 10	Nets	BUY	37	11¢	$4	0xe8904a…
03-07 13:45:29	will ethereum reach 2500 march 2 8	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xf91b0c…
03-05 17:32:55	nba uta was 2026 03 05	Wizards	BUY	52	60¢	$31	0x6a4ab7…
03-05 17:32:33	Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	178	100¢	$178	0x1721ea…
03-05 07:43:09	Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	178	100¢	$178	0x367552…
03-03 18:15:51	nba dal cha 2026 03 03	Hornets	BUY	28	85¢	$24	0x7e671f…
03-03 18:15:17	nba mem min 2026 03 03	Timberwolves	BUY	44	87¢	$38	0x51d6ea…
03-03 18:14:57	will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	No	SELL	123	100¢	$123	0x91eabb…
03-03 00:39:53	will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0xd95cb3…
03-02 10:05:39	nba den uta 2026 03 02	Nuggets	BUY	33	85¢	$28	0xd84b2b…
03-02 10:05:11	nba hou was 2026 03 02	Wizards	BUY	32	11¢	$3	0xe93815…
03-02 10:04:41	nba bos mil 2026 03 02	Celtics	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0xfb52ce…
03-02 02:56:31	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	184	100¢	$184	0x87b11b…
03-01 20:16:47	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	184	100¢	$184	0x118b1c…
03-01 20:16:31	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 520 539	No	SELL	179	100¢	$179	0x4b9c94…
03-01 13:24:19	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 520 539	No	BUY	179	100¢	$179	0xa2543e…
02-28 08:12:55	will ethereum dip to 1200 in february 2026	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x464dd3…
02-28 08:12:35	will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x4c9838…
02-28 08:12:09	Fabric FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x17d966…
02-28 08:11:55	Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	No	SELL	227	99¢	$225	0xcd31de…
02-27 23:10:09	Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	No	BUY	227	100¢	$226	0x9ef4df…
02-26 07:43:28	Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	220	100¢	$220	0x3f533f…
02-25 13:52:52	Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xfd9ce1…
02-25 13:52:28	us strikes iran by february 25 2026	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x884426…
02-25 12:27:30	Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	220	100¢	$220	0xf3eb36…