Hideous-Twig — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.72K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-28

last 05-31 23:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

50% 100% +$14

Other

28% 100% +$0

Politics

22% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$199	201	+201	open	—	05-25 10:49
Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$195	209	+209	Yes	+$14	05-04 20:32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	1	$191	199	+199	open	—	05-19 08:06
Will Finland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$191	191	+191	Yes	+$0	05-09 14:58
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	1	$188	193	+193	open	—	05-15 06:28
Will Denmark advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$187	188	+188	open	—	05-14 20:10
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	2	$145	147	+147	open	—	04-30 23:08
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	1	$98	98	+98	open	—	05-31 23:23
will bitcoin dip to 65k in january 2026	1	$52	52	+52	open	—	01-28 04:23
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	1	$39	39	+39	open	—	04-01 12:21
EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	1	$22	22	+22	open	—	04-01 01:02
Genius FDV above $300M one day after launch?	1	$21	23	+23	open	—	04-13 23:38
Will Hyperliquid reach $56 in April?	1	$13	13	+13	open	—	04-29 16:34
Will Solana reach $160 in May?	3	$8	8	+8	open	—	05-14 19:54
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	3	$7	7	+7	open	—	05-15 17:46
Will XRP dip to $1.20 in April?	1	$7	7	+7	open	—	04-29 12:31
Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the April meeting?	2	$7	7	+7	open	—	04-16 15:47
aapl above 320 on march 31 2026	1	$7	7	+7	open	—	03-31 01:28
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	03-25 18:06
will chainlink reach 18 in march	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	03-24 23:44
will dogecoin dip to 0pt05 in march 2026	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	03-26 00:56
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	03-21 16:25
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $220 end of April?	2	$5	5	+5	open	—	04-11 18:07
Will Solana reach $130 in May?	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-03 19:52
Will BNB dip to $200 in April?	2	$4	5	+5	open	—	04-11 16:38
aapl above 310 on march 31 2026	1	$4	4	+4	open	—	03-26 11:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	1	$4	4	+4	open	—	05-09 11:31
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?	1	$4	4	+4	open	—	05-09 13:50
will the bank of russia increase the key rate after the april meeting	2	$4	4	+4	open	—	04-18 18:41
msft above 450 on march 31 2026	1	$4	4	+4	open	—	03-21 09:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-31 23:23:07	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x7df342…
05-30 19:37:37	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5aff4c…
05-25 10:49:41	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	201	99¢	$199	0x02e71c…
05-19 08:06:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	199	96¢	$191	0x915b19…
05-16 10:36:47	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,400 in May?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x115482…
05-15 17:46:10	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x01039e…
05-15 06:28:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	193	97¢	$188	0xc84023…
05-14 20:10:21	Will Denmark advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	188	100¢	$187	0xb2bbea…
05-14 19:54:01	Will Solana reach $160 in May?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x663b9c…
05-09 20:38:21	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd6f3e3…
05-09 14:58:51	Will Finland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	191	100¢	$191	0xe81325…
05-09 13:50:59	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x92f07d…
05-09 11:31:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x646f1e…
05-08 03:12:38	Will Solana reach $160 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x54e55f…
05-07 11:09:23	Will Solana reach $160 in May?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x56b5c0…
05-05 07:56:56	Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x50b2c5…
05-04 20:32:20	Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xbadf4f…
05-04 03:30:06	Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	167	92¢	$153	0x588cd8…
05-04 02:35:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xe31cd0…
05-03 19:52:34	Will Solana reach $130 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3f26fb…
05-03 17:19:42	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xa6ef30…
05-03 00:28:36	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x327903…
04-30 23:08:46	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	142	99¢	$141	0x10f66e…
04-29 17:54:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xef1e34…
04-29 16:34:40	Will Hyperliquid reach $56 in April?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xd1c27a…
04-29 12:31:48	Will XRP dip to $1.20 in April?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xcb63ab…
04-26 08:26:40	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xba8c3d…
04-20 19:44:22	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $250 end of April?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x293e6c…
04-20 16:31:30	Will XRP reach $2.20 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x9166d7…
04-20 11:32:38	Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x61fb78…
04-20 02:58:00	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xc519b3…
04-19 04:11:34	Will ByteDance have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xa65284…
04-18 18:41:16	will the bank of russia increase the key rate after the april meeting	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xcb3144…
04-18 15:15:00	Will DeepSeek have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf26a15…
04-16 15:47:46	Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the April meeting?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xdf1acf…
04-15 10:46:44	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $150 end of April?	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x1fe86b…
04-14 08:19:25	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xb2e7b9…
04-13 23:38:27	Genius FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	23	92¢	$21	0xfb7d09…
04-13 12:49:13	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xe71e8f…
04-13 00:28:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8e8da1…
04-12 22:56:49	Will XRP dip to $0.20 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x62d652…
04-12 02:32:15	Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the April meeting?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xaae8a5…
04-11 18:07:21	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $220 end of April?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe5841e…
04-11 16:38:15	Will BNB dip to $200 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x5fbd86…
04-11 10:30:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xc70d84…
04-11 01:31:11	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $220 end of April?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x27d951…
04-11 00:57:53	Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x4f11c6…
04-08 21:31:05	will the bank of russia increase the key rate after the april meeting	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6fce6d…
04-08 19:39:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xbd04a5…
04-08 19:16:27	Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x267c74…
04-08 13:24:53	Will BNB dip to $200 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xde92ca…
04-06 22:49:23	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x28b2f5…
04-06 07:03:55	will the reserve bank of new zealand decrease the official cash rate after the april decision	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xdfe9a0…
04-05 23:00:15	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe52e80…
04-01 12:21:05	EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xb561b4…
04-01 01:02:33	EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x5f28d1…
03-31 01:28:23	aapl above 320 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe65598…
03-30 06:38:34	amzn above 250 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7c38bf…
03-30 05:32:16	will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x62cf89…
03-28 07:59:39	will microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xab73b9…
03-27 20:59:57	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xa7a832…
03-27 02:12:13	will elon musks net worth be between 700b and 710b on march 31	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd97ed9…
03-26 15:49:47	nflx above 40 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x65e77d…
03-26 11:32:17	aapl above 310 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x3b1d21…
03-26 08:50:07	will dogecoin reach 0pt15 in march 2026	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x622371…
03-26 00:56:19	will dogecoin dip to 0pt05 in march 2026	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x922188…
03-25 18:06:07	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x581764…
03-24 23:44:17	will chainlink reach 18 in march	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x1feb6e…
03-23 01:18:31	will dogecoin reach 0pt2 in march 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x31a06a…
03-22 16:34:09	will chainlink dip to 2 in march	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x34509e…
03-21 16:25:23	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x57984f…
03-21 09:43:57	msft above 450 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xd88f63…
01-28 04:23:35	will bitcoin dip to 65k in january 2026	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0x026bd8…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x9474…5091	45	$1.77K	1,381	05-25 11:45
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	42	$121.7K	2,239	05-31 14:55
Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774	40	$1.64K	2,132	05-31 16:43
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	38	$17.5K	224	05-21 21:25
Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f	37	$924	715	05-26 17:17
Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44	36	$903	847	05-26 17:17
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	34	$8.03K	4,360	04-19 19:45
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	33	$3.42K	979	05-30 20:34