Frail-Cockpit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$43.1K

Unrealized P&L

+$14

Hit rate

89.7%

Resolved

931

Trades

24,872

lifetime

Volume

$1.12M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$45

Open exposure

$363

1 position

First seen

2026-01-23

last 11-12 10:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 87 days

Categories

Other

97% 96% -$40,771

Crypto

2% 68% -$817

Politics

1% 70% -$1,466

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 13?	No		+364	$349	100¢	$363	+$14	11-12 10:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in hong kong on march 30 2026 28c	99	$18.3K	18,486	6,465	+12,021	Yes	-$6,239	03-30 08:55
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 3?	306	$17.5K	17,427	5,160	+12,267	Yes	-$4,618	06-03 06:18
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?	106	$16.9K	16,972	16,972	+0	Yes	-$16,883	07-14 14:10
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on April 29?	359	$15.6K	15,721	0	+15,721	No	+$161	04-29 10:05
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on May 27?	142	$15.1K	15,209	0	+15,209	No	+$109	05-27 07:50
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 28?	145	$14.5K	14,588	0	+14,588	Yes	+$88	04-28 07:46
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 11?	144	$14.4K	14,579	0	+14,579	Yes	+$179	05-11 08:03
highest temperature in hong kong on april 15 2026 28c	169	$13.2K	13,466	477	+12,989	Yes	-$190	04-15 09:05
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 14?	132	$13.2K	13,245	0	+13,245	No	+$57	05-14 07:03
highest temperature in hong kong on april 22 2026 28c	125	$12.5K	12,548	0	+12,548	No	+$48	04-22 06:39
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 14?	298	$11.7K	11,785	0	+11,785	No	+$55	05-13 15:06
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 21?	111	$11.1K	11,162	0	+11,162	Yes	+$62	05-21 08:01
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on May 21?	111	$11.0K	11,072	0	+11,072	No	+$62	05-21 08:01
highest temperature in hong kong on april 20 2026 28c	99	$9.9K	9,936	0	+9,936	Yes	+$36	04-20 08:20
highest temperature in hong kong on april 2 2026 25c	90	$8.9K	9,054	0	+9,054	No	+$138	04-02 08:11
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 5?	482	$8.9K	8,967	0	+8,967	No	+$97	05-04 19:03
highest temperature in hong kong on april 15 2026 26c	442	$8.7K	8,749	0	+8,749	No	+$29	04-14 16:46
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 9?	87	$8.4K	8,460	0	+8,460	Yes	+$91	07-09 08:22
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 6?	112	$8.2K	8,250	0	+8,250	No	+$25	06-05 15:04
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 15?	91	$8.0K	8,123	0	+8,123	Yes	+$73	05-15 07:20
highest temperature in hong kong on april 19 2026 29c	179	$7.8K	8,010	0	+8,010	No	+$187	04-19 07:55
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 27?	115	$7.6K	7,651	0	+7,651	Yes	+$21	04-27 15:49
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 4?	139	$7.6K	7,670	1,016	+6,654	Yes	-$956	06-04 13:22
highest temperature in hong kong on april 13 2026 29c	113	$7.3K	7,357	0	+7,357	Yes	+$17	04-13 14:14
highest temperature in hong kong on april 24 2026 23c	458	$7.3K	7,498	0	+7,498	Yes	+$201	04-24 10:38
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 17?	297	$7.2K	7,269	0	+7,269	No	+$69	06-16 18:42
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 3?	228	$7.1K	7,216	0	+7,216	No	+$116	06-03 15:03
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 1?	108	$7.0K	7,095	0	+7,095	Yes	+$75	06-01 12:13
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 24?	80	$7.0K	7,051	0	+7,051	Yes	+$41	05-24 08:27
highest temperature in hong kong on april 2 2026 23c	70	$7.0K	7,022	0	+7,022	No	+$22	04-02 06:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 10:38:33	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 13?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$9	0x90da03…
11-12 10:38:21	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 13?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x812f96…
11-12 10:38:12	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 13?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x72e6ba…
11-12 10:38:07	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 13?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x16d3bb…
11-12 10:37:58	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 13?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x68c9db…
11-12 10:37:55	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 13?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xd5a94f…
11-12 10:37:51	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 13?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xcf3863…
11-12 10:37:43	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 13?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x721578…
11-12 10:37:39	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 13?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x643c4d…
11-12 10:37:33	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 13?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x94cb55…
11-12 10:37:28	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 13?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x65b4f5…
11-12 10:37:24	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 13?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xec7e2f…
11-12 10:37:21	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 13?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x03bc64…
11-12 10:37:16	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 13?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xcadeef…
11-12 10:37:13	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 13?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x74c469…
11-12 10:37:09	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 13?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x36bad7…
11-12 10:37:04	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 13?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x8611b4…
11-12 10:37:00	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 13?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xa01bf9…
11-12 10:36:55	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 13?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x1ac6b4…
11-12 10:36:51	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 13?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x76c256…
11-12 10:36:48	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 13?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x6252c6…
11-12 10:36:43	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 13?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x179f60…
11-12 10:36:39	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 13?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x699c1c…
11-12 10:36:34	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 13?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x44aaf1…
11-12 10:36:25	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 13?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x2da829…
11-12 10:36:19	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 13?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xc06bbe…
11-12 10:36:15	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 13?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x3929cc…
11-12 10:36:12	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 13?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x1bcd6e…
11-12 10:36:09	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 13?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xfa7938…
11-12 10:36:04	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 13?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xbaf2c4…
11-12 10:35:57	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 13?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xd1f358…
11-12 10:35:52	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 13?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xd0ae97…
11-12 10:35:46	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 13?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x6992d8…
