Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
Down won
Total volume
$10,013
Trades
608
Unique wallets
104
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
5¢
Latest NO mid
95¢
End date
2026-10-18
First seen
2026-10-17
last 10-18 08:00
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-4.3¢
(top1%: 6% YES on $5.3K
vs crowd: 11% YES on $9.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 19 | $607 | $6.7K | $6.1K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 32 | $208 | $1.3K | $1.1K |
| 🐟 Fish | 32 | $133 | $425 | $292 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 21 | $56 | $50 | +$5 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 17 | $335 | $5.0K | $4.7K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 30 | $50 | $769 | $719 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 8 | $16 | $97 | $81 |
| Median | 9 | $39 | $11 | +$28 |
| Below median | 15 | $36 | $203 | $166 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $47 | $13 | +$34 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 12 | $89 | $72 | +$18 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 9 | $390 | $2.3K | $1.9K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Up | +2,768 | $192 | $194 | 6 | 10-18 07:56 |
| Striped-Alder 0x8345…dd93 | Down | +1,493 | $1,491 | $1,491 | 3 | 10-18 08:00 |
| Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | +1,152 | $951 | $951 | 23 | 10-18 07:19 |
| All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Down | +1,015 | $1,014 | $1,014 | 1 | 10-18 07:52 |
| Definitive-Curtain 0xbcde…8dda | Up | +1,000 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-18 07:52 |
| Monumental-Congressperson 0x27d8…d41f | Down | +1,000 | $999 | $999 | 2 | 10-18 08:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x4961…de13 | Down | +719 | $526 | $526 | 38 | 10-18 05:19 |
| Big-Beet 0xe953…a4f9 | Up | +705 | $25 | $25 | 6 | 10-18 07:50 |
| Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | +702 | $128 | $128 | 16 | 10-18 06:36 |
| Frivolous-Insurance 0x7758…42a9 | Up | +651 | $95 | $95 | 1 | 10-18 05:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x26da…8a28 | Down | +431 | $365 | $616 | 15 | 10-18 07:26 |
| Impolite-Sister 0xc2ad…40ed | Down | +409 | $346 | $346 | 5 | 10-18 05:35 |
| Rural-Wharf-Parable 0x3725…ad88 | Down | +407 | $324 | $324 | 3 | 10-18 05:09 |
| Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Up | +336 | $89 | $89 | 8 | 10-18 06:02 |
| Grubby-Pirate 0x67e3…2a16 | Down | +324 | $320 | $320 | 1 | 10-18 07:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Up | +314 | $61 | $61 | 23 | 10-18 07:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Down | +298 | $231 | $231 | 19 | 10-18 07:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x9aa6…183f | Up | +200 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-18 07:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x1b34…9371 | Up | +200 | $46 | $46 | 15 | 10-18 05:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x32ed…8ec3 | Down | +192 | $159 | $159 | 7 | 10-18 07:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x9e3e…f882 | Up | +178 | $31 | $31 | 6 | 10-18 07:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xc7eb…e7ff | Down | +143 | $105 | $105 | 8 | 10-18 04:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x24ce…da46 | Up | +135 | $33 | $33 | 6 | 10-18 06:35 |
| Definitive-Mapping 0x7261…92f9 | Down | +120 | $118 | $118 | 8 | 10-18 07:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x229c…b966 | Up | +116 | $4 | $4 | 4 | 10-18 07:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xd9f2…1232 | Up | +111 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-18 07:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x3de0…e68c | Down | +103 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 10-18 07:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xfc3d…0813 | Up | +85 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 10-18 07:11 |
| Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Up | +80 | $23 | $23 | 3 | 10-18 05:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x5e8e…8212 | Down | +79 | $62 | $62 | 17 | 10-18 05:12 |
| Hospitable-Zone 0x8ead…f333 | Up | +70 | $29 | $29 | 14 | 10-18 04:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x6ebd…0fc2 | Up | +69 | $28 | $28 | 5 | 10-18 04:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x1a0a…f528 | Up | +65 | $7 | $9 | 10 | 10-18 07:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x630f…b98f | Down | +60 | $31 | $31 | 2 | 10-18 03:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x24ce…da46 | Down | +60 | $54 | $54 | 3 | 10-18 06:24 |
| Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Up | +60 | $6 | $6 | 4 | 10-18 06:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x6daa…25c3 | Down | +58 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 10-18 06:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x5eaf…ea07 | Up | +50 | $3 | $3 | 5 | 10-18 07:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xcc2d…55fb | Up | +50 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 10-18 03:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x9858…0173 | Down | +50 | $45 | $45 | 1 | 10-18 06:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x1461…b97e | Up | +50 | $6 | $6 | 6 | 10-18 07:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x1461…b97e | Down | +42 | $36 | $36 | 5 | 10-18 07:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xb4cd…c041 | Down | +41 | $36 | $36 | 3 | 10-18 05:37 |
| Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Down | +41 | $30 | $30 | 6 | 10-18 06:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xf1a2…516a | Up | +40 | $3 | $3 | 4 | 10-18 07:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xd47c…c70a | Up | +40 | $3 | $3 | 4 | 10-18 07:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xd235…f9ff | Up | +40 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 10-18 04:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x5eaf…ea07 | Down | +40 | $34 | $34 | 4 | 10-18 07:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x924c…65f0 | Up | +37 | $5 | $5 | 8 | 10-18 07:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xdac5…d2c0 | Down | +36 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 10-18 07:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x06ad…6b2f | Up | +32 | $3 | $3 | 4 | 10-18 07:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x924c…65f0 | Down | +31 | $25 | $25 | 7 | 10-18 07:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xd892…f028 | Up | +30 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 10-18 07:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xe81a…97ea | Up | +30 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 10-18 07:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xc8fd…5efa | Up | +30 | $2 | $2 | 3 | 10-18 07:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xb0da…15b9 | Down | +30 | $27 | $27 | 3 | 10-18 07:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xd47c…c70a | Down | +30 | $26 | $26 | 4 | 10-18 07:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xf1a2…516a | Down | +30 | $27 | $27 | 3 | 10-18 07:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x06ad…6b2f | Down | +30 | $26 | $26 | 3 | 10-18 06:35 |
| Diligent-Short 0xac71…f74c | Down | +30 | $27 | $27 | 3 | 10-18 07:15 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 08:00:41 | Striped-Alder 0x8345…dd93 | Down | BUY | 33 | 100¢ | $33 | 0xae90f8… |
| 10-18 08:00:41 | Monumental-Congressperson 0x27d8…d41f | Down | BUY | 140 | 100¢ | $140 | 0xae90f8… |
| 10-18 08:00:41 | (anonymous) 0x457b…033e | Down | SELL | 173 | 100¢ | $173 | 0xae90f8… |
| 10-18 07:56:11 | Striped-Alder 0x8345…dd93 | Down | BUY | 1,000 | 100¢ | $999 | 0xfccd93… |
| 10-18 07:56:11 | Monumental-Congressperson 0x27d8…d41f | Down | BUY | 860 | 100¢ | $859 | 0xfccd93… |
| 10-18 07:56:11 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Up | BUY | 1,860 | 0¢ | $2 | 0xfccd93… |
| 10-18 07:52:27 | Definitive-Curtain 0xbcde…8dda | Up | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x693978… |
| 10-18 07:52:27 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Up | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x693978… |
| 10-18 07:52:27 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Down | BUY | 1,015 | 100¢ | $1,014 | 0x693978… |
| 10-18 07:52:27 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Up | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x693978… |
| 10-18 07:50:15 | Striped-Alder 0x8345…dd93 | Down | BUY | 460 | 100¢ | $459 | 0xee06d4… |
| 10-18 07:50:15 | Big-Beet 0xe953…a4f9 | Up | BUY | 460 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xee06d4… |
| 10-18 07:47:15 | Big-Beet 0xe953…a4f9 | Up | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5f4eee… |
| 10-18 07:47:15 | Definitive-Mapping 0x7261…92f9 | Down | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x5f4eee… |
| 10-18 07:43:17 | Big-Beet 0xe953…a4f9 | Up | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5d764b… |
| 10-18 07:43:17 | Definitive-Mapping 0x7261…92f9 | Down | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x5d764b… |
| 10-18 07:31:24 | (anonymous) 0x48ef…c476 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x52cb78… |
