Lawful-Warrant — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$874

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-30 10:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

52% 100% +$0

Crypto

44% 100% +$0

Politics

4% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	1	$158	158	+158	open	—	05-30 10:56
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$147	148	+148	open	—	05-26 18:03
Nexus FDV above $300M one day after launch?	1	$147	153	+153	open	—	05-21 01:25
Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?	1	$44	44	+44	Yes	+$0	05-05 07:21
will meta reach 690 in december	1	$36	36	+36	open	—	01-01 08:04
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	1	$32	32	+32	open	—	05-15 12:31
Will Denmark advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$31	32	+32	open	—	05-14 18:48
Will Finland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$31	31	+31	Yes	+$0	05-09 18:37
will alphabet be the third largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	1	$18	18	+18	open	—	01-24 13:37
gc hit 3600 low jan 2026 392 134 138 444	1	$16	16	+16	open	—	01-09 04:42
will amazon be the third largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	1	$15	16	+16	open	—	01-07 05:33
si hit 150 high jan 2026	1	$9	9	+9	open	—	01-12 17:37
will ethereum dip to 1800 in january 2026 971	1	$9	9	+9	open	—	01-13 12:06
nvda above 230 on january 30 2026	1	$9	9	+9	open	—	01-17 06:48
will bnb dip to 600 in january	1	$8	8	+8	open	—	01-20 21:05
will alibaba have the third best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$7	7	+7	open	—	01-16 22:04
si above 40 jan 2026	1	$7	7	+7	open	—	01-15 12:31
will baidu have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	01-23 05:44
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 in April?	2	$6	6	+6	open	—	04-12 05:45
will hyperliquid dip to 12 in march	3	$5	5	+5	open	—	03-24 15:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-22 14:44
will silver si hit high 190 by end of february 182	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	02-03 01:40
nflx above 60 on february 27 2026	1	$4	4	+4	open	—	02-20 15:33
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	1	$4	4	+4	open	—	05-20 11:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	1	$4	4	+4	open	—	04-13 17:54
Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$4	4	+4	open	—	04-14 15:57
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $230 end of April?	1	$3	4	+4	open	—	04-07 11:18
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$3	4	+4	open	—	04-11 17:04
Will Solana reach $160 in May?	1	$3	3	+3	open	—	05-09 03:59
will baidu have the third best ai model at the end of march 2026	1	$3	3	+3	open	—	03-24 12:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 10:56:54	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	158	100¢	$158	0xcf2e8a…
05-26 18:03:02	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	148	100¢	$147	0x97ed7f…
05-22 14:44:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x536a61…
05-21 01:25:34	Nexus FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	153	96¢	$147	0xc4cf5b…
05-20 11:43:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xe5e8ae…
05-15 12:31:34	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	32	98¢	$32	0x1118e4…
05-14 18:48:53	Will Denmark advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$31	0x1a1b03…
05-09 18:37:52	Will Finland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xd829be…
05-09 03:59:38	Will Solana reach $160 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xc00c13…
05-07 10:44:53	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x06e7c1…
05-05 23:25:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x367a6c…
05-05 07:21:20	Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x804048…
04-14 22:26:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x66f9b4…
04-14 15:57:47	Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x6eb559…
04-14 05:11:17	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x007269…
04-13 17:54:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x32e34a…
04-13 16:55:37	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xde9909…
04-13 05:14:51	Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xeb3832…
04-13 02:58:59	Will Moonshot have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x8ffd72…
04-13 00:32:33	Will Meituan have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x551d7f…
04-12 23:10:43	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x84710f…
04-12 05:45:09	Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 in April?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xd01c68…
04-12 00:42:45	Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x2699fe…
04-11 17:04:21	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0x02f707…
04-11 04:12:37	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1fa08e…
04-10 15:31:39	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $310 end of April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf269a9…
04-10 05:43:37	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcad1cc…
04-08 11:40:43	Will Alibaba have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa9977b…
04-07 11:18:07	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $230 end of April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0x6cc2e2…
04-07 05:38:13	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x422426…
04-06 08:05:21	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xab83ef…
04-05 20:55:59	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $260 end of April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb2ea3b…
04-05 11:10:33	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $270 end of April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x818d76…
04-05 10:50:09	Will the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the April meeting?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0xb23841…
