Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

76.5%

Resolved

111

Trades

356

lifetime

Volume

$848

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$219

2 positions

First seen

2026-07-02

last 11-09 00:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 36 days

Categories

Other

99% 56% -$5

Politics

1% 67% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No		+221	$214	99¢	$218	+$4	11-04 00:36
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	No		+3	$1	38¢	$1	+$0	11-08 19:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	32	$275	252	31	+221	open	—	11-04 00:36
lol blg t1 2026 07 04	10	$33	83	13	+70	Bilibili Gaming	-$17	07-04 10:38
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 4?	4	$24	18	18	+0	Over	+$4	11-04 02:33
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	07-07 16:42
Will T1 win Worlds 2026?	6	$19	58	51	+7	No	+$1	11-09 00:24
megaquake by july 31 20260617190926646	6	$19	11	11	+0	No	+$1	07-12 10:43
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?	3	$15	10	10	+0	Over	+$3	11-06 23:38
LoL: LYON vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	4	$15	12	12	+0	LYON	+$9	10-24 20:49
Will Gen.G win the EWC League of Legends Tournament	7	$14	23	18	+5	No	+$2	07-18 17:11
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	6	$13	31	26	+5	Top Esports	+$3	10-30 00:39
LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 - Game 1 Winner	6	$12	11	11	+0	T1	+$4	10-28 20:49
LoL: LOS vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winner	5	$12	15	15	+0	LOS	+$6	10-26 19:34
Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 3?	2	$11	7	7	+0	Over	+$1	11-05 00:11
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?	2	$11	6	6	+0	Over	+$1	11-07 22:40
Will T1 win the EWC League of Legends Tournament	2	$11	20	20	+0	No	+$3	07-17 15:21
nothing ever happens july 20260626174334834	2	$11	6	6	+0	Nothing	+$1	07-30 05:21
lol blg hle1 2026 07 12	8	$11	23	8	+14	Hanwha Life Esports	+$2	07-12 11:45
LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner	7	$10	14	14	+0	Team Liquid	+$2	10-26 22:37
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3?	2	$9	6	6	+0	Over	+$1	11-08 00:25
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3?	4	$9	20	0	+20	Under	-$9	11-07 00:24
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	6	$9	22	15	+7	Bilibili Gaming	+$1	10-26 18:32
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	6	$8	11	11	+0	Movistar KOI	+$2	10-23 19:45
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?	2	$8	5	5	+0	Over	+$2	11-07 23:28
grok 4pt6 released by august 14 2026 20260804192931964 932 684 491	5	$8	35	0	+35	Yes	-$8	08-10 22:50
Will Karmine Corp win the EWC League of Legends Tournament	8	$7	30	20	+10	No	+$4	07-19 15:36
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?	3	$7	5	5	+0	Under	+$1	11-05 23:19
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3?	2	$7	5	5	+0	Over	+$2	11-06 00:11
will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	4	$7	8	4	+4	No	+$4	07-19 04:15
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	2	$7	13	13	+0	No	+$1	07-04 14:09
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	2	$7	4	4	+0	No	+$1	08-10 13:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 00:24:30	Will T1 win Worlds 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0x1b5bdf…
11-08 22:58:55	Will T1 win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xaa77c6…
11-08 19:15:36	Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x0adb33…
11-08 00:25:10	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3?	Over	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0xc46f2f…
11-08 00:08:28	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3?	Over	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x9c74e1…
11-07 23:50:09	Will T1 win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xb8953a…
11-07 23:33:12	Game 2: Duration Over/Under 31:30 min?	Over	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x9edeb3…
11-07 23:28:15	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?	Over	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0x19d3ca…
11-07 22:46:45	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?	Over	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xba2c1c…
11-07 22:40:54	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?	Over	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x5f063b…
11-07 22:19:07	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x36613c…
11-07 01:35:21	LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	Karmine Corp	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xcef189…
11-07 01:06:06	LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	Karmine Corp	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x1649a7…
11-07 00:55:04	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 4?	Over	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x950a1c…
11-07 00:24:58	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3?	Over	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xc39186…
11-07 00:12:52	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3?	Over	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x75fc93…
11-07 00:04:52	LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	Karmine Corp	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x8be2f9…
11-06 23:49:19	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3?	Over	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x99adb0…
11-06 23:39:34	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3?	Over	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x8906c5…
11-06 23:38:19	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?	Over	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0x63265c…
11-06 23:26:52	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?	Over	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x8ea1e1…
11-06 22:51:39	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?	Over	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x129822…
11-06 22:49:49	Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xafdd48…
11-06 00:11:18	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3?	Over	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x270e5b…
11-06 00:01:24	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3?	Over	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x1ea322…
11-05 23:19:49	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?	Over	SELL	3	85¢	$2	0x2fd8ad…
11-05 23:19:45	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?	Over	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x0e7446…
11-05 23:04:42	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?	Over	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x40ad81…
11-05 22:44:43	LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner	Dplus KIA	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x48c898…
11-05 22:38:49	LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner	Dplus KIA	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x16307b…
11-05 00:11:18	Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 3?	Over	SELL	7	95¢	$6	0x82f41a…
11-04 23:39:42	Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 3?	Over	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x20299d…
11-04 23:17:46	LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	LYON	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xd86300…
11-04 23:15:15	LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	LYON	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xd283a3…
11-04 23:08:49	Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 2?	Over	SELL	3	84¢	$3	0xe1e288…
11-04 22:56:24	Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 2?	Over	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xfd83ef…
11-04 22:26:10	LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	LYON	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x91ae9a…
