Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$38

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.6%

Resolved

106

Trades

337

lifetime

Volume

$1.48K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-05

last 10-24 21:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 72 days

Categories

Other

55% 31% +$0

Crypto

34% 42% -$43

Sports

6% 29% +$5

Politics

5% 33% +$0

Tech

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	4	$240	206	206	+0	No	-$41	04-30 11:09
elon musk of tweets february 26 february 28 40 64	15	$154	195	145	+50	Yes	+$73	02-28 12:07
will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	2	$111	89	88	+0	No	+$7	02-06 06:27
will kenneth walker iii win the super bowl lx mvp	9	$59	73	0	+73	Yes	+$14	02-09 03:33
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 12 2026 27c	10	$55	80	0	+80	No	+$25	03-12 17:03
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 320 339	5	$53	47	47	+0	Yes	-$9	03-20 14:58
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 22 2026 26c	4	$46	31	31	+0	Yes	+$6	03-22 17:34
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 340 359	6	$42	31	31	+0	No	-$9	03-20 14:53
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	8	$42	21	21	+0	Yes	$0	04-26 08:34
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 19 2026 29c	6	$35	70	70	+0	No	+$5	03-19 17:12
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on May 5?	12	$30	40	40	+0	No	+$11	05-05 12:44
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 13 2026 27c	4	$29	40	15	+25	No	-$8	03-13 19:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 06:15 UTC	6	$29	41	39	+2	Down	-$1	04-09 06:23
dota2 pari sar1 2026 04 21	5	$27	20	20	+0	PARIVISION	+$2	04-21 13:42
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?	3	$27	19	19	+0	Yes	+$1	02-19 06:34
bitcoin up or down february 17 11am et	2	$24	44	44	+0	Up	+$0	02-17 16:32
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	2	$23	20	20	+0	open	—	10-22 13:23
will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by march 31 2026	2	$20	11	11	+0	Yes	$0	02-19 15:24
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on June 12?	5	$16	39	20	+19	No	-$7	06-12 21:30
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	2	$16	16	16	+0	THUNDER dOWNUNDER	-$4	06-02 12:11
LoL: West Point Esports PH vs essences (BO5) - LCP Promotion: Wild Card Playoffs	3	$15	10	10	+0	essences	-$1	10-12 14:52
highest temperature in warsaw on april 2 2026 16corhigher	7	$14	75	74	+1	No	-$14	04-02 15:15
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 14 2026 27corbelow	12	$14	30	15	+15	No	-$2	03-14 14:45
Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?	2	$13	10	10	+0	Yes	+$3	05-17 03:40
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	3	$13	15	0	+15	No	+$2	09-25 14:43
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	4	$12	1,179	1,179	+0	No	+$0	06-02 12:59
atp diallo molcan 2026 04 01	2	$12	37	36	+1	Alex Molcan	-$8	04-01 15:17
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	2	$12	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	09-05 11:24
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier	2	$11	17	17	+0	Aurora	-$7	05-30 15:16
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 12 2026 29c	4	$11	20	20	+0	No	+$1	03-12 17:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 21:04:53	UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	Movsar Evloev	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x5dce4d…
10-22 13:23:50	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0xb35d3c…
10-21 21:16:27	Counter-Strike: paiN vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - Circuit X Curitiba Group A	paiN	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x3d7120…
10-17 19:11:56	Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-10-17?	No	SELL	3	52¢	$1	0xd5fdd9…
10-17 19:11:00	Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xb4708c…
10-12 14:52:09	LoL: West Point Esports PH vs essences (BO5) - LCP Promotion: Wild Card Playoffs	West Point Esports PH	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0x2888d2…
10-12 14:51:14	LoL: West Point Esports PH vs essences (BO5) - LCP Promotion: Wild Card Playoffs	West Point Esports PH	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xf45493…
10-12 14:49:42	LoL: West Point Esports PH vs essences (BO5) - LCP Promotion: Wild Card Playoffs	West Point Esports PH	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xecb620…
10-10 15:44:10	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x75322c…
10-07 15:58:52	Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Phantom (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs	fnatic	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x517caa…
09-25 18:04:38	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x732893…
09-25 14:43:33	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xadbd4f…
09-25 14:43:11	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	9	87¢	$8	0x514576…
09-25 14:06:47	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xa85ba6…
09-19 10:01:22	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x78fb93…
09-19 10:00:02	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xf39c79…
09-05 11:24:49	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xd354e4…
09-05 11:24:45	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0xfb0eb9…
09-05 06:28:43	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x105c34…
09-02 09:10:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	0	15¢	$0	0x297062…
09-02 09:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	30	15¢	$4	0x043b49…
08-28 06:31:46	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xd39518…
08-19 13:18:06	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	4	21¢	$1	0x062c06…
08-14 07:00:07	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	4	22¢	$1	0x1ec8fb…
08-12 10:20:25	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0xf16ce5…
08-12 10:05:39	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x2eea41…
08-11 17:29:15	atp darderi nakashi 2026 08 11	Luciano Darderi	BUY	30	12¢	$4	0x755e60…
07-25 18:23:10	ufc mag1 bog1 2026 07 25	Bogdan Guskov	BUY	14	20¢	$3	0x778ab2…
07-24 08:47:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0xff5d99…
07-23 22:37:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x6041d1…
06-17 20:42:29	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 first half total 2pt5	Under	BUY	108	1¢	$1	0x0a5992…
