Idolized-Fresco — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$32

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

27.2%

Resolved

Trades

1,787

lifetime

Volume

$1.43M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$799

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-07 09:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

67% 67% +$24

Other

22% 100% +$7

Crypto

8% — —

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	136	$207.4K	115,884	115,749	+136	open	—	01-30 05:01
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	57	$139.5K	134,210	44,210	+90,000	open	—	02-03 22:54
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	55	$128.8K	81,191	83,604	-2,413	open	—	02-28 06:47
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	7	$114.5K	115,000	0	+115,000	open	—	06-03 22:56
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	91	$98.8K	103,198	0	+103,198	open	—	02-28 23:51
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	3	$54.1K	54,767	0	+54,767	open	—	02-03 21:11
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	3	$47.5K	51,104	2,274	+48,830	open	—	03-01 01:28
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	18	$40.5K	40,490	17,109	+23,380	open	—	03-08 21:07
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	1	$32.1K	32,950	0	+32,950	open	—	03-01 01:28
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	25	$29.6K	36,187	6,674	+29,514	open	—	04-14 23:22
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	43	$24.6K	16,805	16,805	+0	open	—	03-20 06:31
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	49	$24.3K	40,254	31,939	+8,315	open	—	05-12 08:45
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	16	$23.2K	14,843	14,843	+0	open	—	06-19 06:11
us x iran meeting by february 6 2026	41	$15.5K	17,084	17,084	+0	open	—	02-06 22:13
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	20	$14.9K	10,089	10,089	+0	open	—	04-23 21:33
nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	82	$14.0K	8,148	7,523	+625	open	—	06-07 21:49
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 9 795	4	$13.7K	26,522	0	+26,522	open	—	03-08 21:07
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	3	$13.3K	12,640	12,640	+0	open	—	01-14 22:00
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	9	$12.9K	14,506	0	+14,506	open	—	01-16 00:02
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	17	$11.9K	9,572	9,572	+0	open	—	01-16 18:22
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	4	$11.5K	10,502	10,502	+0	open	—	01-14 23:06
will trump say happy new year this week december 29 january 4	41	$11.3K	11,850	55	+11,795	open	—	01-04 07:57
another us government shutdown by february 14	28	$11.1K	11,017	11,017	+0	open	—	02-13 06:01
will shehbaz sharif sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950081	3	$10.7K	13,005	0	+13,005	open	—	06-18 07:53
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	5	$9.8K	10,015	10,015	+0	open	—	03-20 21:17
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	15	$8.9K	9,536	5,736	+3,800	open	—	06-17 17:13
will music by john williams john williams win best music film at the 68th annual grammy awards	3	$8.8K	9,165	0	+9,165	open	—	02-01 21:13
will amy allen win songwriter of the year non classical at the 68th annual grammy awards	30	$8.7K	10,945	0	+10,945	open	—	02-01 21:41
will trump visit china by march 31	25	$8.3K	23,580	17,947	+5,633	open	—	03-16 20:55
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	10	$7.9K	10,932	10,932	+0	open	—	08-02 02:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-07 09:04:46	will trump say pelosi in august 20260728220215933	Yes	BUY	185	85¢	$157	0x653914…
08-07 08:53:57	will trump say no no no this week 20260731171246145	Yes	BUY	793	77¢	$609	0x1bfb86…
08-05 04:17:47	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	SELL	407	60¢	$244	0xd6a02b…
08-05 04:17:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x6f7c55…
08-05 04:17:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	SELL	53	60¢	$32	0xfe2ce3…
08-05 04:17:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	SELL	171	60¢	$103	0xe45a42…
08-05 04:17:23	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	SELL	280	60¢	$168	0x1aa05b…
08-05 04:17:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	SELL	3,090	60¢	$1,857	0xf36b56…
08-05 04:13:50	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	SELL	94	65¢	$61	0xd7f2a0…
08-05 04:09:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	SELL	4,873	51¢	$2,501	0xe02134…
08-05 03:43:20	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x1422eb…
08-05 03:38:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0x0acfce…
08-05 03:37:50	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x75435c…
08-05 03:34:41	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	SELL	100	68¢	$68	0x3f4e3b…
08-05 03:32:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	SELL	388	53¢	$206	0xdca416…
08-05 03:30:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	SELL	147	68¢	$100	0xeaa1f3…
08-05 03:30:02	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0xedbda1…
08-05 03:29:39	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x536a0c…
08-05 03:25:59	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	SELL	184	68¢	$125	0xae9654…
08-05 03:20:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0x6a115c…
08-05 03:15:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	SELL	77	68¢	$52	0x61c001…
08-05 02:58:54	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x251c42…
08-05 02:01:02	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	BUY	4,625	64¢	$2,960	0x783758…
08-05 02:00:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	5,271	38¢	$2,022	0x099afe…
08-02 02:29:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	SELL	2,294	18¢	$411	0x659e9d…
08-02 02:29:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	SELL	1,373	34¢	$467	0xaa502b…
08-02 02:16:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	1,167	45¢	$525	0xce4abb…
08-02 02:13:03	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0xf94011…
08-02 02:13:02	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	2,394	45¢	$1,077	0x2564f0…
08-02 02:12:53	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	1	45¢	$1	0x54c49c…
08-02 02:08:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	1	52¢	$1	0xfaf79a…
08-02 02:08:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	11	52¢	$6	0xabe400…
08-02 02:08:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	52¢	$0	0x869251…
