Unsteady-Gynaecology — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11

Unrealized P&L

+$9

Hit rate

69.5%

Resolved

213

Trades

354

lifetime

Volume

$7.42K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-09

last 09-12 11:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Other

42% 40% -$9

Crypto

38% 76% +$32

Politics

19% 62% -$20

Tech

1% 100% +$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes		-56	-$15	11¢	$-6	+$9	05-24 10:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	3	$530	329	329	+0	Yes	+$90	05-05 23:03
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	4	$422	295	295	+0	Yes	+$80	04-03 17:21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	7	$344	234	231	+3	No	+$5	04-20 04:46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	4	$297	199	195	+4	No	+$89	04-30 13:17
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	6	$273	318	318	+0	Yes	+$15	03-28 14:59
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	2	$254	146	146	+0	No	+$3	04-12 23:00
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	5	$169	390	390	+0	No	-$76	05-05 23:03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	3	$161	108	108	+0	No	+$49	05-27 04:21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	8	$154	182	178	+4	Yes	-$4	04-28 07:27
will iran strike israel on march 6	3	$120	4,386	0	+4,386	No	-$120	03-10 12:57
cs2 mouzn g1 2026 04 14 game2	7	$113	2,134	52	+2,082	GenOne	-$40	04-14 09:35
will donk be said during the pgl bucharest 2026 grand final	2	$110	62	62	+0	No	+$10	04-13 15:17
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	2	$102	67	67	+0	open	—	09-11 12:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 07:20 UTC	2	$98	52	51	+0	Up	-$2	04-08 07:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 14:35 UTC	2	$95	51	50	+0	Up	-$4	04-08 14:39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	3	$76	110	81	+29	Yes	+$6	05-05 23:21
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	2	$76	48	48	+0	Yes	+$16	05-11 02:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	4	$75	342	330	+12	No	-$3	04-27 01:34
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$71	111	111	+0	No	-$29	09-12 11:51
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	2	$68	38	38	+0	Yes	+$8	05-21 14:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	5	$66	102	102	+0	No	+$6	05-11 02:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 13:20 UTC	2	$63	32	32	+0	Down	$0	04-09 13:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 09:10 UTC	2	$62	34	33	+0	Up	+$3	04-11 09:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 13:30 UTC	2	$62	32	32	+0	Down	-$2	04-09 13:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 13:35 UTC	2	$61	32	32	+0	Down	-$2	04-09 13:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 23:10 UTC	2	$59	31	31	+0	Down	-$1	04-12 23:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 04:25 UTC	2	$59	31	31	+0	Up	-$1	04-13 04:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 09:05 UTC	2	$58	30	30	+0	Down	-$1	04-11 09:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 04:30 UTC	2	$58	30	30	+0	Up	-$1	04-13 04:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 06:00 UTC	2	$57	30	30	+0	Up	-$2	04-09 06:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-12 11:53:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	No	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0xa3e335…
09-12 11:51:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	111	19¢	$21	0x86cbef…
09-11 12:19:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?	No	BUY	107	48¢	$51	0xe2b422…
09-11 12:16:19	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	67	78¢	$52	0x7c2dd3…
09-04 12:49:48	will wti reach 95 in september 2026	No	BUY	75	49¢	$37	0x755b87…
09-04 12:42:01	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0x693c52…
09-04 12:40:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	111	45¢	$50	0x1c5021…
06-11 12:54:28	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x60ce55…
06-11 12:54:13	Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x5d2054…
06-11 12:52:15	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xd7e804…
06-11 12:51:57	Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xdd4f34…
06-11 12:51:25	Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x525e1a…
06-11 12:51:16	Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x068138…
06-11 12:51:06	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xfc2cd5…
05-27 04:55:00	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	68¢	$10	0x1c14d2…
05-27 04:54:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	38	42¢	$16	0xc38406…
05-27 04:21:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	28	98¢	$28	0xdef008…
05-27 04:21:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	SELL	108	98¢	$105	0xb6bf69…
05-24 10:33:11	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	21	16¢	$3	0x230824…
05-21 14:35:08	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0x48b309…
05-11 02:53:46	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	48	96¢	$46	0x46b8e7…
05-11 02:53:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	37	28¢	$10	0x8ecc15…
05-11 02:53:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	56	14¢	$8	0xa10b1a…
05-11 02:52:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0x82c08f…
05-11 02:52:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	SELL	145	7¢	$10	0x2f608a…
05-11 02:52:33	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x0e9d9d…
05-07 22:55:37	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xcd0e0d…
05-07 14:13:57	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	38	79¢	$30	0x821c77…
05-07 03:12:51	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $212 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x5a9539…
05-06 10:26:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	BUY	76	13¢	$10	0x341a42…
05-06 10:21:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	Yes	SELL	24	100¢	$23	0x0b1681…
05-06 00:14:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x0e3824…
05-06 00:12:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xa322df…
