First-Institute — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$21

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$11.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$176

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-27

last 05-17 15:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

100% 97% +$21

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-17).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 15?	4	$3.1K	1,552	1,552	+0	No	+$1	05-15 02:05
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on May 15?	2	$1.7K	864	864	+0	Yes	+$1	05-15 10:23
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 15?	6	$1.6K	780	780	+0	Yes	+$2	05-15 10:24
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on May 15?	5	$1.2K	611	611	+0	No	+$0	05-14 16:07
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on May 15?	3	$662	332	332	+0	No	+$2	05-15 06:14
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on May 15?	4	$600	300	300	+0	No	+$0	05-14 16:08
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C or below on May 15?	3	$350	355	0	+355	No	+$5	05-15 03:49
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 14?	3	$292	147	147	+0	No	+$1	05-14 16:08
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on May 14?	2	$220	110	110	+0	No	+$0	05-14 16:08
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 15?	2	$202	102	102	+0	Yes	+$2	05-15 10:24
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 15?	2	$201	101	101	+0	No	+$1	05-15 06:13
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on May 14?	2	$160	80	80	+0	Yes	+$0	05-14 16:08
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on May 15?	3	$142	72	72	+0	No	+$2	05-15 10:24
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on May 15?	2	$121	61	61	+0	No	+$1	05-15 00:58
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on May 14?	2	$120	60	60	+0	No	+$0	05-14 16:08
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on May 15?	1	$100	101	0	+101	No	+$1	05-14 23:28
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C or below on May 15?	2	$80	40	40	+0	No	+$0	05-15 06:16
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on May 15?	2	$60	31	31	+0	No	+$0	05-14 16:09
highest temperature in taipei on march 22 2026 23c	1	$51	51	0	+51	No	+$0	03-22 03:21
highest temperature in taipei on march 21 2026 26corhigher	1	$50	51	0	+51	No	+$0	03-21 02:04
highest temperature in taipei on march 20 2026 23c	1	$50	50	0	+50	Yes	+$0	03-20 12:33
highest temperature in shanghai on march 20 2026 9c	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	03-19 14:32
elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 140 164	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	03-18 08:17
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 320 339	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	03-17 12:12
highest temperature in taipei on march 24 2026 30c	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	03-24 06:10
elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 40 64	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	03-22 16:11
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on May 14?	2	$40	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	05-14 16:09
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on May 17?	2	$35	18	18	+0	No	+$1	05-17 15:41
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$30	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	01-27 15:16
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 15?	2	$28	14	14	+0	No	+$0	05-15 10:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 15:41:13	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on May 17?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xd9a30e…
05-15 10:24:33	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 15?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x20a49f…
05-15 10:24:28	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on May 15?	No	SELL	72	100¢	$72	0x7471f2…
05-15 10:24:17	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 15?	Yes	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0x4431a7…
05-15 10:24:03	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 15?	Yes	SELL	780	100¢	$780	0x800de0…
05-15 10:23:48	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on May 15?	Yes	SELL	864	100¢	$863	0xf5a712…
05-15 10:04:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	864	100¢	$862	0xcc8ebb…
05-15 10:03:02	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x455842…
05-15 10:02:46	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	401	100¢	$400	0xe73b4d…
05-15 09:01:31	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x7f0dbd…
05-15 09:01:20	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x79835e…
05-15 09:00:58	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	169	99¢	$168	0xf95032…
05-15 08:30:15	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on May 15?	No	BUY	62	97¢	$60	0x1e8e3a…
05-15 08:30:03	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on May 15?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xb3333d…
05-15 07:58:33	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 15?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xae5888…
05-15 07:58:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x7916da…
05-15 06:16:47	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C or below on May 15?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xa916df…
05-15 06:14:01	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on May 15?	No	SELL	332	100¢	$332	0x2e9147…
05-15 06:13:43	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 15?	No	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0xfd60d3…
05-15 05:01:35	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on May 15?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x4a9be1…
05-15 04:49:47	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on May 15?	No	BUY	182	99¢	$180	0x8d615b…
05-15 03:49:56	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C or below on May 15?	No	BUY	121	99¢	$120	0xeb5d10…
05-15 02:43:38	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C or below on May 15?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x46d09b…
05-15 02:42:12	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C or below on May 15?	No	BUY	203	98¢	$200	0x03a05a…
05-15 02:42:00	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C or below on May 15?	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x981d9f…
05-15 02:25:36	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 15?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x42c22a…
05-15 02:05:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 15?	No	SELL	1,552	100¢	$1,551	0x5478fa…
05-15 01:59:16	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 15?	No	BUY	801	100¢	$800	0x302bc6…
05-15 01:41:53	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 15?	No	BUY	501	100¢	$500	0xc71eea…
05-15 01:20:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 15?	No	BUY	251	100¢	$250	0x52c194…
05-15 00:58:26	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on May 15?	No	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0x1fac7f…
05-15 00:24:57	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on May 15?	No	BUY	61	99¢	$60	0xfbb3c4…
05-14 23:28:11	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on May 15?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x9e6fef…
05-14 16:09:15	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on May 14?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x274c75…
05-14 16:09:08	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on May 15?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$30	0xf82254…
05-14 16:08:58	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on May 14?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x389dfb…
05-14 16:08:44	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on May 14?	Yes	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0x05f2dc…
05-14 16:08:25	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on May 14?	No	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0x71aa9d…
05-14 16:08:12	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 14?	No	SELL	147	100¢	$146	0x6f3439…
05-14 16:08:04	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on May 15?	No	SELL	300	100¢	$300	0x9121b1…
05-14 16:07:51	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on May 15?	No	SELL	611	100¢	$610	0x964e74…
05-14 15:57:55	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on May 14?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xf55edd…
05-14 15:49:46	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on May 15?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x95a503…
05-14 15:19:28	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on May 15?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xdf9dd8…
05-14 15:19:21	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on May 15?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xb3a7d2…
05-14 15:19:11	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on May 15?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x01e76f…
05-14 15:19:05	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on May 15?	No	BUY	270	100¢	$270	0x0a3fc5…
05-14 15:18:55	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on May 15?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x9716f3…
05-14 15:18:48	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on May 15?	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xde1421…
05-14 15:18:04	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on May 15?	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0xbd7e6e…
05-14 08:43:37	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on May 17?	No	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0xa757ed…
05-14 08:38:33	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xf25b05…
05-14 08:38:22	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 14?	No	BUY	141	100¢	$140	0xa80e01…
05-14 08:38:01	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on May 14?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x9040ca…
05-14 08:37:47	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5f9d76…
05-14 08:00:32	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 14?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x8fa24c…
03-24 06:10:37	highest temperature in taipei on march 24 2026 30c	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xecef77…
03-22 16:11:35	elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 40 64	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb0b52f…
03-22 03:21:13	highest temperature in taipei on march 22 2026 23c	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0x9ec95e…
03-21 02:04:27	highest temperature in taipei on march 21 2026 26corhigher	No	BUY	51	100¢	$50	0xff22e8…
03-20 12:33:53	highest temperature in taipei on march 20 2026 23c	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1216c4…
03-19 14:32:21	highest temperature in shanghai on march 20 2026 9c	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xaf2cd2…
03-18 08:17:29	elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 140 164	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd1e93c…
03-17 12:12:35	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 320 339	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x4c37cf…
01-27 15:16:29	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xe97d04…