Hefty-Almond — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$54

Unrealized P&L

-$59

Hit rate

73.7%

Resolved

Trades

604

lifetime

Volume

$23.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

$136

1 position

First seen

2026-05-07

last 06-30 15:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

86% 64% $-46

Sports

13% 50% +$99

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes		+2,095	$195	6¢	$136	$-59	06-17 20:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	52	$2.8K	3,343	3,038	+305	open	—	05-24 00:15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	39	$2.2K	1,987	1,749	+237	open	—	05-29 15:11
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	41	$1.6K	1,333	1,331	+1	open	—	06-20 20:27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	40	$1.3K	1,548	683	+865	open	—	05-25 15:07
nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	25	$913	1,351	522	+829	open	—	06-11 03:32
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?	18	$825	835	593	+242	open	—	05-23 18:24
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 in May?	6	$739	565	249	+316	open	—	05-14 02:55
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $165 in May?	14	$626	641	466	+174	open	—	05-26 18:03
will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt35t by june 30	7	$516	744	203	+541	open	—	06-25 19:36
Will Detroit Pistons advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	10	$515	577	251	+326	open	—	05-18 01:40
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	2	$381	400	0	+400	Hanwha Life Esports	+$19	05-10 04:00
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in May?	8	$325	352	366	-14	open	—	05-26 13:53
cs2 bb3 sin2 2026 07 01	4	$320	268	200	+68	open	—	06-30 15:15
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $304 in May?	11	$317	313	294	+19	open	—	05-19 13:38
fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 goals jonathan david gte1	7	$303	447	4	+444	open	—	06-28 09:09
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in May?	6	$299	198	198	-0	open	—	05-15 10:27
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $580 in May?	11	$292	311	309	+2	open	—	05-27 14:21
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	5	$276	431	100	+331	open	—	05-22 09:33
fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 goals brian brobbey gte1	3	$253	338	0	+338	open	—	06-29 19:30
Will Minnesota Timberwolves advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	3	$244	283	4	+278	open	—	05-16 00:14
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 in May?	4	$241	150	112	+38	open	—	05-14 19:18
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $180 in May?	12	$237	214	213	+0	open	—	05-25 10:30
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?	6	$213	165	162	+3	open	—	05-16 19:57
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $175 in May?	6	$210	189	91	+98	open	—	05-25 16:01
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $95 in May?	4	$204	197	195	+2	open	—	05-26 13:38
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $680 in May?	4	$201	158	68	+91	open	—	05-28 12:07
fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 goals ismaila sarr gte1	2	$199	240	0	+240	open	—	06-30 21:19
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs 1win (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs	2	$197	238	0	+238	1win	$-197	05-08 07:56
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 in May?	8	$197	228	224	+4	open	—	05-26 02:21
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	11	$195	2,095	0	+2,095	open	—	06-17 20:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 21:19:32	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 goals ismaila sarr gte1	No	BUY	40	83¢	$33	0xb4c0f0…
06-30 15:15:46	cs2 bb3 sin2 2026 07 01	BetBoom Team	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0x304796…
06-30 15:12:50	cs2 bb3 sin2 2026 07 01	BetBoom Team	BUY	56	67¢	$37	0x79e0ea…
06-30 14:49:47	cs2 bb3 sin2 2026 07 01	BetBoom Team	SELL	200	68¢	$136	0x04e4af…
06-30 14:46:25	cs2 bb3 sin2 2026 07 01	BetBoom Team	BUY	200	69¢	$138	0xa9ca39…
06-30 14:22:16	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 goals ismaila sarr gte1	No	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0xb37d4d…
06-30 08:19:14	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 goals enner valencia gte1	No	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x46461e…
06-30 08:06:49	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 goals raul jimenez gte1	Yes	SELL	80	20¢	$16	0x7af25e…
06-30 07:14:53	cs2 faze tyloo 2026 07 01	TYLOO	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0x584411…
06-30 05:32:19	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 goals raul jimenez gte1	Yes	BUY	40	18¢	$7	0x8daf0a…
06-30 05:23:38	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 goals raul jimenez gte1	Yes	BUY	40	18¢	$7	0x82c685…