05-05 23:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	8	59¢	$5	0x78f9bf…
05-05 23:57:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x4aca2b…
05-05 23:49:42	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0xef432d…
05-05 23:46:16	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	69¢	$10	0x1f8b46…
05-05 23:22:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	BUY	69	7¢	$5	0x162a93…
05-05 23:22:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x2d850b…
05-05 23:21:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0x357fc1…
05-05 23:21:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x2e9d27…
05-05 23:21:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	Yes	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x517089…
05-05 23:20:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	Yes	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0xcac6ad…
05-05 23:20:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	SELL	81	32¢	$26	0x6d96ab…
05-05 23:12:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	81	37¢	$30	0x3021a3…
05-05 23:10:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0xc8ee53…
05-05 23:08:12	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	63¢	$30	0xf52a74…
05-05 23:03:50	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	SELL	117	0¢	$0	0x760098…
05-05 23:03:18	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	SELL	329	94¢	$310	0x61cdb4…
05-05 15:25:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	BUY	56	46¢	$26	0x2e7127…
05-05 14:45:28	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	SELL	72	13¢	$9	0x0290c7…
05-05 14:22:18	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	56	30¢	$17	0x9b3e6d…
05-01 16:46:04	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	86	30¢	$26	0xf6f14d…
05-01 16:45:34	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	26	59¢	$16	0x7f2844…
05-01 16:45:04	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	SELL	17	67¢	$11	0xf2027b…
05-01 13:10:18	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	31	22¢	$7	0xa69f5d…
05-01 13:00:32	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	51	78¢	$40	0x3da21d…
05-01 13:00:04	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	SELL	273	17¢	$46	0x34d994…
05-01 10:48:28	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	277	65¢	$180	0xbd4867…
05-01 10:48:22	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	273	33¢	$90	0x8bbd82…
04-30 13:17:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	SELL	195	98¢	$191	0x66c492…
04-30 13:07:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	No	SELL	27	97¢	$26	0xb3271b…
04-28 07:28:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	BUY	16	84¢	$13	0xa0b65a…
04-28 07:27:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	No	SELL	55	19¢	$10	0x361454…
04-28 07:08:42	North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	10¢	$3	0x30bd39…
04-27 15:31:04	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	72	40¢	$29	0x6d501f…
04-27 15:30:32	Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	No	SELL	15	97¢	$14	0x0df384…
04-27 15:28:26	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	SELL	15	98¢	$14	0x525375…
04-27 11:41:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	No	BUY	56	50¢	$28	0xe97dfa…
04-27 10:58:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	46	61¢	$28	0xd6f61e…
04-27 01:34:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	BUY	67	63¢	$42	0x7dd8e6…
04-27 01:34:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	SELL	37	17¢	$6	0x788e57…
04-27 01:34:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	Yes	SELL	45	25¢	$11	0x361e0e…
04-27 01:34:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	SELL	307	9¢	$27	0x4d7bb5…
04-26 15:09:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	BUY	319	9¢	$29	0xfbaf73…
04-26 15:08:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	Yes	BUY	46	35¢	$16	0xef8139…
04-26 15:08:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	No	SELL	43	38¢	$16	0x85df1a…
04-26 08:02:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	38	20¢	$8	0x7449a6…
04-26 01:38:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	No	BUY	44	38¢	$17	0x664fac…
04-25 12:39:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 25?	Yes	SELL	22	8¢	$2	0x1fd55d…
04-25 01:56:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	No	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0x4aecd7…
04-25 01:55:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	BUY	115	43¢	$50	0xc6184d…
04-25 01:42:50	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x0d3068…
04-25 01:41:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	30	90¢	$27	0x07d3f0…
04-25 01:41:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	48	65¢	$31	0xb31c52…
04-25 01:34:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x349cda…
04-25 01:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x147203…
04-24 06:48:40	North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x996531…
04-23 22:52:06	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x9deb2f…
04-23 08:01:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	SELL	49	59¢	$29	0x8ce3bb…
04-20 05:00:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x91bdf1…
04-20 04:49:48	Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	No	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xc8ce08…
04-20 04:49:18	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	BUY	15	69¢	$10	0xe06267…
04-20 04:48:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x5897d3…
04-20 04:48:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xd1383c…
04-20 04:47:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x90a43e…
04-20 04:46:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	SELL	68	90¢	$62	0xb611bf…
04-20 04:46:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	No	SELL	15	75¢	$11	0x0004e7…
04-20 04:45:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	No	SELL	31	60¢	$19	0xff6113…
04-15 04:11:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	68	89¢	$61	0x505174…