Quixotic-Cultivar — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

+$22

Unrealized P&L

-$29

Hit rate

92.9%

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

77 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$414

$2.80K lifetime

Avg / trade

$36

Open exposure

$28

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-07 08:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 83% +$134

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	+16	$15	100¢	$16	+$1	05-07 08:25
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	+12	$11	99¢	$12	+$1	05-07 07:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	+56	$31	1¢	$1	$-31	05-07 07:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	1	$760	800	+800	Down	+$40	05-04 21:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	1	$582	588	+588	Up	+$6	05-06 04:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	1	$200	237	+237	Down	+$37	05-05 04:10
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	1	$138	154	+154	Up	+$16	05-07 05:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	1	$60	72	+72	Up	+$12	05-05 15:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	3	$46	57	+57	Up	$-24	05-06 03:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	2	$42	68	+68	open	—	05-07 07:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	3	$39	46	+46	Down	+$7	05-06 17:25
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	1	$38	40	+40	Up	+$2	05-05 20:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	1	$34	82	+82	Up	+$48	05-05 17:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	1	$31	32	+32	Down	+$1	05-05 13:26
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	1	$31	32	+32	Down	+$1	05-05 14:42
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	2	$30	36	+36	Up	+$6	05-06 14:25
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	1	$30	32	+32	Up	+$2	05-06 01:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	1	$25	28	+28	Down	+$3	05-05 03:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	1	$25	28	+28	Down	+$3	05-05 22:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	1	$25	28	+28	Down	+$3	05-06 02:08
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	2	$24	30	+30	Down	+$6	05-05 18:27
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	1	$24	25	+25	Up	+$1	05-05 11:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	2	$23	26	+26	Up	$-23	05-05 10:56
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	1	$20	24	+24	Down	+$4	05-05 19:57
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	1	$20	22	+22	Down	+$2	05-06 02:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	2	$20	22	+22	Down	+$2	05-07 05:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	1	$19	20	+20	Up	+$1	05-06 11:22
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	1	$19	22	+22	Down	+$3	05-05 15:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	1	$19	20	+20	Down	+$1	05-06 12:57
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	1	$18	20	+20	Down	+$2	05-06 04:53
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	2	$18	22	+22	Down	+$4	05-05 19:12
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	2	$18	22	+22	Up	+$4	05-06 17:12
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	1	$18	20	+20	Down	$-18	05-05 13:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 08:40:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xbb0ba8…
05-07 08:25:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x452a9e…
05-07 07:59:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	56	56¢	$31	0x83dfa4…
05-07 07:58:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x05cf25…
05-07 07:09:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	80¢	$11	0x69a0e6…
05-07 05:58:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0x95cfdf…
05-07 05:44:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x6c316f…
05-07 05:43:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	89¢	$11	0x9d747b…
05-07 05:28:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	154	90¢	$138	0xb54ed3…
05-06 17:52:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	88¢	$14	0x51762a…
05-06 17:25:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x752da7…
05-06 17:24:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	79¢	$11	0x415c8e…
05-06 17:22:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	16	82¢	$13	0xd96df5…
05-06 17:12:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x8be365…
05-06 17:10:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	76¢	$9	0xf13e63…
05-06 14:25:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x17acea…
05-06 14:22:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	69¢	$11	0x9e4a51…
05-06 13:22:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	16	70¢	$11	0xe44d80…
05-06 12:57:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x2702aa…
05-06 11:52:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	81¢	$13	0x7400b9…
05-06 11:37:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	86¢	$14	0x1029cd…
05-06 11:22:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xa216bd…
05-06 08:39:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0xbdcdf9…
05-06 07:10:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xd20dc1…
05-06 06:55:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	70¢	$8	0x207926…
05-06 06:25:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	76¢	$9	0x8b655e…
05-06 05:55:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x492cc3…
05-06 05:10:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	74¢	$9	0xed829e…
05-06 04:53:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xd57901…
05-06 04:40:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0xf72943…
05-06 04:14:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	588	99¢	$582	0xded884…
05-06 03:44:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	19	87¢	$17	0xd1744d…
05-06 03:43:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	16	79¢	$13	0x3f0fe7…
05-06 03:39:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	22	76¢	$17	0xb90ca9…
05-06 03:14:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xc97929…
05-06 02:24:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x18a2de…
05-06 02:08:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0xc111aa…
05-06 01:54:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0xa2f640…
05-06 00:53:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	81¢	$13	0x9e8961…
05-06 00:09:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	89¢	$14	0x26a9e2…
05-05 22:14:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0xc3c556…
05-05 20:39:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	40	94¢	$38	0xc19549…
05-05 20:25:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	19	71¢	$13	0x204b2b…
05-05 19:57:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x6a46f4…
05-05 19:42:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x59d9bf…
05-05 19:26:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	19	92¢	$17	0x0f85f2…
05-05 19:12:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0x8d62be…
05-05 19:11:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xb7a607…
05-05 18:42:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xc0c40e…
05-05 18:27:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	16	86¢	$14	0xd56cfe…
05-05 18:26:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x6f5be6…
05-05 17:29:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	80¢	$9	0x708575…
05-05 17:14:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	82	42¢	$34	0x484a1c…
05-05 15:54:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	22	86¢	$19	0x84eac9…
05-05 15:44:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	72	83¢	$60	0xc90fdc…
05-05 14:42:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	32	96¢	$31	0x660fc0…
05-05 13:52:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xe0955e…
05-05 13:26:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	32	96¢	$31	0x775084…
05-05 12:55:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xfeb9f1…
05-05 12:40:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	85¢	$12	0x35d782…
05-05 11:40:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	25	94¢	$24	0x50db59…
05-05 11:10:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x4303b8…
05-05 10:56:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	87¢	$12	0x9eba18…
05-05 10:55:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	89¢	$11	0xecec2a…
05-05 10:25:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	92¢	$13	0x0a9a55…
05-05 08:40:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x942b44…
05-05 08:10:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x0456cc…
05-05 07:25:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	19	75¢	$14	0x9ea16e…
05-05 07:10:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	86¢	$12	0xbe4be4…
05-05 06:10:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0xf6db39…
05-05 05:55:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	75¢	$9	0x070545…
05-05 04:40:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	76¢	$9	0x99f242…
05-05 04:10:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	237	84¢	$200	0xdf887b…
05-05 03:55:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0xca534f…
05-05 03:22:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	85¢	$14	0x129cd6…
05-05 01:55:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xa5ae11…
05-04 21:59:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	800	95¢	$760	0x9540b2…
05-04 20:59:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x39beea…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Grounded-Skull 0x6063…2705	62	$2.17K	453	05-07 08:39
Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9	59	$754	243	05-07 08:40
Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc	53	$5.95K	406	05-07 08:43
Minty-Complicity 0xee55…7b04	51	$806	190	05-07 08:40
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	51	$784	193	05-07 08:42
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	50	$5.63K	328	05-07 08:43
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	44	$6.44K	324	05-06 17:58
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	43	$1.20K	180	05-07 08:40