Wealthy-Weakness — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.35K

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

56.7%

Resolved

3,168

Trades

5,589

lifetime

Volume

$42.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-03-21

last 10-25 22:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 114 days

Categories

Other

51% 36% -$809

Crypto

32% 51% -$191

Politics

9% 34% -$249

Sports

8% 44% -$89

Tech

0% 40% -$14

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?	No	-5	-$2	92¢	$-5	-$3	04-29 19:54
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	-65	-$10	6¢	$-4	+$6	06-24 18:18
will turkey join the abraham accords before 2027	Yes	+9	$1	3¢	$0	-$1	07-26 09:27
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+7	$1	1¢	$0	-$1	06-26 06:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
atp chidekh gadamau 2026 04 08	36	$653	1,461	222	+1,239	Clement Chidekh	-$207	04-09 07:42
ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 total 2pt5	20	$602	579	314	+265	Under	+$25	04-08 20:55
bkcba qin gua 2026 04 08	5	$488	428	417	+11	Guangdong Southern Tigers	+$357	04-08 14:42
wta potapov zhang 2026 04 07	27	$433	1,684	1,181	+503	Anastasia Potapova	-$93	04-08 16:32
atp villanu varilla 2026 04 08	15	$393	227	226	+1	Juan Pablo Varillas	+$2	04-08 17:51
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	7	$364	934	432	+502	Yes	-$114	04-03 15:45
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	6	$338	359	359	+0	Yes	+$43	04-05 07:12
cs2 fokus eye 2026 04 08 game2	12	$304	289	187	+102	FOKUS	+$28	04-08 11:21
spl ith neo 2026 04 07 ith	10	$262	223	144	+79	No	+$18	04-08 19:55
atp ruiz canas 2026 04 08	12	$222	315	161	+154	Alejandro Moro Canas	-$55	04-08 16:41
cs2 b8 lgc 2026 04 08 game2	12	$222	466	106	+360	B8	-$12	04-08 14:44
atp cobolli blockx 2026 04 08	12	$221	178	175	+3	Alexander Blockx	+$70	04-08 16:53
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	8	$218	547	547	+0	Yes	-$39	04-02 12:17
spl fay ahl 2026 04 07 ahl	8	$211	164	164	+0	No	+$75	04-08 17:54
lib mir lan 2026 04 08 mir	23	$208	415	0	+415	Yes	+$11	04-08 22:15
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	4	$198	113	113	+0	No	+$10	03-30 20:07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	3	$181	114	105	+9	Yes	-$2	04-16 05:58
wta jones avanesy 2026 04 08	9	$177	285	76	+209	Elina Avanesyan	-$26	04-08 14:44
spl ith neo 2026 04 07 spread home 1pt5	4	$174	103	103	+0	NEOM SC	-$2	04-08 19:21
tur goz gal 2026 04 08 total 4pt5	24	$173	249	84	+165	Under	-$3	04-08 19:10
spl fay ahl 2026 04 07 total 2pt5	13	$169	139	112	+27	Under	+$32	04-08 18:03
atp midon ambrogi 2026 04 08	13	$168	131	114	+17	Lautaro Midon	+$53	04-08 17:50
atp etcheve atmane 2026 04 08	8	$165	150	98	+52	Tomas Etcheverry	+$24	04-08 15:55
atp dellien olivier 2026 04 06	10	$164	121	102	+20	Hugo Dellien	+$20	04-08 16:07
ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 total 4pt5	6	$163	367	56	+311	Under	-$63	04-08 20:07
cs2 fokus eye 2026 04 08	3	$162	117	115	+2	EYEBALLERS	+$70	04-08 11:22
atp musetti vachero 2026 04 08	19	$161	185	93	+92	Valentin Vacherot	+$1	04-08 17:58
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	4	$157	227	227	+0	No	+$113	04-15 21:14
bkcba gua2 bei 2026 04 08	8	$155	143	77	+66	Beijing Ducks	-$1	04-08 14:44
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	7	$155	85	85	+0	No	+$5	04-04 18:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 22:22:27	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x9f1937…
10-19 11:15:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	No	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x1c7fae…
10-19 07:28:17	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x85ae65…
10-19 06:42:08	Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez	Leylah Fernandez	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x0ffff1…
10-19 06:41:42	Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x64e0da…
10-19 06:37:15	Guangzhou: Kasidit Samrej vs Yaroslav Demin	Kasidit Samrej	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0xf34490…
10-19 06:30:17	Guangzhou: Kasidit Samrej vs Yaroslav Demin	Kasidit Samrej	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x8dea6d…
10-19 06:29:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 19?	No	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xde006e…
10-19 03:57:06	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Coventry City FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x800d02…
10-19 03:53:03	Will CD Marquense vs. CSD Suchitepéquez end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x3f3461…
10-19 00:38:29	Will CD Marquense vs. CSD Suchitepéquez end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x57d8fe…
10-19 00:21:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	No	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x8db9a1…
10-19 00:08:36	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xd7709c…
10-18 16:36:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x429a9a…
