Hideous-Twig — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

103

lifetime

Volume

$3.34K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$32

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-28

last 08-17 12:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

49% 100% +$0

Crypto

40% 100% +$14

Politics

11% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$199	201	0	+201	open	—	05-25 10:49
Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$195	209	0	+209	Yes	+$14	05-04 20:32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	1	$191	199	0	+199	open	—	05-19 08:06
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	1	$191	193	0	+193	open	—	08-14 14:12
Will Finland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$191	191	0	+191	Yes	+$0	05-09 14:58
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	1	$190	191	0	+191	open	—	08-13 14:17
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	1	$188	193	0	+193	open	—	05-15 06:28
Will Denmark advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$187	188	0	+188	open	—	05-14 20:10
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	1	$186	188	0	+188	open	—	08-12 09:43
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	1	$186	188	0	+188	open	—	08-11 14:41
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	1	$185	186	0	+186	open	—	08-11 01:03
squid fdv above 75m one day after launch 994	1	$176	176	0	+176	open	—	08-05 17:58
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	1	$174	186	0	+186	open	—	08-07 17:23
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?	3	$155	176	176	-0	open	—	07-31 12:01
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	2	$145	147	0	+147	open	—	04-30 23:08
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	1	$98	98	0	+98	open	—	05-31 23:23
grvt fdv above 150m one day after launch	1	$63	64	0	+64	open	—	07-30 10:32
will bitcoin dip to 65k in january 2026	1	$52	52	0	+52	open	—	01-28 04:23
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	1	$39	39	0	+39	open	—	04-01 12:21
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	1	$32	33	0	+33	open	—	07-31 14:01
EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	04-01 01:02
Genius FDV above $300M one day after launch?	1	$21	23	0	+23	open	—	04-13 23:38
Will Hyperliquid reach $56 in April?	1	$13	13	0	+13	open	—	04-29 16:34
will xauusd reach 4600 in july 2026	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	07-17 00:56
will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	07-02 21:07
will googl dip to 280 in july 2026	1	$9	10	0	+10	open	—	07-27 10:19
will bitcoin dip to 37pt5k in july 2026 944	1	$9	9	0	+9	open	—	07-12 20:07
Will Solana reach $160 in May?	3	$8	8	0	+8	open	—	05-14 19:54
will ethereum reach 2300 in july 2026	1	$8	8	0	+8	open	—	07-28 11:15
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	3	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	05-15 17:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-17 12:46:21	will nvda dip to 160 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xd99141…
08-15 13:15:34	will wti dip to 50 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xba8c5f…
08-14 14:12:34	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	193	99¢	$191	0xeb75ca…
08-13 14:17:37	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	No	BUY	191	100¢	$190	0xe3f8df…
08-12 09:43:28	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	BUY	188	99¢	$186	0xacb866…
08-11 14:41:52	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	BUY	188	99¢	$186	0xf203b9…
08-11 01:03:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	BUY	186	100¢	$185	0x468eb4…
08-08 00:08:13	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xab2abb…
08-07 17:23:13	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	186	94¢	$174	0x38243d…
08-07 10:11:22	will wti reach 130 in august 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xde225f…
08-05 17:58:54	squid fdv above 75m one day after launch 994	Yes	BUY	176	100¢	$176	0x047daa…
07-31 14:01:08	GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	33	96¢	$32	0x1e9619…
07-31 12:01:42	GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	32	19¢	$6	0x0e027c…
07-31 11:39:35	GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	143	19¢	$27	0x3f3313…
07-30 18:29:09	GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xef534d…
07-30 10:32:20	grvt fdv above 150m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	64	99¢	$63	0x11a846…
07-28 11:15:28	will ethereum reach 2300 in july 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x04442d…
07-27 10:19:36	will googl dip to 280 in july 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0xb47199…
07-26 08:02:58	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026 976	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x97d919…
07-25 22:30:06	will bitcoin reach 80k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0c0f69…
07-23 14:14:48	GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	176	69¢	$121	0xdeb20f…
07-21 17:09:01	will xagusd dip to 46 in july 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x4e7a3b…
07-20 20:51:04	will ethereum dip to 900 in july 2026 757	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb9a68a…
07-19 17:41:19	will ethereum dip to 1100 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xaa4876…
07-17 00:56:44	will xauusd reach 4600 in july 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x456deb…
07-17 00:16:38	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x791f46…
07-12 20:07:47	will bitcoin dip to 37pt5k in july 2026 944	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x09c44b…
07-05 21:06:08	gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xecba03…
07-02 21:07:44	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3f50b9…
06-25 23:07:35	gpt 5pt6 released by june 26 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe46855…
05-31 23:23:07	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x7df342…
05-30 19:37:37	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5aff4c…
05-25 10:49:41	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	201	99¢	$199	0x02e71c…
05-19 08:06:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	199	96¢	$191	0x915b19…
05-16 10:36:47	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,400 in May?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x115482…
