Idolized-Fresco — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$5.00K

Unrealized P&L

-$845

Hit rate

98.5%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

1,919 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$81.2K

$1.52M lifetime

Avg / trade

$793

Open exposure

$1.84K

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-29 17:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 123 days

Categories

Politics

67% 81% +$104,568

Other

22% 82% +$25,658

Crypto

8% 100% +$460

Sports

2% 100% +$818

Pop-Culture

2% 100% +$2,945

Tech

0% 50% +$891

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No		-1,936	-$1,097	95¢	$-1838	-$741	06-30 15:24
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes		+0	$104	2¢	$0	-$104	09-14 23:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	136	$207.4K	115,884	115,749	+136	Yes	-$606	01-30 05:01
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	57	$139.5K	134,210	44,210	+90,000	Yes	+$5,850	02-03 22:54
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	55	$128.8K	81,191	83,604	-2,413	Yes	+$14,723	02-28 06:47
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	7	$114.5K	115,000	0	+115,000	No	+$460	06-03 22:56
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	91	$98.8K	103,198	0	+103,198	No	+$4,412	02-28 23:51
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	1	$57.9K	59,642	0	+59,642	No	+$1,789	08-30 19:24
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	3	$54.1K	54,767	0	+54,767	No	+$659	02-03 21:11
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	3	$47.5K	51,104	2,274	+48,830	Yes	+$1,615	03-01 01:28
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	18	$40.5K	40,490	17,109	+23,380	Yes	+$5,377	03-08 21:07
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	1	$32.1K	32,950	0	+32,950	Yes	+$801	03-01 01:28
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	25	$29.6K	36,187	6,674	+29,514	No	+$3,704	04-14 23:22
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	62	$25.7K	40,254	36,246	+4,008	No	+$2,698	05-12 08:45
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	43	$24.6K	16,805	16,805	+0	No	+$2,312	03-20 06:31
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	16	$23.2K	14,843	14,843	+0	No	+$4,406	06-19 06:11
us x iran meeting by february 6 2026	41	$15.5K	17,084	17,084	+0	Yes	+$15,163	02-06 22:13
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	20	$14.9K	10,089	10,089	+0	Yes	+$336	04-23 21:33
nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	82	$14.0K	8,148	7,523	+625	Yes	+$347	06-07 21:49
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 9 795	4	$13.7K	26,522	0	+26,522	Yes	+$12,863	03-08 21:07
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	3	$13.3K	12,640	12,640	+0	No	+$642	01-14 22:00
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	9	$12.9K	14,506	0	+14,506	Yes	+$1,640	01-16 00:02
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	17	$11.9K	9,572	9,572	+0	No	-$58	01-16 18:22
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	4	$11.5K	10,502	10,502	+0	No	+$24	01-14 23:06
will trump say happy new year this week december 29 january 4	41	$11.3K	11,850	55	+11,795	Yes	+$601	01-04 07:57
another us government shutdown by february 14	28	$11.1K	11,017	11,017	+0	No	+$4,636	02-13 06:01
will shehbaz sharif sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950081	3	$10.7K	13,005	0	+13,005	Yes	+$2,339	06-18 07:53
Will Anthony Edwards win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?	2	$10.6K	5,596	5,596	+0	open	—	10-29 17:54
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	5	$9.8K	10,015	10,015	+0	Yes	-$198	03-20 21:17
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	15	$8.9K	9,536	5,736	+3,800	Yes	+$3,226	06-17 17:13
will music by john williams john williams win best music film at the 68th annual grammy awards	3	$8.8K	9,165	0	+9,165	Yes	+$373	02-01 21:13
will amy allen win songwriter of the year non classical at the 68th annual grammy awards	30	$8.7K	10,945	0	+10,945	Yes	+$2,205	02-01 21:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 17:54:41	Will Anthony Edwards win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	5,596	96¢	$5,350	0xb46c61…
10-29 17:53:53	Will James Comey be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	552	15¢	$84	0x1da288…
10-29 17:52:50	Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	1,302	90¢	$1,172	0x5bb43c…
10-27 22:48:54	Will Anthony Edwards win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	5,596	93¢	$5,231	0x413a34…
10-26 21:17:23	Will James Comey be arrested before 2027?	Yes	BUY	552	15¢	$82	0xd9970d…
