Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
37
lifetime
Volume
$352
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$234
14 positions
First seen
2026-06-01
last 06-11 11:36
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
50%
Politics
39%
Crypto
8%
Tech
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027? No +111 $100 90¢ $101 +$1 06-08 13:46
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +60 $56 94¢ $56 +$0 06-08 02:30
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +28 $25 92¢ $25 +$0 06-04 10:22
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +11 $10 94¢ $10 +$0 06-04 10:23
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? No +16 $11 60¢ $10 $-1 06-11 11:34
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +10 $9 92¢ $9 $-0 06-07 09:09
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 06-06 11:24
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 $-0 06-01 02:13
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No -6 $-6 56¢ $-3 +$2 06-08 02:20
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +2 $2 90¢ $2 +$0 06-06 11:24
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +2 $2 94¢ $2 +$0 06-04 12:54
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? No +2 $2 92¢ $2 +$0 06-04 10:24
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 92¢ $2 $-0 06-06 11:23
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +1 $1 76¢ $1 $-0 06-04 10:26