06-12 21:30:25	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on June 12?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xd1d1e2…
06-12 21:27:39	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on June 12?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xd2a2bd…
06-12 21:25:15	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xff6349…
06-12 21:21:34	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on June 12?	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x02e30e…
06-12 21:21:31	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on June 12?	Yes	SELL	14	23¢	$3	0xec1581…
06-12 21:20:52	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on June 12?	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x7bbb70…
06-12 20:39:15	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	SELL	9	10¢	$1	0xeaf654…
06-12 20:39:06	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xcfe1e6…
06-12 20:38:42	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x9b611b…
06-12 20:38:39	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0xbf48b5…
06-12 20:38:28	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x488640…
06-12 20:38:12	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x3ea874…
06-12 20:38:03	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x055494…
06-02 13:59:51	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xc8cd05…
06-02 12:59:37	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	429	1¢	$3	0x036a73…
06-02 12:11:21	Counter-Strike: MIBR vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	MIBR	SELL	16	35¢	$6	0x955283…
06-02 12:01:45	Counter-Strike: MIBR vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	MIBR	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x476d72…
06-02 06:12:05	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	429	1¢	$3	0x76d49a…
06-02 05:29:51	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	750	0¢	$3	0x1e34ad…
06-02 05:01:16	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	750	0¢	$3	0x9f3df7…
06-02 04:41:20	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xe6a1aa…
05-31 07:45:23	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xedee9c…
05-30 15:16:18	Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier	Tundra Esports	SELL	17	10¢	$2	0x63716d…
05-30 13:57:56	Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier	Tundra Esports	BUY	17	54¢	$9	0xb1049a…
05-27 16:55:13	Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	LGD Gaming	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xa3d365…
05-27 09:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0xafb570…
05-27 09:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x334ed9…
05-27 08:37:47	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x747637…
05-27 08:37:38	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x880ac5…
05-27 03:23:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x070127…
05-27 03:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x246485…
05-26 06:45:38	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	109	3¢	$3	0xeef234…
05-26 04:52:51	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	109	2¢	$2	0xd613cc…
05-17 11:48:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	20¢	$0	0xa26e4c…
05-17 11:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xd68ebb…
05-17 11:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x4a23b2…
05-17 11:46:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x06cb36…
05-17 11:46:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x2160df…
05-17 11:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x950129…
05-17 11:46:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x92ab28…
05-17 11:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x92ca67…
05-17 03:40:53	Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?	Yes	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0xeb09a9…
05-16 17:41:01	Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?	Yes	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x42895d…
05-16 17:13:45	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolina	Coco Gauff	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xa65375…
05-16 16:29:48	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolina	Coco Gauff	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xe92ddc…
05-15 17:54:27	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$2	0xce37f4…
05-15 16:50:31	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	FURIA	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0xbd39ae…
05-15 16:50:15	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	FURIA	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x24a572…
05-11 06:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x8da36e…
05-11 06:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x5b1efb…
05-11 06:04:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x214aa5…
05-11 06:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	50¢	$1	0x1bd3fe…
05-11 06:03:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x4b4587…
05-10 06:21:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0xc31bb1…
05-10 06:21:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc716f8…
05-10 06:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x669e51…
05-10 03:29:24	UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	Tatsuro Taira	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x4eacae…
05-09 16:49:29	Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?	No	SELL	10	35¢	$4	0xfc3f0e…
05-08 15:14:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0xcd4568…
05-08 15:11:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x752d8f…
05-08 15:05:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0x9b3d45…
05-08 15:05:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xb197ed…
05-08 05:39:05	Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?	No	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x45f50f…
05-07 08:29:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x05f5c9…
05-07 08:28:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xbcba3a…
05-07 08:12:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x9afa45…
05-07 08:11:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x3a8085…
05-06 15:53:34	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	42	7¢	$3	0x313199…
05-06 14:54:19	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0x0329f9…