Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$22

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

70.2%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

140 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$246

$2.81K lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

$16

4 positions

First seen

2026-08-04

last 11-01 20:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 62% +$76

Politics

2% 100% +$4

Other

1% 50% -$5

Tech

0% 0% —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+7	$5	100¢	$7	+$2	10-30 22:05
Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?	Yes	+44	$10	16¢	$7	-$3	10-30 21:57
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+455	$5	0¢	$2	-$3	10-30 22:52
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	+71	$1	1¢	$0	-$1	10-30 22:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 00:55 UTC	6	$435	399	399	+0	Up	+$185	08-05 01:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 23:30 UTC	9	$320	182	182	+0	Up	+$14	08-04 23:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 00:45 UTC	4	$207	128	128	+0	Down	+$7	08-05 00:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 23:35 UTC	4	$203	125	125	+0	Down	+$3	08-04 23:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 00:50 UTC	4	$150	142	142	+0	Down	$0	08-05 00:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 00:10 UTC	16	$138	192	192	+0	Up	-$12	08-05 00:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 03:05 UTC	3	$125	202	0	+202	Up	-$62	08-05 03:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 02:55 UTC	3	$118	166	66	+100	Down	+$14	08-05 03:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 23:50 UTC	6	$114	68	68	+0	Down	+$2	08-04 23:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 00:00 UTC	2	$107	72	72	+0	Down	+$7	08-05 00:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 00:40 UTC	2	$101	51	51	+0	Down	+$1	08-05 00:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 00:35 UTC	3	$100	571	35	+536	Down	-$50	08-05 00:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 23:45 UTC	4	$92	87	87	+0	Down	-$18	08-04 23:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 00:15 UTC	4	$76	71	71	+0	Down	+$2	08-05 00:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 03:10 UTC	2	$75	144	0	+144	Down	-$12	08-05 03:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 00:20 UTC	4	$74	73	73	+0	Up	+$0	08-05 00:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	3	$53	116	114	+2	Down	+$1	11-01 19:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 00:05 UTC	2	$53	117	0	+117	Down	+$14	08-05 00:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 23:55 UTC	1	$50	52	0	+52	Down	+$2	08-04 23:58
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$38	56	56	+0	open	—	10-30 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	4	$15	9	9	+0	Up	+$1	10-30 22:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	6	$13	10	10	+0	Up	+$1	10-30 22:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 23:20 UTC	2	$12	7	7	+0	Down	+$2	08-04 23:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	2	$11	16	16	+0	Down	+$1	10-22 02:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	5	$11	103	6	+96	Up	-$1	11-01 19:54
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	09-15 19:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	2	$10	11	11	+0	Down	+$0	10-30 22:57
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	1	$10	50	0	+50	No	-$10	10-30 21:54
Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?	1	$10	44	0	+44	open	—	10-30 21:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 23:25 UTC	2	$10	23	0	+23	Down	-$2	08-04 23:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 20:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0x5c93d1…
11-01 20:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x6dc389…
11-01 19:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x0f45f5…
11-01 19:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x333b48…
11-01 19:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x4d5cbb…
11-01 19:56:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xdb9194…
11-01 19:54:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	96	2¢	$2	0xec1fbd…
11-01 19:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x1223c9…
11-01 19:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xfcbf59…
11-01 19:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	4	63¢	$3	0xa9c4e8…
11-01 19:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xd8ec5e…
11-01 19:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x98924e…
11-01 19:45:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	114	23¢	$26	0xb5522e…
11-01 19:45:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	114	22¢	$25	0xb8581e…
10-30 22:57:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	11	46¢	$5	0x7deed7…
10-30 22:56:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x009603…
10-30 22:52:13	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	455	1¢	$5	0x9e8130…
10-30 22:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	76¢	$3	0x1d6ae3…
10-30 22:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xf5ab48…
10-30 22:46:30	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x4e2c4c…
10-30 22:45:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0xb8bbf7…
10-30 22:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x26abb7…
10-30 22:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x830efb…
10-30 22:42:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x7f492f…
10-30 22:41:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	7	79¢	$5	0x7ab74c…
10-30 22:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xf78923…
10-30 22:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	73¢	$3	0xe9ed91…
10-30 22:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x63869c…
10-30 22:07:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0xbd0afa…
10-30 22:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x136d86…
10-30 22:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	3	62¢	$2	0xcc2b10…
10-30 22:06:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x2366dc…
10-30 22:05:46	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xe7a93c…
10-30 22:05:12	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x3c38f9…
10-30 22:04:10	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0xbd7739…
10-30 22:03:01	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x752db0…
10-30 22:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x814a0a…