03-30 00:22:10	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe7815b…
03-29 00:35:28	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x102f12…
03-28 21:57:50	will solana dip to 60 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3c3abb…
03-28 00:51:55	will deepseek have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc7a467…
03-27 20:23:15	will solana dip to 50 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xaeded3…
03-27 16:50:55	tsla above 430 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf8e381…
03-27 14:27:47	will ethena reach 0pt28 in march	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x451d96…
03-27 13:49:29	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x09f735…
03-25 15:31:11	will dogecoin reach 0pt2 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5db184…
03-25 08:40:03	will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x75952e…
03-24 15:49:31	will hyperliquid dip to 12 in march	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x33f351…
03-24 12:58:49	will baidu have the third best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xbdba30…
03-24 07:29:53	tsla above 470 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x38bc22…
03-24 01:56:19	will nvidia be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0xbaf2eb…
03-23 15:23:31	tsla above 450 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x4c817d…
03-11 00:24:25	will hyperliquid dip to 12 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x093d8a…
03-11 00:09:01	msft above 315 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdcc49d…
03-10 23:27:45	nvda above 240 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x96d9fc…
03-09 20:51:03	will saudi aramco be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x667099…
03-08 13:56:35	nflx above 200 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb8c97e…
03-08 12:58:09	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 712	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb51fe6…
03-08 03:06:13	bank of england decreases interest rates by 50 bps after march 2026 meeting 876	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb8306d…
03-08 01:18:05	nvda above 240 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf95ce8…
03-07 13:09:27	will xrp dip to 0pt4 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb776ba…
03-07 10:20:39	nvda above 120 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5f7b74…
03-07 10:03:39	bank of england decreases interest rates by 50 bps after march 2026 meeting 876	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x76dd92…
03-07 09:16:31	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3ebae9…
03-07 07:51:07	will hyperliquid dip to 12 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x733001…
03-06 00:32:43	aapl above 330 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb4d87d…
03-05 20:14:29	will bnb dip to 200 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5edb57…
02-25 19:45:40	will nvidia be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xbea6c9…
02-24 08:38:14	will ethereum reach 4200 in february 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x63716e…
02-23 00:07:26	meta above 780 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc25887…
02-22 23:53:10	will bitcoin reach 100k in february 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe75692…
02-20 22:21:44	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 781	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa8f757…
02-20 21:40:20	will zai have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xb92cf8…
02-20 19:56:42	will xrp reach 2pt8 in february 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x7e585b…
02-20 16:52:42	will nvidia be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xf299c7…
02-20 15:33:38	nflx above 60 on february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xcb022c…
02-08 01:50:03	meta above 840 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x20fa50…
02-03 01:40:40	will silver si hit high 190 by end of february 182	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0cd78f…
01-24 13:37:36	will alphabet be the third largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xed90e8…
01-23 05:44:08	will baidu have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x727815…
01-20 21:05:20	will bnb dip to 600 in january	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xc104b4…
01-17 06:48:06	nvda above 230 on january 30 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x40ae0f…
01-16 22:04:52	will alibaba have the third best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xbd2a8a…
01-15 12:31:22	si above 40 jan 2026	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x6c3bb9…
01-13 12:06:35	will ethereum dip to 1800 in january 2026 971	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x2b3c06…
01-12 17:37:27	si hit 150 high jan 2026	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x67ab76…
01-09 04:42:56	gc hit 3600 low jan 2026 392 134 138 444	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x6d2131…
01-07 05:33:07	will amazon be the third largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	BUY	16	99¢	$15	0x80a08a…
01-01 08:04:41	will meta reach 690 in december	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x2efc7a…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x9474…5091	54	$2.54K	2,065	05-30 03:45
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	51	$7.21K	6,099	04-17 20:50
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	49	$131.7K	2,218	06-01 06:21
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	48	$28.9K	331	05-24 13:38
Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f	45	$618	614	05-26 18:49
Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81	45	$589	457	03-27 19:58
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	44	$4.12K	1,198	05-26 10:31
Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44	42	$794	788	05-26 15:47