Quizzical-Oval — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$415

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

59.0%

Resolved

107

Trades

182

lifetime

Volume

$9.21K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$51

Open exposure

$150

5 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 10-15 12:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 65 days

Categories

Other

68% 57% -$324

Politics

20% 29% -$260

Tech

10% 86% +$154

Sports

2% 33% +$15

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	-246	-$49	18¢	$-45	+$4	05-06 14:37
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	+60	$30	66¢	$39	+$9	05-05 14:35
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+37	$30	92¢	$34	+$4	05-27 05:03
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	-175	-$17	14¢	$-25	-$8	10-15 12:40
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+18	$10	32¢	$6	-$4	05-26 04:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 92°F or higher on June 1?	2	$783	433	433	+0	Yes	+$83	06-02 04:16
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on June 2?	1	$400	504	0	+504	Yes	+$104	06-02 04:21
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C or higher on June 5?	1	$400	457	0	+457	Yes	+$57	06-05 05:04
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	4	$330	350	227	+123	Yes	-$70	06-10 05:00
will spacex have 14 launches in june 2026	2	$253	188	188	+0	Yes	+$53	06-20 03:54
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	2	$236	145	145	+0	No	+$36	06-20 03:54
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	4	$218	204	204	+0	Yes	-$102	06-25 10:49
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$200	250	0	+250	Yes	+$50	05-10 17:09
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on June 11?	3	$198	242	91	+151	Yes	+$49	06-11 18:18
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 8?	2	$179	153	153	+0	Yes	-$21	07-08 13:20
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 11?	2	$157	140	140	+0	No	-$16	06-11 16:23
will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	2	$156	164	164	+0	Yes	-$84	06-08 03:08
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 12?	2	$149	246	246	+0	No	-$149	06-12 21:10
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	2	$135	159	159	+0	Yes	-$65	06-13 18:31
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	1	$130	160	0	+160	Yes	+$30	06-05 05:07
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	3	$129	146	62	+85	No	-$7	05-26 13:47
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 9?	2	$128	78	78	+0	Yes	+$28	07-10 02:54
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	2	$119	69	69	+0	No	+$19	07-07 22:27
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	2	$118	72	72	+0	Yes	+$18	06-15 22:23
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$117	70	70	+0	Yes	+$17	04-27 08:02
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	2	$116	304	304	+0	No	-$84	04-09 03:12
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 9?	4	$116	71	71	+0	Yes	+$27	07-09 13:48
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$109	99	99	+0	open	—	06-11 15:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$106	57	57	+0	No	+$6	04-23 14:47
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 6?	2	$105	135	135	+0	No	-$95	08-06 22:35
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 6?	2	$101	61	61	+0	Yes	+$21	08-07 05:24
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on June 15?	2	$100	191	191	+0	No	-$100	06-15 22:22
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 75°F or below on June 10?	1	$100	123	0	+123	Yes	+$23	06-10 03:55
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 28?	2	$97	57	57	+0	Yes	+$17	07-29 05:35
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	2	$96	59	59	+0	No	+$16	04-26 21:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-15 12:40:20	Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	SELL	175	10¢	$17	0xcbbc5b…
08-16 04:15:30	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x4262af…
08-10 13:43:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	56	72¢	$40	0x6f9655…
08-08 05:02:16	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0xaada6c…
08-07 05:24:09	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 6?	Yes	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0xf3ce6d…
08-06 22:35:35	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 6?	Yes	SELL	135	4¢	$5	0xb9a487…
08-06 16:21:24	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	57	70¢	$40	0x164cc7…
08-06 16:18:41	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 6?	Yes	SELL	54	4¢	$2	0x87cfe7…
08-06 16:17:12	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 6?	Yes	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x75aabd…
08-06 15:45:47	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on August 6?	Yes	SELL	62	3¢	$2	0xf0bdaf…
08-06 13:26:30	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 6?	Yes	BUY	61	66¢	$40	0xa72d9c…
08-06 13:25:51	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	62	64¢	$40	0xd8e1d6…
08-06 13:24:20	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	54	74¢	$40	0xcf7676…
07-31 12:28:00	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0x1a8902…
07-31 12:27:21	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	46	66¢	$30	0xc4b1e3…
07-29 12:59:09	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	62	65¢	$40	0x66e21e…
07-29 12:57:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	69	58¢	$40	0xcc8baa…
07-29 12:54:47	Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	66	20¢	$13	0x59fa25…
07-29 05:38:35	Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	66	61¢	$40	0x23bfac…
07-29 05:37:30	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	64	63¢	$40	0xd8f598…
07-29 05:35:48	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 28?	Yes	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0x831304…
07-29 05:35:29	Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	95	2¢	$2	0x151e28…
07-28 14:11:53	Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	95	53¢	$50	0x1f2b89…
07-28 14:10:35	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 28?	Yes	BUY	57	70¢	$40	0x977129…
07-26 14:30:33	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	49	60¢	$29	0xe84c9f…
07-26 14:28:00	Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0x047905…
07-24 13:49:09	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	65	62¢	$40	0x8dd97d…
07-24 00:20:01	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 23?	Yes	SELL	57	0¢	$0	0xefaf48…
07-23 12:14:21	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 23?	Yes	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0xfc17c3…
07-23 12:12:16	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	55	73¢	$40	0x7c9193…