08-02 02:08:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x75a9d0…
08-02 02:08:56	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	7,353	52¢	$3,823	0x301b03…
08-02 02:06:20	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	2,294	12¢	$286	0x94edf6…
08-02 02:06:17	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	BUY	1,373	23¢	$310	0xeb731d…
08-02 02:05:48	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	10,932	22¢	$2,446	0xcc86de…
08-02 00:04:57	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in august 20260731154203517	Yes	BUY	228	98¢	$224	0xa2fe31…
08-02 00:04:48	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in august 20260731154203517	Yes	BUY	717	98¢	$702	0x614366…
08-02 00:04:39	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in august 20260731154203517	Yes	BUY	55	98¢	$54	0x5332cd…
08-01 23:50:48	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in august 20260731154203517	Yes	BUY	43	73¢	$31	0x949358…
08-01 23:49:44	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in august 20260731154203517	Yes	BUY	120	71¢	$85	0x1518d5…
07-15 22:15:49	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on july 15 20260708001726331	Yes	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0x119165…
07-11 22:04:07	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on july 11 20260703170519587	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x079b10…
07-11 03:18:46	will trump praise allah again by july 31 20260709152510180	Yes	BUY	1,549	85¢	$1,315	0x085253…
07-10 22:39:56	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in july 20260626154217427	Yes	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0x8de5d2…
07-09 20:02:26	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	1,302	34¢	$443	0x6c1f1c…
07-09 19:59:05	mitch mcconnell votes in the senate by july 31 20260707171829812	Yes	BUY	292	11¢	$32	0x4602ad…
07-09 00:11:08	will graham platner drop out by july 8	Yes	BUY	29	37¢	$11	0x33a18d…
07-08 13:43:31	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	SELL	5,110	4¢	$199	0x19fa5a…
07-08 13:40:32	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	SELL	128	4¢	$5	0x755ddf…
07-08 13:28:44	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	SELL	54	6¢	$3	0xd87489…
07-08 13:28:44	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	SELL	54	6¢	$3	0xa435f0…
07-08 13:28:44	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	SELL	54	6¢	$3	0x98f058…
07-08 13:28:44	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	SELL	22	6¢	$1	0x95a374…
07-08 13:28:41	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	SELL	54	6¢	$3	0x6dddcb…
07-08 13:28:23	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	SELL	3,502	6¢	$200	0xc11828…
07-08 13:28:17	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	SELL	228	6¢	$13	0x167555…
07-08 13:26:59	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	9,206	3¢	$314	0x8c16b8…
07-07 00:27:25	iran successfully targets shipping on july 6 20260625225210247	Yes	SELL	117	17¢	$19	0xf1a2ef…
07-07 00:26:49	iran successfully targets shipping on july 6 20260625225210247	Yes	SELL	1,205	17¢	$200	0xf16b81…
07-07 00:25:16	iran successfully targets shipping on july 6 20260625225210247	Yes	BUY	1,322	7¢	$98	0x5de200…
07-06 22:13:20	will graham platner drop out by july 7	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x1e4c01…
07-05 23:02:52	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	SELL	48	62¢	$30	0x06e973…
07-04 22:02:31	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0xf4d78b…
07-03 10:28:43	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	SELL	1	62¢	$1	0x644de0…
07-03 07:41:16	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	SELL	4	62¢	$2	0xdc654e…
07-03 07:13:02	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	SELL	116	62¢	$72	0x00492e…
06-30 23:56:32	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	SELL	119	90¢	$107	0xed9875…
06-30 23:55:37	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	SELL	921	90¢	$829	0x215f18…
06-30 23:55:35	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	SELL	25	90¢	$22	0x8aa1eb…
06-30 23:54:49	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0xa349b8…
06-30 22:28:29	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	Yes	SELL	1,632	22¢	$359	0xe87676…
06-30 22:19:19	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	BUY	1,076	13¢	$138	0xfcb1fa…
06-30 22:19:17	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	Yes	BUY	8,357	3¢	$242	0xcbd1a6…
06-30 15:24:25	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	54¢	$540	0xa2e25e…
06-30 15:23:17	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	546	54¢	$295	0xc40af9…
06-30 15:22:40	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	54¢	$1	0x35b56f…
06-30 15:21:55	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	54¢	$2	0x22163a…
06-30 15:21:25	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0xe32699…
06-30 15:21:13	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0x0e9706…
06-30 08:57:14	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	120	65¢	$78	0x7f2629…
06-29 20:15:37	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	SELL	72	62¢	$45	0x4cbfe9…
06-28 20:33:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	427	31¢	$130	0x384d43…
06-28 20:32:02	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0xd42524…
06-28 20:31:56	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	8	33¢	$3	0x4e7ecf…
06-28 20:31:56	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	15	33¢	$5	0x3f5bba…
06-28 20:31:53	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	889	33¢	$293	0xe8c558…
06-28 20:31:53	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0xdf0d5a…
06-28 20:31:53	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	34	33¢	$11	0xc230b6…
06-28 20:31:53	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	426	33¢	$141	0x9de010…
06-28 20:31:53	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	25	33¢	$8	0x91d865…
06-28 20:31:53	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	79	33¢	$26	0x52841c…
06-28 20:31:50	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	200	33¢	$66	0xe3a592…
06-28 20:31:20	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0x326f2e…
06-28 20:22:23	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	2,117	12¢	$254	0xbbc295…
06-23 18:22:28	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	243	61¢	$148	0x8bfb8a…
06-22 08:08:08	starmer out by june 24 2026	Yes	BUY	473	91¢	$430	0xd3a123…
06-22 08:08:08	starmer out by june 24 2026	Yes	BUY	0	91¢	$0	0xcc245e…