Wan-Snowflake — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$28

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

68.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$201

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 07-17 14:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Other

44% 83% +$21

Politics

42% 67% -$23

Tech

5% 33% -$9

Sports

5% 0% -$11

Crypto

3% 50% -$4

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-17).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	No		+3	$2	57¢	$2	$0	07-17 14:40
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+18	$2	2¢	$0	-$2	07-03 21:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	2	$25	26	+26	No	+$1	05-29 16:26
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	1	$20	30	+30	Yes	+$10	06-20 14:48
trump declassifies new ufo files by july 31	1	$15	94	+94	Yes	-$15	06-26 22:26
trump declassifies new ufo files by june 30 20260612142709367	1	$10	11	+11	No	+$1	06-26 22:25
Will Google say "Banana" during earnings call?	1	$6	9	+9	Yes	+$3	04-20 21:16
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	1	$6	6	+6	No	+$0	04-23 19:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$6	6	+6	No	+$0	06-26 22:27
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	1	$5	6	+6	Yes	-$5	04-20 21:00
Will Trump say "Boy oh boy" this week? (April 20 - 26)	1	$5	11	+11	No	-$5	04-20 21:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 19:35 UTC	1	$5	9	+9	Down	-$5	04-23 19:36
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$5	25	+25	No	-$5	06-20 14:45
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	1	$5	33	+33	No	-$5	04-20 21:14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	1	$5	7	+7	No	+$2	04-20 21:01
will trump be said 10 times during the first joe rogan experience of the week of june 22 20260618145747649	1	$5	10	+10	No	-$5	06-23 21:51
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	1	$5	9	+9	No	+$4	05-09 05:46
Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?	1	$5	6	+6	No	+$1	05-09 05:44
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	06-20 14:43
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	1	$5	7	+7	No	+$2	04-20 20:59
will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 22 2026	1	$5	5	+5	Yes	+$0	06-20 14:42
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	06-20 14:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	1	$5	7	+7	No	+$2	04-20 21:02
Will Trump say "Excursion" or "Journey" this week? (April 20 - 26)	1	$5	6	+6	Yes	+$1	04-20 21:11
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 25, 2026?	1	$5	6	+6	Yes	+$1	04-20 21:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	05-09 05:43
trump declassifies new ufo files by july 15	1	$4	6	+6	Yes	-$4	07-03 21:24
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$3	7	+7	No	-$3	07-17 14:37
Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	1	$3	6	+6	Yes	-$3	04-25 16:10
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	2	$3	7	+7	Yes	+$4	05-11 10:49
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	1	$3	5	+5	England	-$3	07-17 14:38
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	1	$2	18	+18	open	—	07-03 21:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-17 14:40:25	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x4b0c9d…
07-17 14:38:21	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xfb075b…
07-17 14:37:10	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x177f1d…
07-03 21:34:16	mlb pit wsh 2026 07 03	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x46e162…
07-03 21:29:29	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x4b781f…
07-03 21:24:01	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 15	No	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x927252…
07-03 21:22:16	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x880ec8…
06-27 06:26:17	gpt 5pt6 released by july 15 2026	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xbd7705…
06-26 22:27:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x35f75e…
06-26 22:26:38	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 31	No	BUY	94	16¢	$15	0xf20559…
06-26 22:25:56	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 30 20260612142709367	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x1c6d5f…
06-23 21:51:40	will trump be said 10 times during the first joe rogan experience of the week of june 22 20260618145747649	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xe881fb…
06-20 14:48:02	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xf898df…
06-20 14:45:53	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x0edf0c…
06-20 14:44:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xefa502…
06-20 14:43:14	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x959394…
06-20 14:42:41	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xbc13e7…
06-20 14:41:59	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xcc5191…
05-29 16:30:40	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xcdc2e6…
05-29 16:26:10	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x1d468b…
05-11 10:49:11	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x7aace4…
05-09 05:46:14	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	No	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x2d85f3…
05-09 05:44:46	Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x686ba9…
05-09 05:43:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x295af9…
05-09 05:42:58	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x8a5bc9…
04-27 18:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xb33752…
04-25 16:15:14	Will Trump say "Beautiful" or "Wonderful" 12+ times during WHCA Dinner events?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xbed764…
04-25 16:12:12	Google reports Gemini monthly active users above 900M in Q1?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xa328b3…
04-25 16:10:02	Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	No	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x56f162…
04-23 19:41:20	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xbe7219…
04-23 19:36:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 19:35 UTC	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xdf2896…
04-20 21:16:42	Will Google say "Banana" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0x2bdb92…
04-20 21:14:04	Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xa070a1…
04-20 21:11:48	Will Trump say "Excursion" or "Journey" this week? (April 20 - 26)	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x04e289…
04-20 21:11:04	Will Trump say "Boy oh boy" this week? (April 20 - 26)	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x379b15…
04-20 21:06:14	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x5c0ed3…
04-20 21:04:36	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x8a1c71…
04-20 21:02:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x57d012…
04-20 21:01:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x8eb3b7…
04-20 21:00:46	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x326bf7…
04-20 20:59:44	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x227163…