Dangerous-Initial — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$133

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

41.9%

Resolved

Trades

752

lifetime

Volume

$1.18K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 05-22 03:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 39% +$133

Other

7% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 206 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	12	$52	39	34	+5	open	—	05-18 16:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	12	$42	39	34	+5	open	—	05-18 16:18
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	4	$41	628	0	+628	open	—	04-25 09:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	9	$34	100	80	+20	Up	+$14	05-07 05:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	10	$30	237	20	+217	Down	$-4	05-07 13:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	4	$25	100	100	+0	Down	+$13	05-08 12:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	2	$20	30	30	+0	Down	+$2	05-07 04:43
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	5	$19	633	0	+633	open	—	04-25 09:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	6	$18	50	50	+0	Down	$-2	05-07 07:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	8	$18	50	16	+34	Down	+$32	05-07 05:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	2	$17	50	50	+0	Up	$-3	05-07 04:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	10	$14	25	20	+5	Up	$-0	05-06 01:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	2	$14	50	50	+0	Up	$-6	05-07 07:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	2	$14	50	50	+0	Up	$-6	05-07 06:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	6	$13	50	49	+1	Up	$-7	05-07 04:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	2	$13	50	50	+0	Down	$-7	05-07 06:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	4	$12	50	50	+0	Up	$-8	05-07 06:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	2	$12	200	0	+200	Up	+$188	05-08 14:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	12	$12	30	30	+0	Down	$-1	05-06 01:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	3	$11	20	10	+10	open	—	05-02 19:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	4	$11	20	10	+10	open	—	05-02 09:30
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	4	$11	10	10	+0	open	—	05-20 19:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	8	$11	50	50	+0	Up	$-9	05-07 07:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	13	$10	35	30	+5	Up	$-2	05-06 01:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	6	$10	100	100	+0	Up	$-2	05-08 11:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	3	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	05-21 10:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	8	$10	20	20	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 01:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	8	$10	100	100	+0	Down	$-2	05-08 13:43
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 21, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	2	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	05-21 12:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	9	$9	110	10	+100	Down	$-8	05-07 13:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 03:32:45	Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x58ba35…
05-22 01:16:36	Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x0bfeaa…
05-22 00:41:18	Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	Yes	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0x7123cc…
05-21 23:54:52	Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x2acafd…
05-21 23:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xf22e91…
05-21 23:25:21	Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xd4c42c…
05-21 23:18:25	Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x1353c6…
05-21 14:21:10	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xbe24b8…
05-21 14:21:08	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0xc9fbf7…
05-21 14:21:08	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xbd1959…
05-21 14:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0x8913b4…
05-21 14:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x882d24…
05-21 14:21:05	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x4825e6…
05-21 14:19:09	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 21, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	0	15¢	$0	0x34038a…
05-21 14:19:07	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 21, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x139070…
05-21 14:16:53	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 21, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x2d6dc3…
05-21 14:16:37	BNB Up or Down - May 21, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	0	15¢	$0	0xb8b22a…
05-21 14:16:05	doge updown 5m 1779372900	Up	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0xc4a15f…
05-21 14:16:05	BNB Up or Down - May 21, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xbdfda7…
05-21 14:16:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	15¢	$0	0x563362…
05-21 14:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xe9079f…
05-21 14:16:04	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0xd4ed00…
05-21 14:16:04	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xa23029…
05-21 14:16:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x9f16e2…
05-21 14:16:04	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x372c18…
05-21 14:16:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x3690a4…
05-21 14:16:04	xrp updown 5m 1779372900	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x2cb4be…
05-21 14:16:02	doge updown 5m 1779372900	Up	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x8737b5…
05-21 14:16:00	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x9f8f9c…
05-21 14:15:58	xrp updown 5m 1779372900	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xc0d634…
05-21 14:14:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0xc2d476…
