Tired-Checking — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.80K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.9%

Resolved

997

Trades

2,837

lifetime

Volume

$119.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$42

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-19

last 11-01 11:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 193 days

Categories

Other

49% 63% -$792

Politics

48% 52% -$4,235

Sports

2% 41% -$45

Tech

1% 75% +$249

Crypto

0% 51% +$19

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

54 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	57	$6.8K	6,132	6,132	+0	No	+$59	03-17 16:10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	40	$5.0K	5,273	5,273	+0	Yes	+$256	06-16 17:21
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	39	$4.9K	4,757	4,757	+0	Yes	-$507	06-21 13:45
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	5	$3.6K	4,241	0	+4,241	Yes	-$3,554	05-08 19:21
Iran leadership change by April 30?	7	$3.1K	1,866	1,866	+0	No	+$357	04-18 18:19
russia military action against kyiv municipality by march 27 387	8	$2.7K	1,843	1,759	+84	No	+$882	03-28 21:55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	27	$2.5K	3,039	3,039	+0	No	-$161	05-29 19:07
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	26	$2.0K	1,658	3,088	-1,431	Yes	-$451	06-14 22:47
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	7	$1.8K	2,385	2,385	+0	open	—	05-29 10:03
russia military action against kyiv municipality by april 10	1	$1.5K	1,518	0	+1,518	Yes	+$18	04-04 13:42
Iran leadership change by March 13?	3	$1.4K	1,600	0	+1,600	No	+$164	03-10 09:09
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?	2	$1.4K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$290	04-10 00:13
iran leadership change by march 31	4	$1.3K	1,571	0	+1,571	No	+$241	03-23 16:41
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	7	$1.3K	740	740	+0	Yes	+$2	06-20 08:04
us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	10	$1.3K	836	836	+0	Yes	-$33	06-14 10:47
Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?	14	$1.2K	906	906	+0	No	+$299	04-09 18:59
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	5	$1.2K	1,520	1,520	+0	No	+$198	04-21 19:36
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	5	$1.2K	746	746	+0	Yes	+$106	06-20 15:28
us and iran sign an agreement by june 30 2026 20260611221049853	5	$1.1K	645	645	+0	Yes	+$124	06-15 16:48
wta mertens rybakin 2026 07 04	11	$1.1K	906	906	+0	Elise Mertens	+$52	07-04 13:45
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	7	$1.1K	778	778	+0	Jakub Mensik	-$14	06-02 21:26
atp atmane dimitro 2026 03 04	1	$1.1K	1,861	0	+1,861	Grigor Dimitrov	+$763	03-05 16:08
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	8	$1.1K	830	830	+0	Yes	-$13	05-25 19:25
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	24	$1.1K	1,527	1,527	+0	No	+$161	04-17 22:53
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	7	$1.1K	1,015	1,015	+0	No	-$38	05-06 17:03
starmer out by july 31 2026	2	$1.0K	519	519	+0	Yes	+$19	06-22 10:25
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?	2	$1.0K	519	519	+0	No	+$18	06-21 17:10
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	14	$1.0K	811	811	+0	No	-$99	04-13 14:39
russia military action against kyiv municipality by april 17	33	$1.0K	3,687	184	+3,503	Yes	-$822	04-15 23:38
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	1	$1.0K	0	2,501	-2,501	Yes	-$1,500	03-03 11:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 11:01:06	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Vit Kopriva	Rinky Hijikata	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x899063…
11-01 10:44:49	Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Harriet Dart	Lilli Tagger	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0xdb0b29…
11-01 09:30:57	Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Harriet Dart	Lilli Tagger	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x450922…
10-31 19:39:37	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xbe5fdf…
10-31 17:37:19	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xb2ea6b…
10-31 14:42:10	Will FC Augsburg vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?	No	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0x348eb7…
10-31 12:41:03	Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xba960e…
10-31 10:00:16	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Harriet Dart	Xinran Sun	BUY	8	84¢	$7	0xcf2e53…
10-31 09:52:37	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Harriet Dart	Xinran Sun	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0x777e22…
10-31 09:31:16	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Harriet Dart	Xinran Sun	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x5f10b7…
10-31 00:32:15	Will Detroit City FC win on 2026-10-30?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x8a7617…
10-30 20:03:39	Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-10-30?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xbd3bba…
