Medium-Spill 0x3c67fb…7de1a8 Create alert
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Realized P&L
-$372
Unrealized P&L
-$3.03K
Hit rate
56.1%
Resolved
58
Trades
977
lifetime
Volume
$30.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$31
Open exposure
$8.76K
17 positions
First seen
2026-06-02
last 11-02 07:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Crypto
61% 31% +$433
Other
25% 0% -$231
Politics
13% 0% -$424
Tech
2% 0% -$150
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
34 active days in 12wk • peak 537 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026? Yes +2,700 $2,146 74¢ $2.0K -$155 11-01 10:38
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? Yes +3,000 $1,498 52¢ $1.5K +$47 09-29 18:26
Papertrade FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +2,500 $1,030 62¢ $1.5K +$507 11-02 07:02
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +669 $635 97¢ $651 +$16 10-17 09:20
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? Yes +2,000 $495 25¢ $492 -$3 11-01 11:31
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? Yes +5,000 $600 10¢ $475 -$125 09-21 17:40
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026? No +7,062 $1,625 6¢ $438 -$1,188 10-27 16:38
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +1,000 $390 44¢ $435 +$45 10-07 14:09
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +20,000 $1,169 2¢ $390 -$779 10-24 03:43
Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,088 $383 8¢ $262 -$121 10-20 14:48
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? Yes +359 $187 53¢ $190 +$4 09-30 06:09
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +7,500 $1,368 2¢ $150 -$1,218 10-20 14:12
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +1,000 $160 12¢ $120 -$40 10-07 14:02
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026? Yes +61 $28 94¢ $58 +$30 10-09 17:15
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +669 $41 3¢ $18 -$23 10-15 22:59
Will Oura's market cap be between $7.5B and $10B at market close on IPO day? Yes +2,000 $30 0¢ $8 -$22 09-29 02:18
Will Oura's market cap be between $10B and $12.5B at market close on IPO day? Yes +428 $9 1¢ $4 -$4 09-29 12:25