Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
Up won
Total volume
$306
$7,492 in 24h
Trades
42
Unique wallets
24
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
99¢
Latest NO mid
1¢
End date
2026-05-04
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-04 20:59
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-7.2¢
(top1%: 85% YES on $42
vs crowd: 92% YES on $302)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $36 | $6 | +$29 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 21 | $244 | $17 | +$227 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $36 | $6 | +$29 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $44 | — | +$44 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $107 | $8 | +$99 |
| Median | 2 | — | — | +— |
| Below median | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $20 | $7 | +$12 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 6 | $74 | $1 | +$73 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grounded-Skull 0x6063…2705 | Up | +100 | $84 | $84 | 12 | 05-04 20:59 |
| Relieved-Packet 0x518d…d097 | Up | +55 | $32 | $32 | 1 | 05-04 20:44 |
| Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc | Up | +53 | $36 | $36 | 1 | 05-04 20:54 |
| Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc | Down | +40 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 05-04 20:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x8116…b2a8 | Down | +33 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-04 20:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x3711…669f | Up | +27 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 05-04 20:49 |
| Exhausted-Invoice 0xa2c0…69d0 | Down | +22 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-04 20:54 |
| Huge-Tic 0x1058…fd57 | Up | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-04 20:59 |
| Waterlogged-Bread 0x5058…c865 | Up | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-04 20:59 |
| Tame-Patron 0x56a7…2bcb | Down | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-04 20:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x8116…b2a8 | Up | +15 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-04 20:54 |
| Equal-Burro 0x41f4…ee16 | Up | +13 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-04 20:54 |
| Quixotic-Cultivar 0x3d1e…f604 | Up | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-04 20:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xe2d1…b6b1 | Up | +10 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 05-04 20:59 |
| Dark-Pendulum-Underpants 0xd80e…fa27 | Up | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-04 20:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xe5ea…7b12 | Up | +7 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-04 20:54 |
| Narrow-Closing 0x1c1f…5fc4 | Up | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-04 20:49 |
| Klutzy-Register 0x5039…a717 | Down | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-04 20:49 |
| Trustworthy-Applewood-Surname 0x0f5b…a918 | Up | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-04 20:59 |
| Focused-Intestine 0x22b8…8b13 | Up | +5 | $4 | $4 | 3 | 05-04 20:49 |
| Spicy-Eggnog 0x2fd8…93db | Down | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-04 20:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x2f53…acb1 | Up | +3 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-04 20:49 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-04 20:59:50 | Arid-Scope 0x5917…db33 | Up | SELL | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x9c4aec… |
| 05-04 20:59:48 | Waterlogged-Bread 0x5058…c865 | Up | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x7bab02… |
| 05-04 20:59:48 | Huge-Tic 0x1058…fd57 | Up | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x572c1b… |
| 05-04 20:59:42 | Grounded-Skull 0x6063…2705 | Up | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0xbd7dba… |
