Idolized-Fresco — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$32

Unrealized P&L

-$303

Hit rate

27.2%

Resolved

Trades

1,718

lifetime

Volume

$1.40M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$817

Open exposure

$1.30K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-30 23:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

67% 67% +$24

Other

22% 100% +$7

Crypto

8% — —

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No		-1,793	$-998	72¢	$-1300	$-303	06-30 15:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	136	$207.4K	115,884	115,749	+136	open	—	01-30 05:01
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	57	$139.5K	134,210	44,210	+90,000	open	—	02-03 22:54
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	55	$128.8K	81,191	83,604	-2,413	open	—	02-28 06:47
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	7	$114.5K	115,000	0	+115,000	open	—	06-03 22:56
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	91	$98.8K	103,198	0	+103,198	open	—	02-28 23:51
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	3	$54.1K	54,767	0	+54,767	open	—	02-03 21:11
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	3	$47.5K	51,104	2,274	+48,830	open	—	03-01 01:28
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	18	$40.5K	40,490	17,109	+23,380	open	—	03-08 21:07
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	1	$32.1K	32,950	0	+32,950	open	—	03-01 01:28
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	25	$29.6K	36,187	6,674	+29,514	open	—	04-14 23:22
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	43	$24.6K	16,805	16,805	+0	open	—	03-20 06:31
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	49	$24.3K	40,254	31,939	+8,315	open	—	05-12 08:45
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	16	$23.2K	14,843	14,843	+0	open	—	06-19 06:11
us x iran meeting by february 6 2026	41	$15.5K	17,084	17,084	+0	open	—	02-06 22:13
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	20	$14.9K	10,089	10,089	+0	open	—	04-23 21:33
nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	82	$14.0K	8,148	7,523	+625	open	—	06-07 21:49
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 9 795	4	$13.7K	26,522	0	+26,522	open	—	03-08 21:07
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	3	$13.3K	12,640	12,640	+0	open	—	01-14 22:00
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	9	$12.9K	14,506	0	+14,506	open	—	01-16 00:02
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	17	$11.9K	9,572	9,572	+0	open	—	01-16 18:22
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	4	$11.5K	10,502	10,502	+0	open	—	01-14 23:06
will trump say happy new year this week december 29 january 4	41	$11.3K	11,850	55	+11,795	open	—	01-04 07:57
another us government shutdown by february 14	28	$11.1K	11,017	11,017	+0	open	—	02-13 06:01
will shehbaz sharif sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950081	3	$10.7K	13,005	0	+13,005	open	—	06-18 07:53
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	5	$9.8K	10,015	10,015	+0	open	—	03-20 21:17
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	15	$8.9K	9,536	5,736	+3,800	open	—	06-17 17:13
will music by john williams john williams win best music film at the 68th annual grammy awards	3	$8.8K	9,165	0	+9,165	open	—	02-01 21:13
will amy allen win songwriter of the year non classical at the 68th annual grammy awards	30	$8.7K	10,945	0	+10,945	open	—	02-01 21:41
will trump visit china by march 31	25	$8.3K	23,580	17,947	+5,633	open	—	03-16 20:55
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	19	$7.8K	9,588	9,588	+0	open	—	01-14 22:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 23:56:32	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	SELL	119	90¢	$107	0xed9875…
06-30 23:55:37	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	SELL	921	90¢	$829	0x215f18…
06-30 23:55:35	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	SELL	25	90¢	$22	0x8aa1eb…
06-30 23:54:49	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0xa349b8…
06-30 22:28:29	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	Yes	SELL	1,632	22¢	$359	0xe87676…
06-30 22:19:19	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	BUY	1,076	13¢	$138	0xfcb1fa…
06-30 22:19:17	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	Yes	BUY	8,357	3¢	$242	0xcbd1a6…
06-30 15:24:25	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	54¢	$540	0xa2e25e…
06-30 15:23:17	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	546	54¢	$295	0xc40af9…
06-30 15:22:40	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	54¢	$1	0x35b56f…