06-30 05:12:53	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 goals viktor gyokeres gte1	No	BUY	42	82¢	$34	0x33d999…
06-30 05:07:59	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 goals raul jimenez gte1	No	SELL	40	82¢	$33	0x96804d…
06-30 04:54:44	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 goals raul jimenez gte1	No	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0x9e8a0f…
06-30 04:51:50	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 goals raul jimenez gte1	No	SELL	30	89¢	$27	0x61b707…
06-30 04:33:07	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 goals folarin balogun gte1	No	BUY	13	59¢	$8	0xe45d14…
06-30 04:20:01	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 goals raul jimenez gte1	No	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0x83d2ec…
06-30 03:33:22	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 goals enner valencia gte1	No	BUY	42	82¢	$34	0xfbf4b7…
06-29 19:30:53	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 goals brian brobbey gte1	No	BUY	200	74¢	$148	0x4e972b…
06-29 17:02:19	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 goals amad diallo gte1	Yes	BUY	14	17¢	$2	0xc38ef7…
06-29 17:02:19	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 goals amad diallo gte1	Yes	BUY	16	17¢	$3	0x8f79a8…
06-29 16:35:41	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 goals ayoub el kaabi gte1	No	SELL	40	81¢	$32	0x632151…
06-29 15:42:02	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 goals julio cesar enciso gte1	No	BUY	75	90¢	$68	0x6b40ee…
06-29 15:22:28	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 goals ayoub el kaabi gte1	No	BUY	40	77¢	$31	0xad184e…
06-29 15:06:43	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 goals ayoub el kaabi gte1	Yes	SELL	40	22¢	$9	0xdb74e9…
06-29 14:51:58	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 goals ayoub el kaabi gte1	Yes	SELL	40	22¢	$9	0x1114bc…
06-29 09:18:20	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	BUY	62	58¢	$36	0x23d2ed…
06-29 03:38:58	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 goals ayoub el kaabi gte1	Yes	BUY	40	18¢	$7	0x3e50e2…
06-29 03:32:46	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 goals ayoub el kaabi gte1	Yes	BUY	40	18¢	$7	0x03e40e…
06-29 02:18:35	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 goals brian brobbey gte1	No	BUY	132	76¢	$101	0x003d37…
06-29 02:15:41	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 goals brian brobbey gte1	No	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x3aa005…
06-28 18:41:55	will openais valuation hit low 800b by june 30	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xbe65c3…
06-28 18:38:43	will openais valuation hit low 800b by june 30	No	BUY	120	94¢	$113	0x96cb0f…
06-28 12:26:23	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 goals ayase ueda gte1	No	BUY	60	82¢	$49	0x8f6ae2…
06-28 09:38:26	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 goals ayase ueda gte1	No	BUY	80	83¢	$66	0x28fda2…
06-28 09:09:26	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 goals jonathan david gte1	No	SELL	4	65¢	$2	0x4a320a…
06-28 09:06:11	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 goals jonathan david gte1	No	BUY	200	66¢	$132	0xf5ba05…
06-28 08:30:16	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 goals vinicius junior gte1	Yes	SELL	13	47¢	$6	0x25347f…
06-28 05:52:32	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 goals vinicius junior gte1	Yes	SELL	50	44¢	$22	0x51a92f…
06-28 05:49:37	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 goals vinicius junior gte1	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xdc7335…
06-28 05:49:34	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 goals vinicius junior gte1	Yes	BUY	48	47¢	$23	0x99942f…
06-28 05:18:59	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 goals vinicius junior gte1	Yes	BUY	13	46¢	$6	0xf33241…
06-28 04:30:14	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 goals jonathan david gte1	No	BUY	40	67¢	$27	0xa37884…
06-28 04:27:19	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 goals jonathan david gte1	No	BUY	35	67¢	$23	0x78f42d…
06-28 04:22:47	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 goals jonathan david gte1	No	BUY	95	68¢	$65	0xb7ec58…
06-28 04:16:08	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 goals jonathan david gte1	No	BUY	37	69¢	$26	0x9f33ac…
06-28 04:09:07	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 goals jonathan david gte1	No	BUY	40	69¢	$28	0xb7338d…
06-28 03:14:20	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 btts	No	BUY	200	54¢	$108	0x1f8429…
06-28 03:10:35	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 btts	No	BUY	125	54¢	$68	0x03e518…
06-28 01:36:43	mlb mia stl 2026 06 28	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	15	56¢	$8	0x0ee0dc…