| 05-04 20:59:38 | Quixotic-Cultivar 0x3d1e…f604 | Up | BUY | 12 | 96¢ | $12 | 0x39beea… |
| 05-04 20:59:38 | (anonymous) 0xe2d1…b6b1 | Up | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x07a398… |
| 05-04 20:59:34 | Trustworthy-Applewood-Surname 0x0f5b…a918 | Up | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x368d07… |
| 05-04 20:59:34 | Dark-Pendulum-Underpants 0xd80e…fa27 | Up | BUY | 10 | 95¢ | $9 | 0xa83a4f… |
| 05-04 20:59:34 | Tame-Patron 0x56a7…2bcb | Down | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x91f22e… |
| 05-04 20:54:48 | Spicy-Eggnog 0x2fd8…93db | Down | BUY | 3 | 34¢ | $1 | 0x91c597… |
| 05-04 20:54:32 | Exhausted-Invoice 0xa2c0…69d0 | Down | BUY | 22 | 36¢ | $8 | 0x3701e6… |
| 05-04 20:54:26 | Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc | Up | BUY | 53 | 67¢ | $36 | 0xe9dbda… |
| 05-04 20:54:26 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 0 | 67¢ | $0 | 0x60deb3… |
| 05-04 20:54:24 | (anonymous) 0xe2d1…b6b1 | Up | BUY | 5 | 58¢ | $3 | 0x89e218… |
| 05-04 20:54:22 | (anonymous) 0x8116…b2a8 | Up | BUY | 15 | 58¢ | $9 | 0xb50ef1… |
| 05-04 20:54:18 | (anonymous) 0xe5ea…7b12 | Up | BUY | 7 | 58¢ | $4 | 0x3f7651… |
| 05-04 20:54:16 | Equal-Burro 0x41f4…ee16 | Up | BUY | 13 | 57¢ | $7 | 0x845cb5… |
| 05-04 20:49:48 | Focused-Intestine 0x22b8…8b13 | Up | BUY | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0x279315… |
| 05-04 20:49:48 | Narrow-Closing 0x1c1f…5fc4 | Up | BUY | 6 | 80¢ | $5 | 0x7a9ec7… |
| 05-04 20:49:46 | Focused-Intestine 0x22b8…8b13 | Up | BUY | 2 | 83¢ | $2 | 0xfab1be… |
| 05-04 20:49:46 | Focused-Intestine 0x22b8…8b13 | Up | BUY | 1 | 83¢ | $1 | 0xc4a2a7… |
| 05-04 20:49:40 | Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc | Down | BUY | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x79d1e9… |
| 05-04 20:49:40 | Grounded-Skull 0x6063…2705 | Up | BUY | 5 | 85¢ | $5 | 0x896664… |
| 05-04 20:49:38 | Grounded-Skull 0x6063…2705 | Up | BUY | 12 | 84¢ | $10 | 0x027677… |
| 05-04 20:49:38 | Grounded-Skull 0x6063…2705 | Up | BUY | 12 | 84¢ | $10 | 0x0bc379… |
| 05-04 20:49:38 | (anonymous) 0x3711…669f | Up | BUY | 27 | 84¢ | $23 | 0xb2ad77… |
| 05-04 20:49:38 | Grounded-Skull 0x6063…2705 | Up | BUY | 14 | 84¢ | $11 | 0xa101d2… |
| 05-04 20:49:36 | Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc | Down | BUY | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x960692… |
| 05-04 20:49:36 | Grounded-Skull 0x6063…2705 | Up | BUY | 9 | 85¢ | $8 | 0x694d1e… |
| 05-04 20:49:36 | Grounded-Skull 0x6063…2705 | Up | BUY | 9 | 85¢ | $8 | 0xd4bef4… |
| 05-04 20:49:36 | (anonymous) 0x2f53…acb1 | Up | BUY | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x4647c7… |
| 05-04 20:49:36 | (anonymous) 0x2f53…acb1 | Up | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0xbe5db5… |
| 05-04 20:49:36 | Grounded-Skull 0x6063…2705 | Up | BUY | 6 | 85¢ | $5 | 0xf3778a… |
| 05-04 20:49:36 | Grounded-Skull 0x6063…2705 | Up | BUY | 9 | 85¢ | $8 | 0xb775f6… |
| 05-04 20:49:36 | Grounded-Skull 0x6063…2705 | Up | BUY | 9 | 85¢ | $8 | 0xc042c0… |
| 05-04 20:49:34 | Klutzy-Register 0x5039…a717 | Down | BUY | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xa1ad11… |
| 05-04 20:49:34 | Bewitched-Snap 0x35f6…5be6 | Down | SELL | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x85177d… |
| 05-04 20:49:34 | (anonymous) 0x8116…b2a8 | Down | BUY | 33 | 19¢ | $6 | 0x55aba4… |
| 05-04 20:49:32 | (anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1 | Down | SELL | 3 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x06df86… |
| 05-04 20:49:32 | Grounded-Skull 0x6063…2705 | Up | BUY | 6 | 80¢ | $5 | 0x46e9b6… |
| 05-04 20:49:32 | Grounded-Skull 0x6063…2705 | Up | BUY | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0xf4d4d6… |
| 05-04 20:44:46 | Relieved-Packet 0x518d…d097 | Up | BUY | 55 | 58¢ | $32 | 0x1f000b… |