Innocent-Plaster — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$49

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.0%

Resolved

Trades

784

lifetime

Volume

$36.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$46

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-22

last 05-15 08:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

62% 57% $-49

Politics

28% — —

Other

11% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	7	$1.4K	1,734	1,734	+0	open	—	02-12 17:49
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	30	$1.4K	1,247	1,247	+0	open	—	03-28 02:16
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	17	$1.3K	2,242	2,440	-198	open	—	02-06 08:42
will russia capture kostyantynivka by march 31 872 578	17	$1.1K	2,389	2,389	+0	open	—	03-06 04:59
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	13	$966	1,591	1,591	-0	open	—	03-09 19:52
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 31 483 852 436 833 347 948	4	$929	525	525	+0	open	—	03-08 21:12
will bitcoin reach 77k on april 16	2	$925	469	468	+1	open	—	04-17 02:34
will bitcoin reach 78k on april 21	3	$894	482	482	+0	open	—	04-22 02:29
will bitcoin reach 75k on april 11	3	$892	451	451	+0	open	—	04-12 01:51
will bitcoin reach 75k on april 10	11	$865	443	442	+1	open	—	04-11 02:44
will bitcoin reach 76k on march 15	5	$849	427	427	+0	open	—	03-16 02:38
will bitcoin reach 74k on april 9	9	$841	424	424	+0	open	—	04-10 03:40
will bitcoin dip to 69k on april 8	3	$821	418	418	+0	open	—	04-09 02:37
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on April 24?	3	$808	408	407	+1	open	—	04-25 03:10
will bitcoin dip to 67k on april 6	2	$800	404	403	+0	open	—	04-07 03:30
Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 3?	9	$778	434	434	+0	open	—	05-04 02:55
will bitcoin dip to 65k on april 2	7	$770	390	390	+0	open	—	04-03 03:14
Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by April 30?	2	$768	2,383	2,383	+0	open	—	03-19 14:57
will bitcoin dip to 64k on march 27	3	$753	381	381	+0	open	—	03-28 02:09
will bitcoin reach 80k on april 17	4	$750	378	377	+0	open	—	04-18 01:31
will bitcoin dip to 67k on march 26	2	$742	378	378	+0	open	—	03-27 02:32
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	7	$725	558	558	+0	open	—	03-26 05:04
will bitcoin reach 73k on march 23	6	$710	360	360	+0	open	—	03-24 02:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	5	$699	581	581	+0	open	—	03-10 15:35
will uae strike iran by march 31	25	$695	1,473	1,473	+0	open	—	03-10 18:06
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	10	$572	867	867	+0	open	—	03-10 17:53
will bitcoin dip to 73k on april 14	9	$534	322	219	+104	open	—	04-15 03:16
will bitcoin reach 69k on april 3	3	$459	231	230	+0	open	—	04-04 00:40
will bitcoin dip to 66k on april 4	2	$441	221	221	+0	open	—	04-05 03:28
israel x iran ceasefire broken by march 31 2026 312 682	3	$422	391	391	+0	open	—	02-01 05:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 08:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?	Up	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0xf1f4f6…
05-15 07:32:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	52	14¢	$7	0xf4b6bb…
05-15 03:35:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xcaedc8…
05-15 03:32:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	26	23¢	$6	0xb7b6b7…
05-12 20:41:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?	No	SELL	25	25¢	$6	0x971b37…
05-12 20:01:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	25	22¢	$6	0xca987f…
05-10 23:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?	Down	SELL	21	26¢	$6	0xc6ba46…
05-10 23:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	15	23¢	$3	0x12ebc1…
05-10 23:06:46	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0xe3e291…
05-08 15:55:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	135	92¢	$124	0xca8159…
05-08 15:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 8?	Down	SELL	200	4¢	$8	0x662d3f…
05-07 18:46:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0xd90998…
05-07 18:44:47	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 8?	Down	SELL	7	40¢	$3	0xc95f7a…
05-07 18:44:47	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 8?	Down	SELL	4	40¢	$2	0xb0b469…
05-07 18:44:47	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 8?	Down	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x2b3759…
05-07 18:35:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	141	56¢	$79	0x7abc4d…
05-07 18:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	199	39¢	$78	0x443d4e…
05-07 18:29:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x28aba2…
05-07 18:27:38	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x4db8e9…
05-07 18:25:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	44	56¢	$25	0xbb4f44…
05-07 18:15:56	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x12ca5d…
05-07 18:09:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xe41bc9…
05-07 18:09:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x09b5b5…
05-06 19:40:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x2c537c…
05-06 19:38:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xec46ac…
05-06 19:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	45	61¢	$27	0x867569…
05-06 19:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x6dadcf…
05-06 19:34:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x55cd8f…
05-06 15:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?	Down	SELL	156	1¢	$2	0x303deb…
05-06 03:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	156	55¢	$86	0xfc8993…
05-04 02:55:44	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 3?	No	SELL	434	80¢	$348	0xa3c858…
05-04 01:51:34	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	420	99¢	$416	0x5df82b…
05-04 01:51:34	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x39933d…
05-04 01:42:36	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xdd5e6f…
05-04 01:42:36	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xd92960…
05-04 01:42:36	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc78906…
05-04 01:42:36	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x8f2651…
05-04 01:42:36	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x3ef7cb…
05-04 01:42:36	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0e367e…