11-04 22:00:09	LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	LYON	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xf0bf78…
11-04 02:54:43	Will T1 win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x6cd268…
11-04 02:39:09	LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	Top Esports	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x244fd8…
11-04 02:35:40	LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	Top Esports	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x7c7618…
11-04 02:33:57	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 4?	Over	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0xce8563…
11-04 02:18:31	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 4?	Over	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x1cea92…
11-04 00:48:46	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 4?	Over	SELL	8	71¢	$6	0xac42e9…
11-04 00:47:34	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 4?	Over	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x9e104d…
11-04 00:40:34	LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 Winner	Top Esports	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x07d33a…
11-04 00:36:15	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xd41fbd…
11-03 23:56:39	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?	Over	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x5c5bcc…
11-03 23:35:09	LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner	Invictus Gaming	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xd29ee3…
11-03 23:02:24	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?	Over	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x2ed8e4…
11-03 23:00:19	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x2382ec…
11-03 22:33:54	LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner	Top Esports	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf244c1…
11-03 22:15:16	LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner	Top Esports	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xb76a8a…
11-03 21:56:22	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x2b39d5…
10-31 23:22:36	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xf86e65…
10-31 23:10:01	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xef3ffa…
10-31 23:04:04	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xa10b16…
10-31 23:03:33	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xba9503…
10-31 22:19:58	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner	Hanwha Life Esports	SELL	3	85¢	$3	0x53f655…
10-31 22:17:57	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x9cc93c…
10-31 21:26:30	LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LOS	SELL	6	45¢	$2	0x3587bd…
10-31 21:16:52	LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LOS	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xd5109b…
10-31 20:36:04	LoL: LOS vs LYON - Game 2 Winner	LOS	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x62be34…
10-31 20:29:07	LoL: LOS vs LYON - Game 2 Winner	LOS	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0x8b85b9…
10-31 20:01:15	LoL: LOS vs LYON - Game 2 Winner	LOS	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xdcf767…
10-31 19:34:10	LoL: LOS vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	LOS	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x0fb1c0…
10-31 19:22:55	LoL: LOS vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	LOS	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x4fa093…
10-31 18:22:21	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner	Movistar KOI	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xd3513e…
10-31 17:50:04	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Movistar KOI	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xb33c45…
10-31 17:49:06	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner	Karmine Corp	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x700ab3…
10-31 17:43:18	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner	Karmine Corp	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xb059a0…
10-31 17:20:00	Game 1: Duration Over/Under 32:30 min?	Under	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x0d49bd…
10-31 17:19:55	Game 1: Duration Over/Under 32:30 min?	Under	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x92606a…
10-31 11:37:18	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Karmine Corp	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x3bd77f…
10-31 11:28:12	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Karmine Corp	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x271e4a…
10-31 11:27:36	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x209e85…
10-30 00:43:31	Game 3: Duration Over/Under 31:30 min?	Over	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x838d1f…
10-30 00:39:31	LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x13c455…
10-30 00:37:31	LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xda8c68…
10-30 00:18:06	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x74c14d…
10-30 00:07:04	LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Top Esports	SELL	26	29¢	$8	0x60dfe5…
10-29 23:23:55	LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Top Esports	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x323131…
10-29 23:03:49	LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Top Esports	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x53ac8b…
10-29 22:56:37	LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner	Top Esports	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xb0e7c1…
10-29 22:52:52	LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Top Esports	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x1c72bb…
10-29 22:45:24	LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner	Top Esports	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x2be66b…
10-29 21:01:15	LoL: Karmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	CTBC Flying Oyster	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xe7e16e…
10-29 20:28:51	LoL: Karmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 Winner	CTBC Flying Oyster	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x8f85fc…
10-29 09:49:46	LoL: Karmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	CTBC Flying Oyster	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xed6672…
10-28 23:20:14	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON - Game 2 Winner	LYON	SELL	2	78¢	$2	0xdacb7b…
10-28 23:16:17	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON - Game 2 Winner	LYON	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x1f34d3…
10-28 22:19:40	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	LYON	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0xe1b64c…
10-28 22:19:40	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	LYON	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x7ece62…
10-28 21:22:40	LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 - Game 2 Winner	Movistar KOI	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x52a6f9…
10-28 20:49:16	LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 - Game 1 Winner	Movistar KOI	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0xb86ab4…
10-28 20:35:14	LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 - Game 1 Winner	Movistar KOI	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xc195eb…
10-28 20:34:59	LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 - Game 1 Winner	T1	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0x942d3e…
10-28 20:29:49	LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 - Game 1 Winner	T1	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x6cbb15…
10-28 20:21:32	LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 - Game 1 Winner	T1	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xd09cb2…
10-28 20:19:55	LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 - Game 1 Winner	T1	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x632479…