| 10-18 07:31:24 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Down | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x52cb78… |
| 10-18 07:31:24 | (anonymous) 0xd9f2…1232 | Up | BUY | 111 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x52cb78… |
| 10-18 07:31:24 | Buzzing-Industrialization 0x4d51…885f | Up | SELL | 103 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x52cb78… |
| 10-18 07:28:08 | Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x753af9… |
| 10-18 07:28:08 | (anonymous) 0x335a…a494 | Down | SELL | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x753af9… |
| 10-18 07:26:38 | Definitive-Mapping 0x7261…92f9 | Down | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x7f2368… |
| 10-18 07:26:38 | Buzzing-Industrialization 0x4d51…885f | Up | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7f2368… |
| 10-18 07:26:24 | (anonymous) 0x26da…8a28 | Down | SELL | 29 | 98¢ | $29 | 0xebd3f4… |
| 10-18 07:26:24 | Grubby-Pirate 0x67e3…2a16 | Down | BUY | 324 | 99¢ | $320 | 0xebd3f4… |
| 10-18 07:26:24 | (anonymous) 0x9aa6…183f | Up | BUY | 200 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xebd3f4… |
| 10-18 07:26:24 | (anonymous) 0xc666…2582 | Down | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x913085… |
| 10-18 07:26:24 | Buzzing-Industrialization 0x4d51…885f | Up | BUY | 75 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xebd3f4… |
| 10-18 07:26:24 | (anonymous) 0xe779…80f2 | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xebd3f4… |
| 10-18 07:26:24 | Buzzing-Industrialization 0x4d51…885f | Up | BUY | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x913085… |
| 10-18 07:26:24 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xebd3f4… |
| 10-18 07:26:24 | Unlawful-Adulthood 0xe087…bc81 | Up | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xebd3f4… |
| 10-18 07:26:02 | (anonymous) 0x26da…8a28 | Down | SELL | 15 | 98¢ | $15 | 0xf2b949… |
| 10-18 07:26:02 | Definitive-Mapping 0x7261…92f9 | Down | BUY | 15 | 98¢ | $15 | 0xf2b949… |
| 10-18 07:24:59 | (anonymous) 0x335a…a494 | Down | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xd0f79c… |
| 10-18 07:24:59 | Definitive-Mapping 0x7261…92f9 | Down | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xd0f79c… |
| 10-18 07:24:54 | Definitive-Mapping 0x7261…92f9 | Down | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xd104df… |
| 10-18 07:24:54 | (anonymous) 0x335a…a494 | Down | SELL | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xd104df… |
| 10-18 07:24:45 | Definitive-Mapping 0x7261…92f9 | Down | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0xe92e14… |
| 10-18 07:24:45 | (anonymous) 0x26da…8a28 | Down | SELL | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0xe92e14… |
| 10-18 07:24:39 | Definitive-Mapping 0x7261…92f9 | Down | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x0c2438… |
| 10-18 07:24:39 | (anonymous) 0x335a…a494 | Down | SELL | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x0c2438… |
| 10-18 07:23:54 | (anonymous) 0x26da…8a28 | Down | SELL | 26 | 98¢ | $25 | 0x178520… |
| 10-18 07:23:54 | (anonymous) 0xdac5…d2c0 | Down | BUY | 36 | 98¢ | $35 | 0x178520… |
| 10-18 07:23:54 | (anonymous) 0x335a…a494 | Down | SELL | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x178520… |
| 10-18 07:23:41 | (anonymous) 0xd150…652a | Down | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x131420… |
| 10-18 07:23:41 | (anonymous) 0x335a…a494 | Down | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x131420… |
| 10-18 07:19:39 | (anonymous) 0x0680…4ba7 | Up | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x979575… |
| 10-18 07:19:39 | (anonymous) 0xc652…8387 | Up | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x979575… |
| 10-18 07:19:39 | Dazzling-Loaf 0xfdb4…b4b3 | Down | BUY | 15 | 98¢ | $15 | 0x979575… |
| 10-18 07:19:00 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Up | BUY | 39 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xc3b635… |
| 10-18 07:19:00 | (anonymous) 0x1717…6f59 | Up | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xc3b635… |
| 10-18 07:19:00 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 44 | 97¢ | $43 | 0xc3b635… |
| 10-18 07:16:15 | (anonymous) 0x0680…4ba7 | Down | BUY | 10 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x45bb09… |
| 10-18 07:16:15 | (anonymous) 0x6c21…be9e | Down | BUY | 8 | 94¢ | $8 | 0x45bb09… |
| 10-18 07:16:15 | (anonymous) 0x1a0a…f528 | Up | BUY | 18 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x45bb09… |
| 10-18 07:15:41 | (anonymous) 0x1df5…60bd | Down | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x557680… |
