Complex-Republican — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$10.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$135

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 04-24 14:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

59% 0% $-1

Crypto

20% — —

Sports

18% — —

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	4	$716	360	360	+0	open	—	04-16 19:00
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$614	307	307	+0	No	$-0	04-16 13:39
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$609	306	306	+0	No	$-0	04-01 15:23
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$514	258	258	+0	open	—	03-26 08:55
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	2	$416	209	209	+0	open	—	03-25 12:15
will byeong hun an win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$400	200	200	+0	open	—	03-27 00:20
Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$396	198	198	+0	open	—	03-03 19:33
Will the New York Rangers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$384	192	192	+0	open	—	03-02 03:23
will will zalatoris win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$384	193	193	+0	open	—	03-22 16:35
will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	2	$378	189	189	+0	open	—	03-25 07:08
will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	2	$364	182	182	+0	open	—	03-26 19:17
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	2	$364	182	182	+0	open	—	03-22 11:30
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	2	$362	181	181	+0	open	—	03-18 19:33
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$346	173	173	+0	open	—	03-22 01:00
Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$345	173	173	+0	open	—	03-03 02:52
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	2	$342	172	171	+0	open	—	04-15 03:02
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?	2	$334	167	167	+0	open	—	04-24 14:33
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$310	155	155	+0	open	—	04-07 08:41
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$300	150	150	+0	open	—	04-12 16:44
will denny mccarthy win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$300	150	150	+0	open	—	03-30 14:56
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$290	146	146	+0	open	—	03-30 18:50
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$290	145	145	+0	open	—	04-04 01:22
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	2	$288	144	144	+0	No	$-0	04-21 03:25
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	2	$272	136	136	+0	No	$-0	04-04 08:50
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$272	136	136	+0	open	—	04-02 16:06
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	2	$270	135	135	+0	No	$-0	04-16 01:34
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	2	$252	127	127	+0	open	—	04-20 23:11
will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	2	$246	123	123	+0	open	—	03-28 07:13
nba dal cha 2026 03 03	1	$36	42	0	+42	open	—	03-03 19:34
Paradex FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	03-05 17:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-24 14:33:24	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?	No	SELL	167	100¢	$167	0x4b7913…
04-24 11:30:04	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?	No	BUY	167	100¢	$167	0xb51d3b…
04-21 03:25:32	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	144	100¢	$144	0xea957b…
04-20 23:11:22	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	144	100¢	$144	0x38c015…
04-20 23:11:06	Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	127	99¢	$126	0x2d8120…
04-20 18:22:46	Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	127	100¢	$126	0xd1db18…
04-16 19:00:42	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	138	100¢	$138	0x326dd3…
04-16 13:40:10	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	138	100¢	$138	0x8dfc02…
04-16 13:39:52	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	135	100¢	$135	0xe58f6b…
04-16 11:28:48	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0x6016a5…
04-16 01:34:36	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	135	100¢	$135	0xd8edd9…
04-15 23:10:52	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0x7c230d…
04-15 03:02:50	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	No	SELL	171	100¢	$171	0x216147…
04-14 23:06:54	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	No	BUY	172	100¢	$171	0xae349b…
04-12 16:44:41	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	150	100¢	$150	0xef5d8c…
04-12 09:59:23	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xba2171…
04-07 08:41:09	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	155	100¢	$155	0xf4a2d5…
04-07 06:28:59	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	155	100¢	$155	0x85e3a0…
04-04 08:50:17	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	136	100¢	$136	0xf2e4cb…
04-04 04:14:57	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0xb71d87…
04-04 01:22:51	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	145	100¢	$145	0xbc8fb0…
04-03 23:17:03	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	145	100¢	$145	0xa998fb…
04-02 16:06:09	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	136	100¢	$136	0x26ad23…