10-23 02:32:30	Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31?	Yes	SELL	800	27¢	$213	0xaa10df…
10-21 20:30:56	Will Donald Trump visit Mississippi in 2026?	Yes	BUY	193	76¢	$147	0xec4e9c…
10-20 02:32:45	Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31?	Yes	SELL	200	41¢	$82	0x7e0d9c…
10-19 21:27:31	Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31?	Yes	SELL	10	37¢	$4	0x688984…
10-19 21:20:49	Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x115285…
10-19 21:20:48	Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31?	Yes	SELL	108	37¢	$40	0x955e66…
10-19 18:41:48	Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31?	Yes	SELL	304	37¢	$112	0xfa1ce5…
10-19 18:34:08	Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	37¢	$0	0x0390d7…
10-19 14:26:18	Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31?	Yes	SELL	414	30¢	$124	0xb795af…
10-19 14:05:41	Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31?	Yes	SELL	150	30¢	$45	0x1ffde8…
10-19 14:04:09	Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31?	Yes	SELL	8	30¢	$2	0x0a3778…
10-19 14:04:05	Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31?	Yes	SELL	800	30¢	$240	0xd7664c…
10-19 14:04:05	Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31?	Yes	SELL	30	30¢	$9	0x09cfe8…
10-19 14:03:33	Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31?	Yes	SELL	25	30¢	$8	0xaef018…
10-19 03:50:23	Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2,854	15¢	$424	0xfbf8be…
10-06 21:09:33	Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin by October 31?	Yes	BUY	234	54¢	$125	0xb1be24…
10-03 22:29:44	Will Jay Clayton be Trump's AI czar?	Yes	SELL	566	90¢	$510	0x72a26e…
10-02 01:09:14	Will Jay Clayton be Trump's AI czar?	Yes	BUY	566	58¢	$328	0x38dff0…
09-14 23:20:10	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,678	17¢	$285	0xc2d5f8…
09-14 23:20:09	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	17¢	$2	0xdfdfb7…
09-14 23:20:09	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	17¢	$3	0xdcb2fb…
09-14 23:20:09	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	17¢	$0	0x00e3e2…
09-14 22:44:31	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	17¢	$6	0x31981d…
09-14 22:41:18	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	17¢	$5	0x4887d8…
09-14 22:40:45	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	136	17¢	$23	0xf478ea…
09-14 22:39:54	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	116	17¢	$20	0x10c886…
09-14 22:36:54	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,574	17¢	$268	0xca998e…
09-14 22:36:24	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	17¢	$0	0x4543b3…
09-14 22:32:54	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,222	17¢	$208	0x72d587…
09-14 22:06:25	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	48	21¢	$10	0x454693…
09-14 22:06:04	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	216	21¢	$45	0xf0bde2…
09-14 22:05:36	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	21¢	$1	0x445204…
09-14 22:04:42	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x5e3f50…
09-14 22:04:34	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x5becf2…
09-14 22:04:19	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0xbfc1df…
09-14 22:04:18	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x94bbdc…
09-14 22:04:16	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0xa5488a…
09-14 22:04:15	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x86472d…
09-14 22:04:13	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x676ef4…
09-14 22:04:10	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,740	21¢	$785	0x707d01…
09-14 21:59:36	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8,868	20¢	$1,774	0x600ee7…
09-11 03:52:12	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in September?	Yes	BUY	130	71¢	$92	0x501770…
09-10 06:01:42	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	SELL	776	37¢	$287	0x28b390…
09-09 21:30:15	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	BUY	13	63¢	$8	0xc47594…
09-09 21:30:15	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x909861…
09-09 21:30:15	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x7885bc…
09-09 21:30:15	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	BUY	30	63¢	$19	0x55969f…
09-09 21:30:15	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x43b110…
09-09 21:30:13	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	BUY	671	62¢	$417	0xcba6b3…
09-09 21:30:13	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x8906bb…
09-09 21:30:13	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x6a3d86…