11-12 10:35:39	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 13?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x4af418…
11-12 10:35:28	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 13?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xdac15c…
11-10 15:59:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on November 11?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x10b5af…
11-10 15:59:01	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on November 11?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x7b6c94…
11-10 14:02:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on November 11?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x6dba2d…
11-10 14:02:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on November 11?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xee3e76…
11-10 14:02:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on November 11?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfbeacb…
11-10 14:02:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on November 11?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x81979b…
11-10 14:02:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on November 11?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6a8fa2…
11-10 14:02:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on November 11?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x81206e…
11-10 14:01:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on November 11?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe1f62e…
11-10 14:01:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on November 11?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb6c20a…
11-06 09:24:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x0c2121…
11-06 09:22:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x9a9cf0…
11-06 09:22:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x498619…
11-06 09:22:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x846869…
11-05 20:34:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on November 6?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6615cb…
11-04 12:13:31	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 5?	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0xa53aab…
11-04 08:14:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on November 4?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xfc9293…
11-04 08:14:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x3acff4…
11-03 08:24:57	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 4?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x205ba5…
11-03 08:24:34	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 4?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfa2764…
11-03 08:24:30	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 4?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb64c43…
11-03 08:24:25	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 4?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb29437…
11-03 08:24:00	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on November 4?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x940284…
11-03 08:23:55	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on November 4?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc29654…
11-03 08:23:49	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on November 4?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x121e04…
11-03 08:23:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on November 3?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x294721…
11-03 08:22:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd8185b…
11-03 08:22:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x51f41f…
11-03 08:22:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on November 3?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8f725a…
11-03 08:22:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on November 3?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x994886…
11-03 08:22:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe01f7b…
11-03 08:22:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb0382c…
11-02 15:49:07	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 3?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xae87c6…
11-02 15:48:55	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 3?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb6fe2b…
11-02 15:48:51	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 3?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x6baf82…
11-02 15:48:37	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 3?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe7d77f…
11-02 15:48:36	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 3?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3d37b6…
11-02 15:48:03	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 3?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x3fa7f1…
07-14 14:10:20	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?	No	SELL	4,590	0¢	$5	0x95f1a0…
07-14 14:10:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?	No	SELL	4,590	0¢	$5	0xadfd10…
07-14 14:04:02	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?	No	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x17adcc…
07-14 14:03:44	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?	No	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0x98d798…
07-14 14:03:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?	No	SELL	500	0¢	$0	0x7f241d…
07-14 14:03:23	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xfe7ab3…
07-14 14:03:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb54642…
07-14 14:02:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?	No	SELL	3,993	0¢	$4	0xf74320…
07-14 14:02:41	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd8fe76…
07-13 18:58:01	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on July 14?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x25d09b…
07-13 18:57:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on July 14?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8858d2…
07-13 18:57:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 14?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x2be7c9…
07-13 18:57:47	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 14?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x4bff30…
07-13 18:57:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on July 14?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x6f9bff…
07-13 18:57:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on July 14?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x6cdfc2…
07-13 18:57:35	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on July 14?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xeaf3ce…
07-13 18:57:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on July 14?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8b4954…
07-13 18:57:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 14?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xed9b5f…
07-13 18:57:17	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 14?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2f808e…
07-13 18:57:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 14?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xda4d37…
07-13 18:57:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 14?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdd93e6…
07-13 18:57:05	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 14?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x05a0aa…
07-13 18:57:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 14?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcc7508…
07-13 18:56:59	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 14?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe04c2a…
07-13 18:56:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 14?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcc4d39…
07-13 18:56:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 14?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9867f1…
07-13 18:56:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 14?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x778e0d…