10-18 16:16:18	FC Twente vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xe3ad85…
10-18 15:53:23	Will Santos FC win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x02ba7e…
10-18 15:15:05	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka	Sri Lanka	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x61ea9c…
10-18 12:05:38	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka	Sri Lanka	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x60d3a2…
10-18 11:49:41	Will Udinese Calcio vs. US Lecce end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0xbc9f68…
10-18 08:14:36	Will Udinese Calcio vs. US Lecce end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xb38df4…
10-18 06:01:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0xd793af…
10-18 05:09:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x7bc6ae…
10-18 04:58:35	Ethereum Up or Down on October 18?	Up	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x7b4787…
10-18 03:40:57	Will Kuopion Palloseura vs. Vaasan Palloseura end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x2ae29b…
10-18 03:15:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x0705da…
10-18 00:30:00	Will Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x475666…
10-17 23:48:15	Santa Cruz 2: Francisco Comesana vs Thiago Seyboth Wild	Francisco Comesana	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xf4f368…
10-17 22:13:38	Ethereum Up or Down on October 18?	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x6d426a…
10-17 17:41:24	Will ES Troyes AC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xed2ce5…
10-17 17:33:30	Will Valencia CF win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xe59bf5…
10-17 17:24:03	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xffea2a…
10-17 17:08:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 19?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x7128e2…
10-17 15:37:35	lowest temperature in hong kong on october 18 2026 27c	No	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x3e2cf3…
10-17 12:20:32	Will Wigan Athletic FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x3c249f…
10-17 12:19:18	ethereum up or down on october 17 2026	Down	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x852ac7…
10-17 11:25:27	ethereum up or down on october 17 2026	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x0503cd…
10-17 10:54:36	highest temperature in shanghai on october 18 2026 31c	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x4d4b64…
10-17 10:32:54	val vit 100t1 2026 10 17 game4	Team Vitality	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xde0d1f…
10-17 10:32:14	lol fox1 we 2026 10 17	Team WE	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xec7685…
10-17 10:30:00	val vit 100t1 2026 10 17 game4	Team Vitality	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xc75dd5…
10-17 10:10:30	lol fox1 we 2026 10 17	Team WE	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xbe3005…
10-17 10:08:39	val vit 100t1 2026 10 17 game3	100 Thieves	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x7b1ee0…
10-17 09:53:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 17?	Yes	SELL	0	14¢	$0	0xe76f82…
10-17 09:53:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 17?	Yes	SELL	4	14¢	$1	0x2affac…
10-17 08:58:23	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x0b1977…
10-17 08:46:39	val vit 100t1 2026 10 17	Team Vitality	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x013d17…
10-17 08:30:35	val vit 100t1 2026 10 17	Team Vitality	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xfbb750…
10-17 08:25:44	val vit 100t1 2026 10 17	Team Vitality	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x184430…
10-17 07:39:39	val vit 100t1 2026 10 17	Team Vitality	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xed2fdd…
10-17 07:17:02	FC Lahti vs. Turun Palloseura: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x21cbf4…
10-17 04:01:20	Tōkyō Verdy vs. FC Tōkyō: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x3837fb…
10-17 03:43:36	Will Perth Glory FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x7039e4…
10-17 03:28:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 17?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x655146…
10-16 23:47:45	Will Atlante FC vs. Pumas de la UNAM end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xa356d6…
10-16 21:50:53	Will SC Internacional win on 2026-10-16?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x4bf119…
10-16 21:18:48	Tōkyō Verdy vs. FC Tōkyō: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x7867eb…
10-16 21:13:54	Mirassol FC vs. SC Internacional: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x1e00ba…
10-16 20:30:03	lol mvk kc 2026 10 16 game3	MVK Esports	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x0cb99b…
10-16 14:17:27	Will FC Energie Cottbus vs. 1. FC Nürnberg end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xaa3e83…