05-03 01:41:20	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 2?	No	BUY	229	99¢	$226	0xcb3f7d…
05-03 01:31:58	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 2?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x8c6481…
05-02 22:10:48	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 2?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x22ae2d…
05-01 23:38:06	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 1?	No	BUY	230	99¢	$227	0xf44c62…
05-01 23:19:22	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 1?	No	BUY	84	99¢	$83	0x3f0981…
05-01 23:18:54	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 1?	No	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0x7a6741…
04-29 00:06:32	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on April 28?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x17e4b8…
04-28 23:35:56	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on April 28?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc14b81…
04-28 23:35:28	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on April 28?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x2f0937…
04-28 23:34:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on April 28?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x8d26b9…
04-28 23:34:02	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on April 28?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2dd31b…
04-28 23:33:50	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on April 28?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd6fd90…
04-28 21:25:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdb1aea…
04-28 21:24:50	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	26	99¢	$25	0x0136b2…
04-28 21:24:34	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc5c692…
04-28 21:24:10	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x07952c…
04-28 21:23:50	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x029009…
04-27 22:30:28	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	414	98¢	$407	0x6827c7…
04-25 03:10:20	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on April 24?	No	SELL	389	100¢	$389	0x9aec3e…
04-25 03:06:26	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on April 24?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x6796d3…
04-24 22:58:00	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on April 24?	No	BUY	408	98¢	$401	0xef52ce…
04-22 02:29:52	will bitcoin reach 78k on april 21	No	SELL	482	86¢	$417	0x8aeee5…
04-22 02:11:08	will bitcoin reach 78k on april 21	No	BUY	439	99¢	$434	0xc45987…
04-22 01:39:08	will bitcoin reach 78k on april 21	No	BUY	43	99¢	$43	0xfa18eb…
04-18 02:54:14	will bitcoin reach 79k on april 17	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x80f1ae…
04-18 01:31:54	will bitcoin reach 80k on april 17	No	SELL	169	100¢	$169	0x2b84eb…
04-18 01:16:24	will bitcoin reach 80k on april 17	No	SELL	208	100¢	$208	0x0287ba…
04-17 21:14:42	will bitcoin reach 80k on april 17	No	BUY	328	99¢	$324	0x96258b…
04-17 21:14:14	will bitcoin reach 79k on april 17	No	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x77d06d…
04-17 21:10:18	will bitcoin reach 79k on april 17	No	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0xb39012…
04-17 21:06:20	will bitcoin reach 79k on april 17	No	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0xd731f3…
04-17 21:01:46	will bitcoin reach 80k on april 17	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x5d12df…
04-17 02:34:22	will bitcoin reach 77k on april 16	No	SELL	468	100¢	$468	0x443fdd…
04-17 01:08:54	will bitcoin reach 77k on april 16	No	BUY	469	97¢	$457	0x26372f…
04-15 03:16:18	will bitcoin dip to 73k on april 14	No	SELL	92	100¢	$92	0x9fc5fd…
04-15 03:11:26	will bitcoin dip to 73k on april 14	No	SELL	112	100¢	$111	0x89efca…
04-15 03:09:36	will bitcoin dip to 73k on april 14	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x065823…
04-15 03:01:36	will bitcoin dip to 73k on april 14	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x2c4de2…
04-15 02:49:20	will bitcoin dip to 73k on april 14	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x96b88b…
04-15 01:39:34	will bitcoin dip to 73k on april 14	No	BUY	219	98¢	$214	0x0a5e9b…
04-15 01:30:14	will bitcoin dip to 73k on april 14	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x9e252e…
04-15 01:28:54	will bitcoin dip to 73k on april 14	No	BUY	52	98¢	$51	0x0d83d1…
04-15 01:27:32	will bitcoin reach 77k on april 14	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x77c851…
04-15 01:05:22	will bitcoin dip to 73k on april 14	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5b586e…
04-15 00:43:56	will bitcoin reach 77k on april 14	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x86d3ff…
04-12 01:51:27	will bitcoin reach 75k on april 11	No	SELL	451	100¢	$451	0x281839…
04-11 22:55:27	will bitcoin reach 75k on april 11	No	BUY	450	98¢	$440	0x82f6f1…
04-11 22:55:27	will bitcoin reach 75k on april 11	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2c6ce2…
04-11 02:44:23	will bitcoin reach 75k on april 10	No	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0x078b7e…
04-11 02:40:29	will bitcoin reach 75k on april 10	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x7a7f66…
04-11 02:38:29	will bitcoin reach 75k on april 10	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x96129d…
04-11 02:36:19	will bitcoin reach 75k on april 10	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xaa0fab…
04-11 02:34:15	will bitcoin reach 75k on april 10	No	SELL	150	100¢	$150	0xecccbd…
04-11 02:20:23	will bitcoin reach 75k on april 10	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x3f8a40…
04-11 02:15:31	will bitcoin reach 75k on april 10	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xdb1ce6…
04-11 02:11:53	will bitcoin reach 75k on april 10	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xca3ec9…
04-11 02:09:47	will bitcoin reach 75k on april 10	No	SELL	138	100¢	$137	0x5a40a2…
04-10 21:23:25	will bitcoin reach 75k on april 10	No	BUY	98	96¢	$94	0x2c265e…
04-10 21:22:37	will bitcoin reach 75k on april 10	No	BUY	345	96¢	$329	0xf3f72b…
04-10 03:40:25	will bitcoin reach 74k on april 9	No	SELL	46	100¢	$45	0x5652d4…
04-10 03:37:11	will bitcoin reach 74k on april 9	No	SELL	150	100¢	$150	0x14f579…