07-23 03:54:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	57	70¢	$40	0x61d300…
07-20 21:00:03	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x95f179…
07-20 20:55:39	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	BUY	45	67¢	$30	0xfd2258…
07-17 13:11:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0x7ca5a3…
07-16 14:45:08	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 16?	Yes	BUY	65	62¢	$40	0x2502d0…
07-15 14:13:25	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	81	62¢	$50	0x05b595…
07-12 14:07:55	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	59	68¢	$40	0xc3082f…
07-12 14:05:40	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	56	71¢	$40	0x1c56ea…
07-10 02:54:04	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 9?	Yes	SELL	78	100¢	$78	0x58a2fb…
07-09 13:51:05	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 9?	Yes	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0x87cfb4…
07-09 13:49:08	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	SELL	87	14¢	$12	0x661a23…
07-09 13:48:44	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 9?	Yes	SELL	71	100¢	$71	0x598aac…
07-09 04:59:37	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0x7b2a02…
07-09 04:59:13	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0x1e0a83…
07-09 04:58:32	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xbb2135…
07-08 13:22:32	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	162	25¢	$40	0x68ea8e…
07-08 13:20:20	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 8?	Yes	SELL	153	52¢	$79	0x7db234…
07-08 04:49:56	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	153	66¢	$100	0xadc2a4…
07-07 22:27:53	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	69	99¢	$69	0xdad5f4…
07-07 19:49:14	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 7?	Yes	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0x397813…
07-03 04:30:07	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?	Yes	SELL	116	5¢	$6	0x1c6f88…
06-28 05:29:53	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?	Yes	BUY	116	43¢	$50	0x904806…
06-28 05:23:37	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	45	91¢	$41	0x2c0d7f…
06-27 04:28:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	98	66¢	$65	0x8b8a8c…
06-26 00:20:52	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	BUY	87	57¢	$50	0x4f5704…
06-26 00:18:14	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	69	72¢	$50	0x2e633e…
06-25 10:49:43	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	SELL	132	26¢	$35	0xc60b47…
06-22 05:35:29	Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0x0b93d5…
06-20 04:05:47	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	45	67¢	$30	0x3c22a5…
06-20 04:03:53	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0x6329c7…
06-20 03:57:14	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x0bbd1b…
06-20 03:56:04	mlb bal lad 2026 06 19	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xfe4460…
06-20 03:54:55	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	145	94¢	$136	0x093b3b…
06-20 03:54:44	will spacex have 14 launches in june 2026	Yes	SELL	188	81¢	$153	0xb63b1d…
06-16 21:00:08	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 16?	Yes	SELL	13	34¢	$4	0x8fa3cb…
06-16 13:28:58	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 16?	Yes	BUY	13	68¢	$9	0x4131ad…
06-15 22:38:25	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x762f8b…
06-15 22:23:19	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	SELL	72	94¢	$68	0x575c6e…
06-15 22:22:21	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on June 15?	Yes	SELL	191	0¢	$0	0xeaffd5…
06-15 17:29:24	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	191	52¢	$100	0xa44656…
06-15 17:28:10	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 15?	Yes	SELL	85	33¢	$28	0xb27112…
06-15 05:23:28	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	85	35¢	$30	0x621348…
06-13 18:31:24	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	159	22¢	$35	0x8dc66e…
06-12 21:10:46	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 12?	Yes	SELL	246	0¢	$0	0x20ca1c…
06-12 12:58:01	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 12?	Yes	BUY	246	61¢	$149	0x9833c7…
06-11 21:08:10	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C or higher on June 12?	Yes	BUY	104	67¢	$70	0x7355d5…
06-11 21:07:12	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 12?	Yes	SELL	102	26¢	$27	0x2c9691…
06-11 21:04:28	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	102	29¢	$30	0x8c2f85…
06-11 18:18:48	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on June 11?	Yes	BUY	151	66¢	$100	0x2a1e7b…
06-11 18:17:09	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 11?	Yes	SELL	139	8¢	$12	0x647f1c…
06-11 16:27:48	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 11?	Yes	BUY	139	22¢	$30	0x27f40d…
06-11 16:27:34	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on June 11?	Yes	SELL	91	53¢	$48	0x870f4c…
06-11 16:23:48	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 11?	Yes	SELL	140	50¢	$70	0xa55d24…
06-11 15:12:57	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	99	70¢	$69	0xa24d68…
06-11 15:10:24	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	140	62¢	$87	0x872b49…
06-11 13:25:28	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on June 11?	Yes	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0xd735a8…
06-11 13:23:55	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0xe27944…
06-10 18:50:00	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	143	28¢	$40	0x12899e…
06-10 05:00:43	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0xc1346a…
06-10 03:55:03	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 75°F or below on June 10?	Yes	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x6c9074…
06-10 03:47:06	Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	93	11¢	$10	0x8d776e…
06-08 03:17:42	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0xe00fe8…
06-08 03:17:04	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	Yes	BUY	93	43¢	$40	0xaddccf…
06-08 03:14:43	will spacex have 14 launches in june 2026	Yes	BUY	188	53¢	$100	0x825d0f…
06-08 03:09:13	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	SELL	72	33¢	$24	0x1be478…
06-08 03:08:48	will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	Yes	SELL	164	22¢	$36	0x206602…
06-05 05:12:13	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	56	71¢	$40	0x4e381b…
06-05 05:08:07	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	53	69¢	$37	0xf93dab…
06-05 05:07:30	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	160	81¢	$130	0x22f355…
06-05 05:04:36	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C or higher on June 5?	Yes	BUY	457	88¢	$400	0x3ce022…