05-15 17:46:10	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x01039e…
05-15 06:28:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	193	97¢	$188	0xc84023…
05-14 20:10:21	Will Denmark advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	188	100¢	$187	0xb2bbea…
05-14 19:54:01	Will Solana reach $160 in May?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x663b9c…
05-09 20:38:21	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd6f3e3…
05-09 14:58:51	Will Finland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	191	100¢	$191	0xe81325…
05-09 13:50:59	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x92f07d…
05-09 11:31:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x646f1e…
05-08 03:12:38	Will Solana reach $160 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x54e55f…
05-07 11:09:23	Will Solana reach $160 in May?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x56b5c0…
05-05 07:56:56	Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x50b2c5…
05-04 20:32:20	Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xbadf4f…
05-04 03:30:06	Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	167	92¢	$153	0x588cd8…
05-04 02:35:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xe31cd0…
05-03 19:52:34	Will Solana reach $130 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3f26fb…
05-03 17:19:42	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xa6ef30…
05-03 00:28:36	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x327903…
04-30 23:08:46	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	142	99¢	$141	0x10f66e…
04-29 17:54:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xef1e34…
04-29 16:34:40	Will Hyperliquid reach $56 in April?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xd1c27a…
04-29 12:31:48	Will XRP dip to $1.20 in April?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xcb63ab…
04-26 08:26:40	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xba8c3d…
04-20 19:44:22	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $250 end of April?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x293e6c…
04-20 16:31:30	Will XRP reach $2.20 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x9166d7…
04-20 11:32:38	Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x61fb78…
04-20 02:58:00	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xc519b3…
04-19 04:11:34	Will ByteDance have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xa65284…
04-18 18:41:16	will the bank of russia increase the key rate after the april meeting	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xcb3144…
04-18 15:15:00	Will DeepSeek have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf26a15…
04-16 15:47:46	Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the April meeting?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xdf1acf…
04-15 10:46:44	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $150 end of April?	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x1fe86b…
04-14 08:19:25	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xb2e7b9…
04-13 23:38:27	Genius FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	23	92¢	$21	0xfb7d09…
04-13 12:49:13	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xe71e8f…
04-13 00:28:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8e8da1…
04-12 22:56:49	Will XRP dip to $0.20 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x62d652…
04-12 02:32:15	Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the April meeting?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xaae8a5…
04-11 18:07:21	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $220 end of April?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe5841e…
04-11 16:38:15	Will BNB dip to $200 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x5fbd86…
04-11 10:30:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xc70d84…
04-11 01:31:11	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $220 end of April?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x27d951…
04-11 00:57:53	Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x4f11c6…
04-08 21:31:05	will the bank of russia increase the key rate after the april meeting	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6fce6d…
04-08 19:39:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xbd04a5…
04-08 19:16:27	Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x267c74…
04-08 13:24:53	Will BNB dip to $200 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xde92ca…
04-06 22:49:23	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x28b2f5…
04-06 07:03:55	will the reserve bank of new zealand decrease the official cash rate after the april decision	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xdfe9a0…
04-05 23:00:15	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe52e80…
04-01 12:21:05	EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xb561b4…
04-01 01:02:33	EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x5f28d1…
03-31 01:28:23	aapl above 320 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe65598…
03-30 06:38:34	amzn above 250 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7c38bf…
03-30 05:32:16	will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x62cf89…
03-28 07:59:39	will microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xab73b9…
03-27 20:59:57	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xa7a832…
03-27 02:12:13	will elon musks net worth be between 700b and 710b on march 31	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd97ed9…
03-26 15:49:47	nflx above 40 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x65e77d…
03-26 11:32:17	aapl above 310 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x3b1d21…
03-26 08:50:07	will dogecoin reach 0pt15 in march 2026	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x622371…
03-26 00:56:19	will dogecoin dip to 0pt05 in march 2026	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x922188…
03-25 18:06:07	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x581764…
03-24 23:44:17	will chainlink reach 18 in march	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x1feb6e…
03-23 01:18:31	will dogecoin reach 0pt2 in march 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x31a06a…
03-22 16:34:09	will chainlink dip to 2 in march	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x34509e…