10-16 12:44:01	dota2 xe xctn 2026 10 16 game1	Execration	BUY	2	29¢	$0	0x248327…
10-16 12:08:51	Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-10-16?	Yes	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x6caea6…
10-16 11:37:48	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x02ae4f…
10-16 11:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x31a399…
10-16 10:02:06	Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Köln: 1st Half O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xea7a95…
10-16 09:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x38876a…
10-16 09:23:39	val vit loud 2026 10 16	Team Vitality	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xc268e8…
10-16 09:23:36	val vit loud 2026 10 16	Team Vitality	BUY	2	30¢	$0	0x67df77…
10-16 09:23:12	Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-16?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xbec193…
10-16 09:07:06	Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-10-16?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xadc3d8…
10-16 09:05:36	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x7c615c…
10-14 15:33:48	Will SV Wehen Wiesbaden vs. Alemannia Aachen end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x1f90fa…
10-14 15:03:18	dota2 tr7 yb1 2026 10 14	Yakult Brothers	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x189a10…
10-14 14:07:59	cs2 fal2 nip 2026 10 14 game2	NIP	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x34bbce…
10-14 14:05:56	cs2 fal2 nip 2026 10 14 game2	NIP	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xf21619…
10-14 14:03:51	Will Stroemsgodset IF vs. Kongsvinger IL Toppfotball end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x3c6a96…
10-14 14:01:27	crint ind wst 2026 10 14	West Indies	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x96aabc…
10-14 12:35:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	7	38¢	$3	0x41b152…
10-14 06:05:07	Will FK Mladá Boleslav win on 2026-08-29?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xf08555…
10-14 05:54:53	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x29cf4f…
10-14 05:14:41	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x016420…
10-14 05:13:13	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-14 04:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x238a7d…
10-14 05:08:26	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-14 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x6cd4f5…
10-14 04:20:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 14?	No	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xcaaf33…
10-14 04:07:04	Will Vissel Kobe vs. Jeonbuk FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x8b6dd8…
10-14 03:50:16	AD San Carlos vs. Inter San Carlos: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x0e0555…
10-14 01:17:15	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,050 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xa7aa77…
10-13 23:37:55	AD San Carlos vs. Inter San Carlos: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x6494a9…
10-13 22:30:48	Will FC Irtysh Pavlodar vs. FC Astana end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x58b264…
10-13 17:45:09	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-13 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x23f2cc…
10-13 17:44:07	LoL: Galions vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix - Game 3 Winner	⁠Movistar KOI Fénix	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x28ce6e…
10-13 17:32:43	LoL: Galions vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix - Game 3 Winner	⁠Movistar KOI Fénix	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0xe85b30…
10-13 17:11:09	LoL: Galions vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix - Game 3 Winner	⁠Movistar KOI Fénix	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x3a9f10…
10-13 15:45:30	will bitcoin dip to 82k on october 13 2026	Yes	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x8b4fd0…
10-13 15:45:28	dota2 pckcp ic 2026 10 13	PuckChamp	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x2d8998…
10-13 13:14:23	HYPE Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-13 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xcefb14…
10-13 12:49:31	will bitcoin dip to 82k on october 13 2026	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x9240c1…
10-13 12:13:38	LoL: HANJIN BRION vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner	HANJIN BRION	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xafb8b8…
10-13 12:08:10	LoL: HANJIN BRION vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs	HANJIN BRION	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x1c55a7…
10-13 12:07:38	LoL: HANJIN BRION vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner	HANJIN BRION	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x952279…
10-13 12:06:14	LoL: HANJIN BRION vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner	HANJIN BRION	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x8cb392…