Modest-Incarnation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$13

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

98.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$425

lifetime

Avg / trade

$61

Open exposure

$39

1 position

First seen

2026-05-05

last 05-06 15:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 83% +$13

Other

9% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No		+40	$39	96¢	$39	+$0	05-06 15:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	1	$101	102	+102	Up	+$1	05-06 06:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	1	$95	99	+99	Up	+$4	05-05 18:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	1	$95	96	+96	Up	+$1	05-05 18:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	1	$85	91	+91	Up	+$6	05-05 12:26
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	1	$39	40	+40	open	—	05-06 15:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	1	$7	26	+26	Down	$-7	05-05 12:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	1	$3	10	+10	Down	+$7	05-05 09:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 15:31:20	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$39	0xbffc72…
05-06 06:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	102	99¢	$101	0x4aeb56…
05-05 18:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	96	99¢	$95	0x117682…
05-05 18:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	99	96¢	$95	0xc67b83…
05-05 12:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	26	27¢	$7	0x9f517c…
05-05 12:26:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	91	93¢	$85	0x99908c…
05-05 09:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x79c476…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	6	$941	34	05-06 06:29
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	5	$2.27K	23	05-06 06:29
Studious-Reality 0x167a…d542	4	$770	90	05-06 06:29
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	3	$555	8	05-05 18:12