06-30 15:21:55	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	54¢	$2	0x22163a…
06-30 15:21:25	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0xe32699…
06-30 15:21:13	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0x0e9706…
06-30 08:57:14	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	120	65¢	$78	0x7f2629…
06-29 20:15:37	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	SELL	72	62¢	$45	0x4cbfe9…
06-28 20:33:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	427	31¢	$130	0x384d43…
06-28 20:32:02	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0xd42524…
06-28 20:31:56	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	8	33¢	$3	0x4e7ecf…
06-28 20:31:56	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	15	33¢	$5	0x3f5bba…
06-28 20:31:53	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	889	33¢	$293	0xe8c558…
06-28 20:31:53	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0xdf0d5a…
06-28 20:31:53	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	34	33¢	$11	0xc230b6…
06-28 20:31:53	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	426	33¢	$141	0x9de010…
06-28 20:31:53	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	25	33¢	$8	0x91d865…
06-28 20:31:53	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	79	33¢	$26	0x52841c…
06-28 20:31:50	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	200	33¢	$66	0xe3a592…
06-28 20:31:20	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0x326f2e…
06-28 20:22:23	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	2,117	12¢	$254	0xbbc295…
06-23 18:22:28	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	243	61¢	$148	0x8bfb8a…
06-22 08:08:08	starmer out by june 24 2026	Yes	BUY	473	91¢	$430	0xd3a123…
06-22 08:08:08	starmer out by june 24 2026	Yes	BUY	0	91¢	$0	0xcc245e…
06-21 14:01:01	will shehbaz sharif attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204725	No	SELL	589	82¢	$481	0xadc231…
06-21 09:02:37	will shehbaz sharif attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204725	No	BUY	589	59¢	$349	0x748782…
06-21 09:02:28	will jared kushner attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204741	No	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x375ddf…
06-21 09:02:20	will abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremonywill abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204723	No	BUY	21	43¢	$9	0xc4160f…
06-21 09:02:07	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	No	BUY	230	49¢	$112	0xf76db6…
06-21 08:51:22	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	Yes	SELL	250	70¢	$175	0x56aace…
06-21 08:50:07	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	Yes	SELL	218	60¢	$131	0xe01adc…
06-21 08:37:37	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	Yes	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0xe91eb6…
06-21 08:31:23	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	Yes	SELL	11	60¢	$7	0x0f3e80…
06-19 09:07:20	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2,480	65¢	$1,612	0xdc6800…
06-19 09:03:19	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2,480	60¢	$1,488	0x44cd6b…
06-19 07:19:23	will trump speak to mark rutte in june	Yes	BUY	203	84¢	$171	0xb20c65…
06-19 07:19:17	will trump speak to mark rutte in june	Yes	BUY	133	64¢	$85	0x97528c…
06-19 06:11:13	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	SELL	786	96¢	$751	0x1ea63c…
06-19 06:08:56	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	SELL	262	95¢	$250	0x63d7af…
06-19 06:07:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	SELL	1,047	95¢	$1,000	0xb89554…
06-19 06:00:37	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	SELL	2,446	96¢	$2,341	0xcc3aff…
06-19 05:58:38	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	SELL	83	96¢	$79	0x92e0b3…
06-19 05:51:32	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	SELL	377	96¢	$361	0x20ac2f…
06-19 05:37:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	SELL	3,222	95¢	$3,054	0x399240…
06-19 05:23:38	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	SELL	1,067	95¢	$1,012	0xb555fa…
06-19 04:39:22	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x1313c5…
06-19 04:39:02	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	SELL	710	95¢	$673	0x4bbfae…
06-19 03:38:56	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	Yes	SELL	500	29¢	$145	0xf02f43…
06-19 03:37:56	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	Yes	SELL	1,500	29¢	$435	0xdc86ce…
06-19 03:24:43	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	Yes	SELL	1,000	31¢	$310	0x6b98d4…
06-19 02:35:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	SELL	3,987	89¢	$3,544	0x67400d…