04-02 05:17:19	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0x166dc7…
04-01 15:23:13	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	159	100¢	$158	0xe67337…
04-01 11:24:59	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	159	100¢	$158	0xca2cfe…
03-31 20:20:41	nba nyk hou 2026 03 31	Knicks	BUY	42	52¢	$22	0xef67c6…
03-31 16:28:37	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	172	100¢	$172	0xbd7821…
03-31 12:30:57	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	172	100¢	$172	0x9de8ea…
03-30 21:51:47	nba phi mia 2026 03 30	Heat	BUY	52	45¢	$23	0x30513e…
03-30 18:50:13	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	146	100¢	$145	0xd1bbfa…
03-30 14:56:27	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	146	100¢	$145	0x9baeab…
03-30 14:56:05	will denny mccarthy win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	150	100¢	$150	0x73c6dd…
03-30 11:00:40	will denny mccarthy win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x871aa5…
03-28 07:13:15	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	SELL	123	100¢	$123	0x416902…
03-28 01:32:37	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0x7219f6…
03-27 18:38:39	nba dal por 2026 03 27	Trail Blazers	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0x37ceae…
03-27 18:38:11	nba lac ind 2026 03 27	Pacers	BUY	37	23¢	$8	0x215838…
03-27 00:20:19	will byeong hun an win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x04c7fb…
03-26 19:17:55	will byeong hun an win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xf1d673…
03-26 19:17:37	will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	No	SELL	182	100¢	$182	0x9025e9…
03-26 14:12:45	will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	No	BUY	182	100¢	$182	0x0b5c31…
03-26 08:55:41	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	128	100¢	$127	0x72dfe9…
03-26 03:47:01	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	128	100¢	$127	0x34644d…
03-25 21:31:45	nba mia cle 2026 03 25	Cavaliers	BUY	26	58¢	$15	0xda79e9…
03-25 21:31:17	nba was uta 2026 03 25	Jazz	BUY	33	62¢	$20	0xc6c2c6…
03-25 21:30:47	nba sas mem 2026 03 25	Spurs	BUY	26	93¢	$24	0xe9a77d…
03-25 21:30:25	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	221	99¢	$220	0x09f6c7…
03-25 17:18:43	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	221	100¢	$220	0x8ce02a…
03-25 12:15:23	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	209	100¢	$208	0xb3a121…
03-25 07:08:39	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	209	100¢	$208	0xb784bc…
03-25 07:08:21	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	SELL	189	100¢	$189	0xe0ea85…
03-25 02:02:43	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	BUY	189	100¢	$189	0xca44bc…
03-24 07:51:57	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	130	100¢	$130	0x6a9ea8…
03-24 02:36:19	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x107162…
03-23 21:41:43	nba tor uta 2026 03 23	Jazz	BUY	46	20¢	$9	0x28753e…
03-23 21:41:07	nba gsw dal 2026 03 23	Warriors	BUY	52	53¢	$28	0x6ec389…
03-23 21:40:39	nba sas mia 2026 03 23	Spurs	BUY	44	61¢	$27	0xfbf7b0…
03-23 12:51:17	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	147	100¢	$146	0x55b7ea…
03-23 10:17:19	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	147	100¢	$147	0xf726aa…
03-22 16:35:23	will will zalatoris win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	193	100¢	$192	0xb41f9c…
03-22 11:30:47	will will zalatoris win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	193	100¢	$192	0x3b3327…
03-22 11:30:29	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	182	100¢	$182	0xaef7fd…
03-22 06:20:27	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	182	100¢	$182	0x14daf4…
03-22 01:00:07	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	173	100¢	$173	0x752124…
03-21 11:40:21	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	173	100¢	$173	0x955ed5…
03-18 19:33:21	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	SELL	181	100¢	$181	0xff1f2c…
03-18 00:43:21	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	181	100¢	$181	0x76323d…
03-14 19:59:59	will bitcoin dip to 60k march 9 15	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x672c9d…
03-08 21:07:49	will bitcoin dip to 61500 on march 8	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xfe2d98…
03-05 17:05:01	Paradex FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x142cc4…
03-03 19:34:43	nba bkn mia 2026 03 03	Nets	BUY	54	16¢	$9	0x9cba2b…
03-03 19:34:13	nba dal cha 2026 03 03	Hornets	BUY	42	86¢	$36	0x3ff172…
03-03 19:33:51	Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	198	100¢	$198	0xfd8822…
03-03 02:53:01	Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	198	100¢	$198	0xb852b3…
03-03 02:52:45	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	173	100¢	$172	0x679065…
03-02 03:23:53	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	173	100¢	$173	0x43e6bf…
03-02 03:23:37	Will the New York Rangers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	192	100¢	$192	0x2686cd…
02-28 06:56:17	Will the New York Rangers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	192	100¢	$192	0x2c3ac0…