09-09 21:30:12	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	BUY	13	63¢	$8	0x3bceb1…
09-07 22:17:03	Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on September 7?	Yes	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0xc67103…
08-30 19:24:27	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	No	BUY	59,642	97¢	$57,852	0x7a4408…
08-22 05:54:18	tariff increase on canada in effect by december 31 2026 20260629150405925	Yes	SELL	664	17¢	$114	0xc616c9…
08-22 05:53:27	tariff increase on canada in effect by december 31 2026 20260629150405925	Yes	SELL	150	20¢	$30	0x67e177…
08-22 05:48:18	tariff increase on canada in effect by december 31 2026 20260629150405925	Yes	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0x912672…
08-22 04:19:18	tariff increase on canada in effect by december 31 2026 20260629150405925	Yes	SELL	780	30¢	$236	0x50f055…
08-22 03:59:33	tariff increase on canada in effect by december 31 2026 20260629150405925	Yes	SELL	0	50¢	$0	0xf8cf02…
08-22 03:42:57	tariff increase on canada in effect by december 31 2026 20260629150405925	Yes	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x7304ad…
08-22 03:35:34	tariff increase on canada in effect by december 31 2026 20260629150405925	Yes	BUY	545	65¢	$354	0xc0463b…
08-22 03:34:18	tariff increase on canada in effect by december 31 2026 20260629150405925	Yes	BUY	1,071	51¢	$542	0xd53177…
08-22 02:38:31	will donald trump publicly insult marjorie taylor greene by august 31 2026 20260730161742251	Yes	BUY	156	86¢	$134	0x767ccd…
08-22 02:38:21	will donald trump publicly insult marjorie taylor greene by august 31 2026 20260730161742251	Yes	BUY	43	38¢	$16	0xa7466e…
08-17 22:28:31	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on august 17	Yes	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0xd1d32d…
08-17 02:09:18	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on august 17	Yes	SELL	40	90¢	$36	0x49bb64…
08-17 01:17:37	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on august 17	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x3bd26e…
08-16 20:02:18	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	4,059	38¢	$1,555	0xb8db13…
08-16 19:53:31	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	48	42¢	$20	0x35508a…
08-16 19:48:43	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	BUY	4,108	40¢	$1,643	0x244bb1…
08-07 09:04:46	will trump say pelosi in august 20260728220215933	Yes	BUY	185	85¢	$157	0x653914…
08-07 08:53:57	will trump say no no no this week 20260731171246145	Yes	BUY	793	77¢	$609	0x1bfb86…
08-05 04:17:47	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	SELL	407	60¢	$244	0xd6a02b…
08-05 04:17:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x6f7c55…
08-05 04:17:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	SELL	53	60¢	$32	0xfe2ce3…
08-05 04:17:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	SELL	171	60¢	$103	0xe45a42…
08-05 04:17:23	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	SELL	280	60¢	$168	0x1aa05b…
08-05 04:17:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	SELL	3,090	60¢	$1,857	0xf36b56…
08-05 04:13:50	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	SELL	94	65¢	$61	0xd7f2a0…
08-05 04:09:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	SELL	4,873	51¢	$2,501	0xe02134…
08-05 03:43:20	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x1422eb…
08-05 03:38:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0x0acfce…
08-05 03:37:50	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x75435c…
08-05 03:34:41	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	SELL	100	68¢	$68	0x3f4e3b…
08-05 03:32:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	SELL	388	53¢	$206	0xdca416…
08-05 03:30:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	SELL	147	68¢	$100	0xeaa1f3…
08-05 03:30:02	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0xedbda1…
08-05 03:29:39	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x536a0c…
08-05 03:25:59	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	SELL	184	68¢	$125	0xae9654…
08-05 03:20:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0x6a115c…
08-05 03:15:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	SELL	77	68¢	$52	0x61c001…
08-05 02:58:54	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x251c42…
08-05 02:01:02	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	BUY	4,625	64¢	$2,960	0x783758…
08-05 02:00:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	5,271	38¢	$2,022	0x099afe…
08-02 02:29:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	SELL	2,294	18¢	$411	0x659e9d…