05-21 14:14:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	15¢	$0	0x24a0d6…
05-21 14:14:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0x1e2529…
05-21 14:13:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0x482230…
05-21 14:13:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	15¢	$0	0x29925a…
05-21 14:13:09	bnb updown 5m 1779372600	Up	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0xfe2181…
05-21 14:13:09	bnb updown 5m 1779372600	Up	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xc2e01e…
05-21 14:13:09	bnb updown 5m 1779372600	Up	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0x9940dd…
05-21 14:13:03	bnb updown 5m 1779372600	Up	BUY	0	15¢	$0	0xf360df…
05-21 14:12:42	doge updown 5m 1779372600	Up	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0xed6c5b…
05-21 14:12:06	doge updown 5m 1779372600	Up	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0x5bd0f3…
05-21 14:11:53	doge updown 5m 1779372600	Up	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x6f48a1…
05-21 14:11:53	bnb updown 5m 1779372600	Up	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x5e6f61…
05-21 14:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xdba05c…
05-21 14:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x940ecb…
05-21 14:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x5fe290…
05-21 14:11:50	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	15¢	$2	0xfcc612…
05-21 14:11:50	doge updown 5m 1779372600	Up	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0xd85230…
05-21 14:06:56	BNB Up or Down - May 21, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	15¢	$1	0x58355d…
05-21 14:06:52	BNB Up or Down - May 21, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xc53bdc…
05-21 14:06:52	BNB Up or Down - May 21, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x9c7c99…
05-21 14:06:49	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x11f70e…
05-21 14:06:42	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0xf6d4e8…
05-21 14:06:38	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	15¢	$1	0x9472ae…
05-21 14:06:37	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x7313d8…
05-21 14:06:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x53efda…
05-21 14:06:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	15¢	$0	0x75dc8a…
05-21 14:06:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	15¢	$1	0x50b923…
05-21 14:06:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	15¢	$1	0x02909f…
05-21 14:06:30	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xb8bc51…
05-21 14:06:05	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	15¢	$2	0x6d14bb…
05-21 14:06:03	hype updown 5m 1779372300	Up	BUY	0	15¢	$0	0x390cf2…
05-21 14:06:03	hype updown 5m 1779372300	Up	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x1eac4b…
05-21 14:02:12	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x2fbedf…
05-21 14:02:09	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 21, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x688d82…
05-21 14:02:09	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 21, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0x5b8389…
05-21 13:03:40	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 21, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x9252b7…
05-21 13:02:20	BNB Up or Down - May 21, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	0	15¢	$0	0x900132…
05-21 13:02:20	BNB Up or Down - May 21, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x78dff8…
05-21 13:02:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xa3c45e…
05-21 13:02:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x153f38…
05-21 13:02:09	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xf1bab3…
05-21 13:02:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0xa7786c…
05-21 13:02:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x47ce30…
05-21 13:02:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	15¢	$0	0x58b1bb…
05-21 13:01:46	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	15¢	$1	0x974633…
05-21 13:01:38	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x77c75f…
05-21 13:01:06	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	15¢	$2	0x7ae246…
05-21 13:00:29	BNB Up or Down - May 21, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x84df37…
05-21 13:00:03	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x890ba5…
05-21 13:00:01	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xd40953…
05-21 13:00:01	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0x839207…
05-21 12:59:30	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	15¢	$2	0x654170…
05-21 12:59:05	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	15¢	$0	0x597319…
05-21 12:59:04	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xdcd5a7…
05-21 12:59:04	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0x38ba08…
05-21 12:59:04	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0x23f33a…
05-21 12:59:02	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x79deb4…
05-21 12:58:58	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0x200cf0…
05-21 12:58:50	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x6141f8…
05-21 12:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	15¢	$2	0xe96924…
05-21 12:57:47	BNB Up or Down - May 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	15¢	$2	0xfbd054…
05-21 12:57:47	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xeaf232…
05-21 12:57:47	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x61ba68…
05-21 12:57:47	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	15¢	$0	0x5f4b59…
05-21 12:57:45	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xc694ba…
05-21 12:57:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xb8a2a2…
05-21 12:49:07	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0xd8658d…
05-21 12:47:01	BNB Up or Down - May 21, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xef41c8…
05-21 12:46:49	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	15¢	$2	0x3b14c3…