(anonymous) 0x3cbe3e…f22520
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Realized P&L
+$135
Unrealized P&L
+$18
Hit rate
73.2%
Resolved
1,845
Trades
2,438
lifetime
Volume
$14.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$285
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-16
last 10-28 17:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 96 days
Categories
Other
78% 74% -$5
Politics
11% 76% +$6
Sports
6% 79% +$52
Crypto
2% 88% +$43
Tech
2% 69% +$40
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 97 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +26 $21 74¢ $19 -$2 10-01 13:31
israel x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 Yes +20 $16 96¢ $19 +$3 10-02 04:31
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +18 $16 99¢ $18 +$1 09-27 19:38
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? No +18 $16 91¢ $17 +$0 10-06 04:07
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%? Yes +13 $10 99¢ $13 +$3 10-19 23:42
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +12 $8 100¢ $12 +$4 10-19 21:02
Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026? Yes +12 $9 82¢ $10 +$1 10-26 06:37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? No +19 $16 50¢ $10 -$7 10-05 19:02
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) No +10 $8 97¢ $9 +$1 10-03 06:43
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +10 $8 98¢ $9 +$1 10-02 05:35
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? No +10 $8 96¢ $9 +$1 10-02 08:32
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +10 $9 92¢ $9 +$0 10-07 01:45
Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October? No +9 $8 100¢ $9 +$1 10-05 16:29
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +9 $8 96¢ $9 +$1 09-30 12:11
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? No +9 $8 93¢ $9 +$1 10-02 14:31
will bitcoin reach 105k in october 2026 No +9 $8 100¢ $9 +$0 10-05 01:10
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31? No +9 $8 99¢ $9 +$0 10-04 15:56
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +9 $8 90¢ $8 +$0 10-05 06:54
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +8 $8 97¢ $8 +$1 10-02 20:32
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? No +9 $8 92¢ $8 $0 10-05 05:21
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026? Yes +7 $5 96¢ $7 +$2 09-24 13:51
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +10 $8 73¢ $7 -$1 09-28 05:56
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes +9 $8 78¢ $7 -$1 09-29 08:04
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? No +7 $5 99¢ $7 +$2 09-29 03:21
Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day? No +7 $5 99¢ $6 +$1 09-29 10:00
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes +7 $5 90¢ $6 +$1 09-24 15:49
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +8 $5 68¢ $6 +$1 10-03 13:22
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No +6 $5 82¢ $5 +$0 09-27 16:58
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +8 $5 62¢ $5 +$0 10-17 17:26
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat? Yes +7 $5 78¢ $5 +$0 09-29 23:57