Nifty-Fortune — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$2

Unrealized P&L

-$13

Hit rate

76.7%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

40 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$1.26K

$1.26K lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

$23

1 position

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-06 05:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 70% $-2

Other

10% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
BNB Up or Down - May 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up		+44	$36	52¢	$23	$-13	05-06 05:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	1	$50	62	+62	open	—	05-06 03:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	1	$50	62	+62	open	—	05-06 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	1	$50	68	+68	open	—	05-06 03:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	1	$50	93	+93	open	—	05-06 02:54
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	1	$50	156	+156	open	—	05-05 20:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	1	$50	56	+56	open	—	05-06 01:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	1	$50	56	+56	open	—	05-05 17:44
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$50	63	+63	open	—	05-05 20:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	1	$50	60	+60	open	—	05-06 03:39
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	1	$50	59	+59	open	—	05-05 17:24
BNB Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	1	$50	56	+56	open	—	05-05 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	1	$50	66	+66	open	—	05-06 03:49
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	1	$50	64	+64	open	—	05-05 19:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	1	$50	60	+60	open	—	05-06 02:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	1	$49	58	+58	open	—	05-05 17:54
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	1	$43	49	+49	open	—	05-05 22:39
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	1	$43	51	+51	open	—	05-05 15:29
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	1	$40	50	+50	open	—	05-05 22:29
BNB Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	1	$40	50	+50	open	—	05-06 00:39
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	1	$40	50	+50	open	—	05-06 03:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	1	$39	63	+63	open	—	05-06 03:14
BNB Up or Down - May 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	1	$36	44	+44	open	—	05-06 05:29
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	1	$36	40	+40	open	—	05-05 19:34
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	1	$34	66	+66	open	—	05-05 20:54
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	1	$31	41	+41	open	—	05-06 03:19
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	1	$31	37	+37	open	—	05-05 20:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	1	$31	38	+38	open	—	05-05 15:44
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	1	$19	22	+22	open	—	05-06 02:39
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	1	$15	17	+17	open	—	05-05 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$5	7	+7	Down	$-5	05-04 22:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 05:29:48	BNB Up or Down - May 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	44	81¢	$36	0x307233…
05-06 03:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0x9d9bc0…
05-06 03:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0x98ae1d…
05-06 03:39:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	60	84¢	$50	0x39c14e…
05-06 03:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0xc1bd10…
05-06 03:29:48	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0x551d50…
05-06 03:19:48	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	41	76¢	$31	0xe8cf44…
05-06 03:14:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	63	62¢	$39	0x83a7c3…
05-06 02:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0x698458…
05-06 02:44:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0xcd293b…
05-06 02:39:52	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	22	88¢	$19	0xb9c88b…
05-06 01:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0xc8b69a…
05-06 01:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0x4c7a6b…
05-06 00:39:48	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0x3bec47…
05-05 22:39:48	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	49	89¢	$43	0x10dd53…
05-05 22:29:58	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0x7a606b…
05-05 20:54:54	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	66	51¢	$34	0xd5ae9f…
05-05 20:49:56	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	156	32¢	$50	0xe2e717…
05-05 20:29:56	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	37	84¢	$31	0xc1e5a0…
05-05 20:14:48	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	63	80¢	$50	0x0bcc08…
05-05 19:54:56	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	64	79¢	$50	0x42264e…
05-05 19:34:56	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	40	89¢	$36	0xbaac89…
05-05 17:54:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	58	84¢	$49	0xa455a0…
05-05 17:49:50	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0xd71183…
05-05 17:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0x198007…
05-05 17:24:48	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0x86e3ee…
05-05 16:14:50	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0xc368ab…
05-05 15:44:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	38	81¢	$31	0x936983…
05-05 15:29:54	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	51	84¢	$43	0xd43c98…
05-05 14:34:52	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x0ed93c…
05-05 04:14:38	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x16d12b…
05-05 03:29:20	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x18ed1b…
05-05 03:24:06	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x89b357…
05-05 00:39:52	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xddd2f3…
05-04 23:44:36	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3f5bc9…
05-04 22:54:32	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xb29dd4…
05-04 22:29:40	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xf63ada…
05-04 22:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x3d8c0d…
05-04 22:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x194711…
05-04 21:19:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xf6eea6…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	20	$690	56	05-06 03:54
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	13	$1.82K	81	05-06 03:54
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	12	$1.67K	90	05-06 03:48
Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc	12	$1.10K	62	05-06 02:44
Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9	9	$944	42	05-06 03:54
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	9	$673	48	05-06 02:44
Queasy-Thrift 0x02fe…a6f3	8	$1.72K	31	05-06 03:54
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	8	$1.58K	144	05-06 03:54