10-30 20:03:12	Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-10-30?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xfd0789…
10-30 18:12:19	Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-10-30?	No	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0x670533…
10-30 18:09:55	Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-10-30?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x41b802…
10-30 16:04:30	Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-10-30?	Yes	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0xd06863…
10-30 14:14:07	Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Han Shi	Lilli Tagger	SELL	1	37¢	$0	0xefd8c3…
10-30 13:02:48	Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Han Shi	Lilli Tagger	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x643080…
10-30 11:23:18	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Claire Liu	Xinran Sun	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x1ef14c…
10-30 10:34:13	Pan Pacific Open: Alexandra Eala vs Diana Shnaider	Alexandra Eala	SELL	2	19¢	$0	0x5781e2…
10-30 09:25:15	Pan Pacific Open: Alexandra Eala vs Diana Shnaider	Alexandra Eala	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x0968c2…
10-29 23:22:49	Will CR Vasco da Gama vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x6c004b…
10-29 22:59:15	Swiss Indoors Basel: Ben Shelton vs Jerome Kym	Ben Shelton	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x55077e…
10-29 16:07:38	Will FC Inter Turku win on 2026-10-29?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x336f5e…
10-29 15:18:41	Will El Ahly SC win on 2026-10-29?	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x194fe8…
10-29 15:10:50	Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev	Cameron Norrie	SELL	9	13¢	$1	0x972a95…
10-29 14:45:05	Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev	Cameron Norrie	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0x14aae2…
10-29 14:29:26	Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev	Cameron Norrie	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xcd1844…
10-29 14:12:59	Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev	Cameron Norrie	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x0454e8…
10-29 13:42:20	Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	SELL	2	20¢	$0	0x13f01c…
10-29 13:01:17	Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x129f19…
10-29 10:23:43	Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0xc14d67…
10-28 23:38:56	Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x93e358…
10-28 22:14:50	Swiss Indoors Basel: Hubert Hurkacz vs Holger Rune	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	2	72¢	$2	0x41b3b8…
10-28 22:14:34	Swiss Indoors Basel: Hubert Hurkacz vs Holger Rune	Holger Rune	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0xd3a561…
10-28 22:07:58	Swiss Indoors Basel: Hubert Hurkacz vs Holger Rune	Holger Rune	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xee5f57…
10-28 22:07:50	Swiss Indoors Basel: Hubert Hurkacz vs Holger Rune	Hubert Hurkacz	SELL	2	12¢	$0	0x49a8c8…
10-28 21:39:58	Swiss Indoors Basel: Hubert Hurkacz vs Holger Rune	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xfd00b5…
10-28 21:39:43	Will AC Monza vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xe9e0ec…
10-28 20:47:55	Will AC Monza vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?	No	BUY	6	70¢	$5	0xae3b06…
10-28 20:47:40	Will AC Monza win on 2026-10-28?	No	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0xe2eb39…
10-28 20:31:16	Will AC Monza win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xb5ed90…
10-28 20:30:35	Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	SELL	9	52¢	$5	0xb7eaed…
10-28 18:30:20	Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x46a306…
10-28 18:29:26	Will Hertha BSC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x4925ba…
10-28 17:23:04	Will Hertha BSC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x6dc440…
10-28 14:30:02	Erste Bank Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Brandon Nakashima	Brandon Nakashima	SELL	9	50¢	$5	0x08d072…
10-28 14:03:05	Erste Bank Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Brandon Nakashima	Brandon Nakashima	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x4eaef6…
10-28 12:33:23	Guangzhou Open: Han Shi vs Dayana Yastremska	Han Shi	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xc8400f…
10-28 12:29:16	Guangzhou Open: Han Shi vs Dayana Yastremska	Dayana Yastremska	SELL	2	24¢	$0	0xecb7a4…
10-28 11:59:16	Guangzhou Open: Han Shi vs Dayana Yastremska	Dayana Yastremska	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x4e38ff…
10-28 10:48:31	Guangzhou Open: Harriet Dart vs Janice Tjen	Janice Tjen	SELL	2	22¢	$0	0xa98282…
10-28 10:28:05	Guangzhou Open: Harriet Dart vs Janice Tjen	Janice Tjen	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x991658…
10-27 23:26:27	Will Ceará SC vs. Goiás EC end in a draw?	No	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x691fd8…