06-19 02:26:22	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x04b3da…
06-19 02:26:22	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	SELL	855	89¢	$760	0x022f57…
06-19 01:55:11	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	Yes	SELL	35	35¢	$12	0x0cacd5…
06-19 01:50:46	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	Yes	SELL	4	35¢	$1	0x518a97…
06-19 01:09:02	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	Yes	SELL	286	35¢	$100	0x6e227d…
06-19 01:00:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	BUY	711	70¢	$497	0xe87d8a…
06-19 00:56:53	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	BUY	7,728	63¢	$4,900	0x4723d7…
06-19 00:56:47	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	BUY	6,404	63¢	$4,024	0x3e05a7…
06-19 00:52:38	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	Yes	SELL	1	35¢	$0	0x8e6023…
06-18 22:36:43	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	Yes	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x433b6e…
06-18 22:36:22	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	Yes	SELL	19	35¢	$6	0x713e89…
06-18 21:58:34	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	Yes	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x64c9f0…
06-18 20:17:08	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	Yes	SELL	179	34¢	$61	0x18d99d…
06-18 20:00:10	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	Yes	SELL	71	34¢	$24	0x671fc4…
06-18 16:44:14	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	Yes	SELL	200	30¢	$60	0xa1d7a8…
06-18 16:43:43	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	Yes	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0x961f56…
06-18 16:40:13	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	Yes	SELL	50	30¢	$15	0x908c22…
06-18 07:53:28	will shehbaz sharif sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950081	Yes	BUY	7,461	90¢	$6,701	0xdc9bb9…
06-18 07:52:05	will shehbaz sharif sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950081	Yes	BUY	3,886	74¢	$2,882	0xf49bd1…
06-18 07:51:32	will shehbaz sharif sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950081	Yes	BUY	1,657	65¢	$1,082	0x06e40b…
06-18 06:52:01	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 18 2026	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xb37cfe…
06-17 23:07:58	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	Yes	SELL	600	31¢	$188	0xbfc4fc…
06-17 23:05:34	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	Yes	SELL	14	35¢	$5	0xfe6c4c…
06-17 23:03:07	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	Yes	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0xb15c2a…
06-17 23:02:14	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	Yes	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0x728d54…
06-17 22:51:38	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	Yes	SELL	4	40¢	$2	0x91ee75…
06-17 22:50:31	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xca6903…
06-17 22:49:37	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x96f105…
06-17 22:26:35	will trump physically sign us x iran deal 20260615192526331	No	SELL	1,464	12¢	$176	0x51db85…
06-17 22:26:35	will trump physically sign us x iran deal 20260615192526331	No	SELL	62	12¢	$7	0x47c142…
06-17 22:26:29	will trump physically sign us x iran deal 20260615192526331	No	SELL	152	12¢	$18	0x67c337…
06-17 22:26:13	will trump physically sign us x iran deal 20260615192526331	No	SELL	3	12¢	$0	0x7fced7…
06-17 22:26:11	will trump physically sign us x iran deal 20260615192526331	No	SELL	433	12¢	$52	0x2e3eec…
06-17 22:25:05	will trump physically sign us x iran deal 20260615192526331	No	SELL	736	15¢	$113	0x85e4db…
06-17 22:24:55	will trump physically sign us x iran deal 20260615192526331	No	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0xfed10a…
06-17 22:17:53	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	Yes	BUY	5,489	89¢	$4,859	0xfc5132…
06-17 22:12:16	will trump physically sign us x iran deal 20260615192526331	No	BUY	5,000	8¢	$410	0xec6c8b…
06-17 21:56:08	will shehbaz sharif attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204725	No	SELL	406	50¢	$203	0x4991b3…
06-17 21:52:23	will jd vance attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204739	No	SELL	62	50¢	$31	0x3aee9d…
06-17 21:48:38	will jared kushner attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204741	No	SELL	308	53¢	$163	0x7ceffa…
06-17 21:17:47	will donald trump attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204740	Yes	SELL	200	19¢	$38	0xdff99f…
06-17 21:15:02	will jared kushner attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204741	No	BUY	308	35¢	$109	0x2207f2…