10-30 21:59:16	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	56	41¢	$23	0xc20ff8…
10-30 21:57:30	Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?	Yes	BUY	44	23¢	$10	0x0b44e7…
10-30 21:56:10	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd1f64d…
10-30 21:54:48	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	204	2¢	$5	0xa75cbc…
10-30 21:54:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xef5776…
10-22 02:11:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	16	36¢	$6	0x54b3a2…
10-22 02:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x7ccd90…
10-22 02:10:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	68	7¢	$5	0xbcca5c…
10-22 02:05:45	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x5577c0…
10-22 02:04:44	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	56	27¢	$15	0x2b9cfb…
10-04 23:22:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 23:20 UTC	Up	SELL	3	83¢	$2	0xb61379…
10-04 23:22:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 23:20 UTC	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xc21f7f…
09-15 19:07:15	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	6	94¢	$5	0x6027a0…
09-15 19:07:07	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	167	1¢	$2	0xb23d30…
09-15 18:16:15	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x05741b…
09-12 15:24:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x158884…
09-12 15:22:06	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x12cd9b…
09-12 15:20:03	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x239e40…
08-05 03:10:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 03:10 UTC	Down	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0x400adc…
08-05 03:10:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 03:10 UTC	Up	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0x3db504…
08-05 03:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x19944e…
08-05 03:05:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 03:05 UTC	Up	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0xe35a62…
08-05 03:05:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 03:05 UTC	Down	BUY	85	59¢	$50	0xe36fe1…
08-05 03:00:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 02:55 UTC	Down	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0x2e37be…
08-05 02:59:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 02:55 UTC	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x6d09ec…
08-05 02:58:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 02:55 UTC	Down	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0x9ca0fe…
08-05 01:00:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 00:55 UTC	Up	SELL	208	88¢	$183	0x1693e5…
08-05 00:59:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 00:55 UTC	Up	BUY	208	12¢	$25	0xe62393…
08-05 00:58:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 00:55 UTC	Up	SELL	114	67¢	$76	0xbfa51e…
08-05 00:55:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 00:55 UTC	Up	BUY	114	44¢	$50	0x976786…
08-05 00:55:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 00:55 UTC	Up	SELL	78	65¢	$50	0xbe0402…
08-05 00:55:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 00:55 UTC	Up	BUY	78	65¢	$50	0xe9c656…
08-05 00:52:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 00:50 UTC	Up	SELL	42	38¢	$16	0xeb5367…
08-05 00:52:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 00:50 UTC	Down	SELL	100	59¢	$59	0x90888f…
08-05 00:50:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 00:50 UTC	Up	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x974afb…
08-05 00:50:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 00:50 UTC	Down	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xdb4f82…
08-05 00:48:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 00:45 UTC	Down	SELL	53	93¢	$49	0x7abdcb…
08-05 00:48:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x51a7e1…
08-05 00:47:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 00:45 UTC	Down	SELL	76	77¢	$58	0x9123e5…
08-05 00:46:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0x2dfd46…
08-05 00:45:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 00:40 UTC	Down	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0x0fa027…
08-05 00:44:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x6654d9…
08-05 00:39:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 00:35 UTC	Up	BUY	536	9¢	$50	0x9fd5df…
08-05 00:36:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 00:35 UTC	Up	SELL	35	72¢	$25	0x69ad1f…
08-05 00:36:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 00:35 UTC	Up	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x6cb1ba…
08-05 00:22:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 00:20 UTC	Down	SELL	39	57¢	$22	0xe2dd7d…
08-05 00:22:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 00:20 UTC	Up	SELL	34	45¢	$15	0xfc9fe5…
08-05 00:22:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	34	36¢	$12	0x5839d4…
08-05 00:22:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 00:20 UTC	Down	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0xf03073…
08-05 00:19:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 00:15 UTC	Down	SELL	29	64¢	$18	0x36741c…
08-05 00:19:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 00:15 UTC	Up	SELL	43	48¢	$20	0x78e036…
08-05 00:16:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	43	59¢	$25	0x73fd69…
08-05 00:16:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	29	42¢	$12	0x144ee5…
08-05 00:13:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 00:10 UTC	Up	SELL	31	38¢	$12	0x595654…
08-05 00:13:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 00:10 UTC	Up	SELL	4	33¢	$1	0x36f8aa…
08-05 00:13:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 00:10 UTC	Up	SELL	4	33¢	$1	0x20d508…
08-05 00:13:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 00:10 UTC	Up	SELL	4	34¢	$1	0xab932c…
08-05 00:13:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 00:10 UTC	Up	SELL	4	34¢	$1	0x8bc77c…
08-05 00:13:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 00:10 UTC	Up	SELL	4	32¢	$1	0x41c9dc…
08-05 00:13:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 00:10 UTC	Up	SELL	4	33¢	$1	0x2c718d…
08-05 00:13:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 00:10 UTC	Up	SELL	4	33¢	$1	0x12b59d…
08-05 00:13:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 00:10 UTC	Up	SELL	4	34¢	$1	0xb7453d…
08-05 00:13:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 00:10 UTC	Up	SELL	4	34¢	$1	0x8181e2…