10-27 23:12:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	9	46¢	$4	0x8db279…
10-27 23:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0x5761f3…
10-27 23:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xa77353…
10-27 23:02:27	Erste Bank Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Grigor Dimitrov	Flavio Cobolli	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xe0f150…
10-27 22:58:00	Brest: Stefano Travaglia vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert	Pierre-Hugues Herbert	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xf3083d…
10-27 21:25:23	Erste Bank Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Grigor Dimitrov	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x2d6e8d…
10-27 17:27:59	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd60304…
10-27 17:14:57	Queretaro: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Emiliana Arango	Emiliana Arango	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0xd1faeb…
10-27 17:00:02	Queretaro: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Emiliana Arango	Emiliana Arango	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x32ac34…
10-27 14:38:32	Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xec9452…
10-27 12:37:21	Swiss Indoors Basel: Hubert Hurkacz vs Zizou Bergs	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x5d6aca…
10-27 09:52:09	Guangzhou Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Claire Liu	Antonia Ruzic	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x96e532…
10-27 09:17:27	Guangzhou Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Claire Liu	Antonia Ruzic	SELL	10	89¢	$9	0x5a346e…
10-27 09:15:50	Guangzhou Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Claire Liu	Antonia Ruzic	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x6fbb5e…
10-27 09:05:03	Antonia Ruzic vs. Claire Liu: Total Sets O/U 2.5	Over 2.5	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xd33826…
10-26 15:50:26	Erste Bank Open: Tomas Machac vs Alex de Minaur	Tomas Machac	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0x9176e3…
10-26 15:15:14	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	9	63¢	$6	0xfa58b2…
10-26 15:10:41	Erste Bank Open: Tomas Machac vs Alex de Minaur	Tomas Machac	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0xf9157a…
10-26 13:21:18	Erste Bank Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Tomas Etcheverry	Matteo Berrettini	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0x08ea38…
10-26 11:04:39	Guangzhou Open: Harriet Dart vs Tatiana Prozorova	Harriet Dart	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xe5b635…
10-26 10:53:26	Guangzhou Open: Harriet Dart vs Tatiana Prozorova	Harriet Dart	SELL	2	25¢	$0	0x986b9c…
10-26 09:38:50	Guangzhou Open: Harriet Dart vs Tatiana Prozorova	Harriet Dart	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x028e4e…
10-26 00:26:38	Will Sporting CP vs. Académico de Viseu FC end in a draw?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x2099c1…
10-25 22:57:35	Will Liverpool Montevideo win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xf8623f…
10-25 22:14:47	Will Beitar Jerusalem FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa13bb4…
10-25 22:14:11	Will Sporting CP win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	1	17¢	$0	0xbd896e…
10-25 21:02:24	Will Sporting CP vs. Académico de Viseu FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x27c995…
10-25 20:39:54	Will Sporting CP win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x53cbe3…
10-25 20:33:00	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	No	SELL	9	75¢	$6	0xc3834c…
10-25 20:11:54	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	7	80¢	$6	0xcfc0ca…
10-25 20:11:27	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0x442d9f…
10-25 18:25:18	Will Beitar Jerusalem FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x0b7230…
10-25 17:50:17	Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x950c64…
10-25 17:42:32	Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x4cb724…
10-25 15:28:45	Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xe7cd73…
10-25 15:28:32	Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	7	31¢	$2	0x422341…
10-25 15:11:09	Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0x4428ff…
10-25 15:07:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	75¢	$3	0xbd1470…
10-25 15:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0xea1cfc…
10-25 15:02:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0x722c3d…
10-25 15:00:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x22eb42…
10-25 14:56:09	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-25?	No	SELL	6	59¢	$4	0x71b313…
10-25 14:51:03	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0x1cc563…
10-25 14:47:51	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x4d6cf7…
10-25 14:45:48	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x404e45…
10-25 14:44:26	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-25?	No	SELL	12	15¢	$2	0xd99ea3…