| 10-18 07:15:41 | (anonymous) 0xb0da…15b9 | Down | BUY | 10 | 93¢ | $9 | 0x557680… |
| 10-18 07:15:41 | Diligent-Short 0xac71…f74c | Down | BUY | 10 | 93¢ | $9 | 0x557680… |
| 10-18 07:15:41 | (anonymous) 0x1461…b97e | Down | BUY | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0x557680… |
| 10-18 07:15:41 | (anonymous) 0x9e3e…f882 | Up | BUY | 27 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x557680… |
| 10-18 07:15:14 | (anonymous) 0xb0da…15b9 | Up | BUY | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x15b079… |
| 10-18 07:15:14 | (anonymous) 0x568c…29ec | Up | BUY | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x15b079… |
| 10-18 07:15:14 | (anonymous) 0x3c7b…6863 | Up | BUY | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x15b079… |
| 10-18 07:15:14 | (anonymous) 0xe81a…97ea | Up | BUY | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x15b079… |
| 10-18 07:15:14 | (anonymous) 0x6c21…be9e | Up | BUY | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x15b079… |
| 10-18 07:15:14 | (anonymous) 0x5eaf…ea07 | Up | BUY | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x15b079… |
| 10-18 07:15:14 | (anonymous) 0xf1a2…516a | Up | BUY | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x15b079… |
| 10-18 07:15:14 | Diligent-Short 0xac71…f74c | Up | BUY | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x15b079… |
| 10-18 07:15:14 | (anonymous) 0x9209…a393 | Up | BUY | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x15b079… |
| 10-18 07:15:14 | (anonymous) 0x924c…65f0 | Up | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x15b079… |
| 10-18 07:15:14 | (anonymous) 0xc8fd…5efa | Up | BUY | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x15b079… |
| 10-18 07:15:14 | (anonymous) 0xf845…c785 | Up | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x15b079… |
| 10-18 07:15:14 | (anonymous) 0xd47c…c70a | Up | BUY | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x15b079… |
| 10-18 07:15:14 | (anonymous) 0x1b53…e3fd | Up | BUY | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x15b079… |
| 10-18 07:15:14 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 130 | 96¢ | $124 | 0x15b079… |
| 10-18 07:14:08 | (anonymous) 0x6250…f49a | Up | BUY | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x0ff3a2… |
| 10-18 07:14:08 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 10 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x0ff3a2… |
| 10-18 07:13:54 | (anonymous) 0x1461…b97e | Up | BUY | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x5d09f2… |
| 10-18 07:13:54 | (anonymous) 0xf1a2…516a | Up | BUY | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x5d09f2… |
| 10-18 07:13:54 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 30 | 95¢ | $28 | 0x5d09f2… |
| 10-18 07:13:54 | (anonymous) 0xc8fd…5efa | Up | BUY | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x5d09f2… |
| 10-18 07:13:53 | (anonymous) 0x5c03…66e6 | Down | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xd32137… |
| 10-18 07:13:53 | Homely-Bobcat 0xcda5…78da | Up | BUY | 26 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xd32137… |
| 10-18 07:13:53 | (anonymous) 0x1461…b97e | Down | BUY | 10 | 92¢ | $9 | 0xd32137… |
| 10-18 07:13:53 | (anonymous) 0x32ed…8ec3 | Down | BUY | 11 | 92¢ | $10 | 0xd32137… |
| 10-18 07:11:23 | (anonymous) 0xfc3d…0813 | Up | BUY | 85 | 7¢ | $6 | 0xcd9d82… |
| 10-18 07:11:23 | (anonymous) 0x5eaf…ea07 | Down | BUY | 10 | 93¢ | $9 | 0xcd9d82… |
| 10-18 07:11:23 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Down | BUY | 40 | 94¢ | $38 | 0xcd9d82… |
| 10-18 07:11:23 | (anonymous) 0xd47c…c70a | Down | BUY | 10 | 93¢ | $9 | 0xcd9d82… |
| 10-18 07:11:23 | (anonymous) 0xf1a2…516a | Down | BUY | 10 | 93¢ | $9 | 0xcd9d82… |
| 10-18 07:11:23 | (anonymous) 0xc8fd…5efa | Down | BUY | 10 | 93¢ | $9 | 0xcd9d82… |
| 10-18 07:11:23 | (anonymous) 0xe81a…97ea | Down | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xcd9d82… |
| 10-18 07:08:41 | (anonymous) 0x229c…b966 | Up | BUY | 22 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x091a86… |
| 10-18 07:08:41 | (anonymous) 0x3de0…e68c | Down | BUY | 103 | 97¢ | $100 | 0x091a86… |
| 10-18 07:08:41 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Up | BUY | 40 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x091a86… |
| 10-18 07:08:41 | (anonymous) 0x8cad…345f | Up | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x091a86… |
| 10-18 07:07:45 | (anonymous) 0x8cad…345f | Up | BUY | 4 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x59a8d5… |
| 10-18 07:07:45 | (anonymous) 0x1a0a…f528 | Up | SELL | 4 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x59a8d5… |