06-26 09:08:19	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 btts	No	BUY	29	56¢	$16	0x7663b2…
06-26 08:36:01	fifwc nzl bel 2026 06 26 btts	No	BUY	200	54¢	$108	0xc2146c…
06-26 08:33:08	fifwc nzl bel 2026 06 26 btts	No	BUY	42	54¢	$23	0xf06031…
06-26 08:17:02	dota2 yes modus 2026 06 26	Yellow Submarine	SELL	4	69¢	$2	0x358d8d…
06-26 08:13:41	dota2 yes modus 2026 06 26	Yellow Submarine	BUY	200	71¢	$142	0x0a6b85…
06-26 01:07:16	fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 btts	Yes	BUY	200	44¢	$88	0x2d3bd0…
06-25 22:26:16	fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 btts	Yes	BUY	163	46¢	$75	0xcf1ea6…
06-25 19:49:14	will openais valuation hit high 950b by june 30	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$5	0x25b835…
06-25 19:36:56	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt35t by june 30	No	BUY	83	92¢	$77	0x828874…
06-25 17:56:41	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt35t by june 30	No	BUY	92	92¢	$85	0xb29ff0…
06-25 17:53:46	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt35t by june 30	No	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0xb043d2…
06-25 17:52:22	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt35t by june 30	No	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0x9df37c…
06-25 17:49:14	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt35t by june 30	No	BUY	169	94¢	$159	0x33fb9b…
06-25 13:58:28	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt35t by june 30	Yes	SELL	200	2¢	$3	0x2c9da1…
06-25 13:55:19	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt35t by june 30	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0x40adc9…
06-25 10:33:38	fifwc kor civ 2026 06 25 btts	No	SELL	16	59¢	$9	0x1fe84d…
06-25 10:30:35	fifwc kor civ 2026 06 25 btts	No	BUY	16	60¢	$9	0xa658f1…
06-23 19:59:26	fifwc egy irn 2026 06 26 btts	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xd97fd4…
06-23 09:19:14	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	Yes	BUY	19	61¢	$12	0xe1066a…
06-23 08:31:20	will coin reach 200 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x057f2d…
06-23 08:03:05	will coin reach 195 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	193	3¢	$6	0xbf3571…
06-23 08:00:05	will coin reach 195 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x9073bd…
06-23 08:00:05	will coin reach 195 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0x8bcf03…
06-23 08:00:05	will coin reach 195 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x023383…
06-23 08:00:04	will coin reach 195 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	186	5¢	$9	0x69fc37…
06-23 07:18:44	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	No	SELL	24	33¢	$8	0xc6f9b5…
06-23 05:03:17	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by june 30	Yes	BUY	143	4¢	$5	0x16e07a…
06-23 03:31:38	cs2 k271 wal2 2026 06 23	K27	BUY	75	60¢	$45	0x8dd9fb…
06-23 02:47:07	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	No	BUY	24	33¢	$8	0xe8cf70…
06-22 16:23:55	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	Yes	BUY	52	70¢	$36	0x1f8ab3…
06-22 16:00:35	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	Yes	BUY	40	71¢	$28	0xe0c7ce…
06-22 14:34:35	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	Yes	SELL	96	6¢	$6	0x819be2…
06-22 00:37:49	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	96	8¢	$8	0x26f3d0…
06-21 02:55:43	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	Yes	BUY	47	78¢	$36	0x10bd44…
06-20 20:27:10	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	24	16¢	$4	0xaf2c7e…
06-20 20:24:08	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	23	24¢	$6	0x2b1763…
06-19 18:57:56	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	12	43¢	$5	0x6da59f…
06-19 18:31:13	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	15	43¢	$6	0x29b2c2…
06-19 16:26:28	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	28	50¢	$14	0xf6010b…
06-19 14:55:58	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	34	61¢	$21	0x44d882…
06-19 10:37:35	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0xd9695d…
06-19 10:37:11	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	14	67¢	$9	0xd1429e…
06-19 05:51:58	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	44¢	$19	0x5b8a3e…
06-19 05:13:04	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	33	58¢	$19	0xeb4db0…
06-19 03:57:07	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	21	56¢	$12	0x1aa290…
06-19 03:07:34	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0xd90b89…
06-19 03:03:55	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	200	60¢	$120	0xaa492c…
06-19 02:53:44	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	42¢	$12	0xc321e9…
06-19 02:50:22	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	15	58¢	$9	0x56b71c…
06-19 02:13:01	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	65¢	$20	0x6eb4c3…